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ACID RAIN in
China
Rapid industrialization
has put citizens and
ecosystems at risk.
THORJØRN LARSSEN
NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER
RESEARCH AND UNIVERSITY OF OSLO
ESPEN LYDERSEN
NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER
RESEARCH
DAGANG TANG
YI HE
JIXI GAO
HAIYING LIU
CHINESE RESEARCH ACADEMY OF
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
LEI DUAN
TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY
(CHINA)
HANS M. SEIP
ROLF D. VOGT
UNIVERSITY OF OSLO
JAN MULDER
NORWEGIAN UNIVERSITY OF LIFE SCIENCES
MIN SHAO
PEKING UNIVERSITY (CHINA)
YANHUI WANG
HE SHANG
CHINESE ACADEMY OF FORESTRY
XIAOSHAN ZHANG
RESEARCH CENTER FOR ECO-
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES (CHINA)
SVEIN SOLBERG
NORWEGIAN FOREST RESEARCH INSTITUTE
WENCHE AAS
NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR AIR RESEARCH
TONJE ØKLAND
ODD EILERTSEN
NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE OF LAND
INVENTORY
VALTER ANGELL
NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL
AFFAIRS
QUANRU LIU
BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY
DAWEI ZHAO
CHONGQING INSTITUTE OF
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND
MONITORING (CHINA)
RENJUN XIANG
HUNAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION SCIENCE
(CHINA)
JINSHONG XIAO
GUIZHOU RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION SCIENCE
(CHINA)
JIAHAI LUO
GUANGZHOU RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION (CHINA)
© 2006 American Chemical Society
THORJØRN
L
ARSSEN
418 n ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / JANUARY 15, 2006
Acid rain, acidification, and their environmental
consequences
Acid deposition is formed from SO2 and NOx emit-
ted to the atmosphere, largely because of fossil-fuel
combustion. The most important sources are ener-
gy production, especially coal- and oil-fired power
plants, and transportation sources, such as vehicles
and ships. The air pollutants are transformed in the
atmosphere to H2SO4 and HNO3, transported across
distances potentially as far as hundreds of kilome-
ters, and deposited as precipitation (wet deposition)
and as gas and particles (dry deposition).
Alkaline dust and NH3 are other important com-
ponents. These compounds act to neutralize the ac-
ids. The main source of NH3 to the atmosphere is
agriculture. Although NH3 neutralizes acidity in pre-
cipitation, the resulting NH4
+ contributes to acidifi-
cation of soil and surface water through chemical
processesinthesoil.Alkalinedustintheatmosphere
can, for instance, be particles of limestone (CaCO3)
or CaO. The sources of alkaline dust are many; some
are natural (e.g., windblown dust from deserts) and
some anthropogenic (e.g., industrial and construc-
tion activities). Such alkaline dust can neutralize
much of the acidity from the SO2 by forming neutral
CaSO4, instead of H2SO4, in the atmosphere.
Acid rain has been a well-known environmental
problem for decades and can lead to acidification
of surface waters and soils. Surface-water acidifi-
cation has caused widespread loss of fish popula-
tions, especially in Scandinavia but also in the U.S.,
Canada, and the U.K. Severe forest dieback caused
by direct SO2 damage has been noticed repeatedly
in the vicinity of emission sources over the centu-
ries. In the 1980s, forest decline was observed to be
widespread and far from emission sources in central
Europe. Although other stress factors were present,
the forest losses created concern over the effects of
soil acidification, which was hypothesized to dam-
age trees through mechanisms involving aluminum
toxicity and nutrient deficiency.
Acid rain in China
In China, concern about the possible effects of acid
rain emerged later than in Europe and North Amer-
ica. The first reports in the international literature
regarding acid rain in China appeared in the 1980s
(1, 2).
A major cause of acid rain in China is the exten-
sive use of coal, which in 2004 accounted for 69% of
the energy production (3). Oil generated 23% (Figure
1a). Consumption of coal
and oil and subsequent
emissions of SO2 have in-
creased rapidly since the
1970s (Figure 1b). After
a couple of years of ap-
parently decreasing SO2
emissions, the rate of in-
crease is currently faster
than ever. The recent an-
nual growth in the coal
consumption has been
~20% (4). The national
average content of sul-
fur in the coal is 1.1%,
but in some heavily in-
dustrialized areas in the
southwest, the sulfur content can be as high as 4%.
Oil is also a substantial source of sulfur to the at-
mosphere. The total emissions of SO2 to the atmo-
sphere in China were ~22 million metric tons (t) in
2003 (4). This is more than the total anthropogenic
European emissions of 17 million t in 2002 (exclud-
A
cid rain emerged as an important environmental problem in China in
the late 1970s. Many years of record economic growth have been ac-
companied by increased energy demand, greater coal combustion, and
larger emissions of pollutants. As a result of significant emissions and
subsequent deposition of sulfur, widespread acid rain is observed in southern and
southwestern China. In fact, the deposition of sulfur is in some places higher than
what was reported from the “black triangle” in central Europe in the early 1980s.
In addition, nitrogen is emitted from agriculture, power production, and a rapidly
increasing number of cars. As a result, considerable deposition of pollutants oc-
curs in forested areas previously thought to be pristine.
Little is known about the effects of acid deposition on terrestrial and aquatic
ecosystems in China. In this article, we present the current situation and what to
expect in the future, largely on the basis of results from a five-year Chinese–Nor-
wegian cooperative project. In the years ahead, new environmental challenges
must be expected if proper countermeasures are not put into place.
A major cause of
acid rain in China is
the extensive use
of coal, which in
2004 accounted for
69% of the energy
production.
JANUARY 15, 2006 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY n 419
ing ships; 5) and 2× the U.S. emissions of 10 million
t in 2002 (6).
Theextensivecoalcombustionalsoresultsincon-
siderable emissions of NOx to the atmosphere. In ad-
dition, the number of motor vehicles has increased
dramatically in recent years, from 6.2 million in 1990
to 36.0 million in 2003 (7); a continued rapid increase
is expected. NOx emissions in 2003 were estimated at
12 million t (counted as NO2; 8), which is just more
than half of the total U.S. emissions (9) and ~2× the
total European emissions (5).
