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          Telco 2.0 โ€“ Exploring 2 Sided Markets
     Why Telcoโ€™s are up in arms against Google, Skype, Apple




                                                       Presenter: Vishal
Agenda
Telco Markets, 1 Sided Market
Telco 1.0 Characteristics and Operational View
Emergence of Web 2.0, The Long Tail Phenomenon
Define 2 Sided Market, Example โ€“ Google, ???
Define 2-Sided Telco, Telco2.0
Telco 2.0 Platform Offerings โ€“ Distribution, B2B B2C VAS
Telcoโ€™s Latent Data Exploits
Why Google Envies Operators, Matured Telcoโ€™s Status
Telco Markets


    Wholesale

    Retail
Traditional Market

     Value moves from Left to Right

     Growth beyond some point usually leads to diminishing returns. Profit
     contribution is maximum when Marginal Cost = Marginal Revenue



    Cost                                                                                     Revenue



   Suppliers              Price      Advertise
                Create                           Move          Distribute       Service       Customers
  (wholesale)            (Retail)   or Promote




     Upstream                         Value Chain                                  Downstream


                                                 Source: Strategies for 2 Sided Markets, Thomas Eisenmann, HBR
Traditional Telco




   Suppliers = Cost                           End User = Revenue




     Content, Apps,                                    Consumers
        Devices
                       Products (Partners)                 SMEs
       Network &
       Termination
                        Products (Own)                 Enterprises
      Interconnect &
          Storage                                   Multi-Nationals


       Upstream                Telco                    Downstream

                                             Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Telco 1.0 Characteristics

    Mass Market

    Regular Business Model - Per minute, Flat rate

    Applications - Voice, SMS

    Technologies - Intelligent Networks, SS7
Telco 1.5

    Late 90โ€™s to earlier in decade
    Applications - Content, VAS

    Technologies - JAIN - Java API for Networks

    Revenue - Via Walled Gardens, Closed Systems
Telco 1.0 Operational View

    Millions in CAPEX and OPEX
    Silo'd services delivery, Technology stack built ground-up
    Many integration touch-points, High maintenance

    Limited flexibility
    Oriented towards single services, Resource-intensive
    Limited new deployments per year

    Long development cycles
    Time-to-market, and profit, for delivering new services
Emergence of Web 2.0

Architecture of Participation - engaged users,
3Cโ€™s - Community, Collaboration, Conversations




                                     Continuous Improvement - fail fast, Be in Beta..
                                     Web as a Platform - Services not packaged Softw

                                     Users in control of UI -Rich UI (AJAX)

                                     Data transformability- Remixabilty of data (RSS
                                     Data is the King

                                     Cost effective scalability
Over 100 million users access Facebook from a mobile device
More than the combined population of Spain and Argentina - Facebook.com
Telephony Interactions



                   Social Networks
                                     Communities


                                     Relationships




                                                       Volume
                                     Conversations
       Telephony




                                        Calls


                                     Rendezvous




                                                     Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Telco 1.0 vs Web 2.0

    Revenue Share                 Telco                      Web 2.0

      Services
      Platform
    Core Network
   Access Network
      Licenses

   Market Growth                 Low                          Rapid



    Web2.0 - Inverse Revenue Model, higher profits, higher growth

    Telcoโ€™s provide customer access and who owns them -???
Revenues: The First 9 Years
Six Times larger in 9 yrs in comparison to largest mobile operator

                      $18
                      $16                                            Google, $17b
                      $14
                      $12
           Billions




                      $10
                       $8
                       $6
                        $4
                       $2
                       $-                                                Vodafone, $3b
                             1   2     3     4     5     6   7       8
                                 Years After Inception                       9
                                                                 Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Telco1.0 Service Delivery




                  Equipment
                              Telco
                   Vendor



       Service
      Provider                         Consumer




                                      Source: DSP IP , Telco2.0
Future Service Delivery




          Service                          Consumer
         Provider




                    Equipment
                                Telco
                     Vendor



                                        Source: DSP IP , Telco2.0
Future Service Delivery


Dumb pipe for service providers -???




