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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                         29th November 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                        Markets turning positive…
 BSE SENSEX                    18842.08             1.65
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5727.45             1.62      Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.                5732.05             1.58      markets witnessed a gap up opening, which also led to short
 India VIX                        13.96             -4.83     covering helping the markets move higher. Follow up buying
                                                              support was witnessed at higher levels, which helped the
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        markets to capitalize on morning gains. The markets
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        managed to hold on to the gains and did not show any signs
Support           5665          5554            5447          of weakness. The markets ended the day with moderate
Resistance        5747          5816            5885          gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for
                                                              the day were Bharti Airtel, JP Associates, BPCL, HDFC, Rel.
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         Infra, HDFC Bank, Sesa Goa, ITC, Ambuja Cements and
50 Day SMA                     5663.54        ◄Positive       Cipla.
100 Day SMA                    5472.96
200 Day SMA                    5331.06                        Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
                                                              higher volumes, which augurs well for the markets. The
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           prevailing technical positives continue to hold good and
Advances                            1745               784    would help the markets move further higher. The KST,
Declines                            1146               358    Stochastic and RSI all are placed above their respective
Same                                 126                 38   averages. The Nifty remains placed above its 100-day
Total                               3017             1180     SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA
A/D Ratio                        1.52 : 1          2.19 : 1
                                                              remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day
                                                              SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   These positive conditions would lead to regular bouts of
               27/11/12        26/11/12        % Chg.         short covering and buying support. However, the
BSE                    3129         2733            14.49
                                                              prevailing technical negative conditions still hold good
                                                              and would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The
NSE                    8710         6196            40.56
                                                              Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which
Total                 11839         8929            32.58
                                                              would lead to profit taking. Moreover, the MACD is
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   placed below its average. More so the MACD and KST
               27/11/12        26/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              are still placed in the negative territory, which warns of
                                                              impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed
BSE                  3257.13     2401.96            35.60
                                                              below its 50-day SMA, which is a short-term negative.
NSE              13502.37        9476.66            42.48
                                                              These negative conditions would lead to further selling
NSE F&O         205911.40 130858.19                 57.35     pressure. Though the +DI line has moved above the ADX
Total           222670.90 142736.81                 56.00     line and –DI line it is still placed below the 30 level. The
                                                              market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty has closed
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *
                                                              above its 50-day SMA. Now, it is important that the Nifty
               27/11/12        26/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              witnesses follow up buying support at higher levels for
Index Fut.           563008      268090            110.01     the Nifty to move higher and for buying support to
Stock Fut.        1285683       1029272             24.91     emerge. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Index Opt.        4939459       3039326             62.52     from the on going parliament session, where log-jam
Stock Opt.           385507      293008             31.57     continues to prevail, global markets, Rupee and the
Total             7173657       4629696             43.04     crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
                                                              5665, 5554, 5447 and 5421. The Nifty faces resistance at
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE
                                                              5747, 5816, 5885, 5910 and 5945 levels.

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                     Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop          Loss                     Target
       Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target         (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                          TGT of 1060
                                                                                                                          Achieved given
                                                                                                                          Buy @ 1030 on
AB Nuvo                  1052.10        Buy Above           1055      1035.00         1.90          1100          4.27    28/11/12
Ambuja Cements            205.60        Buy Above            206          202.40      1.75           214          3.88
Bata                      936.80        Buy Above            938          918.00      2.13           983          4.80
Century Textiles       399.50   Buy Above            401      394.50                  1.62           415          3.49
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                               Intra-day Resistance                           Intra-day Support
       Indices             Close           Pivot Point        R1       R2         R3                     S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    18842                 18774      18931         19020          19266        18685           18528    18281
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5727                5706          5754       5781           5857          5679           5631     5556
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                  5732                5709          5761       5790           5872          5680           5627     5546




                                              Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, Ambuja Cements, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Bata, Bharti Airtel, Bombay Dying,
Century Textiles, CESC, Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, Dr. Reddys, Exide, FT, Godrej Inds;; HDFC< HDFC bank, HOECL, HUL,
Idea, IDFC, India Infoline, Indusind Bank, Infosys Tech; ITC, JSW Steel, Karnataka Bank, Kotak Bank, McLeod Russel,
Orchid Chem, Pantaloon Retail, Petronet, PNB, Polaris, Raymond, RCOM; Rel. Capital, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, Sesa Goa,
Siemens, Sintex, Sterlite, Sun TV, Tata Comm; Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Titan, United Spirits, Videocon, Voltas, Wipro
Bhushan Steel, MRPL, NMDC, NTPC, Oil India, ONGC, Opto Circuit, Powergrid