However, China’s ammonia emissions are still
>3× larger than its NOx emissions, because agricul-
tural activities are widespread and intensive (10).
Many Chinese cities have high concentrations of
particulates and SO2 in the air. However, local air
quality has improved substantially in recent years
because of measures such as restrictions on the
use of coal-fired household stoves, the termination
or relocation of heavily polluting industries in ur-
ban areas to the countryside, and the installation
of scrubbers on coal-fired boilers. These measures
have reduced air pollution and lessened health ef-
fects considerably, although there still is a long way
to go (Figure 1b).
The effects of air pollution on the natural envi-
ronment may have a different geographical distribu-
tion than the impacts on human health. Although
considerable emissions of acidifying compounds
occur in most parts of the country (except in the
huge mountain and desert areas in the western and
northwestern regions), acid deposition is mainly a
problem in southern and southwestern China. In
northern China, alkaline dust from the desert ar-
eas largely neutralizes the acids in the deposition.
In southern China, however, the influence of the
desert dust is much less (14). On the other hand,
alkaline dust from coal combustion, cement pro-
duction, and construction activities is important
in this region.
Monitoring is needed!
Experience in Europe and North America has clearly
shown that monitoring air pollution and its effects
is necessary to document distribution and trends, to
check whether measures are working as anticipated,
and to provide the basis for testing and calibrating
models. As the acid rain problem in China has devel-
oped, it has become increasingly clear that appropri-
ate environmental monitoring is necessary.
In China, national monitoring programs gener-
ally focus on urban air quality and precipitation
pH. Little other information exists in China or in
other countries with similar subtropical and mon-
soonal climate conditions and ecosystems. In order
to supplement the existing monitoring and gather
new information on Chinese systems, a set of in-
tegrated monitoring sites was established through
a Chinese–Norwegian cooperative project, the In-
tegrated Monitoring Program on Acidification of
Chinese Terrestrial Systems (IMPACTS; 15). Air pol-
lution; precipitation composition; and soil, water,
and vegetative effects are being intensively studied
at five forested sites (Figure 2).
High emissions produce high deposition
The five monitoring sites represent acid-sensitive
forested ecosystems in southern and southwestern
China that are considered to be exposed to acid de-
position. The annual sulfur deposition at the sites
ranges from ~2 to 16 g-S/m2 (Figure 3a), which is in
the same range as, or higher than, that seen within
most of central Europe in ~1980, when acid depo-
sition was at its peak. The highest deposition was
observed at the Tie Shan Ping (TSP) monitoring site
(Figure 2) in a forest reserve outside Chongqing, one
of the most heavily polluted areas of China. The low-
est deposition was at the Lei Gong Shan (LGS) moun-
tain reserve site in the Guizhou province, which is
quite remote and is not near any large local emis-
sion sources.
F I G U R E 1
(a) Primary Chinese energy sources in
2003 and (b) the historical growth of
SO2 emissions
Data in (b) for 1990–2003 from Ref. 4; estimates for
before 1990 from Ref. 11.
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1900 1920 1940
Year
Coal
68%
Nuclear
1%
Hydroelectric
5%
Oil
23%
Natural gas
3%
1960 1980 2000
SO
2
(million
tons)
(b)
(a)
The number of motor vehicles
[in China] has increased
dramatically in recent years,
from 6.2 million in 1990
to 36.0 million in 2003.
420 n ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / JANUARY 15, 2006
Dry deposition is gen-
erally high in China. The
data from the integrated
monitoring sites report-
ed here are for estimated
total deposition, in which
dry and wet deposition
are integrated via the
collection of throughfall
under the tree canopies.
Dry deposition at these
sites is typically ≥50% of
the total deposition flux.
Wet or bulk deposition
values thus greatly un-
derestimate total depo-
sition. Most monitoring
currently carried out in
China measures only
bulk deposition. The use
of throughfall as total de-
position may be problem-
atic because of leaching
from the tree canopies.
However, at high deposi-
tion fluxes, the contribu-
tion from the canopies is
less important.
The total nitrogen de-
positionatthe5sitesrang-
esfrom0.6to4.4g-N/m2 in
2003 (Figure 3b), which is
in the same range as that
observed in Europe and
North America, although
somewhat lower than the
highest level measured in
Europe (in The Nether-
lands) during the 1980s.
Deposition of NH4
+ is typ-
ically 2× the amount of
NO3
– deposition; this re-
flects the importance of
NH4
+ emissions from ag-
ricultural sources for the
total nitrogen load.
The considerable deposition of NH4
+, with its po-
tential to contribute to acidification, implies that
pH alone is not a good indicator of acid rain. This
needs to be taken into account when the target area
for acid-rain control is chosen. Because NH4
+ and
NO3
– are also important in terms of eutrophication
of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, monitoring
of these compounds and their environmental ef-
fects will also serve purposes other than acidifica-
tion studies.
The importance of the alkaline dust is reflected
in the high calcium deposition at the IMPACTS sites,
ranging from 2 to 12 g-Ca/m2 in 2003 (Figure 3c).
This is much higher than calcium deposition in typi-
cal acidified regions in North America and Europe.
Despite the large deposition of alkaline dust, pre-
cipitation can be very acidic in southern China, with
pH values of ~4 (Figure 3d). Evidently, the alkaline
dust levels are not high enough to neutralize all the
sulfuric and nitric acids. For instance, at the high-
deposition TSP site, the SO4
2– concentration in the
deposition is so high that the annual average pH of
deposition would have been ~3 without the calcium
and other base cations.
What will happen with alkaline dust in the future?
Becauseparticlescancauseserioushealtheffectsand
are fairly easy to remove, at least from large point
sources, it is likely that measures for reducing their
emission will come before reductions in SO2 emis-
sions.Thismayleadtogreatlyincreasedacidityofthe
deposition at the same sulfur concentrations.
So, are effects on forest health to be expected?
