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A Utopian Society On A Small Remote
Thousands and thousands of years from now in a time when humans no longer walk the Earth, how will future beings know what their role in this
large, vacant world should be? An imperative message that future people must discover and obey shall be their only way of knowing what once was,
and what soon shall be, as long as they don't mimic the actions of the Plutarch people. Future beings must heed the warnings of the Plutarch society
and follow the guidelines set for them in this message, since the Plutarchs are the original reason for the conveyance of this fundamental message. In
an attempt to create a utopian society on a small remote, biologically diverse island off the coast of Florida, the Plutarchs divided their people into three
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Ultimately, malnutrition and an unsterile amount of scattered, decaying bodies rooted an epidemic of disease to attack the Plutarch people. Between
the disease and war, two–thirds of the islanders were wiped out, and those who remained were compelled to turn on one another. With bone marrow
and flesh still stuck between his teeth, the last Plutarch man eventually died of starvation, leaving the island at peace at last. Due to the Plutarchs,
the once beautiful Plutarch island had disintegrated into a graveyard of soil and rotting body parts, with all vegetation and forestation destroyed.
The Plutarchs illustrate exactly why the creation of message for future people will not only discourage them to perform the same mistakes this
society once did by killing off their own people, but to not kill the Earth as well. For a message like this to last its encoding must be durable enough
to withstand all overgrowth, destruction, and changes to the environment that may occur. That is why a message as important and vital as this must
not only be engraved into a ceramic block, but encased in diamond as well. The diamond encasing of the message will not only serve as a protective
barrier, but the diamond is also a clear transparent crystal, which would enable future people to see the message inside. With this intention, the message
must first be engraved into the ceramic block with four sides to
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Research And Development Teams May Not Be Based On...
Research and development teams may or may not know the uncertainties behind or surround new technologies considering they are in the process of
developing the product or service. It may try to resist attempts to quantify value; but on the other hand; the financial department would think otherwise,
as it is evidence of woolly thinking. Of course, both sides are right in their own way. When a newly modern advanced product is near to completion,
no company will proceed without detailed financial figures first. However, when an intriguing new idea is first generated, the decision to take it further
should not and must not be based on financial calculations alone.
Once future cash flows are forecast conservatively and cautiously and an appropriate discount rate is chosen, next the present value will be calculated.
Managers should acknowledge that, in valuing an innovation project, there are not estimating the value of something that exists today but making a
prediction of the performance and goodness that the new product or service will generate in the future. Leading companies treat the valuation and
selection of innovation projects not as a single decision but as an incentive for the prognostication process, in which the prediction of value develops
and improves over time. In a bit of ways it is comparable to weather forecasting, where the best way to predict the weather in an hour 's time is to go
outside and look and the best way for a few days ahead is using computer
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Artificial Neural Networks And Predictive Policing
"Sir, please come with me, we deny your access to this building based on the data we received, and we need you to go through an interrogation with
us." How would a person react if he/she is suspected to commit a crime? How would that person feel if the police just randomly show up and ask for
the intention of whatever that makes him/her suspicious? This is what will happen, frequently, if artificial neural networks are used as a mean for
predictive policing. First, just to clarify, predictive policing is seeking to prevent future harm and reduce crime rates by analyzing information and
patrolling areas based on the result. The police are able to predict when, where, and what crime is likely to happen with the help of this emerging ...
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People often think that if there's science that supports the systems, it would be accurate. However, the information the systems take in is not just at
all. In order to support my argument, I want to point out that there are cases where colored people are in a disadvantage for more likely to be
accused even though the white are doing the same thing. For instance, the police has always targeted more on black people than on white people on
trafficking. Because the crimes that took place in the past are not in favored of black people, there are more cases against them. Therefore, the systems
sort through the data and conclude that black people are more likely to commit the same type of crime, and suggesting the police put more attention on
them. If the read–in information is not bias–free, how can the prediction be just to everyone? My second argument is that neural networks violate
people's privacy when they collect information from social media or any other means without their consent. Although some predictive policing
software only allow the police to predict the type, time, and location of a crime, other police systems are used without protecting people's right for
privacy. Our data, posts, information, and pictures are being looked over by the predictive policing systems without us knowing or agreeing upon it.
Therefore, it is not fair for the police to search our
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Outline Of An Activity Using Magnetic Vocabulary Essay
OBJECTIVES: Language: Students will be able to:
Discuss an activity using magnetic vocabulary.
Read step by step directions.
Write observation in their journal. Content: Students will be able to:
Preform a controlled investigation into magnetism.
Compare experimental data.
Record experimental results.
LEARNING STRATEGIES: Journaling, Pictures, Brainstorming using a Mind Map, Small group activity,Prediction organizer, Choral reading of the
instructions, Demonstration, Step–by–Step organizer, Reporter/Reader/Researcher, Flashcards
KEY VOCABULARY: Predict; Iron; Extract (I'm assumingmagnet, attract, and repel are prior key vocabulary since they are midway through this unit
on magnets.)
MATERIAL: Textbook: Magnetic Magic for each student; giant magnets; different types of items like: paper clips, safety pins, steel nails, tooth chips,
glass beads, and plastic buttons in paper bags for each group; mixing bowls, water, plastic robs with magnets attached for each group; and a different
box of cereal for each group, laboratory instructions; graphic organizer: concept map, and data worksheet.
MOTIVATION:
(1)Begin by copying the objectives from the board on a new page in your science journal.
(2)Copy the key vocabulary into your personal dictionary section within their science journals from the board.
(3)Together read the objectives and the key vocabulary out loud while showing a picture of each term as the term is being stated.
(4)Provide
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My Future Essay
Every since I was a young girl I have been always asked by, what do you wanna be when you grow up? I know some people that change their minds
every week of what their future hold for them and how they are gonna live through it. The future is changing every second of our lives, everything
single thing that we do affects what our future hold for us. All my life I have been determined on one thing in my life. I have always wanted to
become a doctor no matter what. I know that there is nothing that is gonna change my mind about that. Technology has helped many people with
what they do at their job, however it has also harmed their jobs also. All my life I have been in and out of hospitals. Every since I was born I had some
problems that I had to face. Thanks to all the doctors that were there for me, that helped me become the girl that stands today, I get to live my life
in peace. I had told myself from that day forward that I was gonna become a doctor or a nurse and help as many people as I can. I have always loved to
help people in need. I hope that one day that I can save someone's life as someone saved mine.If I had to pick one role model that I looked up to ,I
couldn't. That is because I admire and idolize every single nurse and doctor there is in this world that help keep people alive and safe every single day.
I want to do many things in my future. As well as being a doctor who helps people, I want to live life and just be there. The future is
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The Ranger 's Apprentice : The Royal Ranger
I am reading the final book in the Ranger 's Apprentice: The Royal Ranger. In the book, Will has to take on an apprentice. She is the crown princes
of Araluen, and the daughter of Will's best friends, Evanlyn and Horace. They want Will to take her on as an apprentice because of two reasons.
Reason one, Will has become obsessed with hunting down the gang members who lead to his wife's, Alyss, death, and they hope that taking on an
apprentice will help to get his mind of Alyssa 's death. Reason two is, Maddie, Evanlyn and Horace's daughter, has listening issues, and they hope
life as a ranger 's apprentice will fix them. In this journal I will be predicting and characterizing. Within this book, I predict Maddie will stay a
ranger, and that Will will be completely pulled out of his depression. To start with, I predict Maddie will want to stay a ranger and not go back to
being a princess. The first piece of evidence, is her answer to Young Bob's question at Young Bob's ranch. This quote helps to explain what
happened, "'There's never been a girl apprentice before,' he said. She nodded, 'I know.' 'So, how are you enjoying it? Do you like it?'... 'Yes. I am,'
she said after a pause. She was surprised to find that she meant it" (Flanagan 156). This shows proves that she will stay a ranger over a princess. This
proves this because she found life at Castle Araluen limited and restricting. As a ranger she found that her life is now much more unrestrictive. The
second piece
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Progression Of Technology Essay
Progression of Technology
Imagine a world with robots taking over and controlling the world. This is a major concern for many people. Technology is a continually growing
industry and humans are frequently trying to improve it; the real question is do humans really want to progress or are we scared of what could
happen if we go further? People seem to think this world is very technologically advanced. Technology has progressed in some aspects, but our society
is at a stagnation and needs to progress technology to a higher level in order to compete in a globalized society.
Technology has played a large role in my life. Ever since I can remember my household has had a television. A television was a huge technological
accomplishment in our world; It was amazing to be able to see images on a screen that tell a story. The television is a type of entertainment, but it
has been around for many years. When will something new come about? Another example of technology in my life is phones. Phones also have
been around for a while but we, as a society began, to innovate and make phones smaller and more portable. This is innovation and advancement,
however back in the 1960s people were able to contact each other through phones but they were not as mobile, compact, or prevalent. My point is
technology has not had great advancement since the 20th century. I want to be able to tell my kids, when I have some, We used to never be able to do
this or we did not have technology this. "The
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Netflix Data Strategies Paper
3.
I would choose entertainment industry to analyze data strategy. I would focus on production area. (For entertainment industry, that is content creation).
In order to be more specific, I would take Netflix as an example to illustrate data strategy in entertainment industry.
Netflix is an online video rental provider in United States. The company provides a large amount of DVDs for customers to choose. Customers can
reach film and TV content by PC, TV, iPad and iPhone. Netflix has a service of recommendation. Customers of Netflix can rate the content by 1 point
to 5 points. Netflix would storage these rating. Then use the rating to analyze customer`s taste and preference to do recommendation. Now, Netflix also
start content creation. For ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
Netflix has a core advantage of digital media platform. As we all know Netflix is the world's largest online video rent service providers. There are
more than 30 million behaviors in Netflix such pausing, playing back or forward. And Netflix customers provides 4 million ratings and 3 million
search requests per day. Based on the platform, Netflix can monitor customer behavior of every visitors and users of Netflix in real time. Netflix has a
large customer base of 27 million subscribers in the United States and 33 million in the world. More importantly, Netflix can have access to data and
information about customers like to see what kind and style of film and TV content.
I would recommend Netflix use Hadoop as data technology. Since Netflix is a digital media platform. The data may be come from different
perspective and may real–time change all the day. Hadoop is able to store highly scalable data sets through inexpensive servers. Hadoop is effective
in storage and dealing with data. Also, Hadoop provides faster data processing service that can save much time when need to deal with a large amount
of data
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Methodology Approach ( Combination ) Essay
Methodology Approach (combination):
1.Case Study:This study will utilize a methodology more commonly called the mixed–method approach and will include the application of the "Case
Study" technique. Planning and design fields heavily rely on the knowledge developed through individual case studies being cumulatively converted
into prescriptive theories and paradigms. This technique is appropriate in that the process provides the means for quantitative comparative analysis with
other airport sites, while also employing the qualitative collection from data instruments, which will gather firsthand knowledge of airport
development, socio–demographic data, and land–use / spatial distribution growth. The focus on case studies or "best practices" is to understand the
development process, including various planning, design and implementation stages involved in creating airport aerotropolis development. With that,
some case study literature comes from sources other than peer–reviewed literature such as from projects, developers, city, or organizational websites
/ documents / news and although this is normal, this material will be researched thoroughly to assure data reliability and accuracy. Airport aerotropolis
development(s) at national and global airports will be analyzed in respect to the economic clustering impact on–site and on the spatial layout in the
urban proximity areas.
2.Qualitative Research / Interviews: Qualitative data / questionnaires / interviews with
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Technology Has Changed The World In The Late 19th Century
The late 19th century witnessed the marriage of science and industry that continues to this day. The development of technology, no longer strictly the
realm of independent inventors was guided and financed by companies searching for new products. At the same time, technology became a part of
everyday life, made the world a smaller place, and became a more important force in shaping European and world events. People in the 1890's held
expectations for the future. In 1939, the World Fair, called "The World of Tomorrow" was held inNew York City. Flashes of genius by inventors
working on their own birthed most of the dazzling discoveries of 1939. The inventors weren't striving for money or fame. They genuinely were
looking for a way to ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
Technological advancements are made everyday. Yes, there is aWar on Terror, but it will eventually end. People are scared of what will happen in the
future because of terrorism because it is so fresh in their minds. Organizations and countries are putting aside their differences and coming together
to keep the world safe for all. The "superpowers" (the most powerful countries) have come to realize that working together for prosperity can be
more successful than working against one another. Nearly every country in the world is a WTO (World Trade Organization) member, and none has
resigned. Even China now seeks membership. With the many countries of the world working together, the thoughts and ideas of each separate
country will come together. Technological advancements will be made together, creating not only separate, "okay" technologies, but great and
powerful new ones. As cars and computers were showed in the World Fair in 1939, new technologies have been produced to upgrade and enhance
each new product. One does not only have to have a car that runs on gasoline anymore, hybrid cars are now available, which run on electricity. One
does not have to go home to use the computer anymore either. The Internet is available on cell phones, iPods, laptops, and personal pocket computers,
like a Blackbury.
