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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                            15th January 2013
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                  Follow up buying support needed
 BSE SENSEX                    19906.41             1.23
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  6024.05             1.22
                                                              Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
                                                              markets witnessed a firm opening. Lower inflation data also
 NIFTY JAN 13 FUT.              6057.50             1.34
                                                              helped to perk up the sentiment. Buying support continued on
 India VIX                        13.70             3.55
                                                              the bourses leading to intermediate bouts of short covering.
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        The markets showed no signs of weakness but profit taking
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        was visible at higher levels. The markets ended the day with
Support           5966          5885            5816
                                                              moderate gains to close near the highs for the day. Nifty
                                                              managed to close above the psychologically important 6000
Resistance        6158          6313            6358
                                                              level. The top gainers for the day were DLF, ONGC, HCL
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         Tech; Jindal Steel, Infosys Tech, JP Associates , PNB,
50 Day SMA                     5825.74        ◄Positive       HDFC, Ambuja Cement and TCS.
100 Day SMA                    5686.35
                                                              Technically, the market breadth remained positive
200 Day SMA                    5419.20
                                                              amidst lower volumes. The Stochastic being placed in
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           the over sold zone helped the markets witness short
Advances                            1394               744
                                                              covering.    The Stochastic, RSI and KST have moved
Declines                             878               411
                                                              above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD is
                                                              already placed above its average. More so, the MACD
Same                                 735                 43
                                                              and KST are also placed in the positive territory. The
Total                               3007             1198
                                                              Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA
A/D Ratio                        1.59 : 1          1.81 : 1   and 200-day SMA. The Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the
                                                              later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These
               14/01/13        11/01/13        % Chg.
                                                              positive conditions would lead to buying support and
BSE                    2280         2839            -19.69
                                                              would further prompt short covering. However, the
NSE                    6706         7735            -13.31    second negative divergence pattern formed on the Nifty
Total                  8986       10574             -15.02    still holds good and remains a major concern for the
                                                              markets and would lead to selling pressure especially at
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   higher levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line is
               14/01/13        11/01/13        % Chg.         moving sideways; indicating range bound trend. The
BSE                  2280.41     2528.72             -9.82    market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important
NSE              12702.11       14022.85             -9.42    that the Nifty sustains above the psychologically
NSE F&O         134826.46 132850.86                   1.49    important 6000 level for it to move higher and test the
Total           149808.98 149402.43                   0.27    6135 resistance level. It is important that the markets
                                                              witness follow up buying support at higher levels. In the
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *              meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
               14/01/13        11/01/13        % Chg.         ongoing earnings season, global markets, Rupee and the
Index Fut.           305779      274500             11.39     crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5966,
Stock Fut.           505343      603406             -16.25    5885, 5816 and 5747. The Nifty faces resistance at 6158,
Index Opt.        3020799       2680833             12.68
                                                              6313 and 6358 levels.
Stock Opt.           498213      706017             -29.43
Total             4330134       4264756               3.10

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                  Stop
                                                  Initiation       Stop           Loss
      Stock            Close          Action        Price         Loss *           (%)           Target          Target (%)   Remarks
Allahabad Bank          182.50    Buy Above               183      179.75           1.78             190               3.83
Axis Bank             1386.10     Buy Above              1388     1369.00           1.37            1430               3.03
DLF                   247.20   Buy Above             249    241.25                  3.11             266               6.83
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                             Intra-day Resistance                           Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                   S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   19906               19848      20007      20108             20367        19747           19589     19329
S&P CNX NIFTY                  6024               6008          6053       6082           6157            5979         5933      5858
NIFTY JAN 13 FUT.              6058               6009          6033       6009           6009            6033         6009      6009




                                               Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Apollo Tyre, Axis Bank, Bank of India, Canara Bank, CESC, Dabur, DLF, HCL Tech;
HDFC, HDIL, hexaware, Idea, IFCI, Infosys Tech; NCC, ONGC, OBC, PNB, Rel. Comm; Sintex, Sobha, Sun TV, Syndicate
Bank, TCS, Tech Mahindra, Uniphos, Unitech, ZEEL
ACC, Arvind, Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Cairn India Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, Hotel Leela, JP Power, Kotak
Bank, Lupin, Maruti, McLeod Russel, Powergrid, Ranbaxy, REC, Sun Pharma, Tata Power, Ultreatech Cemco