Given the experiences in central Europe, severe for-
est damage could be expected from direct effects of
air pollutants in the most polluted areas. Forest de-
F I G U R E 2
Map of China showing isolines for precipitation pH, area of the official
acid-rain control zone, and the five IMPACTS sites
The acid-rain control zone is highlighted in orange. At the IMPACTS sites, which are marked on the
map with a three-letter acronym, air quality and acid deposition are monitored, as well as their ef-
fects on soil, soil water, forest vitality, and biodiversity of ground vegetation. The five IMPACTS
sites are Cai Jia Tang (CJT), Liu Chong Guan (LCG), Lei Gong Shan (LGS), Liu Xi He (LXH), and Tie
Shan Ping (TSP). TSP and LCG are located near big cities, whereas CJT, LXH, and LGS are more
regionally representative. LGS is a rural reference site, probably the only rural site in China with
such a complete measurement program. The pH isolines are redrawn from a map from the China
Meteorological Administration, based on data from 86 monitoring stations (12). The precision and
accuracy of the isolines may be low because of the large-scale map and limited sets of data from
different types of stations. The overlapping acid-rain control zone and its connection with the acid
deposition areas is clearly illustrated. The acid-rain control zone is redrawn from Ref. 13.
Precipitation pH isolines
< 5.6
< 5.0
< 4.5
< 4.0
TSP
LCG LGS
Hong Kong
LXH
CJT
Shanghai
Beijing
JANUARY 15, 2006 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY n 421
cline has occurred in some areas of China because
of the direct effects of SO2, extremely acidic mist or
rain events, and other pollutants (21). One exam-
ple is on the outskirts of Chongqing, with damage
caused by extremely high concentrations of gaseous
SO2 and/or HF (22). Effects due to soil acidification
on forests are much less certain, because few re-
ports are made about widespread damage in more
remote areas. However, scientists have stated that
soil acidification is likely to have negative effects on
forest growth in China (21).
Severe defoliation is observed at two of the five
IMPACTS sites—TSP and Liu Chong Guan (LCG).
At the TSP site, the needle loss from the dominant
masson pine (Pinus massoniana) has been consid-
erable (40–50%) and is accompanied by high tree
mortality (15). At the LCG site, the needle loss from
dominant masson pine increased during the period
2000–2003, followed by a slight decrease in 2004.
This defoliation has not been fully diagnosed, be-
cause insect attacks (by Diprion pini and others)
play a major role and indications of climatic stress
are seen. Predisposing effects of acid rain cannot
be ruled out as an additional cause, but they are
difficult to diagnose.
Aluminum concentrations in soil solution are
very high. For instance, at the TSP site, average con-
centrations are >10 mg/L and peak concentrations
are >20 mg/L. This is considerably higher than what
is considered toxic for tree roots (2 mg/L; 23) and
higher than levels observed in most places in Eu-
rope. Calcium and magnesium are believed to play
an important role in modifying aluminum toxicity
(24), and the very high calcium deposition is there-
fore likely to counteract the toxicity from aluminum
under the current conditions. Whether the ratio of
calcium to aluminum is sufficiently high to avoid
negative long-term effects is uncertain.
During the severe dieback of forest in some heav-
ily polluted areas in central Europe in the mid-1980s,
SO2 was considered to be the main cause, in com-
bination with frosts and other stress factors. For in-
stance, the annual average SO2 concentrations were
reported at >100 µg/m3 in the northwest Czech Re-
public (25). Although such high concentrations are
commonly reported in Chinese industrial cities,
the concentrations in the rural forested areas are
lower. In 2003, the annual average SO2 concentra-
tion was ~80 µg/m3 at the LCG forest site and ~40
µg/m3 at the TSP site. The critical concentration for
F I G U R E 3
Total deposition of (a) SO4
2–
, (b) nitrogen (NH4
+
and NO3
–
), (c) calcium, and (d) precipitation pH
at the IMPACTS sites in 2003 (15)
Charts include selected data from North America and Europe for comparison. (a–d) Deposition at Hubbard Brook (Hub), N.H., is for
1979–1983 (16). (a–d) The Lysina (Lys) site in the Czech Republic is an example of the most sulfur-polluted part of Europe in ~1980
(17). (a, d) Sulfur deposition and pH data in heavily industrialized Sudbury (Sud), Ontario (Canada) are from 1970; Sudbury serves
as an example of high sulfur deposition in North America (18). (b) The 1990 nitrogen deposition in The Netherlands (Net) illustrates
a case of high nitrogen deposition in Europe (19). (c) Calcium deposition at an Italian (Itl) monitoring site in Sicily is an example of
high inputs of dust from 1995 to 1999 (20). Locations for the five IMPACTS sites listed in this figure are shown in Figure 2.
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
TSP
g-S/m
2
g-Ca/m
2
CJT LXH LCG LGS Sud Hub Lys
TSP CJT LXH LCG LGS Itl Hub Lys
(a)
(c)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
g-N/m
2
NO3
–
NH4
+
TSP CJT LXH LCG LGS Net Hub Lys
(b)
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
pH
Sud Hub Lys
TSP CJT LXH LCG LGS
(d)
422 n ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / JANUARY 15, 2006
negative effects used in assessments in Europe is
20 µg/m3 (23).
What about effects on ground vegetation,
biodiversity, and water?
Experience from other parts of the world shows that
ground vegetation contains good indicators of the
long-term effects of airborne pollutants. This has
led to questions about the effects on China’s ground
vegetation and biodiversity in areas receiving high
loads of airborne deposition. So far, monitoring data
for ground vegetation exist only for the five IMPACTS
sites. The data series are still too short to reveal any
dependencies with the pollution pressure; long-term
monitoring data are needed to assess the extent and
rate of vegetation change.
In northern Europe, particularly in Scandinavia,
aswellasinpartsofeasternNorthAmerica,themain
effect of acid deposition has been the acidification
of lakes and streams. In Norway, for instance, fish
populations have been wiped out in thousands of
lakes. Surface-water acidification is not considered a
large-scale problem in China, although heavily acid-
ified first-order streams are found in acid-sensitive
areas (26). Relatively few investigations on surface-
water acidification have been conducted; more data
are needed before surface-water acidification can
be regarded as unimportant.
The government recognizes the problem
Air pollution and acid rain are now considered high-
priority areas for the Chinese environmental au-
thorities. As a step to curb the problem, China has
developed the concept of an acid-rain control zone
as the main framework for setting priorities in the
acid-rain reduction policy (13; Figure 2).
