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The Two-sided Telecoms Business Model Re-thinking the phone company 14 March 2008 Martin Geddes, Chief Analyst, STL Partners [email_address]
Before we begin…
Telecoms is a freight business for bits 10100010111001001001011000110 10000101111101010010010101010 00101010111101010101010001010 010100110101010001001110101011010100100101011101010010101010001010111011110100010101010 01011100100010001011011001010 11100111010000001011001010100 Voice, video, web, messages
Container shipping: precedent Containers vs. IP packets
Container shipping lessons Value-based pricing of the containers doesn’t work #1
Container shipping lessons New technology and lowered costs are not enough #2
Container shipping lessons Increasing returns to scale for infrastructure #3
Container shipping lessons The ports get the money, not the shipping lines #4
Container shipping lessons People pay most for logistics solutions #5
… with a twist One sided market Multi-sided market
Limits to retail growth
Voice & Data Core Service Pressures 2017 % of Total Mobile Voice Minutes, Europe 2007 2012 Traditional Telephony  IP-Enhanced Carrier Telephony Private Voice Apps & Handsets  Other
The telephony interaction pyramid Comm- unities Relationships Conversations Calls Rendezvous VOLUME TELEPHONY SOCIAL NETWORKING
Telcos: still not product innovation businesses How well do we as an industry understand what additional needs users have for voice and messaging products, over and above what they have today?
Revenue opportunities OPEN APIs PRIVACY FEATURES REAL-TIME SERVICES CALLING FEATURES Strongly Agree Agree N=83 INTERNALLY-DRIVEN INNOVATION EXTERNALLY-DRIVEN INNOVATION
Yes, but… ,[object Object]
Introducing 2-sided markets
Today: Revenue only from 1 Side $ $ Suppliers =  Costs End Users =  Revenue Telco Content, Apps, Devices Network & Termination Interconnect & Storage Consumers Enterprises SMEs Multi-Nationals Products (partners’) Products (own)  Packets & Platters
Tomorrow: Revenue from 2 sides $ ‘ Upstream’ Customers   ‘ Downstream’ Customers   Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments $ Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco – Retail Content Owners Telco
Telcos have many valuable but latent  data  assets MY PERSONAL DATA MY STUFF MY IDENTIFIERS MY INTERACTIONS MY RELATIONSHIPS MY CONTEXT MY DEVICES MY CREDIT Name Address Gender Profile Preferences SIM SoftSIM Serial Number Device details Location Presence On/Off Roaming Pictures Videos Calendar Address Book Bank School Friends Workplace Browsing History .mobi domains QR Codes Bad debt Demographics Average balance Number SIP address IP Address Email
Google Envies Operators in Key Areas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Google increasingly paying for inventory, skills & data MY PERSONAL DATA MY STUFF MY IDENTIFIERS MY INTERACTIONS MY RELATIONSHIPS MY CONTEXT MY DEVICES Weak! MY CREDIT
Telco Future: 3 x business models $$ $$ $$ $$ Upstream Partners Downstream End Users Telcos Payments between telcos Payments between telcos Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco (Retail) Telco Retail Telco Wholesale Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments Telco Platform
Examples of 2-sided markets
Learning from the master
Google: Lowers transaction costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],= + ,[object Object],+ ,[object Object]
Betfair: Stock Exchange for Gamblers Bookie Punter ‘ To Win the Champions League’
Strong Growth from Big Scale Platform ,[object Object],[object Object]
A New Telco Proposition?
Additional Telco Value Proposition Now: Bundled voice,  messaging,  video and  internet access Next: Personalised Logistics Services  for Data
Logistics Services in the Physical world 1. Distribution Collection Multi-Modal Transport Delivery 2. B2B VAS Tax & Duty Management Documentation Management Denied Party Screening Scheduling & Supply Chain Management Systems Integration Tracking & Monitoring
‘ Personalised Logistics Services … for Data’ 1. Distribution Origination & Capture Multi-Modal Transport Termination & Display 2. B2B2C VAS Identity, Authentication, Security Advertising, Marketing Services Ecommerce Order Fulfilment Billing & Payments Customer Services Telco (2.0)
1. Distribution Platform
New Types of Wholesale Products Video Content delivery networks for 3 rd  parties Data “ Postage and packing included!” – for data Become supplier for 3 rd  party voice services Voice +
2. B2B2C Value Added Services Platform
Current Approach: Media & Advertising… $ $ Upstream Customers  Revenue Side 1 Downstream Customers  Revenue Side 2 Telco Brand Advertisers Consumers Enterprises SMEs Multi-Nationals
… but market is too small! Revenue, $ Billions 2006 2010 $2,000bn $2,490bn $425bn $533bn $30bn $62bn Fixed and Mobile Telecoms Global advertising On-line and mobile advertising
Open Up More Markets for Telco Platform $ Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments $ B2B2C VAS Distribution Upstream Customers  Downstream Customers Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco – Retail Content Owners Telco Platform
VAS: Help Customers Interact More Easily ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customers –  Revenue Side 1 Customers –  Revenue Side 2 Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco – Retail
VAS: Telcos assets well suited ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customers –  Revenue Side 1 Customers –  Revenue Side 2 Telco Capabilities & Assets       Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco – Retail
Value of the opportunity
Potential Market of $350+ billion?
Making it happen
Five things to get right Scale Packaging Rewards Privacy Reliability
The Two-sided Telecoms Market Opportunity THANK YOU More info at  www.telco2.net/blog
An   eComm 2008   presentation –   http://eCommMedia.com   for more