More students are now going to college and getting a better education. Young adults are realizing the
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Digital Media In Anticipatory Shipping
DIGITIAL MEDIA: EMPOWERING CUSTOMERS AND FACILITATING MANAGERS FOR THE FUTURE
"When you dream for it, you will get it" is an acclaimed quote of Walt Disney, which is considered as one of the best motivational quotes. "Search for
it, you will get it" is what Amazon promises with its latest initiative, which is named as "Anticipatory Shipping". Anticipatory shipping is exactly what
it sounds like: Products are shipped to your geographical vicinity before hand, and in some cases straight away to your door without you actually
ordering them. With tremendous growth in technology, today there are innumerable techniques for companies to improve their offerings and thereby
enhance their odds of garnering customer attention. Amazon, lately, has been the master in coupling their innovation with technological advancements.
The outcome was revolutionary in terms of ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
Copyright Amazon anticipatory shipping patent.
Role of Digital Media in Anticipatory Shipping:
Gone are the days where marketers solely rely on TV or print media to market their products. In this digital world major part of advertisement budget is
allocated to the digital media advertising. One may think this is the maximum extent to which a company can go to improve its market presence. But
Amazon is undoubtedly way ahead in utilizing digital media for their research. A quintessential to that is the current idea of Anticipatory Shipping.
Even though there are some loopholes in the whole idea the way they designed the whole structure of this delivery system is quiet fascinating. They
have divided the whole model into two parts
1) Forecasting model
2) Shipping model
Forecasting model:
Forecasting model can be configured to forecast or predict customer demand for a given item.
Forecasting model can be configured to predict aggregate demand for items as well as demand within particular geographical
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Technology And Technology Essay
The global dispute that centers on technology, ranging from basic machines to the internet of things, is a very broad one. To each person the use
of electronics means something different, some despise the rate in which the world is turning to robots and some praise the idea of the world
turning into the real life version of the movie "Back to The Future". If you walk around randomly asking questions about the future and
technology, you are most definitely going to get a wide decree of answers. It seems though, as a unified decision that the world is in favor of such
changes and will continue to move towards movies like "23". One of the many debatable topics about technology is the prospect of it taking away
the need for labor as well as the need for skill. As the famous poet W. H. Auden wrote, "Machines are beneficial to the degree that they eliminate the
need for labor, harmful to the degree that they eliminate the need for skill." However, does that make it a true statement? As I previously said, all
answers differentiate between the eyes of the one beholding them. Therefore, the answer I will give you to this question, undoubtedly, comes from
only my eyes. A person can agree or disagree in their understanding. Unbeknownst to most people, technology has been around much longer than we
expect and the rate of these innovations actually coming to grips with the community is a slow one. While many scientists and engineers may be in
the lab as we speak creating a robot, we
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Why Demographic Trends Spell Trouble For China And Russia
Introduction All around us there are forecasts predicting the future. Whether it's an article in Forbes entitled "Why Demographic Trends Spell Trouble
For China And Russia – And Prosperity For US" predicting a prosperous economy for the United State and Canada in 2035 (Preston, 2015) or the CEO
of Facebook Mark Zuckerberg at the F8 2016 Conference unveiling his roadmap on what Facebook would look like in 10 years (Buxton, 2016). Both
are examples of prediction that use different forecast techniques to predict a future outcome. The article from Forbes, predicts a possible future due to
demographic trends, whereas, Mark Zuckerberg forecasts a preferably or probable future due to advancements in technology. However, there are
number of different forecasting techniques that are used today in business, government, and military to predict future outcomes. This paper looks at the
different techniques for forecasting the future and how some futurists use these different techniques for predicting future trends, technologies, and
events.
Forecasting Methods First it must be noted, that no forecasting technique can be certain, however, they can come close to a possible, preferable, or
probable future. Second, the further into the future the predictions the higher the uncertainty of the forecast (Gordon, 2009). The reason for greater
uncertainty is the possible of a wild card or black swam event happening that would be a total surprise and have a major effect on the long term
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Computer, Robotics, And Automation Are Driving More And...
Computers, robotics, and automation are driving more and more of production. In turn this is leading to an enormous impact on the number and type of
jobs. An Australian report released in June 2015 found that 40 per cent of the Australian workforce– or around 5 million jobs – are at high risk of
being replaced by computers in the next 10–15 years. This backs up the Oxford Martin School's 2013 study finding 47 per cent of jobs in the United
States are at risk of being automated using artificial intelligence. We need to move urgently from a discussion about protecting the jobs of today, to
creating the jobs of the future.1 3.2 Commercialisation and innovation There are significant emerging opportunities and challenges for
commercialisation and innovation resulting from technological changes to becoming a more sustainable, broad– based economy: Reducing the tyranny
of distance, boosting trade and creating new business models but also promoting outsourcing of work overseas. Internationalising labour markets are
expanding the skilled labour pool. Developing commercially functional goods and services from new technologies often takes a lot longer than
expected. Leveraging clean technologies to improve sustainability. Fostering entrepreneurship and addressing constraints for Kiwi companies.
Addressing slow uptake of new technology due to redundancy risks or ease of sticking with the status quo and supporting workforce mobility.
Managing business change in a disruptive and
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Predictive Accuracy And Modelling For Explanatory Power Essay
Through using R, we have created a set of models that help to predict the likelihood of a customer churning. By working together in the analysis
stage we were able to 'bounce' ideas off one another and grasp a further understanding of the data and customer churn. We created two different
models: modelling for predictive accuracy and modelling for explanatory power. What is our team structure? In the group we have four team
members that consists of three males and one female; Ryan Campion, Samuel O'Connell, Hunter Stewart, and myself, Hannah Lowe. We've all
worked really well together. Everyone has contributed and we have managed to meet the allocated times set to doing this assignment. There has
been no group issues, or any person putting in any less effort than the other. In the analysis stage we tackled it as a group: we didn't work as
individuals. We worked on one computer and used the lab work we had done prior to aid us with our models. The reason for this is that we were
confused slightly as how to read the models from the start; by discussing it with one another we were able to grasp a better concept of what we were
looking for. In the reporting stage we all worked independently, within our own time frame. There was a discussion on the findings from the data,
which is in our reports, but in our own words. The presentation was worked on collectively. I organised the parts that were to be discussed, these areas
were the distributed to other members. We all wrote
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Strategic Analysis For Strategic Foresight
Assignment Two: Future Studies
Scott L. Tousignant (4467911)
American Military University (EDMG560)
Dr. Randall Cuthbert
17 May 2015 Assignment Two: Future Studies This is a review of Thinking about the future: Guidelines for strategic foresight utilizing outside
materials to provide support. The paper will address the value of strategic forecasting to an organization. Drivers, change trajectories, and turning points
will be discussed. The role of theory in emergency management will be outlined. The paper will introduce the importance of strategic vision in relation
to a time continuum. Strategies is communicating strategic action plans will be reviewed.
Strategic Forecasting Strategic forecasting provides organizations the ability to prepare for long–term future events (Hines & Bishop, 2006). Businesses
utilize forecasting as part of their business plan. It assists in the growth and vision of the organization. A business plan can play an important part in the
success or failure of an organization. "Company strategies include influencing the environment to correspond to that used for forecasts. At the same
time, companies recognize that changing variables in the environment may influence forecasts" (Markgraf, n.d.). Forecasting is just as important in
crisis action planning.
Crisis Action Planning The benefit to strategic forecasting in crisis action planning is to provide a framework upon which planning can occur (Hines &
Bishop, 2006). Forecasting
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Modern Day Technology : What Kind Of Direct Effect Does...
Humans are first and foremost social creatures. Stay by yourself for any prolonged amount of time and you'll immediately see why. If there's
nothing left to occupy yourself with, your life may begin to seem mundane and insignificant. Humans crave social interactions and sense of
meaning. We all need a reason why we were born on this rock we call Earth. And this is precisely why your place in this world has such an impact
on who you are, and how you choose to live your life: your identity. Now, take this context and place it in the modern day, and try to find a primary
culprit for the biggest impact on social constructs and interactions. One of the most prevalent sculptors, many would argue (no matter where you go in
the world) is modern–day technology. Since technology impacts social constructs, and social constructs shape identity, what kind of direct effect does
technology play in the formation of identity and the place of the individual within society? This is the precise issue for which I hope to explain
throughout this essay, making and carefully analyzing predictions about how both current and future technology will impact one's sense of place.
Although the outlook on future technology is difficult to formulate and predict, I believe that technology (both current and future) will increase the
overall development of identity within the individual through the continued use of media and the increase of man's reign on technology. This will
ultimately result in a society
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David And Reckoners Book Report
Throughout this journal, one can predict that David will attempt to find a way to cure Epics of their corrupt nature, and that he will reunite with
Megan. Initially, there have been junctures in the book that have pointed to David wanting to figure out how to purify an Epic. An example of one
of these junctures is that he wants to be able to help Megan, his love interest and a High Epic, regain her humanity. At the end of the first book in the
series, Megan uses her Epic abilities to save David and the Reckoners, and as a result gives into the corruption of her mind that comes with using her
powers. From that point onward, David has been searching for a way to save her from her demoralization, as well as simultaneously trying to justify the
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The fact that these two characters are able to live peacefully with regular humans is proof that it is possible to have a pure Epic. This possibility
opens new ideas and opportunities for David, and encourages him to find a way to purify other so that he can make more like them. In addition to
Megan and the proven possibility of pure Epics, the idea of using uncorrupted Epics to fight corrupted ones supplies David with another incentive to
cure them. Now that the Reckoners have officially waged war against Epics with the slaying of Steelheart, they require more support and power if
they hope to win. Although they are a group of skilled assassins, they are also mortal, fragile humans, which gives Epics a distinct advantage.
However, if the Reckoners were able to recruit some Epics of their own, it would even the playing field. David contemplates the idea of gaining the
help of Epics one night, thinking that "if Newton or Obliteration weren't under the influence of their powers, would they help us like Edmund
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Shipping Patented By E Commerce Giant
Anticipatory shipping is a method of shipping patented by e–commerce giant Amazon in December 2013. During the normal shipping process, an
e–commerce retailer or goods manufacturer receives a customer order specifying the exact address where the product is to be delivered. The company
then prepares the package and hands it over to a shipping service provider such as FedEx for delivery. The delay of multiple days between order
placement and actual delivery is a major impediment to the wide acceptance of e–commerce. It forces e–commerce companies to offer incentives like
cash–on–delivery to their customers. Anticipatory shipping is aimed at cutting the delivery time and improving the experience for e–commerce users.
With this technique, a company will ship products even before an order is placed by a customer. It would specify only a partial address indicating
destination geographical area for delivery. While the packages are in transit, the company will employ advanced analytics and forecasting techniques to
predict which customers would want to buy the shipped products. Then it could use targeted marketing and sales promotions to induce such customers
to buy the products. If a customer indeed places an order, the company would provide exact delivery address to the shipping service provider and the
products could be delivered much quicker, even on the same day.
How a shipping network operates?
A shipping service provider picks the packages from the fulfillment centers of
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Entrepreneurial Research Paper
ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH PAPER: Page 1 Devry University, SBE 310 Kim Thayer Bruce Huang June 19, 2011 ENTREPRENEURIAL
RESEARCH PAPER: Page 2 TABLE OF CONTENT: Failure Introduction: ................................................ Page 3 and 4 Reason for Failure:
................................................... Page 5 and 6 Analysis: .................................................................... Page 7 and 8 Conclusion:
................................................................ Page 9 References: ................................................................. Page 10 ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH
PAPER: Page 3 Failure Introduction: The business I am writing about is been in the news recently due to a few closures of some of their restaurants.