Various attempts have been made to estimate
the societal costs of air pollution and acid rain in
China. The Chinese State Environmental Protection
Administration (SEPA) has set the costs of acid rain
at U.S.$13 billion. The World Bank estimates the hu-
man health costs at U.S.$11–32 billion, depending on
the method used in valuation. The World Bank cal-
culates another U.S.$5 billion for effects on forests
and agriculture (27), whereas a third report suggests
slightly less than U.S.$1 billion (28). Thus, cost es-
timates of the damage cover a wide range, because
the calculations are necessarily based on many un-
certain assumptions, such as those involving dose–
response functions and how monetary values are
ascribed to health and environment effects. Despite
the large variations in estimates, all the figures are
high; this illustrates the severity of the problem.
Development is rapidly increasing
The growing demand for electricity is an important
feature of China’s rapid development. Economic
growth is greatest in the eastern and southeastern
(i.e., coastal) parts of the country, and these regions
constantly need more electricity. These facts, in
combination with the desire for further economic
development in the western, interior provinces, are
the basis for a major national development program
called the West to East Electricity Transfer Project
(29). For instance, in the Guizhou province, one of
the poorest in China, many new coal-fired power
plants will be built in the near future. The prov-
ince already suffers from substantial environmen-
tal degradation due to air pollution. Unless strict
measures are taken, the ongoing campaign for in-
creasing electricity production will worsen the en-
vironmental problems (29).
Can more impacts be expected in the future?
The pollution problems connected to growing en-
ergy demand pose a formidable challenge. Unfor-
tunately, a scenario of rising pollution levels with
increasing long-range transport cannot be discard-
ed. Several attempts have been made to model the
future changes in acidification in China’s forest eco-
systems. Here, we present one illustrative model cal-
culation with different forecast scenarios for sulfur
deposition. Model results of this kind still are quite
uncertain for Chinese sites, because of a lack of data.
However, the results strongly suggest that consider-
able reduction in the emission of sulfur is needed to
avoid the harmful effects from acidification in the
future (Figure 4).
F I G U R E 4
Predictions of the calcium/aluminum molar ratio
at IMPACTS site TSP under different scenarios for
sulfur deposition
This ratio is used as an indicator for potential long-term forest dam-
age. The current legislation mandates a 20% reduction in sulfur de-
position from 2000 to 2010. Calculations were done with the dynamic
acidification model MAGIC (30).
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1980 1990 2000
Year
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Ca/Al
in
soil
solution
60% reduction in sulfur deposition
20% reduction in sulfur deposition
Constant sulfur deposition
Constant sulfur deposition, 20% reduction
in calcium
40% reduction in sulfur deposition
Air pollution and acid
rain are now considered
high-priority areas for the
Chinese environmental
authorities.
JANUARY 15, 2006 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY n 423
The current policy for acid-rain mitigation uses a
flat emission reduction goal of 20% from 1995 to 2010
within the acid-rain control zone. This is a reason-
able first-generation environmental policy approach
that focuses on the right geographical regions. How-
ever, the actual impacts on and sensitivities of the
ecosystems are not sufficiently taken into account. It
is possible to reach the 20% reduction target within
the control zone even with increasing deposition in
the most sensitive regions. A not-unlikely scenario
could be that the emissions in the less-developed
interior increase as those along the richer and fast-
developing coast decrease.
A more cost-efficient, effects-based emission re-
duction policy can be developed by using informa-
tion on environmental sensitivity, deposition, and
emissions. By combining this information on a re-
gional scale, the targets for emission reduction can
be made, with the most sensitive environments giv-
en priority. If the “critical-load approach” is used, in
which the aim is to achieve similar reductions in the
gap between the deposition and what the ecosystem
can tolerate at all sites, large savings are possible.
The critical-load approach was developed in Europe
in the 1980s and 1990s and was successfully used to
set emission quotas under the recent protocols of the
UN Economic Commission for Europe Convention
on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutants.
The methodology for a similar approach in Asia,
includingChina,hasbeenestablished(31).Asaresult
of increased efforts at monitoring and capacity build-
ing aswell asthe recognized need for and willingness
to establish environmental policies, the time may be
right for a more detailed and nationally focused ef-
fects-based analysis. Such an approach would en-
able negotiations among Chinese provinces where
emissions and effects are linked. An integrated treat-
mentofairpollutantsisimportantnotonlyforunder-
standing environmental effects but also for reducing
emissions of several other pollutants. To find the best
options, all important effects—natural environment,
human health, and climate—must be considered.
Although efforts have been made in recent years
to improve the knowledge on acid rain and related
effects in China, a great need still exists for better
monitoring of the environmental situation in Chi-
na to support policy development and follow-up on
emission reduction measures. In particular, more
monitoring stations in rural and remote areas are
required. In addition, more studies are needed on
the impacts on forests and ecosystems.
Thorjørn Larssen is a research scientist at the Norwegian
Institute for Water Research and an associate professor at
the University of Oslo. Espen Lydersen is a senior research
scientist at the Norwegian Institute for Water Research.
Dagang Tang is a professor, Yi He is a researcher, Jixi Gao
is a professor, and Haiying Liu is a researcher with the
Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences.
Lei Duan is an associate professor at Tsinghua University
(China). Hans M. Seip and Rolf D. Vogt are professors
at the University of Oslo. Jan Mulder is a professor with
the Norwegian University of Life Sciences. Min Shao is
a professor at Peking University (China). Yanhui Wang
and He Shang are professors at the Chinese Academy of
Forestry. Xiaoshan Zhang is a professor at the Research
Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences (China). Svein
Solberg is a senior research scientist in the Norwegian
Forest Research Institute. Wenche Aas is a senior research
scientist in the Norwegian Institute for Air Research. Ton-
je Økland is a research scientist and Odd Eilertsen is a
department director at the Norwegian Institute of Land
Inventory. Valter Angell is a research scientist at the Nor-
wegian Institute of International Affairs. Quanru Liu is
an associate professor with Beijing Normal University.
