2. Prepare for our world as it is.
Alan Kurdi 2015
Science encourages us to look at reality
selectively, not holistically: and yet
we must look at all sides of the problem.
8. London would be a very resilient city were
it not for the high price of property.
• housing agenda over-influenced
by foreign investment companies
• shortage of housing that is
not for investment purposes
• large portion of disposable income spent
on housing, less for other purposes
• poor quality and vulnerable housing
is a feature of the property market
• personal and family security reduced.
13. • consolidate power structures
• augment profits, concentrate wealth
• allow introduction of conveniently
repressive measures
• permit gratuitous social engineering.
The economic and social
VALUE of disasters
14. • it is not necessarily harmed by disaster
• does capital safeguard people or itself?
The cheapness and redundancy of labour
is a form of disenfranchisement.
Capital as a resource for
disaster mitigation and recovery
15.
16. The alternative economy
• black: mafia, drugs, people trafficking,
armaments, vice, illegal investment
• grey: person to person
21. • a reaction to global hegemony
• wars and proxy wars -
the struggle for power
• globalisation of production
and the exploitation of labour
• a reaction to the mobility
and concentration of capital.
Human mobility
22. Have we passed a threshold towards
a new organisation of society in which
human mobility is much more central
and important?
23. Time to re-examine notions
of geographical inertia.
Places remain, people move.
25. What is welfare?
The provision of
care to a minimum
acceptable standard
to people who are
unable adequately
to look after
themselves.
But we also need
to focus on what
welfare is NOT...
28. • prevalence of myths and misassumptions
• migration and evacuation
• informal settlements
• precarious livelihoods
• crises of leadership.
Some parallels between disaster risk
reduction (DRR) and human mobility
29. Currently the links between DRR and
human mobility are relatively slight.
There are abundant opportunities for
them to become more significant and
powerful.
32. Climate change Terrorism
Displacement
and migration
Pandemics
and epidemics
Population increase
Environmentalchange
Conflict
Technological
disasters and
major incidents
'Natural'
disasters
37. • disaster risk reduction and climate
change adaptation will partially merge
• global mobility will become a major
factor in disaster risk reduction
• resilience acquires a double meaning
• vulnerability remains a key concept
• sustainable DRR, sustainable lives.
The future
38. Three axioms
Axiom 1
Disaster risk reduction (DRR) is about
vulnerability reduction and development.
So is human mobility.
40. BENIGN (healthy)
at the service of the people
MALIGN (corrupt)
at the service of vested interests
interplay dialectic
Justification Development
[spiritual, cultural, political, economic]
IDEOLOGY CULTURE
41. Axiom 2
Climate change adaptation (CCA) is
about adapting to changing vulnerability.
So is disaster risk reduction.
Axiom 3
Climate change will be a
source of human mobility.
In a situation of general
instability, so will disaster.
42. Disaster as a
negative window
of opportunity
But at the bottom
there was hope...
"Pandora's box"
theory of disasters