                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 291112

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 29th November 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets turning positive… BSE SENSEX 18842.08 1.65 S&P CNX NIFTY 5727.45 1.62 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5732.05 1.58 markets witnessed a gap up opening, which also led to short India VIX 13.96 -4.83 covering helping the markets move higher. Follow up buying support was witnessed at higher levels, which helped the S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets to capitalize on morning gains. The markets Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 managed to hold on to the gains and did not show any signs Support 5665 5554 5447 of weakness. The markets ended the day with moderate Resistance 5747 5816 5885 gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Bharti Airtel, JP Associates, BPCL, HDFC, Rel. Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Infra, HDFC Bank, Sesa Goa, ITC, Ambuja Cements and 50 Day SMA 5663.54 ◄Positive Cipla. 100 Day SMA 5472.96 200 Day SMA 5331.06 Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst higher volumes, which augurs well for the markets. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE prevailing technical positives continue to hold good and Advances 1745 784 would help the markets move further higher. The KST, Declines 1146 358 Stochastic and RSI all are placed above their respective Same 126 38 averages. The Nifty remains placed above its 100-day Total 3017 1180 SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA A/D Ratio 1.52 : 1 2.19 : 1 remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. Volume (Lacs Shares) * These positive conditions would lead to regular bouts of 27/11/12 26/11/12 % Chg. short covering and buying support. However, the BSE 3129 2733 14.49 prevailing technical negative conditions still hold good and would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The NSE 8710 6196 40.56 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which Total 11839 8929 32.58 would lead to profit taking. Moreover, the MACD is Turnover ( ` Crores) * placed below its average. More so the MACD and KST 27/11/12 26/11/12 % Chg. are still placed in the negative territory, which warns of impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed BSE 3257.13 2401.96 35.60 below its 50-day SMA, which is a short-term negative. NSE 13502.37 9476.66 42.48 These negative conditions would lead to further selling NSE F&O 205911.40 130858.19 57.35 pressure. Though the +DI line has moved above the ADX Total 222670.90 142736.81 56.00 line and –DI line it is still placed below the 30 level. The market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty has closed F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * above its 50-day SMA. Now, it is important that the Nifty 27/11/12 26/11/12 % Chg. witnesses follow up buying support at higher levels for Index Fut. 563008 268090 110.01 the Nifty to move higher and for buying support to Stock Fut. 1285683 1029272 24.91 emerge. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Index Opt. 4939459 3039326 62.52 from the on going parliament session, where log-jam Stock Opt. 385507 293008 31.57 continues to prevail, global markets, Rupee and the Total 7173657 4629696 43.04 crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5665, 5554, 5447 and 5421. The Nifty faces resistance at NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE 5747, 5816, 5885, 5910 and 5945 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 1060 Achieved given Buy @ 1030 on AB Nuvo 1052.10 Buy Above 1055 1035.00 1.90 1100 4.27 28/11/12 Ambuja Cements 205.60 Buy Above 206 202.40 1.75 214 3.88 Bata 936.80 Buy Above 938 918.00 2.13 983 4.80 Century Textiles 399.50 Buy Above 401 394.50 1.62 415 3.49 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18842 18774 18931 19020 19266 18685 18528 18281 S&P CNX NIFTY 5727 5706 5754 5781 5857 5679 5631 5556 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5732 5709 5761 5790 5872 5680 5627 5546 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, Ambuja Cements, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Bata, Bharti Airtel, Bombay Dying, Century Textiles, CESC, Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, Dr. Reddys, Exide, FT, Godrej Inds;; HDFC< HDFC bank, HOECL, HUL, Idea, IDFC, India Infoline, Indusind Bank, Infosys Tech; ITC, JSW Steel, Karnataka Bank, Kotak Bank, McLeod Russel, Orchid Chem, Pantaloon Retail, Petronet, PNB, Polaris, Raymond, RCOM; Rel. Capital, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, Sesa Goa, Siemens, Sintex, Sterlite, Sun TV, Tata Comm; Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Titan, United Spirits, Videocon, Voltas, Wipro Bhushan Steel, MRPL, NMDC, NTPC, Oil India, ONGC, Opto Circuit, Powergrid Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com