Dawei Zhao is a professor at the Chongqing Institute of
Environmental Science and Monitoring (China). Renjun
Xiang is a director at the Hunan Research Institute of En-
vironmental Protection Science (China). Jinshong Xiao is
a research scientist in the Guizhou Research Institute of
Environmental Protection Science (China). Jiahai Luo is
a research scientist with the Guangzhou Research Insti-
tute of Environmental Protection (China). Address cor-
respondence to Larssen at tla@niva.no.
Acknowledgments
Much of the work presented here relies on data collected in
theChinese–NorwegiancooperationprojectIMPACTS,finan-
cially supported by the Norwegian Agency for Development
Cooperation, SEPA, and the Chinese Ministry of Science and
Technology. We thank Richard F. Wright for helpful sugges-
tions during preparation of the manuscript.
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Acid Rain In China

  • 1.
  • 2. ACID RAIN in China Rapid industrialization has put citizens and ecosystems at risk. THORJØRN LARSSEN NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER RESEARCH AND UNIVERSITY OF OSLO ESPEN LYDERSEN NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR WATER RESEARCH DAGANG TANG YI HE JIXI GAO HAIYING LIU CHINESE RESEARCH ACADEMY OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES LEI DUAN TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY (CHINA) HANS M. SEIP ROLF D. VOGT UNIVERSITY OF OSLO JAN MULDER NORWEGIAN UNIVERSITY OF LIFE SCIENCES MIN SHAO PEKING UNIVERSITY (CHINA) YANHUI WANG HE SHANG CHINESE ACADEMY OF FORESTRY XIAOSHAN ZHANG RESEARCH CENTER FOR ECO- ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES (CHINA) SVEIN SOLBERG NORWEGIAN FOREST RESEARCH INSTITUTE WENCHE AAS NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE FOR AIR RESEARCH TONJE ØKLAND ODD EILERTSEN NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE OF LAND INVENTORY VALTER ANGELL NORWEGIAN INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS QUANRU LIU BEIJING NORMAL UNIVERSITY DAWEI ZHAO CHONGQING INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MONITORING (CHINA) RENJUN XIANG HUNAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION SCIENCE (CHINA) JINSHONG XIAO GUIZHOU RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION SCIENCE (CHINA) JIAHAI LUO GUANGZHOU RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION (CHINA) © 2006 American Chemical Society THORJØRN L ARSSEN 418 n ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / JANUARY 15, 2006
  • 3. Acid rain, acidification, and their environmental consequences Acid deposition is formed from SO2 and NOx emit- ted to the atmosphere, largely because of fossil-fuel combustion. The most important sources are ener- gy production, especially coal- and oil-fired power plants, and transportation sources, such as vehicles and ships. The air pollutants are transformed in the atmosphere to H2SO4 and HNO3, transported across distances potentially as far as hundreds of kilome- ters, and deposited as precipitation (wet deposition) and as gas and particles (dry deposition). Alkaline dust and NH3 are other important com- ponents. These compounds act to neutralize the ac- ids. The main source of NH3 to the atmosphere is agriculture. Although NH3 neutralizes acidity in pre- cipitation, the resulting NH4 + contributes to acidifi- cation of soil and surface water through chemical processesinthesoil.Alkalinedustintheatmosphere can, for instance, be particles of limestone (CaCO3) or CaO. The sources of alkaline dust are many; some are natural (e.g., windblown dust from deserts) and some anthropogenic (e.g., industrial and construc- tion activities). Such alkaline dust can neutralize much of the acidity from the SO2 by forming neutral CaSO4, instead of H2SO4, in the atmosphere. Acid rain has been a well-known environmental problem for decades and can lead to acidification of surface waters and soils. Surface-water acidifi- cation has caused widespread loss of fish popula- tions, especially in Scandinavia but also in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. Severe forest dieback caused by direct SO2 damage has been noticed repeatedly in the vicinity of emission sources over the centu- ries. In the 1980s, forest decline was observed to be widespread and far from emission sources in central Europe. Although other stress factors were present, the forest losses created concern over the effects of soil acidification, which was hypothesized to dam- age trees through mechanisms involving aluminum toxicity and nutrient deficiency. Acid rain in China In China, concern about the possible effects of acid rain emerged later than in Europe and North Amer- ica. The first reports in the international literature regarding acid rain in China appeared in the 1980s (1, 2). A major cause of acid rain in China is the exten- sive use of coal, which in 2004 accounted for 69% of the energy production (3). Oil generated 23% (Figure 1a). Consumption of coal and oil and subsequent emissions of SO2 have in- creased rapidly since the 1970s (Figure 1b). After a couple of years of ap- parently decreasing SO2 emissions, the rate of in- crease is currently faster than ever. The recent an- nual growth in the coal consumption has been ~20% (4). The national average content of sul- fur in the coal is 1.1%, but in some heavily in- dustrialized areas in the southwest, the sulfur content can be as high as 4%. Oil is also a substantial source of sulfur to the at- mosphere. The total emissions of SO2 to the atmo- sphere in China were ~22 million metric tons (t) in 2003 (4). This is more than the total anthropogenic European emissions of 17 million t in 2002 (exclud- A cid rain emerged as an important environmental problem in China in the late 1970s. Many years of record economic growth have been ac- companied by increased energy demand, greater coal combustion, and larger emissions of pollutants. As a result of significant emissions and subsequent deposition of sulfur, widespread acid rain is observed in southern and southwestern China. In fact, the deposition of sulfur is in some places higher than what was reported from the “black triangle” in central Europe in the early 1980s. In addition, nitrogen is emitted from agriculture, power production, and a rapidly increasing number of cars. As a result, considerable deposition of pollutants oc- curs in forested areas previously thought to be pristine. Little is known about the effects of acid deposition on terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems in China. In this article, we present the current situation and what to expect in the future, largely on the basis of results from a five-year Chinese–Nor- wegian cooperative project. In the years ahead, new environmental challenges must be expected if proper countermeasures are not put into place. A major cause of acid rain in China is the extensive use of coal, which in 2004 accounted for 69% of the energy production. JANUARY 15, 2006 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY n 419