Perkins &... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
With the economy being vastly poor in the United States it has caused many places to either cut back on businesses or even to close some doors
that they can not afford to run anymore. With the cost of fuel, it cost the restaurant more money to pay the truck drivers to deliver their supplies to
their restaurants. So by the owners having to increase this pay, they have to compensate other areas to adjust the cost and usually they end up
cutting back on employees or shutting down some companies and this is the action Perkins took in order to keep their bills paid and to keep most of
their restaurants open for business. According to the news release on June 13, 2011 that the Perkins & Marie Callender's Inc., has entered into a
reconstructuring support ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH PAPER: Page 6 Reason for Failure: agreement with holders of 100 percent of the
company's 14% Senior Secured Notes due 2013 and more than 80 percent of the company's 10% Senior Notes due 2013 pursuant to which the company
has agreed to implement a financial and operational restructuring that will rationalize the company's
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The Futile Pursuit of Happiness Essay
"The Futile Pursuit of Happiness"
When it comes to predicting how something will make you feel in the future, you will most likely be wrong. In the book Discovering Pop Culture,
edited by Anna Romasino, is the article "The Futile Pursuit of Happiness". In the article, author Jon Gertner talks about how people think certain things
bring them happiness but aren't as fulfilling as they may think. Gertner gives examples by writing about four men that have been questioning how
people predict what will make them happy and how they feel after it happens. Among these men are a psychology professor Daniel Gilbert, psychologist
Tim Wilson, economist George Loewenstein, and psychologist Daniel Kahneman. Gertner uses facts from scores of... Show more content on
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The article moves on to the term adaptation. Happiness is what motivates people to do things. "Our brains are not tying to be happy. Our brains
are trying to regulate us" (37). People are unable to realize that they are adapting so they don't connect that with their decisions. People will adapt,
but the point is that they dont realize that they will adapt. This goes back to people being unable to predict what will make them happy because
they don't realize that they can adapt to anything. People can also adapt to negative events no matter how much they think they can't. Gertner writes
about an interview he had with Gilbert about the death of a friend. Gilbert says that he can relate to everyone else by thinking that he will never get
over it and it will never get better. Even though he has feels this way, he remembers his research and how he will learn to adapt. Loewenstein's
research is about how people cannot predict how they will behave in certain situations. He explains that people act in a hot state when they are
anxious, brave or scared. On the other hand, people act in a cold state where they are calm and rational. "This empathy gap in thought and behavior––we
cannot seem to predict how we will behave in a hot state when we are in a cold state––affects happiness" (39). The experiment that Loewenstein did
was to find out how many people would dance in front of
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Predicting Behavior by Attitudes Essay
Predicting Behavior by Attitudes
Attitudes can be very complex, a product or service may be composed of many attributes or qualities some of which may be more important than
others to certain people. Furthermore, a persons decision to act on his or her attitude is affected by other factors, such as approval by family and
friends. For this reason, multiattribute models have been constructed and are extremely popular among marketing research.
Many models have been constructed but the most influential model is that of Fishbein 1973. The Fishbein multiattribute model argues that attitudes
can predict behaviour. It measures three components of attitude. Salient beliefs people have about an attitude ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net
...
In many cases knowledge of a person's attitude is not a very good predictor of behaviour. Many studies have obtained a very low correlation between
a person's reported attitude towards something and his or her actual behaviour towards it. (Wicker 1969). For, instance Stacey 1981 found only a small
correlation between attitudes and alcohol consumption. Furthermore, the model doesn't consider people's past behaviour, despite evidence that this is a
good predictor of future behaviour. (Bagozzi 1991). Previous performance of a behaviour helps to explain the extent of the person's actual behavioural
control in a particular situation. (Kashima et al 1992).
Following on from this criticism the Fishbein model was extended to improve its predictive ability. This revised version is the theory of reasoned
action (Azjen and Fishbein 1977) and assumes that behaviour is a function of the intention to perform that behaviour. This new model measures
behavioural intentions, recognising uncontrollable factors, and the power of other peoples influence. The subjective norm has been added to include
the effects of what we believe other people think we should do and also the
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The Neural Basis Of Conceptual Knowledge
Background: Although decades of neuroscience research has shed light on how the brain represents different types of information, far less is known
about the neural basis of conceptual knowledge. Early neuroscientist in the nineteenth century proposed that concepts are anchored to sensory and
motor experiences; however, there has been much disagreement ever since [old grant 15, 28]. This idea has gained momentum under the title of
'embodied' cognition [OLD grant 1]. In particular, the theory argues that over time our conceptual knowledge is refined and built upon by engaging
multiple sensory modalities. Later in development, previous concepts help anchor the instantiation of new memory instances. What this theory leaves
unclear is how the brain integrates more than one source of sensory information (i.e. supermodal information) to form a representation of a concept. The
brain contains entire areas of cortex that lie between sensory and motor areas that appear to be 'convergent zones', that is they bind information from
two or more modalities [3,7, 15, 24]. Thereafter, convergent zones then converge onto even higher cortices to form representations [13]. These
supermodal areas could help capture the similarities and differences between semantic categories, allowing one to understand the difference between a
'cat' and 'dog', due to differences in the objects attributes, despite their similarity as pets. Also unclear is if emotion effects the representation of a
concept, which
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
Specialty Toys Essay
Case Problem: Specialty Toys
Specialty Toys, Inc., sells a variety of new and innovative children's toys. Management learned that the preholiday season is the best time to introduce
a new toy, because many families use this time to look for new ideas for December holiday gifts. When Specialty discovers a new toy with good
market potential, it chooses an October market entry date.
In order to get toys in its stores by October, Specialty places one–time orders with its manufacturers in June or July of each year. Demand for children's
toys can be highly volatile. If a new toy catches on, a sense of shortage in the marketplace often increases the demand to high levels and large profits
can be realized. However, new toys can also flop, ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
The product management team asks you for an analysis of the stock–out probabilities for various order quantities, an estimate of the profit potential,
and to help make an order quantity recommendation. Specialty expects to sell Weather Teddy for $24 based on a cost of $16 per unit. If inventory
remains after the holiday season, Specialty will sell all surplus inventory for $5 per unit. After reviewing the sales history of similar products,
Specialty's senior sales forecaster predicted an expected demand of 20,000 units with a .95 probability that demand would be between 10,000 and
30,000 units.
Managerial Report
Prepare a managerial report that addresses the following issues and recommends an order quantity for the Weather Teddy product.
1.Use the sales forecaster's prediction to describe a normal probability distribution that can be used to approximate the demand distribution. Sketch the
distribution and show its mean and standard deviation.
2.Compute the probability of a stock–out for the order quantities suggested by members of the management team.
3.Compute the projected profit for the order quantities suggested by the management team under three scenarios: worst case in which sales = 10,000
units, most likely case in which sales = 20,000 units, and best case in which sales = 30,000 units.
4.Provide your own recommendation for an order quantity and note the associated profit projections. Provide a
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Article by Evan Dashevsky Analysis
When I started school, my goal was to be successful in my future before having children's. I'm 26 years old now and I still do not have children. So,
if " children born in 2014 may face far different set of issues" (Dashevsky, 2014) then me, it's a little scary to think what my child might be facing,
the longer I take to have one. Born in 1987, I already haven seen over the years things have changes in history. Now imagine when my children
arrive. If I had a child now, in 2045 they will be 31 and they will be affect by jobs, vehicles, nabobs, war, violence, illness, artificial intelligence, and
cyborgs. I do agree that there will be a "new stage of evolution "(Dashevsky, 2014), a new human evolution at that. If cyborgs and AI are made in the
future what job can my child have, none! I would think, that that majority of the people would be unemployed and things would be at low cost or
even free. No jobs then no money can be made to support the economy. It would devastate businesses and employment. Children being workers by
31 would have to adjust to new workforces by obtaining new abilities and travel to jobs in new companies. That would not help children build any
work ethics or even build a career for themselves. How would they engage their free time and support themselves. Not only that but when you work
and social with other people you build a character and a personality. It is difficult to imitate emotions and real movements. Retail jobs would be
obstructed due to
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
Essay about Minority Report
Minority Report is a 2002 science fiction film directed by renowned director Steven Spielberg and is set in the year 2054 in Washington, D. C. The
film revolves around an elite law enforcing squad; Precrime. The Precrime Division uses three genetically altered humans called Pre–Cogs whom
possesses special powers to see into the future and predict crimes beforehand. After each crime is foreseen and analyzed, Precrime police officers are
sent to the crime location to apprehend the future murderers and place them under arrest. The future murderers are then put into a sleep state with a
device called a "halo". Based on Minority Report, it suggests that humans are free willed beings and have the ability to alter the future that was ... Show
more content on Helpwriting.net ...
Before he was haloed, Anderton managed piece back the puzzle and finally knew who set him up and as of why he was targeted. The reason was
because he knew about Anne Lively who is Agatha's mother. Anne Lively, a former drug addict when she had Agatha, came back wanting her child
back, and Burgess had to kill her in order to keep Precrime viable since Agatha is the strongest among all three Pre–Cogs. Burgess had then set up
Anderton to cover up Anderton's knowledge about Anne Lively'smurder. Lara, Anderton's wife felt suspicious with Lamar so she visited Anderton and
got him out of his sleep. During the celebratory dinner for the Precrime program, Anderton calls Burgess and confronts him while the Pre–Cog's footage
of Lively's death is played for the guests. During the moment when Burgess was searching for Anderton, the Pre–Cogs predetermined that Burgess was
going to shoot and kill Anderton. As Burgess finds and draws a gun on Anderton, Anderton notes to Burgess the dilemma that he is in: either he can
shoot and kill Anderton, therefore signifying that Precrime is a well established and flawless division however by doing so he will become a
murderer himself, on the other hand he can spare Anderton's life, thus showing that Precrime is nothing but a failure. All the hard work that they had
all put in will go down the drain in the matter of seconds. As a result, Burgess decided to commit
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
Specific Predictive Prophecies Are One Of Daniel’S...
Specific predictive prophecies are one of Daniel's distinctive elements (Rogers, The Date of Daniel: Does it Matter?). But what is predictive
prophecy? Unlike the assumptions of some, not all prophecy foretells the future (Jackson, Principles of Bible Prophecy). It was frequently the case that
prophets would forthtell past or present events (Jackson). For a prophecy to qualify as predictive, it must meet certain qualifications. First, the prophecy
must be uttered significantly earlier than its fulfillment (Jackson). Second, the prophecy must contain specific details, not guesswork (Jackson). And
third, the prophecy must be exactly fulfilled (Jackson). Geisler adds that legitimate predictive prophecies must contain unusual events that the ... Show
more content on Helpwriting.net ...
However, Daniel addresses these four kingdoms elsewhere in his work, and the traditional identification of the four kingdoms is clear from a proper
interpretation of those texts (Dan. 7:2–8, 17; 8:3–8, 20–22; Archer, A Survey of Old Testament Introduction, 376
–78). Furthermore, Daniel does not
distinguish between the Median and Persian kingdoms (McDowell 22). His inspired interpretation of the handwriting on the wall depicts the Persians,
not the Medians, as the conquerors of Babylon (Dan. 5:28; McDowell 23). Even if Daniel was written in the second–century B.C., some of his
prophecies are still predictive since Rome was not a significant world power and Christ's kingdom was not yet established (Geisler 179; McDowell
24–25). Therefore, no logical reason exists to reject the predictive element of Daniel's four–kingdom prophecy. Another example of Daniel's predictive
element comes from the prophecies of the Grecian empire (Dan. 8:3–8, 20–22; 11:3–4). A sixth–century B.C. date for Daniel places him approximately
200 years or more before Alexander the Great began his conquests (Elwell 1: 50). The former prophecy accurately depicts Alexander's victory over the
Persian Empire between B.C. 334 to 331 (Walton 554). The latter prophecy vividly describes the partitioning of Alexander's mighty empire after his
death (554, 560). Additionally, Josephus preserves a tradition that records Jewish priests presented Alexander the Great with thebook of Daniel
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
Minority Report Research Paper
Minority Report
What's the best way to lower the homicide rate? By stopping homicides before they happen? At least that's what the precrime police thought. Neuroin, a
new drug introduced into society causes major birth defects in children of moms that use it. Many did not survive, but three were saved. They had an
unwanted gift though. They could successfully predict future homicides by visions they receive. These children, called precognitives or precogs, help
the department of precrime to completely stop murders in Washington D.C. for 6 years. The system was thought to be perfect, until a prevision was
seen predicting John Anderton, one of the heads of precrime, is predicted to kill someone he hasn't even met yet. John takes off to try ... Show more
content on Helpwriting.net ...
The security is higher, using a scan of the retina, which is more reliable than a fingerprint, a signature or a pin number. The computers are highly
advanced, no longer having touch screens, but projections that can be maneuvered by hand motions. Cars that drive themselves in the far future seem
much safer, and more convenient. Minimal crashes will occur, and a person could do other things instead of driving, say finishing a reaction paper...
Although the precrime was a good idea, it proved to be unreliable and manipulatable, the precrime police did decide to take it down in the end,
returning to more reasonable methods of fighting crime. With good always comes bad. I mean, how would we define what is good without the evil?