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Martin Geddes's presentation at eComm 2008

  • 1. The Two-sided Telecoms Business Model Re-thinking the phone company 14 March 2008 Martin Geddes, Chief Analyst, STL Partners [email_address]
  • 3. Telecoms is a freight business for bits 10100010111001001001011000110 10000101111101010010010101010 00101010111101010101010001010 010100110101010001001110101011010100100101011101010010101010001010111011110100010101010 01011100100010001011011001010 11100111010000001011001010100 Voice, video, web, messages
  • 4. Container shipping: precedent Containers vs. IP packets
  • 5. Container shipping lessons Value-based pricing of the containers doesn’t work #1
  • 6. Container shipping lessons New technology and lowered costs are not enough #2
  • 7. Container shipping lessons Increasing returns to scale for infrastructure #3
  • 8. Container shipping lessons The ports get the money, not the shipping lines #4
  • 9. Container shipping lessons People pay most for logistics solutions #5
  • 10. … with a twist One sided market Multi-sided market
  • 12. Voice & Data Core Service Pressures 2017 % of Total Mobile Voice Minutes, Europe 2007 2012 Traditional Telephony IP-Enhanced Carrier Telephony Private Voice Apps & Handsets Other
  • 13. The telephony interaction pyramid Comm- unities Relationships Conversations Calls Rendezvous VOLUME TELEPHONY SOCIAL NETWORKING
  • 14. Telcos: still not product innovation businesses How well do we as an industry understand what additional needs users have for voice and messaging products, over and above what they have today?
  • 15. Revenue opportunities OPEN APIs PRIVACY FEATURES REAL-TIME SERVICES CALLING FEATURES Strongly Agree Agree N=83 INTERNALLY-DRIVEN INNOVATION EXTERNALLY-DRIVEN INNOVATION
  • 16.
  • 18. Today: Revenue only from 1 Side $ $ Suppliers = Costs End Users = Revenue Telco Content, Apps, Devices Network & Termination Interconnect & Storage Consumers Enterprises SMEs Multi-Nationals Products (partners’) Products (own) Packets & Platters
  • 19. Tomorrow: Revenue from 2 sides $ ‘ Upstream’ Customers ‘ Downstream’ Customers Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments $ Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco – Retail Content Owners Telco
  • 20. Telcos have many valuable but latent data assets MY PERSONAL DATA MY STUFF MY IDENTIFIERS MY INTERACTIONS MY RELATIONSHIPS MY CONTEXT MY DEVICES MY CREDIT Name Address Gender Profile Preferences SIM SoftSIM Serial Number Device details Location Presence On/Off Roaming Pictures Videos Calendar Address Book Bank School Friends Workplace Browsing History .mobi domains QR Codes Bad debt Demographics Average balance Number SIP address IP Address Email
  • 21.
  • 22. Telco Future: 3 x business models $$ $$ $$ $$ Upstream Partners Downstream End Users Telcos Payments between telcos Payments between telcos Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco (Retail) Telco Retail Telco Wholesale Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments Telco Platform
  • 25.
  • 26. Betfair: Stock Exchange for Gamblers Bookie Punter ‘ To Win the Champions League’
  • 27.
  • 28. A New Telco Proposition?
  • 29. Additional Telco Value Proposition Now: Bundled voice, messaging, video and internet access Next: Personalised Logistics Services for Data
  • 30. Logistics Services in the Physical world 1. Distribution Collection Multi-Modal Transport Delivery 2. B2B VAS Tax & Duty Management Documentation Management Denied Party Screening Scheduling & Supply Chain Management Systems Integration Tracking & Monitoring
  • 31. ‘ Personalised Logistics Services … for Data’ 1. Distribution Origination & Capture Multi-Modal Transport Termination & Display 2. B2B2C VAS Identity, Authentication, Security Advertising, Marketing Services Ecommerce Order Fulfilment Billing & Payments Customer Services Telco (2.0)
  • 33. New Types of Wholesale Products Video Content delivery networks for 3 rd parties Data “ Postage and packing included!” – for data Become supplier for 3 rd party voice services Voice +
  • 34. 2. B2B2C Value Added Services Platform
  • 35. Current Approach: Media & Advertising… $ $ Upstream Customers Revenue Side 1 Downstream Customers Revenue Side 2 Telco Brand Advertisers Consumers Enterprises SMEs Multi-Nationals
  • 36. … but market is too small! Revenue, $ Billions 2006 2010 $2,000bn $2,490bn $425bn $533bn $30bn $62bn Fixed and Mobile Telecoms Global advertising On-line and mobile advertising
  • 37. Open Up More Markets for Telco Platform $ Millions of Customers Thousands of Segments $ B2B2C VAS Distribution Upstream Customers Downstream Customers Developers Retailers Government Brand Advertisers Content Owners Telco – Retail Content Owners Telco Platform
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Value of the opportunity
  • 41. Potential Market of $350+ billion?
  • 43. Five things to get right Scale Packaging Rewards Privacy Reliability
  • 44. The Two-sided Telecoms Market Opportunity THANK YOU More info at www.telco2.net/blog
  • 45. An eComm 2008 presentation – http://eCommMedia.com for more

Editor's Notes

  1. 1