  • 4. ing ships; 5) and 2× the U.S. emissions of 10 million t in 2002 (6). Theextensivecoalcombustionalsoresultsincon- siderable emissions of NOx to the atmosphere. In ad- dition, the number of motor vehicles has increased dramatically in recent years, from 6.2 million in 1990 to 36.0 million in 2003 (7); a continued rapid increase is expected. NOx emissions in 2003 were estimated at 12 million t (counted as NO2; 8), which is just more than half of the total U.S. emissions (9) and ~2× the total European emissions (5). However, China’s ammonia emissions are still >3× larger than its NOx emissions, because agricul- tural activities are widespread and intensive (10). Many Chinese cities have high concentrations of particulates and SO2 in the air. However, local air quality has improved substantially in recent years because of measures such as restrictions on the use of coal-fired household stoves, the termination or relocation of heavily polluting industries in ur- ban areas to the countryside, and the installation of scrubbers on coal-fired boilers. These measures have reduced air pollution and lessened health ef- fects considerably, although there still is a long way to go (Figure 1b). The effects of air pollution on the natural envi- ronment may have a different geographical distribu- tion than the impacts on human health. Although considerable emissions of acidifying compounds occur in most parts of the country (except in the huge mountain and desert areas in the western and northwestern regions), acid deposition is mainly a problem in southern and southwestern China. In northern China, alkaline dust from the desert ar- eas largely neutralizes the acids in the deposition. In southern China, however, the influence of the desert dust is much less (14). On the other hand, alkaline dust from coal combustion, cement pro- duction, and construction activities is important in this region. Monitoring is needed! Experience in Europe and North America has clearly shown that monitoring air pollution and its effects is necessary to document distribution and trends, to check whether measures are working as anticipated, and to provide the basis for testing and calibrating models. As the acid rain problem in China has devel- oped, it has become increasingly clear that appropri- ate environmental monitoring is necessary. In China, national monitoring programs gener- ally focus on urban air quality and precipitation pH. Little other information exists in China or in other countries with similar subtropical and mon- soonal climate conditions and ecosystems. In order to supplement the existing monitoring and gather new information on Chinese systems, a set of in- tegrated monitoring sites was established through a Chinese–Norwegian cooperative project, the In- tegrated Monitoring Program on Acidification of Chinese Terrestrial Systems (IMPACTS; 15). Air pol- lution; precipitation composition; and soil, water, and vegetative effects are being intensively studied at five forested sites (Figure 2). High emissions produce high deposition The five monitoring sites represent acid-sensitive forested ecosystems in southern and southwestern China that are considered to be exposed to acid de- position. The annual sulfur deposition at the sites ranges from ~2 to 16 g-S/m2 (Figure 3a), which is in the same range as, or higher than, that seen within most of central Europe in ~1980, when acid depo- sition was at its peak. The highest deposition was observed at the Tie Shan Ping (TSP) monitoring site (Figure 2) in a forest reserve outside Chongqing, one of the most heavily polluted areas of China. The low- est deposition was at the Lei Gong Shan (LGS) moun- tain reserve site in the Guizhou province, which is quite remote and is not near any large local emis- sion sources. F I G U R E 1 (a) Primary Chinese energy sources in 2003 and (b) the historical growth of SO2 emissions Data in (b) for 1990–2003 from Ref. 4; estimates for before 1990 from Ref. 11. 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1900 1920 1940 Year Coal 68% Nuclear 1% Hydroelectric 5% Oil 23% Natural gas 3% 1960 1980 2000 SO 2 (million tons) (b) (a) The number of motor vehicles [in China] has increased dramatically in recent years, from 6.2 million in 1990 to 36.0 million in 2003. 420 n ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / JANUARY 15, 2006
  • 5. Dry deposition is gen- erally high in China. The data from the integrated monitoring sites report- ed here are for estimated total deposition, in which dry and wet deposition are integrated via the collection of throughfall under the tree canopies. Dry deposition at these sites is typically ≥50% of the total deposition flux. Wet or bulk deposition values thus greatly un- derestimate total depo- sition. Most monitoring currently carried out in China measures only bulk deposition. The use of throughfall as total de- position may be problem- atic because of leaching from the tree canopies. However, at high deposi- tion fluxes, the contribu- tion from the canopies is less important. The total nitrogen de- positionatthe5sitesrang- esfrom0.6to4.4g-N/m2 in 2003 (Figure 3b), which is in the same range as that observed in Europe and North America, although somewhat lower than the highest level measured in Europe (in The Nether- lands) during the 1980s. Deposition of NH4 + is typ- ically 2× the amount of NO3 – deposition; this re- flects the importance of NH4 + emissions from ag- ricultural sources for the total nitrogen load. The considerable deposition of NH4 +, with its po- tential to contribute to acidification, implies that pH alone is not a good indicator of acid rain. This needs to be taken into account when the target area for acid-rain control is chosen. Because NH4 + and NO3 – are also important in terms of eutrophication of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, monitoring of these compounds and their environmental ef- fects will also serve purposes other than acidifica- tion studies. The importance of the alkaline dust is reflected in the high calcium deposition at the IMPACTS sites, ranging from 2 to 12 g-Ca/m2 in 2003 (Figure 3c). This is much higher than calcium deposition in typi- cal acidified regions in North America and Europe. Despite the large deposition of alkaline dust, pre- cipitation can be very acidic in southern China, with pH values of ~4 (Figure 3d). Evidently, the alkaline dust levels are not high enough to neutralize all the sulfuric and nitric acids. For instance, at the high- deposition TSP site, the SO4 2– concentration in the deposition is so high that the annual average pH of deposition would have been ~3 without the calcium and other base cations. What will happen with alkaline dust in the future? Becauseparticlescancauseserioushealtheffectsand are fairly easy to remove, at least from large point sources, it is likely that measures for reducing their emission will come before reductions in SO2 emis- sions.Thismayleadtogreatlyincreasedacidityofthe deposition at the same sulfur concentrations. So, are effects on forest health to be expected? Given the experiences in central Europe, severe for- est damage could be expected from direct effects of air pollutants in the most polluted areas. Forest de- F I G U R E 2 Map of China showing isolines for precipitation pH, area of the official acid-rain control zone, and the five IMPACTS sites The acid-rain control zone is highlighted in orange. At the IMPACTS sites, which are marked on the map with a three-letter acronym, air quality and acid deposition are monitored, as well as their ef- fects on soil, soil water, forest vitality, and biodiversity of ground vegetation. The five IMPACTS sites are Cai Jia Tang (CJT), Liu Chong Guan (LCG), Lei Gong Shan (LGS), Liu Xi He (LXH), and Tie Shan Ping (TSP). TSP and LCG are located near big cities, whereas CJT, LXH, and LGS are more regionally representative. LGS is a rural reference site, probably the only rural site in China with such a complete measurement program. The pH isolines are redrawn from a map from the China Meteorological Administration, based on data from 86 monitoring stations (12). The precision and accuracy of the isolines may be low because of the large-scale map and limited sets of data from different types of stations. The overlapping acid-rain control zone and its connection with the acid deposition areas is clearly illustrated. The acid-rain control zone is redrawn from Ref. 13. Precipitation pH isolines < 5.6 < 5.0 < 4.5 < 4.0 TSP LCG LGS Hong Kong LXH CJT Shanghai Beijing JANUARY 15, 2006 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY n 421