With the updated technologies came things like new, more detrimental drugs, and attempts to get around these new technologies. The removing or
replacing of eyeballs is an example of a retaliation to these new technologies. But, you have to expect people will find new ways to cheat the system
and get around new securities. The good, new technology overrides the bad things of society. Subsequently, I believe that the future society is better than
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
The Reality Of Television Series Essay
As one is watching their favorite television series, it is quite common for it to be interrupted with previews of new and upcoming shows. A particular
preview catches one's eye, so a mental note is made to watch the premier thinking that it will be great. The time finally arrives; the series premier.
Unfortunately, it ends up that the show isn't anything like what was anticipated. What happened? Strictly based on what was seen in the preview, it
was predicted that the new television show was going to be great. In many instances, however previews are just a glimpse into the whole picture, as a
way to get individuals motivated to watch. It wasn't until the actual premier of the show was watched that one had enough information to establish the
reality that it wasn't in line with what was predicted. Just like this example, predictions are made about individuals as well, some may actually fall in
line with what the reality is, yet some can just leave a perception which doesn't mean its reality.
Predictions about individuals can derive from various forms such as evidence, assumptions, or even ordinary information individuals have learned
throughout their lives (McLeod, 2008). Individuals can utilize these various forms for cultural and individual predictions about others which can be
based on appearance, behavior, stereotype, background, and family. From a cultural perspective, there have been predictions made about my beliefs,
values, thoughts, views, etc. For instance, one
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
Essay on Analysing the Cash Flow that a Business Might...
Analysing the cash flow problems that a business might experience
Cash flow problems can be caused by a variety of factors these problems can destabilize the amount of income which will prevent the payment of
liabilities that make a business function.
The main causes of cash flow problems are:
Low profits or (worse) losses
Over–investment in capacity
Too much stock
Allowing customers too much credit
Overtrading
Unexpected changes
Seasonal demand
Each point will be assessed in this document.
Low profits or (worse) losses
Profit and losses are the main points to be considered in a business because a business is run by the amount of profits they receive. If there is a dent in
profit then the business is not functioning ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
The business will have to choose other means to pay off their stock providers which will put the business in debt. Having stocks that can't be
liquidity will be problematic because the demand is not of that nature. This will show a negative on the cash forecast as they will not be making
profits. Everything must be accounted to their demands to make sure their stocks will sell which will overall be a disadvantage. Having stocks that
are on your hands for a long period of time can make the products obsolete and out of range which will then have to sell cheaper to other business.
Having too many stocks can be caused by buying in bulks because it makes the products cheaper but escalates the risk of not selling the products.
Allowing customers too much credit
Allowing your customers to have too much credit can be an issue but also can be good. It can be an issue to allow your customers to have over
exaggerated credit because this allows customers to buy products without paying for it on the date of purchase but to leave it for a future specified
date. This can be problematic because these can be calculated in the cash flow forecast without having the cash at hand but only predicting on the date
that has been set for payment. Some trade debtors may not choose to pay for their purchase at all. This will be problematic as you are
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
The National Council Licesure Examination for Registered...
The ultimate goal for many that attend nursing school is to sit for the NCLEX–RN, or National Council Licensure Examination for Registered Nurses.
This exam is taken once a students graduates from an accredited nursing school and wants to become licensed as a registered nurse. Often schools use
other tests during their programs as a predictor of student pass rates on the NCLEX–RN exam. The article "A Study of the Usefulness of the HESI
Exit Exam in Predicting NCLEX–RN Failure," the authors perform a study using a "retrospective descriptive, correlation design. Logistic regression
analysis was used to predict NCLEX–RN failure from Exit Exam scores." The research was trying to "investigate the reasons for the disparity between
our actual NCLEX–RN pass rate and the rate we expected based on our students Exit Exam scores." The survey of data was gathered from previous
students who attended a "large, single–purpose college of nursing in a large midwestern town," from January 2004 to July 2005. These students had all
taken the Health Education Systems, Inc. test (HESI) before finishing the nursing program, and prior to their NCLEX–RN exam. The HESI was used
to predetermine the students pass rates of the NCLEX–RN. No demographic information was used in the data collection. The data was collected using a
few different methods. The fist method was information gathered from a quarterly statement that was sent out by the states board of nursing. This
information
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The Possibilities of Technological Influences on Evolution
Introduction In humanity, as in all of life, the most successful traits in producing offspring will also become the most prevalent. There is a belief that
because we no longer fight for our survival, we will no longer evolve. Evolution, however, has no goal or foresight. Though we have seized the need
to fight, and have triumphed to the top of the animal food chain, we continue to change and develop by whatever is most successful for production.
This could be beneficial, but could also have detrimental effects. This paper will discuss these positive and negative possibilities, as well as how
technology could greatly alter our evolutionary path.
The Ideal of the Body
The initial future envisioned by the author was admittedly an ideal one. It's easy to imagine that without limit to food and shelter that would
otherwise inhibit our potential, we may become taller. History shows that this has long been the trend and humanity could perhaps come to a 6'5"
average, or even higher, but at this point much taller mates would likely cease to be attractive as we would be reaching our peak of structural stability.
Humans much taller than this would be over encumbered by their own density, and have inhibited walking capabilities (Fowler, 2006). Because of
this, the author predicted the possibility of an increasingly uniform height, as both very tall and shorter members of society are selected against. Large
amounts of body hair also tend to be chosen against and humans would likely
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Personalized Tag Recommendation For Support The Future...
5PERSONALIZED TAG RECOMMENDATION
In personalizing recommendation to support the future learning needs of learners, we used hybrid recommendation approach whereby
recommendations are based collaborative filtering (learning interest of other community members) and content–based filtering (previous learning
interest of individual learner). This section describes the procedure taken in predicting the future learning needs for each learner. Also, in this section we
examined the long and short term implications of using long and short term learning data in predicting future gaps in the knowledge of learners.
5.1Inferring User's Learning Interest
In order to personalize learning for each user we seek to first determine their indi–vidual learning interest by determining the tag class where their
interest lies and there–after determining the tag distributions represented in their learner model to determine their specific learning interest. In eliciting
the learning interest of individual learner, we inferred their long term and their short term learning interest. Questions asked from January 2009 to
December 2011 were used to infer their long term learning needs while questions asked within January 2014 to July 2014 were used to depict the
short term learning needs of the user. The specific learning interest of the learner in both long and short term was determined by mining all tags
employed in questions asked by the user in the long and short term time period. In determining
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The Signal And The Noise Book Report
The Signal and the Noise Why So Many Predictions Fail– but Some Don't is a book written by Nate Silver an American statistician and writer who
analyzes baseball and elections. The Signal and the Noise was published on September 27, 2012 in the United States after its first week in print it
reached the New York Times Best Sellers list as No. 12 for non–fiction hardback books. The Signal and the Noise opens with an Introduction that looks
at the rise of information availability over the past several centuries. It notes that though the increasing levels of information has lead to advantages in
many areas (such as boosting the economy), it has also increased the sheer amount of incorrect or misleading information (the 'noise') that exists in the
... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
In this chapter he talks about the swine flu 'epidemics' of the late seventies and of 2009 serve as an example of how extrapolation can lead to improper
predictions, particularly if you assume that things will keep proceeding as they have in the recent past. It notes that self–fulfilling and self–canceling
prophecies complicate the process of determining the future, by altering which directions the given traits proceed and altering their progress. The efforts
to change the progress of certain events, helping the good and thwarting the bad, mean that many traits change their course from their initial progress
(as when the swine flu outbreaks were stopped shortly after starting). Self–fulfilling predictions can be caused by the sheer act of releasing the
prediction. For example, when news about H1N1 flu is broadcast, more people go to doctors and more H1N1 is identified. Self–cancelling predictions
can also occur. Navigation systems show where the least traffic is but simultaneously invalidate the route by sending all traffic there en masse. Chapter
7 deals with the dangers of extrapolation and overly simplistic assumptions, using misfiring flu–predictions as an example. Also discussed here are
self–fulfilling and self–cancelling predictions. Often the very act of prediction can alter the way people behave (an observation that also John Adams
makes with regard to risk – a form of prediction, of course –
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The Design And Analysis Of Computer Experiments
Introduction
According to the case study, the design and analysis of computer experiments (DACE) were applied as a tool to identify the risks associated with
laser welding in an electronic welding process for developing the substrate product development effort. This process, DACE, used the computer
simulations to easily predict the stresses and warp of the sample with varying factor levels. The main advantage here is instead of making eight
different samples, the whole work was finishing with a computer, and it saves a lot of time and money.
In general, the DFSS project having two steps such as first to identifying critical parameters (Y's) that are strongly associated with success of the
project, as well as to identify the controllable ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
So, the team uses only 25–2 fractional factorial designs through computer simulations.
However, the team uses finite element analysis software along with DOE to predict two responses from each run such as the stress and the
deformation. In the case study, we observe the images that show the stress and deformation due to a temperature change. The high stress and
deformation areas are shown by the red color. The low stress and deformation areas are indicated by the dark blue color. At last the deformation of a
single layer was imported into MATLAB (a matrix computing environment) to calculate the radius of curvature or warp.
The immediate step in this sequential experimentation was enhancing the factorial experiment with a center point and star–points i.e. a central
composite design (CCD), fully explores the extremes of the factor levels. It goes beyond the +1/–1 levels to get a better understanding of the effects
the factors on the results. The CCD consisted of a center point and six–star points. The star points represent the +/– 2 alpha levels of the factors. Here
the dots are connected to one another through the center; the resulting shape is a star. There are six dots because there are two extreme cases for each
important factor. This analysis helps to provide a better understanding of the effects on results such
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The Characters In Monument 14 By Emmy Laybourne
I have gotten into and have finished the book Monument 14; it's by an outstanding author, named Emmy Laybourne. The book starts off with Dean's
mom telling him he needs to get on the bus. Dean rushes out his door to make sure he gets to the bus on time so that he doesn't miss it. The bus ride
starts off normal then large pieces of hailstones start to fall. The hail starts to destroy cars and ends up causing the bus to get into a remarkable wreck.
In this journal, I will be evaluating the character Dean, predicting future events, and connecting mental and personality traits. In the first main topic of
this journal, I will be evaluating the character Dean Grieber in the book Monument 14. The first thing you should know about Dean is that he is a 16
year old, and that he is a junior in High School. Dean is the protagonist and is the one who tries to keep everything in order and everyone safe. Dean
has a little brother named Alex but he hasn't been mentioned a whole lot yet in the book. He also has a crush on a girl who's name is Astrid which
is the first main female character that is introduced. He describes her saying that she is blonde and that she is an athletic person. Astrid is the camp
counselor and the kids at the camp thinks that she is an inspiring person. Earlier in the book a bit before the wreck involving the bus happens it is
said the Dean has type O blood, and that it affects him different from others. He has a notebook that he found in a store, and he likes
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
The And Its Impact On The Future
The man, a little being compared to the Universe, often feels threatened by wars, comets, natural phenomena and all those dates that contain
repeating numbers that seem to bring the end of the world, but truly the end comes? To this day, many predictions about the end of the world have
emerged, but none has come true, that is why it has always existed and will probably continue to exist that doubt about what will happen to the
world in the future. The end has been predicted by scientists, ancient civilizations, different religions, and many others. For example, Nostradamus
was one of the most famous scientists that wrote many prophecies and events about the future, his predictions are known worldwide and have
impacted societies; as him, there are other scientists such as Isaac Newton, Stephen Hawking, and Richard Noone. Moreover, the Mayans, an
ancient civilization, known as one of the most advanced civilizations in the field of mathematics, astronomy, physics and arts; they are also known
for predicting that the world would end of December 21, 2012. Perhaps, this was one of the most famous prophecies in recent times. Also, different
religions such as the Jehovah's Witnesses has predicted many times the end of the world. The impact of this topic is very well known, many people
have been influenced greatly. Even Hollywood have been carried away by those predictions and theories, creating movies such as "The day after
tomorrow" or "2012", where they show what would happen.
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
I Am Excited About The Big Picture
Hi Song,
I am really excited about the high ambition you are setting in for the team by aiming at expanding AI ventures toward multiple directions.
I gave further thought on the big picture. I have some application ideas in mind. But first, I would like to describe the core idea that would underlie all
the application and its innovative advantage, especially in comparison to other AI groups.