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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    jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 150113

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 15th January 2013 Indices * Close % Chg. Follow up buying support needed BSE SENSEX 19906.41 1.23 S&P CNX NIFTY 6024.05 1.22 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic markets witnessed a firm opening. Lower inflation data also NIFTY JAN 13 FUT. 6057.50 1.34 helped to perk up the sentiment. Buying support continued on India VIX 13.70 3.55 the bourses leading to intermediate bouts of short covering. S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels The markets showed no signs of weakness but profit taking Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 was visible at higher levels. The markets ended the day with Support 5966 5885 5816 moderate gains to close near the highs for the day. Nifty managed to close above the psychologically important 6000 Resistance 6158 6313 6358 level. The top gainers for the day were DLF, ONGC, HCL Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Tech; Jindal Steel, Infosys Tech, JP Associates , PNB, 50 Day SMA 5825.74 ◄Positive HDFC, Ambuja Cement and TCS. 100 Day SMA 5686.35 Technically, the market breadth remained positive 200 Day SMA 5419.20 amidst lower volumes. The Stochastic being placed in Market Breadth * BSE NSE the over sold zone helped the markets witness short Advances 1394 744 covering. The Stochastic, RSI and KST have moved Declines 878 411 above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD is already placed above its average. More so, the MACD Same 735 43 and KST are also placed in the positive territory. The Total 3007 1198 Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA A/D Ratio 1.59 : 1 1.81 : 1 and 200-day SMA. The Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains Volume (Lacs Shares) * placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These 14/01/13 11/01/13 % Chg. positive conditions would lead to buying support and BSE 2280 2839 -19.69 would further prompt short covering. However, the NSE 6706 7735 -13.31 second negative divergence pattern formed on the Nifty Total 8986 10574 -15.02 still holds good and remains a major concern for the markets and would lead to selling pressure especially at Turnover ( ` Crores) * higher levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line is 14/01/13 11/01/13 % Chg. moving sideways; indicating range bound trend. The BSE 2280.41 2528.72 -9.82 market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important NSE 12702.11 14022.85 -9.42 that the Nifty sustains above the psychologically NSE F&O 134826.46 132850.86 1.49 important 6000 level for it to move higher and test the Total 149808.98 149402.43 0.27 6135 resistance level. It is important that the markets witness follow up buying support at higher levels. In the F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * meanwhile the markets would take cues from the 14/01/13 11/01/13 % Chg. ongoing earnings season, global markets, Rupee and the Index Fut. 305779 274500 11.39 crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5966, Stock Fut. 505343 603406 -16.25 5885, 5816 and 5747. The Nifty faces resistance at 6158, Index Opt. 3020799 2680833 12.68 6313 and 6358 levels. Stock Opt. 498213 706017 -29.43 Total 4330134 4264756 3.10 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target Target (%) Remarks Allahabad Bank 182.50 Buy Above 183 179.75 1.78 190 3.83 Axis Bank 1386.10 Buy Above 1388 1369.00 1.37 1430 3.03 DLF 247.20 Buy Above 249 241.25 3.11 266 6.83 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19906 19848 20007 20108 20367 19747 19589 19329 S&P CNX NIFTY 6024 6008 6053 6082 6157 5979 5933 5858 NIFTY JAN 13 FUT. 6058 6009 6033 6009 6009 6033 6009 6009 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Apollo Tyre, Axis Bank, Bank of India, Canara Bank, CESC, Dabur, DLF, HCL Tech; HDFC, HDIL, hexaware, Idea, IFCI, Infosys Tech; NCC, ONGC, OBC, PNB, Rel. Comm; Sintex, Sobha, Sun TV, Syndicate Bank, TCS, Tech Mahindra, Uniphos, Unitech, ZEEL ACC, Arvind, Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Cairn India Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, Hotel Leela, JP Power, Kotak Bank, Lupin, Maruti, McLeod Russel, Powergrid, Ranbaxy, REC, Sun Pharma, Tata Power, Ultreatech Cemco Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com