  • 6. cline has occurred in some areas of China because of the direct effects of SO2, extremely acidic mist or rain events, and other pollutants (21). One exam- ple is on the outskirts of Chongqing, with damage caused by extremely high concentrations of gaseous SO2 and/or HF (22). Effects due to soil acidification on forests are much less certain, because few re- ports are made about widespread damage in more remote areas. However, scientists have stated that soil acidification is likely to have negative effects on forest growth in China (21). Severe defoliation is observed at two of the five IMPACTS sites—TSP and Liu Chong Guan (LCG). At the TSP site, the needle loss from the dominant masson pine (Pinus massoniana) has been consid- erable (40–50%) and is accompanied by high tree mortality (15). At the LCG site, the needle loss from dominant masson pine increased during the period 2000–2003, followed by a slight decrease in 2004. This defoliation has not been fully diagnosed, be- cause insect attacks (by Diprion pini and others) play a major role and indications of climatic stress are seen. Predisposing effects of acid rain cannot be ruled out as an additional cause, but they are difficult to diagnose. Aluminum concentrations in soil solution are very high. For instance, at the TSP site, average con- centrations are >10 mg/L and peak concentrations are >20 mg/L. This is considerably higher than what is considered toxic for tree roots (2 mg/L; 23) and higher than levels observed in most places in Eu- rope. Calcium and magnesium are believed to play an important role in modifying aluminum toxicity (24), and the very high calcium deposition is there- fore likely to counteract the toxicity from aluminum under the current conditions. Whether the ratio of calcium to aluminum is sufficiently high to avoid negative long-term effects is uncertain. During the severe dieback of forest in some heav- ily polluted areas in central Europe in the mid-1980s, SO2 was considered to be the main cause, in com- bination with frosts and other stress factors. For in- stance, the annual average SO2 concentrations were reported at >100 µg/m3 in the northwest Czech Re- public (25). Although such high concentrations are commonly reported in Chinese industrial cities, the concentrations in the rural forested areas are lower. In 2003, the annual average SO2 concentra- tion was ~80 µg/m3 at the LCG forest site and ~40 µg/m3 at the TSP site. The critical concentration for F I G U R E 3 Total deposition of (a) SO4 2– , (b) nitrogen (NH4 + and NO3 – ), (c) calcium, and (d) precipitation pH at the IMPACTS sites in 2003 (15) Charts include selected data from North America and Europe for comparison. (a–d) Deposition at Hubbard Brook (Hub), N.H., is for 1979–1983 (16). (a–d) The Lysina (Lys) site in the Czech Republic is an example of the most sulfur-polluted part of Europe in ~1980 (17). (a, d) Sulfur deposition and pH data in heavily industrialized Sudbury (Sud), Ontario (Canada) are from 1970; Sudbury serves as an example of high sulfur deposition in North America (18). (b) The 1990 nitrogen deposition in The Netherlands (Net) illustrates a case of high nitrogen deposition in Europe (19). (c) Calcium deposition at an Italian (Itl) monitoring site in Sicily is an example of high inputs of dust from 1995 to 1999 (20). Locations for the five IMPACTS sites listed in this figure are shown in Figure 2. 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 TSP g-S/m 2 g-Ca/m 2 CJT LXH LCG LGS Sud Hub Lys TSP CJT LXH LCG LGS Itl Hub Lys (a) (c) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 g-N/m 2 NO3 – NH4 + TSP CJT LXH LCG LGS Net Hub Lys (b) 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 pH Sud Hub Lys TSP CJT LXH LCG LGS (d) 422 n ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / JANUARY 15, 2006
  • 7. negative effects used in assessments in Europe is 20 µg/m3 (23). What about effects on ground vegetation, biodiversity, and water? Experience from other parts of the world shows that ground vegetation contains good indicators of the long-term effects of airborne pollutants. This has led to questions about the effects on China’s ground vegetation and biodiversity in areas receiving high loads of airborne deposition. So far, monitoring data for ground vegetation exist only for the five IMPACTS sites. The data series are still too short to reveal any dependencies with the pollution pressure; long-term monitoring data are needed to assess the extent and rate of vegetation change. In northern Europe, particularly in Scandinavia, aswellasinpartsofeasternNorthAmerica,themain effect of acid deposition has been the acidification of lakes and streams. In Norway, for instance, fish populations have been wiped out in thousands of lakes. Surface-water acidification is not considered a large-scale problem in China, although heavily acid- ified first-order streams are found in acid-sensitive areas (26). Relatively few investigations on surface- water acidification have been conducted; more data are needed before surface-water acidification can be regarded as unimportant. The government recognizes the problem Air pollution and acid rain are now considered high- priority areas for the Chinese environmental au- thorities. As a step to curb the problem, China has developed the concept of an acid-rain control zone as the main framework for setting priorities in the acid-rain reduction policy (13; Figure 2). Various attempts have been made to estimate the societal costs of air pollution and acid rain in China. The Chinese State Environmental Protection Administration (SEPA) has set the costs of acid rain at U.S.$13 billion. The World Bank estimates the hu- man health costs at U.S.$11–32 billion, depending on the method used in valuation. The World Bank cal- culates another U.S.$5 billion for effects on forests and agriculture (27), whereas a third report suggests slightly less than U.S.