The main and unique idea that we will bring in is the representation of knowledge regarding general predictions. It is beyond the current trend toward
end–to–end training that stays agnostic about how knowledge is presented. Instead of blind compositionality through deep layers, we are interested in
deep layers meaningful questions, each of which can then be learned using the current deep–learning machinery. Slowly, the AI community is also
paying attention to prediction, but their approach is limited in several important ways:
1) In reinforcement learning, we have a powerful way of formulating semantically powerful, scalable and grounded predictive questions. In
conventional AI applications, questions are always about short–term fixed–time horizon sensory events. Predictive questions in reinforcement learning
can be about sensory events that occur in an indefinite horizon. The policy of the agent is almost always unspecified or implicitly specified, obscuring
the meaning of predictions. On the other hand, policies are always explicitly specified in reinforcement learning, allowing
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...

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A Utopian Society On A Small Remote

  • 1. A Utopian Society On A Small Remote Thousands and thousands of years from now in a time when humans no longer walk the Earth, how will future beings know what their role in this large, vacant world should be? An imperative message that future people must discover and obey shall be their only way of knowing what once was, and what soon shall be, as long as they don't mimic the actions of the Plutarch people. Future beings must heed the warnings of the Plutarch society and follow the guidelines set for them in this message, since the Plutarchs are the original reason for the conveyance of this fundamental message. In an attempt to create a utopian society on a small remote, biologically diverse island off the coast of Florida, the Plutarchs divided their people into three ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... Ultimately, malnutrition and an unsterile amount of scattered, decaying bodies rooted an epidemic of disease to attack the Plutarch people. Between the disease and war, two–thirds of the islanders were wiped out, and those who remained were compelled to turn on one another. With bone marrow and flesh still stuck between his teeth, the last Plutarch man eventually died of starvation, leaving the island at peace at last. Due to the Plutarchs, the once beautiful Plutarch island had disintegrated into a graveyard of soil and rotting body parts, with all vegetation and forestation destroyed. The Plutarchs illustrate exactly why the creation of message for future people will not only discourage them to perform the same mistakes this society once did by killing off their own people, but to not kill the Earth as well. For a message like this to last its encoding must be durable enough to withstand all overgrowth, destruction, and changes to the environment that may occur. That is why a message as important and vital as this must not only be engraved into a ceramic block, but encased in diamond as well. The diamond encasing of the message will not only serve as a protective barrier, but the diamond is also a clear transparent crystal, which would enable future people to see the message inside. With this intention, the message must first be engraved into the ceramic block with four sides to ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 2. Research And Development Teams May Not Be Based On... Research and development teams may or may not know the uncertainties behind or surround new technologies considering they are in the process of developing the product or service. It may try to resist attempts to quantify value; but on the other hand; the financial department would think otherwise, as it is evidence of woolly thinking. Of course, both sides are right in their own way. When a newly modern advanced product is near to completion, no company will proceed without detailed financial figures first. However, when an intriguing new idea is first generated, the decision to take it further should not and must not be based on financial calculations alone. Once future cash flows are forecast conservatively and cautiously and an appropriate discount rate is chosen, next the present value will be calculated. Managers should acknowledge that, in valuing an innovation project, there are not estimating the value of something that exists today but making a prediction of the performance and goodness that the new product or service will generate in the future. Leading companies treat the valuation and selection of innovation projects not as a single decision but as an incentive for the prognostication process, in which the prediction of value develops and improves over time. In a bit of ways it is comparable to weather forecasting, where the best way to predict the weather in an hour 's time is to go outside and look and the best way for a few days ahead is using computer ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 3. Artificial Neural Networks And Predictive Policing "Sir, please come with me, we deny your access to this building based on the data we received, and we need you to go through an interrogation with us." How would a person react if he/she is suspected to commit a crime? How would that person feel if the police just randomly show up and ask for the intention of whatever that makes him/her suspicious? This is what will happen, frequently, if artificial neural networks are used as a mean for predictive policing. First, just to clarify, predictive policing is seeking to prevent future harm and reduce crime rates by analyzing information and patrolling areas based on the result. The police are able to predict when, where, and what crime is likely to happen with the help of this emerging ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... People often think that if there's science that supports the systems, it would be accurate. However, the information the systems take in is not just at all. In order to support my argument, I want to point out that there are cases where colored people are in a disadvantage for more likely to be accused even though the white are doing the same thing. For instance, the police has always targeted more on black people than on white people on trafficking. Because the crimes that took place in the past are not in favored of black people, there are more cases against them. Therefore, the systems sort through the data and conclude that black people are more likely to commit the same type of crime, and suggesting the police put more attention on them. If the read–in information is not bias–free, how can the prediction be just to everyone? My second argument is that neural networks violate people's privacy when they collect information from social media or any other means without their consent. Although some predictive policing software only allow the police to predict the type, time, and location of a crime, other police systems are used without protecting people's right for privacy. Our data, posts, information, and pictures are being looked over by the predictive policing systems without us knowing or agreeing upon it. Therefore, it is not fair for the police to search our ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 4. Outline Of An Activity Using Magnetic Vocabulary Essay OBJECTIVES: Language: Students will be able to: Discuss an activity using magnetic vocabulary. Read step by step directions. Write observation in their journal. Content: Students will be able to: Preform a controlled investigation into magnetism. Compare experimental data. Record experimental results. LEARNING STRATEGIES: Journaling, Pictures, Brainstorming using a Mind Map, Small group activity,Prediction organizer, Choral reading of the instructions, Demonstration, Step–by–Step organizer, Reporter/Reader/Researcher, Flashcards KEY VOCABULARY: Predict; Iron; Extract (I'm assumingmagnet, attract, and repel are prior key vocabulary since they are midway through this unit on magnets.) MATERIAL: Textbook: Magnetic Magic for each student; giant magnets; different types of items like: paper clips, safety pins, steel nails, tooth chips, glass beads, and plastic buttons in paper bags for each group; mixing bowls, water, plastic robs with magnets attached for each group; and a different box of cereal for each group, laboratory instructions; graphic organizer: concept map, and data worksheet. MOTIVATION: (1)Begin by copying the objectives from the board on a new page in your science journal. (2)Copy the key vocabulary into your personal dictionary section within their science journals from the board. (3)Together read the objectives and the key vocabulary out loud while showing a picture of each term as the term is being stated. (4)Provide ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 5. My Future Essay Every since I was a young girl I have been always asked by, what do you wanna be when you grow up? I know some people that change their minds every week of what their future hold for them and how they are gonna live through it. The future is changing every second of our lives, everything single thing that we do affects what our future hold for us. All my life I have been determined on one thing in my life. I have always wanted to become a doctor no matter what. I know that there is nothing that is gonna change my mind about that. Technology has helped many people with what they do at their job, however it has also harmed their jobs also. All my life I have been in and out of hospitals. Every since I was born I had some problems that I had to face. Thanks to all the doctors that were there for me, that helped me become the girl that stands today, I get to live my life in peace. I had told myself from that day forward that I was gonna become a doctor or a nurse and help as many people as I can. I have always loved to help people in need. I hope that one day that I can save someone's life as someone saved mine.If I had to pick one role model that I looked up to ,I couldn't. That is because I admire and idolize every single nurse and doctor there is in this world that help keep people alive and safe every single day. I want to do many things in my future. As well as being a doctor who helps people, I want to live life and just be there. The future is ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 6. The Ranger 's Apprentice : The Royal Ranger I am reading the final book in the Ranger 's Apprentice: The Royal Ranger. In the book, Will has to take on an apprentice. She is the crown princes of Araluen, and the daughter of Will's best friends, Evanlyn and Horace. They want Will to take her on as an apprentice because of two reasons. Reason one, Will has become obsessed with hunting down the gang members who lead to his wife's, Alyss, death, and they hope that taking on an apprentice will help to get his mind of Alyssa 's death. Reason two is, Maddie, Evanlyn and Horace's daughter, has listening issues, and they hope life as a ranger 's apprentice will fix them. In this journal I will be predicting and characterizing. Within this book, I predict Maddie will stay a ranger, and that Will will be completely pulled out of his depression. To start with, I predict Maddie will want to stay a ranger and not go back to being a princess. The first piece of evidence, is her answer to Young Bob's question at Young Bob's ranch. This quote helps to explain what happened, "'There's never been a girl apprentice before,' he said. She nodded, 'I know.' 'So, how are you enjoying it? Do you like it?'... 'Yes. I am,' she said after a pause. She was surprised to find that she meant it" (Flanagan 156). This shows proves that she will stay a ranger over a princess. This proves this because she found life at Castle Araluen limited and restricting. As a ranger she found that her life is now much more unrestrictive. The second piece ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 7. Progression Of Technology Essay Progression of Technology Imagine a world with robots taking over and controlling the world. This is a major concern for many people. Technology is a continually growing industry and humans are frequently trying to improve it; the real question is do humans really want to progress or are we scared of what could happen if we go further? People seem to think this world is very technologically advanced. Technology has progressed in some aspects, but our society is at a stagnation and needs to progress technology to a higher level in order to compete in a globalized society. Technology has played a large role in my life. Ever since I can remember my household has had a television. A television was a huge technological accomplishment in our world; It was amazing to be able to see images on a screen that tell a story. The television is a type of entertainment, but it has been around for many years. When will something new come about? Another example of technology in my life is phones. Phones also have been around for a while but we, as a society began, to innovate and make phones smaller and more portable. This is innovation and advancement, however back in the 1960s people were able to contact each other through phones but they were not as mobile, compact, or prevalent. My point is technology has not had great advancement since the 20th century. I want to be able to tell my kids, when I have some, We used to never be able to do this or we did not have technology this. "The ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 8. Netflix Data Strategies Paper 3. I would choose entertainment industry to analyze data strategy. I would focus on production area. (For entertainment industry, that is content creation). In order to be more specific, I would take Netflix as an example to illustrate data strategy in entertainment industry. Netflix is an online video rental provider in United States. The company provides a large amount of DVDs for customers to choose. Customers can reach film and TV content by PC, TV, iPad and iPhone. Netflix has a service of recommendation. Customers of Netflix can rate the content by 1 point to 5 points. Netflix would storage these rating. Then use the rating to analyze customer`s taste and preference to do recommendation. Now, Netflix also start content creation. For ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... Netflix has a core advantage of digital media platform. As we all know Netflix is the world's largest online video rent service providers. There are more than 30 million behaviors in Netflix such pausing, playing back or forward. And Netflix customers provides 4 million ratings and 3 million search requests per day. Based on the platform, Netflix can monitor customer behavior of every visitors and users of Netflix in real time. Netflix has a large customer base of 27 million subscribers in the United States and 33 million in the world. More importantly, Netflix can have access to data and information about customers like to see what kind and style of film and TV content. I would recommend Netflix use Hadoop as data technology. Since Netflix is a digital media platform. The data may be come from different perspective and may real–time change all the day. Hadoop is able to store highly scalable data sets through inexpensive servers. Hadoop is effective in storage and dealing with data. Also, Hadoop provides faster data processing service that can save much time when need to deal with a large amount of data ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 9. Methodology Approach ( Combination ) Essay Methodology Approach (combination): 1.Case Study:This study will utilize a methodology more commonly called the mixed–method approach and will include the application of the "Case Study" technique. Planning and design fields heavily rely on the knowledge developed through individual case studies being cumulatively converted into prescriptive theories and paradigms. This technique is appropriate in that the process provides the means for quantitative comparative analysis with other airport sites, while also employing the qualitative collection from data instruments, which will gather firsthand knowledge of airport development, socio–demographic data, and land–use / spatial distribution growth. The focus on case studies or "best practices" is to understand the development process, including various planning, design and implementation stages involved in creating airport aerotropolis development. With that, some case study literature comes from sources other than peer–reviewed literature such as from projects, developers, city, or organizational websites / documents / news and although this is normal, this material will be researched thoroughly to assure data reliability and accuracy. Airport aerotropolis development(s) at national and global airports will be analyzed in respect to the economic clustering impact on–site and on the spatial layout in the urban proximity areas. 