                                                Consumer
                                       Telco




                                               Source: DSP IP , Telco2.0
The Long Tail

Where is the opportunity -???




            Head
                                    Abundance
    Popularity




                                                               Tail
                                New Market Place

                                 Services/Products

                                                Source: The Long Tail, Chris Anderson
The Long Tail




         Head
                 Telco 1.0
    Popularity




                             Telco 1.5                                   Tail
                                              Telco 2.0

                                         Services/Products
                                                             Source: The Long Tail, Chris Anderson
Telco Markets

Wholesale

Retail
2 - Sided
2 Sided Market

Value moves in both directions, Left to Right and Right to Left

Marginal Revenue and Profit contribution is always increasing as user base
grows Network effect leads to economies of scale


     Upstream                                                                      Downstream




   Customers                      PLATFORM                                                   Customers




               Revenue               Value Chain                                Revenue


                                          Source: Strategies for 2 Sided Markets, Thomas Eisenmann, HBR
Example 2 Sided Market

Massive Investment in Google Platform

Google Indexes 20B+ pages




                                                            Free Product for
  Cheap Adverting for                   Low Cost Per
                                                               End Users
       Brands                            Transaction
                                                              (subsidised)


                                    Google Platform



                                                       Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Other 2 Sided Markets


Company                 Industry Type            Platform Type
Google                  Web Search/Advertising   Audience Builder

Amazon (ebay, Trading   E-Retailer               Matchmaker
Post)
Monster (Seek)          Recruitment              Matchmaker

iTunes                  Music                    Matchmaker

Betfair                 Gambling (betting)       Matchmaker

AP Moller-Maersk        Logistics                Cost Sharing

                                                   Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
2 Sided Telco



  Upstream Customers                       Downstream Customers
  Developers, Content
        Owners
                                                   Millions of
   Retailers, Utilities                            Customers
                           B2B2C, VAS
     Government
                          Telco Platform
   Brand Advertisers                             Thousand of
                           Distribution        Segments (SMEโ€™s
    Media, Finance                            Enterprises, Public
                                                   Sector)
     Telco - Retail

                                             Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
                                           Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
The Long Tail

Telco1.0 - carriers controlled the network as well as the user experiences

Telco2.0 - carriers open up the network as well as the innovation




                           Service
                           Bundles
                  Voice
       Revenue




                 Hosting
                 Broad-
                  band                 New Services                   Expanded Offerings

                            Managed Services, Unified Comm, Cloud (SAAS, IAAS)

                                                    Subscribers

                                                                    Source: The Long Tail, Chris Anderson
Telco 2.0

Market - many niche markets

Services - Personalised

Technologies - Telco web services, (open API - SOA), meshups, blended

Revenue - Open Gardens, Connect to 3rd parties (mesh up)
Telco2.0 Platform Offerings

Distribution

B2BB2C, VAS
Distribution

Data โ€“ iPad, Kindle
B2B B2C, VAS
Advertising via upstream customers, if downside customer clicks,
operators wont participate in it, but will report it
Telco's have many Valuable but Latent Data Assets

  Address                 Gender Bad debt       Demographics    Bank                   School

          MY PERSONAL                                                 MY
                                          MY CREDIT
              DATA                                                RELATIONSHIPS
 Name                     Profile
            Preferences                 Average balance        Workplace              Friends

    SIM                   SoftSIM                                 Browsing History

                                                                       MY
          MY DEVICES
                                                                   INTERACTIONS
 Device details       Serial Number                       .mobi domains             QR Codes

 Number           SIP address        Location       Presence    Pictures               Videos

      MY IDENTIFIERS                     MY CONTEXT                    MY STUFF
  Email           IP Address        Roaming           On/Off   Address Book           Calendar
                                                                       Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
B2B B2C, VAS Offerings