$1 billion (28). Thus, cost es- timates of the damage cover a wide range, because the calculations are necessarily based on many un- certain assumptions, such as those involving dose– response functions and how monetary values are ascribed to health and environment effects. Despite the large variations in estimates, all the figures are high; this illustrates the severity of the problem. Development is rapidly increasing The growing demand for electricity is an important feature of China’s rapid development. Economic growth is greatest in the eastern and southeastern (i.e., coastal) parts of the country, and these regions constantly need more electricity. These facts, in combination with the desire for further economic development in the western, interior provinces, are the basis for a major national development program called the West to East Electricity Transfer Project (29). For instance, in the Guizhou province, one of the poorest in China, many new coal-fired power plants will be built in the near future. The prov- ince already suffers from substantial environmen- tal degradation due to air pollution. Unless strict measures are taken, the ongoing campaign for in- creasing electricity production will worsen the en- vironmental problems (29). Can more impacts be expected in the future? The pollution problems connected to growing en- ergy demand pose a formidable challenge. Unfor- tunately, a scenario of rising pollution levels with increasing long-range transport cannot be discard- ed. Several attempts have been made to model the future changes in acidification in China’s forest eco- systems. Here, we present one illustrative model cal- culation with different forecast scenarios for sulfur deposition. Model results of this kind still are quite uncertain for Chinese sites, because of a lack of data. However, the results strongly suggest that consider- able reduction in the emission of sulfur is needed to avoid the harmful effects from acidification in the future (Figure 4). F I G U R E 4 Predictions of the calcium/aluminum molar ratio at IMPACTS site TSP under different scenarios for sulfur deposition This ratio is used as an indicator for potential long-term forest dam- age. The current legislation mandates a 20% reduction in sulfur de- position from 2000 to 2010. Calculations were done with the dynamic acidification model MAGIC (30). 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1980 1990 2000 Year 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Ca/Al in soil solution 60% reduction in sulfur deposition 20% reduction in sulfur deposition Constant sulfur deposition Constant sulfur deposition, 20% reduction in calcium 40% reduction in sulfur deposition Air pollution and acid rain are now considered high-priority areas for the Chinese environmental authorities. JANUARY 15, 2006 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY n 423
  • 8. The current policy for acid-rain mitigation uses a flat emission reduction goal of 20% from 1995 to 2010 within the acid-rain control zone. This is a reason- able first-generation environmental policy approach that focuses on the right geographical regions. How- ever, the actual impacts on and sensitivities of the ecosystems are not sufficiently taken into account. It is possible to reach the 20% reduction target within the control zone even with increasing deposition in the most sensitive regions. A not-unlikely scenario could be that the emissions in the less-developed interior increase as those along the richer and fast- developing coast decrease. A more cost-efficient, effects-based emission re- duction policy can be developed by using informa- tion on environmental sensitivity, deposition, and emissions. By combining this information on a re- gional scale, the targets for emission reduction can be made, with the most sensitive environments giv- en priority. If the “critical-load approach” is used, in which the aim is to achieve similar reductions in the gap between the deposition and what the ecosystem can tolerate at all sites, large savings are possible. The critical-load approach was developed in Europe in the 1980s and 1990s and was successfully used to set emission quotas under the recent protocols of the UN Economic Commission for Europe Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollutants. The methodology for a similar approach in Asia, includingChina,hasbeenestablished(31).Asaresult of increased efforts at monitoring and capacity build- ing aswell asthe recognized need for and willingness to establish environmental policies, the time may be right for a more detailed and nationally focused ef- fects-based analysis. Such an approach would en- able negotiations among Chinese provinces where emissions and effects are linked. An integrated treat- mentofairpollutantsisimportantnotonlyforunder- standing environmental effects but also for reducing emissions of several other pollutants. To find the best options, all important effects—natural environment, human health, and climate—must be considered. Although efforts have been made in recent years to improve the knowledge on acid rain and related effects in China, a great need still exists for better monitoring of the environmental situation in Chi- na to support policy development and follow-up on emission reduction measures. In particular, more monitoring stations in rural and remote areas are required. In addition, more studies are needed on the impacts on forests and ecosystems. Thorjørn Larssen is a research scientist at the Norwegian Institute for Water Research and an associate professor at the University of Oslo. Espen Lydersen is a senior research scientist at the Norwegian Institute for Water Research. Dagang Tang is a professor, Yi He is a researcher, Jixi Gao is a professor, and Haiying Liu is a researcher with the Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences. Lei Duan is an associate professor at Tsinghua University (China). Hans M. Seip and Rolf D. Vogt are professors at the University of Oslo. Jan Mulder is a professor with the Norwegian University of Life Sciences. Min Shao is a professor at Peking University (China). Yanhui Wang and He Shang are professors at the Chinese Academy of Forestry. Xiaoshan Zhang is a professor at the Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences (China). Svein Solberg is a senior research scientist in the Norwegian Forest Research Institute. Wenche Aas is a senior research scientist in the Norwegian Institute for Air Research. Ton- je Økland is a research scientist and Odd Eilertsen is a department director at the Norwegian Institute of Land Inventory. Valter Angell is a research scientist at the Nor- wegian Institute of International Affairs. Quanru Liu is an associate professor with Beijing Normal University. Dawei Zhao is a professor at the Chongqing Institute of Environmental Science and Monitoring (China). Renjun Xiang is a director at the Hunan Research Institute of En- vironmental Protection Science (China). Jinshong Xiao is a research scientist in the Guizhou Research Institute of Environmental Protection Science (China). Jiahai Luo is a research scientist with the Guangzhou Research Insti- tute of Environmental Protection (China). Address cor- respondence to Larssen at tla@niva.no. Acknowledgments Much of the work presented here relies on data collected in theChinese–NorwegiancooperationprojectIMPACTS,finan- cially supported by the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation, SEPA, and the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology. We thank Richard F. Wright for helpful sugges- tions during preparation of the manuscript. 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