2.Qualitative Research / Interviews: Qualitative data / questionnaires / interviews with ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 10. Technology Has Changed The World In The Late 19th Century The late 19th century witnessed the marriage of science and industry that continues to this day. The development of technology, no longer strictly the realm of independent inventors was guided and financed by companies searching for new products. At the same time, technology became a part of everyday life, made the world a smaller place, and became a more important force in shaping European and world events. People in the 1890's held expectations for the future. In 1939, the World Fair, called "The World of Tomorrow" was held inNew York City. Flashes of genius by inventors working on their own birthed most of the dazzling discoveries of 1939. The inventors weren't striving for money or fame. They genuinely were looking for a way to ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... Technological advancements are made everyday. Yes, there is aWar on Terror, but it will eventually end. People are scared of what will happen in the future because of terrorism because it is so fresh in their minds. Organizations and countries are putting aside their differences and coming together to keep the world safe for all. The "superpowers" (the most powerful countries) have come to realize that working together for prosperity can be more successful than working against one another. Nearly every country in the world is a WTO (World Trade Organization) member, and none has resigned. Even China now seeks membership. With the many countries of the world working together, the thoughts and ideas of each separate country will come together. Technological advancements will be made together, creating not only separate, "okay" technologies, but great and powerful new ones. As cars and computers were showed in the World Fair in 1939, new technologies have been produced to upgrade and enhance each new product. One does not only have to have a car that runs on gasoline anymore, hybrid cars are now available, which run on electricity. One does not have to go home to use the computer anymore either. The Internet is available on cell phones, iPods, laptops, and personal pocket computers, like a Blackbury. More students are now going to college and getting a better education. Young adults are realizing the ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 11. Digital Media In Anticipatory Shipping DIGITIAL MEDIA: EMPOWERING CUSTOMERS AND FACILITATING MANAGERS FOR THE FUTURE "When you dream for it, you will get it" is an acclaimed quote of Walt Disney, which is considered as one of the best motivational quotes. "Search for it, you will get it" is what Amazon promises with its latest initiative, which is named as "Anticipatory Shipping". Anticipatory shipping is exactly what it sounds like: Products are shipped to your geographical vicinity before hand, and in some cases straight away to your door without you actually ordering them. With tremendous growth in technology, today there are innumerable techniques for companies to improve their offerings and thereby enhance their odds of garnering customer attention. Amazon, lately, has been the master in coupling their innovation with technological advancements. The outcome was revolutionary in terms of ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... Copyright Amazon anticipatory shipping patent. Role of Digital Media in Anticipatory Shipping: Gone are the days where marketers solely rely on TV or print media to market their products. In this digital world major part of advertisement budget is allocated to the digital media advertising. One may think this is the maximum extent to which a company can go to improve its market presence. But Amazon is undoubtedly way ahead in utilizing digital media for their research. A quintessential to that is the current idea of Anticipatory Shipping. Even though there are some loopholes in the whole idea the way they designed the whole structure of this delivery system is quiet fascinating. They have divided the whole model into two parts 1) Forecasting model 2) Shipping model Forecasting model: Forecasting model can be configured to forecast or predict customer demand for a given item. Forecasting model can be configured to predict aggregate demand for items as well as demand within particular geographical ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 12. Technology And Technology Essay The global dispute that centers on technology, ranging from basic machines to the internet of things, is a very broad one. To each person the use of electronics means something different, some despise the rate in which the world is turning to robots and some praise the idea of the world turning into the real life version of the movie "Back to The Future". If you walk around randomly asking questions about the future and technology, you are most definitely going to get a wide decree of answers. It seems though, as a unified decision that the world is in favor of such changes and will continue to move towards movies like "23". One of the many debatable topics about technology is the prospect of it taking away the need for labor as well as the need for skill. As the famous poet W. H. Auden wrote, "Machines are beneficial to the degree that they eliminate the need for labor, harmful to the degree that they eliminate the need for skill." However, does that make it a true statement? As I previously said, all answers differentiate between the eyes of the one beholding them. Therefore, the answer I will give you to this question, undoubtedly, comes from only my eyes. A person can agree or disagree in their understanding. Unbeknownst to most people, technology has been around much longer than we expect and the rate of these innovations actually coming to grips with the community is a slow one. While many scientists and engineers may be in the lab as we speak creating a robot, we ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 13. Why Demographic Trends Spell Trouble For China And Russia Introduction All around us there are forecasts predicting the future. Whether it's an article in Forbes entitled "Why Demographic Trends Spell Trouble For China And Russia – And Prosperity For US" predicting a prosperous economy for the United State and Canada in 2035 (Preston, 2015) or the CEO of Facebook Mark Zuckerberg at the F8 2016 Conference unveiling his roadmap on what Facebook would look like in 10 years (Buxton, 2016). Both are examples of prediction that use different forecast techniques to predict a future outcome. The article from Forbes, predicts a possible future due to demographic trends, whereas, Mark Zuckerberg forecasts a preferably or probable future due to advancements in technology. However, there are number of different forecasting techniques that are used today in business, government, and military to predict future outcomes. This paper looks at the different techniques for forecasting the future and how some futurists use these different techniques for predicting future trends, technologies, and events. Forecasting Methods First it must be noted, that no forecasting technique can be certain, however, they can come close to a possible, preferable, or probable future. Second, the further into the future the predictions the higher the uncertainty of the forecast (Gordon, 2009). The reason for greater uncertainty is the possible of a wild card or black swam event happening that would be a total surprise and have a major effect on the long term ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 14. Computer, Robotics, And Automation Are Driving More And... Computers, robotics, and automation are driving more and more of production. In turn this is leading to an enormous impact on the number and type of jobs. An Australian report released in June 2015 found that 40 per cent of the Australian workforce– or around 5 million jobs – are at high risk of being replaced by computers in the next 10–15 years. This backs up the Oxford Martin School's 2013 study finding 47 per cent of jobs in the United States are at risk of being automated using artificial intelligence. We need to move urgently from a discussion about protecting the jobs of today, to creating the jobs of the future.1 3.2 Commercialisation and innovation There are significant emerging opportunities and challenges for commercialisation and innovation resulting from technological changes to becoming a more sustainable, broad– based economy: Reducing the tyranny of distance, boosting trade and creating new business models but also promoting outsourcing of work overseas. Internationalising labour markets are expanding the skilled labour pool. Developing commercially functional goods and services from new technologies often takes a lot longer than expected. Leveraging clean technologies to improve sustainability. Fostering entrepreneurship and addressing constraints for Kiwi companies. Addressing slow uptake of new technology due to redundancy risks or ease of sticking with the status quo and supporting workforce mobility. Managing business change in a disruptive and ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 15. Predictive Accuracy And Modelling For Explanatory Power Essay Through using R, we have created a set of models that help to predict the likelihood of a customer churning. By working together in the analysis stage we were able to 'bounce' ideas off one another and grasp a further understanding of the data and customer churn. We created two different models: modelling for predictive accuracy and modelling for explanatory power. What is our team structure? In the group we have four team members that consists of three males and one female; Ryan Campion, Samuel O'Connell, Hunter Stewart, and myself, Hannah Lowe. We've all worked really well together. Everyone has contributed and we have managed to meet the allocated times set to doing this assignment. There has been no group issues, or any person putting in any less effort than the other. In the analysis stage we tackled it as a group: we didn't work as individuals. We worked on one computer and used the lab work we had done prior to aid us with our models. The reason for this is that we were confused slightly as how to read the models from the start; by discussing it with one another we were able to grasp a better concept of what we were looking for. In the reporting stage we all worked independently, within our own time frame. There was a discussion on the findings from the data, which is in our reports, but in our own words. The presentation was worked on collectively. I organised the parts that were to be discussed, these areas were the distributed to other members. We all wrote ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 16. Strategic Analysis For Strategic Foresight Assignment Two: Future Studies Scott L. Tousignant (4467911) American Military University (EDMG560) Dr. Randall Cuthbert 17 May 2015 Assignment Two: Future Studies This is a review of Thinking about the future: Guidelines for strategic foresight utilizing outside materials to provide support. The paper will address the value of strategic forecasting to an organization. Drivers, change trajectories, and turning points will be discussed. The role of theory in emergency management will be outlined. The paper will introduce the importance of strategic vision in relation to a time continuum. Strategies is communicating strategic action plans will be reviewed. Strategic Forecasting Strategic forecasting provides organizations the ability to prepare for long–term future events (Hines & Bishop, 2006). Businesses utilize forecasting as part of their business plan. It assists in the growth and vision of the organization. A business plan can play an important part in the success or failure of an organization. "Company strategies include influencing the environment to correspond to that used for forecasts. At the same time, companies recognize that changing variables in the environment may influence forecasts" (Markgraf, n.d.). Forecasting is just as important in crisis action planning. Crisis Action Planning The benefit to strategic forecasting in crisis action planning is to provide a framework upon which planning can occur (Hines & Bishop, 2006). Forecasting ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 17. Modern Day Technology : What Kind Of Direct Effect Does... Humans are first and foremost social creatures. Stay by yourself for any prolonged amount of time and you'll immediately see why. If there's nothing left to occupy yourself with, your life may begin to seem mundane and insignificant. Humans crave social interactions and sense of meaning. We all need a reason why we were born on this rock we call Earth. And this is precisely why your place in this world has such an impact on who you are, and how you choose to live your life: your identity. Now, take this context and place it in the modern day, and try to find a primary culprit for the biggest impact on social constructs and interactions. One of the most prevalent sculptors, many would argue (no matter where you go in the world) is modern–day technology. Since technology impacts social constructs, and social constructs shape identity, what kind of direct effect does technology play in the formation of identity and the place of the individual within society? This is the precise issue for which I hope to explain throughout this essay, making and carefully analyzing predictions about how both current and future technology will impact one's sense of place. Although the outlook on future technology is difficult to formulate and predict, I believe that technology (both current and future) will increase the overall development of identity within the individual through the continued use of media and the increase of man's reign on technology. This will ultimately result in a society ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 18. David And Reckoners Book Report Throughout this journal, one can predict that David will attempt to find a way to cure Epics of their corrupt nature, and that he will reunite with Megan. Initially, there have been junctures in the book that have pointed to David wanting to figure out how to purify an Epic. An example of one of these junctures is that he wants to be able to help Megan, his love interest and a High Epic, regain her humanity. At the end of the first book in the series, Megan uses her Epic abilities to save David and the Reckoners, and as a result gives into the corruption of her mind that comes with using her powers. From that point onward, David has been searching for a way to save her from her demoralization, as well as simultaneously trying to justify the ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... The fact that these two characters are able to live peacefully with regular humans is proof that it is possible to have a pure Epic. This possibility opens new ideas and opportunities for David, and encourages him to find a way to purify other so that he can make more like them. In addition to Megan and the proven possibility of pure Epics, the idea of using uncorrupted Epics to fight corrupted ones supplies David with another incentive to cure them. Now that the Reckoners have officially waged war against Epics with the slaying of Steelheart, they require more support and power if they hope to win. Although they are a group of skilled assassins, they are also mortal, fragile humans, which gives Epics a distinct advantage. However, if the Reckoners were able to recruit some Epics of their own, it would even the playing field. David contemplates the idea of gaining the help of Epics one night, thinking that "if Newton or Obliteration weren't under the influence of their powers, would they help us like Edmund ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 19. Shipping Patented By E Commerce Giant Anticipatory shipping is a method of shipping patented by e–commerce giant Amazon in December 2013. During the normal shipping process, an e–commerce retailer or goods manufacturer receives a customer order specifying the exact address where the product is to be delivered. The company then prepares the package and hands it over to a shipping service provider such as FedEx for delivery. The delay of multiple days between order placement and actual delivery is a major impediment to the wide acceptance of e–commerce. It forces e–commerce companies to offer incentives like cash–on–delivery to their customers. Anticipatory shipping is aimed at cutting the delivery time and improving the experience for e–commerce users. With this technique, a company will ship products even before an order is placed by a customer. It would specify only a partial address indicating destination geographical area for delivery. While the packages are in transit, the company will employ advanced analytics and forecasting techniques to predict which customers would want to buy the shipped products. Then it could use targeted marketing and sales promotions to induce such customers to buy the products. If a customer indeed places an order, the company would provide exact delivery address to the shipping service provider and the products could be delivered much quicker, even on the same day. How a shipping network operates? A shipping service provider picks the packages from the fulfillment centers of ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 20. Entrepreneurial Research Paper ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH PAPER: Page 1 Devry University, SBE 310 Kim Thayer Bruce Huang June 19, 2011 ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH PAPER: Page 2 TABLE OF CONTENT: Failure Introduction: ................................................ Page 3 and 4 Reason for Failure: ................................................... Page 5 and 6 Analysis: .................................................................... Page 7 and 8 Conclusion: ................................................................ Page 9 References: ................................................................. Page 10 ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH PAPER: Page 3 Failure Introduction: The business I am writing about is been in the news recently due to a few closures of some of their restaurants. Perkins &... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... With the economy being vastly poor in the United States it has caused many places to either cut back on businesses or even to close some doors that they can not afford to run anymore. With the cost of fuel, it cost the restaurant more money to pay the truck drivers to deliver their supplies to their restaurants. So by the owners having to increase this pay, they have to compensate other areas to adjust the cost and usually they end up cutting back on employees or shutting down some companies and this is the action Perkins took in order to keep their bills paid and to keep most of their restaurants open for business. According to the news release on June 13, 2011 that the Perkins & Marie Callender's Inc., has entered into a reconstructuring support ENTREPRENEURIAL RESEARCH PAPER: Page 6 Reason for Failure: agreement with holders of 100 percent of the company's 14% Senior Secured Notes due 2013 and more than 80 percent of the company's 10% Senior Notes due 2013 pursuant to which the company has agreed to implement a financial and operational restructuring that will rationalize the company's ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 21. The Futile Pursuit of Happiness Essay "The Futile Pursuit of Happiness" When it comes to predicting how something will make you feel in the future, you will most likely be wrong. In the book Discovering Pop Culture, edited by Anna Romasino, is the article "The Futile Pursuit of Happiness". In the article, author Jon Gertner talks about how people think certain things bring them happiness but aren't as fulfilling as they may think. Gertner gives examples by writing about four men that have been questioning how people predict what will make them happy and how they feel after it happens. Among these men are a psychology professor Daniel Gilbert, psychologist Tim Wilson, economist George Loewenstein, and psychologist Daniel Kahneman. Gertner uses facts from scores of... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... The article moves on to the term adaptation. Happiness is what motivates people to do things. "Our brains are not tying to be happy. Our brains are trying to regulate us" (37). People are unable to realize that they are adapting so they don't connect that with their decisions. People will adapt, but the point is that they dont realize that they will adapt. This goes back to people being unable to predict what will make them happy because they don't realize that they can adapt to anything. People can also adapt to negative events no matter how much they think they can't. Gertner writes about an interview he had with Gilbert about the death of a friend. Gilbert says that he can relate to everyone else by thinking that he will never get over it and it will never get better. Even though he has feels this way, he remembers his research and how he will learn to adapt. Loewenstein's research is about how people cannot predict how they will behave in certain situations. He explains that people act in a hot state when they are anxious, brave or scared. On the other hand, people act in a cold state where they are calm and rational. "This empathy gap in thought and behavior––we cannot seem to predict how we will behave in a hot state when we are in a cold state––affects happiness" (39). The experiment that Loewenstein did was to find out how many people would dance in front of ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 22. Predicting Behavior by Attitudes Essay Predicting Behavior by Attitudes Attitudes can be very complex, a product or service may be composed of many attributes or qualities some of which may be more important than others to certain people. Furthermore, a persons decision to act on his or her attitude is affected by other factors, such as approval by family and friends. For this reason, multiattribute models have been constructed and are extremely popular among marketing research. Many models have been constructed but the most influential model is that of Fishbein 1973. The Fishbein multiattribute model argues that attitudes can predict behaviour. It measures three components of attitude. Salient beliefs people have about an attitude ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... In many cases knowledge of a person's attitude is not a very good predictor of behaviour. Many studies have obtained a very low correlation between a person's reported attitude towards something and his or her actual behaviour towards it. (Wicker 1969). For, instance Stacey 1981 found only a small correlation between attitudes and alcohol consumption. Furthermore, the model doesn't consider people's past behaviour, despite evidence that this is a good predictor of future behaviour. (Bagozzi 1991). Previous performance of a behaviour helps to explain the extent of the person's actual behavioural control in a particular situation. (Kashima et al 1992). Following on from this criticism the Fishbein model was extended to improve its predictive ability. This revised version is the theory of reasoned action (Azjen and Fishbein 1977) and assumes that behaviour is a function of the intention to perform that behaviour. This new model measures behavioural intentions, recognising uncontrollable factors, and the power of other peoples influence. The subjective norm has been added to include the effects of what we believe other people think we should do and also the ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 23. The Neural Basis Of Conceptual Knowledge Background: Although decades of neuroscience research has shed light on how the brain represents different types of information, far less is known about the neural basis of conceptual knowledge. Early neuroscientist in the nineteenth century proposed that concepts are anchored to sensory and motor experiences; however, there has been much disagreement ever since [old grant 15, 28]. This idea has gained momentum under the title of 'embodied' cognition [OLD grant 1]. In particular, the theory argues that over time our conceptual knowledge is refined and built upon by engaging multiple sensory modalities. Later in development, previous concepts help anchor the instantiation of new memory instances. What this theory leaves unclear is how the brain integrates more than one source of sensory information (i.e. supermodal information) to form a representation of a concept. The brain contains entire areas of cortex that lie between sensory and motor areas that appear to be 'convergent zones', that is they bind information from two or more modalities [3,7, 15, 24]. Thereafter, convergent zones then converge onto even higher cortices to form representations [13]. These supermodal areas could help capture the similarities and differences between semantic categories, allowing one to understand the difference between a 'cat' and 'dog', due to differences in the objects attributes, despite their similarity as pets. Also unclear is if emotion effects the representation of a concept, which ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 24. Specialty Toys Essay Case Problem: Specialty Toys Specialty Toys, Inc., sells a variety of new and innovative children's toys. Management learned that the preholiday season is the best time to introduce a new toy, because many families use this time to look for new ideas for December holiday gifts. When Specialty discovers a new toy with good market potential, it chooses an October market entry date. In order to get toys in its stores by October, Specialty places one–time orders with its manufacturers in June or July of each year. Demand for children's toys can be highly volatile. If a new toy catches on, a sense of shortage in the marketplace often increases the demand to high levels and large profits can be realized. However, new toys can also flop, ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... The product management team asks you for an analysis of the stock–out probabilities for various order quantities, an estimate of the profit potential, and to help make an order quantity recommendation. Specialty expects to sell Weather Teddy for $24 based on a cost of $16 per unit. If inventory remains after the holiday season, Specialty will sell all surplus inventory for $5 per unit. After reviewing the sales history of similar products, Specialty's senior sales forecaster predicted an expected demand of 20,000 units with a .95 probability that demand would be between 10,000 and 30,000 units. Managerial Report Prepare a managerial report that addresses the following issues and recommends an order quantity for the Weather Teddy product. 1.Use the sales forecaster's prediction to describe a normal probability distribution that can be used to approximate the demand distribution. Sketch the distribution and show its mean and standard deviation. 2.Compute the probability of a stock–out for the order quantities suggested by members of the management team. 3.Compute the projected profit for the order quantities suggested by the management team under three scenarios: worst case in which sales = 10,000 units, most likely case in which sales = 20,000 units, and best case in which sales = 30,000 units. 4.Provide your own recommendation for an order quantity and note the associated profit projections. Provide a ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 25. Article by Evan Dashevsky Analysis When I started school, my goal was to be successful in my future before having children's. I'm 26 years old now and I still do not have children. So, if " children born in 2014 may face far different set of issues" (Dashevsky, 2014) then me, it's a little scary to think what my child might be facing, the longer I take to have one. Born in 1987, I already haven seen over the years things have changes in history. Now imagine when my children arrive. If I had a child now, in 2045 they will be 31 and they will be affect by jobs, vehicles, nabobs, war, violence, illness, artificial intelligence, and cyborgs. I do agree that there will be a "new stage of evolution "(Dashevsky, 2014), a new human evolution at that. If cyborgs and AI are made in the future what job can my child have, none! I would think, that that majority of the people would be unemployed and things would be at low cost or even free. No jobs then no money can be made to support the economy. It would devastate businesses and employment. Children being workers by 31 would have to adjust to new workforces by obtaining new abilities and travel to jobs in new companies. That would not help children build any work ethics or even build a career for themselves. How would they engage their free time and support themselves. Not only that but when you work and social with other people you build a character and a personality. It is difficult to imitate emotions and real movements. Retail jobs would be obstructed due to ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 26. Essay about Minority Report Minority Report is a 2002 science fiction film directed by renowned director Steven Spielberg and is set in the year 2054 in Washington, D. C. The film revolves around an elite law enforcing squad; Precrime. The Precrime Division uses three genetically altered humans called Pre–Cogs whom possesses special powers to see into the future and predict crimes beforehand. After each crime is foreseen and analyzed, Precrime police officers are sent to the crime location to apprehend the future murderers and place them under arrest. The future murderers are then put into a sleep state with a device called a "halo". Based on Minority Report, it suggests that humans are free willed beings and have the ability to alter the future that was ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... Before he was haloed, Anderton managed piece back the puzzle and finally knew who set him up and as of why he was targeted. The reason was because he knew about Anne Lively who is Agatha's mother. Anne Lively, a former drug addict when she had Agatha, came back wanting her child back, and Burgess had to kill her in order to keep Precrime viable since Agatha is the strongest among all three Pre–Cogs. Burgess had then set up Anderton to cover up Anderton's knowledge about Anne Lively'smurder. Lara, Anderton's wife felt suspicious with Lamar so she visited Anderton and got him out of his sleep. During the celebratory dinner for the Precrime program, Anderton calls Burgess and confronts him while the Pre–Cog's footage of Lively's death is played for the guests. During the moment when Burgess was searching for Anderton, the Pre–Cogs predetermined that Burgess was going to shoot and kill Anderton. As Burgess finds and draws a gun on Anderton, Anderton notes to Burgess the dilemma that he is in: either he can shoot and kill Anderton, therefore signifying that Precrime is a well established and flawless division however by doing so he will become a murderer himself, on the other hand he can spare Anderton's life, thus showing that Precrime is nothing but a failure. All the hard work that they had all put in will go down the drain in the matter of seconds. As a result, Burgess decided to commit ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 27. Specific Predictive Prophecies Are One Of Daniel’S... Specific predictive prophecies are one of Daniel's distinctive elements (Rogers, The Date of Daniel: Does it Matter?). But what is predictive prophecy? Unlike the assumptions of some, not all prophecy foretells the future (Jackson, Principles of Bible Prophecy). It was frequently the case that prophets would forthtell past or present events (Jackson). For a prophecy to qualify as predictive, it must meet certain qualifications. First, the prophecy must be uttered significantly earlier than its fulfillment (Jackson). Second, the prophecy must contain specific details, not guesswork (Jackson). And third, the prophecy must be exactly fulfilled (Jackson). Geisler adds that legitimate predictive prophecies must contain unusual events that the ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... However, Daniel addresses these four kingdoms elsewhere in his work, and the traditional identification of the four kingdoms is clear from a proper interpretation of those texts (Dan. 7:2–8, 17; 8:3–8, 20–22; Archer, A Survey of Old Testament Introduction, 376 –78). Furthermore, Daniel does not distinguish between the Median and Persian kingdoms (McDowell 22). His inspired interpretation of the handwriting on the wall depicts the Persians, not the Medians, as the conquerors of Babylon (Dan. 5:28; McDowell 23). Even if Daniel was written in the second–century B.C., some of his prophecies are still predictive since Rome was not a significant world power and Christ's kingdom was not yet established (Geisler 179; McDowell 24–25). Therefore, no logical reason exists to reject the predictive element of Daniel's four–kingdom prophecy. Another example of Daniel's predictive element comes from the prophecies of the Grecian empire (Dan. 8:3–8, 20–22; 11:3–4). A sixth–century B.C. date for Daniel places him approximately 200 years or more before Alexander the Great began his conquests (Elwell 1: 50). The former prophecy accurately depicts Alexander's victory over the Persian Empire between B.C. 334 to 331 (Walton 554). The latter prophecy vividly describes the partitioning of Alexander's mighty empire after his death (554, 560). Additionally, Josephus preserves a tradition that records Jewish priests presented Alexander the Great with thebook of Daniel ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 28. Minority Report Research Paper Minority Report What's the best way to lower the homicide rate? By stopping homicides before they happen? At least that's what the precrime police thought. Neuroin, a new drug introduced into society causes major birth defects in children of moms that use it. Many did not survive, but three were saved. They had an unwanted gift though. They could successfully predict future homicides by visions they receive. These children, called precognitives or precogs, help the department of precrime to completely stop murders in Washington D.C. for 6 years. The system was thought to be perfect, until a prevision was seen predicting John Anderton, one of the heads of precrime, is predicted to kill someone he hasn't even met yet. John takes off to try ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... The security is higher, using a scan of the retina, which is more reliable than a fingerprint, a signature or a pin number. The computers are highly advanced, no longer having touch screens, but projections that can be maneuvered by hand motions. Cars that drive themselves in the far future seem much safer, and more convenient. Minimal crashes will occur, and a person could do other things instead of driving, say finishing a reaction paper... Although the precrime was a good idea, it proved to be unreliable and manipulatable, the precrime police did decide to take it down in the end, returning to more reasonable methods of fighting crime. With good always comes bad. I mean, how would we define what is good without the evil? With the updated technologies came things like new, more detrimental drugs, and attempts to get around these new technologies. The removing or replacing of eyeballs is an example of a retaliation to these new technologies. But, you have to expect people will find new ways to cheat the system and get around new securities. The good, new technology overrides the bad things of society. Subsequently, I believe that the future society is better than ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 29. The Reality Of Television Series Essay As one is watching their favorite television series, it is quite common for it to be interrupted