                            Advertising,
        Identity,
                          Marketing Services
    Authentication &                             e-Commerce Sales
                             & Business
        Security
                            Intelligence



                            Order Fulfilment -
     Order Fulfilment -
                            Online (Electronic    Billing & Payments
          Offline
                                content)




                                                  Customer Support


                                                 Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Telco 2.0 Platform
                                                                                  Customer           Core
                                         B2B                      Capabilities
 Upstream                                                                             &          Products (for                       Downstream
                                       Platform        Enablers       or
 Customers                                                                        Network        Distribution                         Customers
                                       Services                     Process
                                                                                    Data           Platform)

                                      Identity, Auth                               Personal
   The needs of                         & Security
  and interfaces                                                                                    Voice &
                                        Mktg, Adv                  Device          Devices
    with other                                                                                      Mesgng                            Millions of
                                          & BI
  industries has                                                                                                                      Customers
 been on neglect                                                                  Identifiers




                                                                                                                  Channel Partners
                   Channel Partners



                                      e-Comm Sales
       side.
                                       Order Fulfill                               Context
  Some activity                                           APIs    Network                             Data
                                         Offline
 has been done                                                                     Content
 with developers                       Order Fulfill                                                                                 Thousand of
   by individual                         Online                                                                                        Segments
  operators (by
                                                                                 Interactions
                                         Billing &                                                                                      (SMEโ€™s
  MMA, GSMA                                                                                         Broad
                                        Payments                                 Relationships                                        Enterprises,
  and individual                                                      IT                             Band
 operators) and                                                                                                                      Public Sector)
                                      Customer Care                                                 Access
 with Media (by                                                                   Financials
 MEF and others)




                                                            New Commercial Models

                                                                                                      Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
                                                                                                    Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
PayPal - Billing & Payments

     Merchant                                    Consumer

                                                               Paypal Rev($ Billions)
                                                                                       1.84


                                                                               1.40


                                                                       1.00

                                                               0.68




                                                               2004    2005    2006    2007
Customer and Merchant data never leaves Paypal

                                                            Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Google Envies Operators


Scale around communications and billing                     MY PERSONAL                    MY
                                                                 DATA                  RELATIONSHIPS
Scale around retail sales and customer care

Data - lots & lots of data, Limited Knowledge of customer    MY DEVICES             MY INTERACTIONS



                                                                     Weak!!
                                                            MY IDENTIFIERS              MY STUFF




                                                             MY CONTEXT                 MY CREDIT




                                                                  Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
Matured Telco's
                         Architecture Maturity

                           Business      Standardised   Optimised        Business
                             Silos        Technology      Core           Modularity




                                                                                           Global Flexibility
      High Flexibility




                                                                                           Local Flexibility
      Low Flexibility




                                                               Source: 2005 MIT Sloan Center For Information Systems Research
Summary

Telcoโ€™s traditional business model is under threat

Innovation by digital companies like Skype driving Telcoโ€™s to re-invent
Multi sided model on a Digital platforms has a lot of promise

Telcosโ€™ are well positioned to leverage Multi sided model but time is running out
Questions

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Telco 2.0 - Exploring Multisided Models

  • 1. Click to edit Master title style Telco 2.0 โ€“ Exploring 2 Sided Markets Why Telcoโ€™s are up in arms against Google, Skype, Apple Presenter: Vishal
  • 2. Agenda Telco Markets, 1 Sided Market Telco 1.0 Characteristics and Operational View Emergence of Web 2.0, The Long Tail Phenomenon Define 2 Sided Market, Example โ€“ Google, ??? Define 2-Sided Telco, Telco2.0 Telco 2.0 Platform Offerings โ€“ Distribution, B2B B2C VAS Telcoโ€™s Latent Data Exploits Why Google Envies Operators, Matured Telcoโ€™s Status
  • 3. Telco Markets Wholesale Retail
  • 4. Traditional Market Value moves from Left to Right Growth beyond some point usually leads to diminishing returns. Profit contribution is maximum when Marginal Cost = Marginal Revenue Cost Revenue Suppliers Price Advertise Create Move Distribute Service Customers (wholesale) (Retail) or Promote Upstream Value Chain Downstream Source: Strategies for 2 Sided Markets, Thomas Eisenmann, HBR
  • 5. Traditional Telco Suppliers = Cost End User = Revenue Content, Apps, Consumers Devices Products (Partners) SMEs Network & Termination Products (Own) Enterprises Interconnect & Storage Multi-Nationals Upstream Telco Downstream Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 6. Telco 1.0 Characteristics Mass Market Regular Business Model - Per minute, Flat rate Applications - Voice, SMS Technologies - Intelligent Networks, SS7
  • 7. Telco 1.5 Late 90โ€™s to earlier in decade Applications - Content, VAS Technologies - JAIN - Java API for Networks Revenue - Via Walled Gardens, Closed Systems
  • 8. Telco 1.0 Operational View Millions in CAPEX and OPEX Silo'd services delivery, Technology stack built ground-up Many integration touch-points, High maintenance Limited flexibility Oriented towards single services, Resource-intensive Limited new deployments per year Long development cycles Time-to-market, and profit, for delivering new services
  • 9. Emergence of Web 2.0 Architecture of Participation - engaged users, 3Cโ€™s - Community, Collaboration, Conversations Continuous Improvement - fail fast, Be in Beta.. Web as a Platform - Services not packaged Softw Users in control of UI -Rich UI (AJAX) Data transformability- Remixabilty of data (RSS Data is the King Cost effective scalability
  • 10. Over 100 million users access Facebook from a mobile device More than the combined population of Spain and Argentina - Facebook.com
  • 11. Telephony Interactions Social Networks Communities Relationships Volume Conversations Telephony Calls Rendezvous Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 12. Telco 1.0 vs Web 2.0 Revenue Share Telco Web 2.0 Services Platform Core Network Access Network Licenses Market Growth Low Rapid Web2.0 - Inverse Revenue Model, higher profits, higher growth Telcoโ€™s provide customer access and who owns them -???
  • 13. Revenues: The First 9 Years Six Times larger in 9 yrs in comparison to largest mobile operator $18 $16 Google, $17b $14 $12 Billions $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $- Vodafone, $3b 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Years After Inception 9 Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 14. Telco1.0 Service Delivery Equipment Telco Vendor Service Provider Consumer Source: DSP IP , Telco2.0
  • 15. Future Service Delivery Service Consumer Provider Equipment Telco Vendor Source: DSP IP , Telco2.0
  • 16. Future Service Delivery Dumb pipe for service providers -??? Consumer Telco Source: DSP IP , Telco2.0
  • 17. The Long Tail Where is the opportunity -??? Head Abundance Popularity Tail New Market Place Services/Products Source: The Long Tail, Chris Anderson
  • 18. The Long Tail Head Telco 1.0 Popularity Telco 1.5 Tail Telco 2.0 Services/Products Source: The Long Tail, Chris Anderson
  • 20. 2 Sided Market Value moves in both directions, Left to Right and Right to Left Marginal Revenue and Profit contribution is always increasing as user base grows Network effect leads to economies of scale Upstream Downstream Customers PLATFORM Customers Revenue Value Chain Revenue Source: Strategies for 2 Sided Markets, Thomas Eisenmann, HBR