with previews of new and upcoming shows. A particular preview catches one's eye, so a mental note is made to watch the premier thinking that it will be great. The time finally arrives; the series premier. Unfortunately, it ends up that the show isn't anything like what was anticipated. What happened? Strictly based on what was seen in the preview, it was predicted that the new television show was going to be great. In many instances, however previews are just a glimpse into the whole picture, as a way to get individuals motivated to watch. It wasn't until the actual premier of the show was watched that one had enough information to establish the reality that it wasn't in line with what was predicted. Just like this example, predictions are made about individuals as well, some may actually fall in line with what the reality is, yet some can just leave a perception which doesn't mean its reality. Predictions about individuals can derive from various forms such as evidence, assumptions, or even ordinary information individuals have learned throughout their lives (McLeod, 2008). Individuals can utilize these various forms for cultural and individual predictions about others which can be based on appearance, behavior, stereotype, background, and family. From a cultural perspective, there have been predictions made about my beliefs, values, thoughts, views, etc. For instance, one ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 30. Essay on Analysing the Cash Flow that a Business Might... Analysing the cash flow problems that a business might experience Cash flow problems can be caused by a variety of factors these problems can destabilize the amount of income which will prevent the payment of liabilities that make a business function. The main causes of cash flow problems are: Low profits or (worse) losses Over–investment in capacity Too much stock Allowing customers too much credit Overtrading Unexpected changes Seasonal demand Each point will be assessed in this document. Low profits or (worse) losses Profit and losses are the main points to be considered in a business because a business is run by the amount of profits they receive. If there is a dent in profit then the business is not functioning ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... The business will have to choose other means to pay off their stock providers which will put the business in debt. Having stocks that can't be liquidity will be problematic because the demand is not of that nature. This will show a negative on the cash forecast as they will not be making profits. Everything must be accounted to their demands to make sure their stocks will sell which will overall be a disadvantage. Having stocks that are on your hands for a long period of time can make the products obsolete and out of range which will then have to sell cheaper to other business. Having too many stocks can be caused by buying in bulks because it makes the products cheaper but escalates the risk of not selling the products. Allowing customers too much credit Allowing your customers to have too much credit can be an issue but also can be good. It can be an issue to allow your customers to have over exaggerated credit because this allows customers to buy products without paying for it on the date of purchase but to leave it for a future specified date. This can be problematic because these can be calculated in the cash flow forecast without having the cash at hand but only predicting on the date that has been set for payment. Some trade debtors may not choose to pay for their purchase at all. This will be problematic as you are
  • 31. ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 32. The National Council Licesure Examination for Registered... The ultimate goal for many that attend nursing school is to sit for the NCLEX–RN, or National Council Licensure Examination for Registered Nurses. This exam is taken once a students graduates from an accredited nursing school and wants to become licensed as a registered nurse. Often schools use other tests during their programs as a predictor of student pass rates on the NCLEX–RN exam. The article "A Study of the Usefulness of the HESI Exit Exam in Predicting NCLEX–RN Failure," the authors perform a study using a "retrospective descriptive, correlation design. Logistic regression analysis was used to predict NCLEX–RN failure from Exit Exam scores." The research was trying to "investigate the reasons for the disparity between our actual NCLEX–RN pass rate and the rate we expected based on our students Exit Exam scores." The survey of data was gathered from previous students who attended a "large, single–purpose college of nursing in a large midwestern town," from January 2004 to July 2005. These students had all taken the Health Education Systems, Inc. test (HESI) before finishing the nursing program, and prior to their NCLEX–RN exam. The HESI was used to predetermine the students pass rates of the NCLEX–RN. No demographic information was used in the data collection. The data was collected using a few different methods. The fist method was information gathered from a quarterly statement that was sent out by the states board of nursing. This information ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 33. The Possibilities of Technological Influences on Evolution Introduction In humanity, as in all of life, the most successful traits in producing offspring will also become the most prevalent. There is a belief that because we no longer fight for our survival, we will no longer evolve. Evolution, however, has no goal or foresight. Though we have seized the need to fight, and have triumphed to the top of the animal food chain, we continue to change and develop by whatever is most successful for production. This could be beneficial, but could also have detrimental effects. This paper will discuss these positive and negative possibilities, as well as how technology could greatly alter our evolutionary path. The Ideal of the Body The initial future envisioned by the author was admittedly an ideal one. It's easy to imagine that without limit to food and shelter that would otherwise inhibit our potential, we may become taller. History shows that this has long been the trend and humanity could perhaps come to a 6'5" average, or even higher, but at this point much taller mates would likely cease to be attractive as we would be reaching our peak of structural stability. Humans much taller than this would be over encumbered by their own density, and have inhibited walking capabilities (Fowler, 2006). Because of this, the author predicted the possibility of an increasingly uniform height, as both very tall and shorter members of society are selected against. Large amounts of body hair also tend to be chosen against and humans would likely ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 34. Personalized Tag Recommendation For Support The Future... 5PERSONALIZED TAG RECOMMENDATION In personalizing recommendation to support the future learning needs of learners, we used hybrid recommendation approach whereby recommendations are based collaborative filtering (learning interest of other community members) and content–based filtering (previous learning interest of individual learner). This section describes the procedure taken in predicting the future learning needs for each learner. Also, in this section we examined the long and short term implications of using long and short term learning data in predicting future gaps in the knowledge of learners. 5.1Inferring User's Learning Interest In order to personalize learning for each user we seek to first determine their indi–vidual learning interest by determining the tag class where their interest lies and there–after determining the tag distributions represented in their learner model to determine their specific learning interest. In eliciting the learning interest of individual learner, we inferred their long term and their short term learning interest. Questions asked from January 2009 to December 2011 were used to infer their long term learning needs while questions asked within January 2014 to July 2014 were used to depict the short term learning needs of the user. The specific learning interest of the learner in both long and short term was determined by mining all tags employed in questions asked by the user in the long and short term time period. In determining ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 35. The Signal And The Noise Book Report The Signal and the Noise Why So Many Predictions Fail– but Some Don't is a book written by Nate Silver an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections. The Signal and the Noise was published on September 27, 2012 in the United States after its first week in print it reached the New York Times Best Sellers list as No. 12 for non–fiction hardback books. The Signal and the Noise opens with an Introduction that looks at the rise of information availability over the past several centuries. It notes that though the increasing levels of information has lead to advantages in many areas (such as boosting the economy), it has also increased the sheer amount of incorrect or misleading information (the 'noise') that exists in the ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... In this chapter he talks about the swine flu 'epidemics' of the late seventies and of 2009 serve as an example of how extrapolation can lead to improper predictions, particularly if you assume that things will keep proceeding as they have in the recent past. It notes that self–fulfilling and self–canceling prophecies complicate the process of determining the future, by altering which directions the given traits proceed and altering their progress. The efforts to change the progress of certain events, helping the good and thwarting the bad, mean that many traits change their course from their initial progress (as when the swine flu outbreaks were stopped shortly after starting). Self–fulfilling predictions can be caused by the sheer act of releasing the prediction. For example, when news about H1N1 flu is broadcast, more people go to doctors and more H1N1 is identified. Self–cancelling predictions can also occur. Navigation systems show where the least traffic is but simultaneously invalidate the route by sending all traffic there en masse. Chapter 7 deals with the dangers of extrapolation and overly simplistic assumptions, using misfiring flu–predictions as an example. Also discussed here are self–fulfilling and self–cancelling predictions. Often the very act of prediction can alter the way people behave (an observation that also John Adams makes with regard to risk – a form of prediction, of course – ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 36. The Design And Analysis Of Computer Experiments Introduction According to the case study, the design and analysis of computer experiments (DACE) were applied as a tool to identify the risks associated with laser welding in an electronic welding process for developing the substrate product development effort. This process, DACE, used the computer simulations to easily predict the stresses and warp of the sample with varying factor levels. The main advantage here is instead of making eight different samples, the whole work was finishing with a computer, and it saves a lot of time and money. In general, the DFSS project having two steps such as first to identifying critical parameters (Y's) that are strongly associated with success of the project, as well as to identify the controllable ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ... So, the team uses only 25–2 fractional factorial designs through computer simulations. However, the team uses finite element analysis software along with DOE to predict two responses from each run such as the stress and the deformation. In the case study, we observe the images that show the stress and deformation due to a temperature change. The high stress and deformation areas are shown by the red color. The low stress and deformation areas are indicated by the dark blue color. At last the deformation of a single layer was imported into MATLAB (a matrix computing environment) to calculate the radius of curvature or warp. The immediate step in this sequential experimentation was enhancing the factorial experiment with a center point and star–points i.e. a central composite design (CCD), fully explores the extremes of the factor levels. It goes beyond the +1/–1 levels to get a better understanding of the effects the factors on the results. The CCD consisted of a center point and six–star points. The star points represent the +/– 2 alpha levels of the factors. Here the dots are connected to one another through the center; the resulting shape is a star. There are six dots because there are two extreme cases for each important factor. This analysis helps to provide a better understanding of the effects on results such ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 37. The Characters In Monument 14 By Emmy Laybourne I have gotten into and have finished the book Monument 14; it's by an outstanding author, named Emmy Laybourne. The book starts off with Dean's mom telling him he needs to get on the bus. Dean rushes out his door to make sure he gets to the bus on time so that he doesn't miss it. The bus ride starts off normal then large pieces of hailstones start to fall. The hail starts to destroy cars and ends up causing the bus to get into a remarkable wreck. In this journal, I will be evaluating the character Dean, predicting future events, and connecting mental and personality traits. In the first main topic of this journal, I will be evaluating the character Dean Grieber in the book Monument 14. The first thing you should know about Dean is that he is a 16 year old, and that he is a junior in High School. Dean is the protagonist and is the one who tries to keep everything in order and everyone safe. Dean has a little brother named Alex but he hasn't been mentioned a whole lot yet in the book. He also has a crush on a girl who's name is Astrid which is the first main female character that is introduced. He describes her saying that she is blonde and that she is an athletic person. Astrid is the camp counselor and the kids at the camp thinks that she is an inspiring person. Earlier in the book a bit before the wreck involving the bus happens it is said the Dean has type O blood, and that it affects him different from others. He has a notebook that he found in a store, and he likes ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 38. The And Its Impact On The Future The man, a little being compared to the Universe, often feels threatened by wars, comets, natural phenomena and all those dates that contain repeating numbers that seem to bring the end of the world, but truly the end comes? To this day, many predictions about the end of the world have emerged, but none has come true, that is why it has always existed and will probably continue to exist that doubt about what will happen to the world in the future. The end has been predicted by scientists, ancient civilizations, different religions, and many others. For example, Nostradamus was one of the most famous scientists that wrote many prophecies and events about the future, his predictions are known worldwide and have impacted societies; as him, there are other scientists such as Isaac Newton, Stephen Hawking, and Richard Noone. Moreover, the Mayans, an ancient civilization, known as one of the most advanced civilizations in the field of mathematics, astronomy, physics and arts; they are also known for predicting that the world would end of December 21, 2012. Perhaps, this was one of the most famous prophecies in recent times. Also, different religions such as the Jehovah's Witnesses has predicted many times the end of the world. The impact of this topic is very well known, many people have been influenced greatly. Even Hollywood have been carried away by those predictions and theories, creating movies such as "The day after tomorrow" or "2012", where they show what would happen. ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...
  • 39. I Am Excited About The Big Picture Hi Song, I am really excited about the high ambition you are setting in for the team by aiming at expanding AI ventures toward multiple directions. I gave further thought on the big picture. I have some application ideas in mind. But first, I would like to describe the core idea that would underlie all the application and its innovative advantage, especially in comparison to other AI groups. The main and unique idea that we will bring in is the representation of knowledge regarding general predictions. It is beyond the current trend toward end–to–end training that stays agnostic about how knowledge is presented. Instead of blind compositionality through deep layers, we are interested in deep layers meaningful questions, each of which can then be learned using the current deep–learning machinery. Slowly, the AI community is also paying attention to prediction, but their approach is limited in several important ways: 1) In reinforcement learning, we have a powerful way of formulating semantically powerful, scalable and grounded predictive questions. In conventional AI applications, questions are always about short–term fixed–time horizon sensory events. Predictive questions in reinforcement learning can be about sensory events that occur in an indefinite horizon. The policy of the agent is almost always unspecified or implicitly specified, obscuring the meaning of predictions. On the other hand, policies are always explicitly specified in reinforcement learning, allowing ... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...