  • 21. Example 2 Sided Market Massive Investment in Google Platform Google Indexes 20B+ pages Free Product for Cheap Adverting for Low Cost Per End Users Brands Transaction (subsidised) Google Platform Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 22. Other 2 Sided Markets Company Industry Type Platform Type Google Web Search/Advertising Audience Builder Amazon (ebay, Trading E-Retailer Matchmaker Post) Monster (Seek) Recruitment Matchmaker iTunes Music Matchmaker Betfair Gambling (betting) Matchmaker AP Moller-Maersk Logistics Cost Sharing Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 23. 2 Sided Telco Upstream Customers Downstream Customers Developers, Content Owners Millions of Retailers, Utilities Customers B2B2C, VAS Government Telco Platform Brand Advertisers Thousand of Distribution Segments (SMEโ€™s Media, Finance Enterprises, Public Sector) Telco - Retail Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0 Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 24. The Long Tail Telco1.0 - carriers controlled the network as well as the user experiences Telco2.0 - carriers open up the network as well as the innovation Service Bundles Voice Revenue Hosting Broad- band New Services Expanded Offerings Managed Services, Unified Comm, Cloud (SAAS, IAAS) Subscribers Source: The Long Tail, Chris Anderson
  • 25. Telco 2.0 Market - many niche markets Services - Personalised Technologies - Telco web services, (open API - SOA), meshups, blended Revenue - Open Gardens, Connect to 3rd parties (mesh up)
  • 28. B2B B2C, VAS Advertising via upstream customers, if downside customer clicks, operators wont participate in it, but will report it
  • 29. Telco's have many Valuable but Latent Data Assets Address Gender Bad debt Demographics Bank School MY PERSONAL MY MY CREDIT DATA RELATIONSHIPS Name Profile Preferences Average balance Workplace Friends SIM SoftSIM Browsing History MY MY DEVICES INTERACTIONS Device details Serial Number .mobi domains QR Codes Number SIP address Location Presence Pictures Videos MY IDENTIFIERS MY CONTEXT MY STUFF Email IP Address Roaming On/Off Address Book Calendar Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 30. B2B B2C, VAS Offerings Advertising, Identity, Marketing Services Authentication & e-Commerce Sales & Business Security Intelligence Order Fulfilment - Order Fulfilment - Online (Electronic Billing & Payments Offline content) Customer Support Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 31. Telco 2.0 Platform Customer Core B2B Capabilities Upstream & Products (for Downstream Platform Enablers or Customers Network Distribution Customers Services Process Data Platform) Identity, Auth Personal The needs of & Security and interfaces Voice & Mktg, Adv Device Devices with other Mesgng Millions of & BI industries has Customers been on neglect Identifiers Channel Partners Channel Partners e-Comm Sales side. Order Fulfill Context Some activity APIs Network Data Offline has been done Content with developers Order Fulfill Thousand of by individual Online Segments operators (by Interactions Billing & (SMEโ€™s MMA, GSMA Broad Payments Relationships Enterprises, and individual IT Band operators) and Public Sector) Customer Care Access with Media (by Financials MEF and others) New Commercial Models Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0 Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 32. PayPal - Billing & Payments Merchant Consumer Paypal Rev($ Billions) 1.84 1.40 1.00 0.68 2004 2005 2006 2007 Customer and Merchant data never leaves Paypal Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 33. Google Envies Operators Scale around communications and billing MY PERSONAL MY DATA RELATIONSHIPS Scale around retail sales and customer care Data - lots & lots of data, Limited Knowledge of customer MY DEVICES MY INTERACTIONS Weak!! MY IDENTIFIERS MY STUFF MY CONTEXT MY CREDIT Source: STL Partners, Telco2.0
  • 34. Matured Telco's Architecture Maturity Business Standardised Optimised Business Silos Technology Core Modularity Global Flexibility High Flexibility Local Flexibility Low Flexibility Source: 2005 MIT Sloan Center For Information Systems Research
  • 35. Summary Telcoโ€™s traditional business model is under threat Innovation by digital companies like Skype driving Telcoโ€™s to re-invent Multi sided model on a Digital platforms has a lot of promise Telcosโ€™ are well positioned to leverage Multi sided model but time is running out