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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                 10th January 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 FEBRUARY 13) –
 09-Jan-13
                                                                   Gold opened lower at 30940 but managed to move higher to touch
 Expiry             5-Feb-13        5-Mar-13           21-Jan-13   an intra-day high of 31004. However, it failed to sustain higher and
 Open                 30,940             58,350            5,126   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30772. It ended the day
                                                                   with moderate losses to close at 30794.
 High                 31,004             58,398            5,142

 Low                  30,772             57,705            5,092   The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling
                                                                   pressure. .However, the Stochastic is still placed above its
 Close                30,794             57,970            5,106   average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The
 Prev. Close          30,974             58,470            5,120   +DI line, the -DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating
                                                                   a range bound trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916,3 1535,
 % Change             -0.58%             -0.86%          -0.27%
                                                                   31702 and 31790 while the support levels are placed at 30475,
Source – MCX                                                       30366, 30150 and 29607.

                    Volume (In 000's)                              MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
                                                                   Silver opened lower at 58350 but managed to move higher to touch
                    9-Jan-13            8-Jan-13         % Chg.    an intra-day high of 58398. However, it failed to sustain higher and
 Gold (gms)          32,204.0           30,106.0          6.97%    moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57705. It ended the day
                                                                   with moderate losses to close at 57970.
 Silver (kgs)         1,568.4            1,920.1        -18.32%

 Crude (bbl)         17,885.6           17,612.4          1.55%
                                                                   The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support. The +DI line, the -DI
Source – MCX                                                       line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                                                                   trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484 and 63224
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              while the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels.
                    9-Jan-13            8-Jan-13         % Chg.
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) –
Gold                994,560.5       930,851.6             6.84%    Crude opened higher at 5126 and moved further higher to touch an
                                                                   intra-day high of 5142. However, it failed to sustain higher and
Silver              910,901.6     1,119,216.9           -18.61%    moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5092. It ended the day
Crude               914,712.2       906,057.1             0.96%    with modest losses to close at 5106.
Source – MCX                                                       The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective
                                                                   averages. Moreover, both the RSI and Stochastic are also placed
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                          around the over bought zone. These negative technical conditions
                        10/01/2013        09/01/2013     % Chg.    would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line remains placed above
                                                                   the -DI line and is also placed above the 34 level, but has come off
Gold (oz)                   1,657.20        1,655.60      0.10%
                                                                   its recent highs indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. It
Silver (oz)                     30.39          30.24      0.50%    faces resistance at 5126, 5157 and 5300, while the supports are
WTI Crude (bbl)                 93.48          93.10      0.41%
                                                                   placed at 5085, 4989, 4788, 4755, and 4727.

Brent Crude (bbl)            111.87           111.76      0.10%    Positional Call – SELL MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13)             below
Dollar Index                    80.61          80.52      0.11%    5106, Stop Loss 5169 Target of 4975
Source – www.cmegroup.com
                                                                   Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
                                                                   Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                   Basis




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Gold gains on signs of demand in China
Gold today rose for a second day on signs of increased demand in China before the country's Lunar New Year that
starts next month. Gold rose by 0.3 per cent to 1,663.50 dollar an ounce. It reached 1,625.85 dollar on January 4, the
lowest since August 21. Silver also rose 0.3 per cent to 30.47 dollar an ounce.
Zinc futures down on subdued demand, global cues
Zinc futures prices today fell by 0.27 per cent to Rs 111.25 per kg amid sluggish domestic demand and a weak global
trend. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, zinc for delivery in January traded lower by 30 paise, or 0.27 per cent, to Rs
110.25 per kg, with a business turnover of 1,251 lots.
Lead futures soften on weak overseas trend, sluggish demand
Lead softened by 0.27 per cent to Rs 127 per kg in futures trade today after traders reduced their positions amid a
weak trend in base metals overseas and sluggish demand from battery-makers in the spot market. Market analysts
attributed the decline in lead futures prices to a weak trend in base metals after copper inventories at the London Metal
Exchange climbed to the highest level in 11 months, prompting concerns over the demand.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                 Thursday                           Friday                          Monday

    Regions                    10/13                             11/13                            14/13

     India                                            FX Reserves, USD (Jan 6)             WPI Inflation (Dec)

                                                       Industrial Output (Nov)

                                                        Manufacturing Output
                                                               (Nov)

                                                     Bank Loan Growth (Dec 23)

                       Wholesale Inventories
      US                                                 Trade Balance (Nov)               Fed's Evans Speech
                              (Nov)
                                                       Import Price Index (YoY)
                       30-Year Bond Auction
                                                                (Dec)




                                                       UK Industrial Production        Euro Industrial Production
    Global          China Trade Balance (Dec)
                                                             (MoM) (Nov)                   w.d.a. (YoY) (Nov)
                    BoE Interest Rate Decision         UK NIESR GDP Estimate
                             (Jan 10)                        (3M) (Dec)
                    Japan Trade Balance - BOP
                           Basis (Nov)




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 100113

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 10th January 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 FEBRUARY 13) – 09-Jan-13 Gold opened lower at 30940 but managed to move higher to touch Expiry 5-Feb-13 5-Mar-13 21-Jan-13 an intra-day high of 31004. However, it failed to sustain higher and Open 30,940 58,350 5,126 moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30772. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 30794. High 31,004 58,398 5,142 Low 30,772 57,705 5,092 The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling pressure. .However, the Stochastic is still placed above its Close 30,794 57,970 5,106 average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The Prev. Close 30,974 58,470 5,120 +DI line, the -DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916,3 1535, % Change -0.58% -0.86% -0.27% 31702 and 31790 while the support levels are placed at 30475, Source – MCX 30366, 30150 and 29607. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – Silver opened lower at 58350 but managed to move higher to touch 9-Jan-13 8-Jan-13 % Chg. an intra-day high of 58398. However, it failed to sustain higher and Gold (gms) 32,204.0 30,106.0 6.97% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57705. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 57970. Silver (kgs) 1,568.4 1,920.1 -18.32% Crude (bbl) 17,885.6 17,612.4 1.55% The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The +DI line, the -DI Source – MCX line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484 and 63224 Turnover (In Lacs) while the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels. 9-Jan-13 8-Jan-13 % Chg. MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) – Gold 994,560.5 930,851.6 6.84% Crude opened higher at 5126 and moved further higher to touch an intra-day high of 5142. However, it failed to sustain higher and Silver 910,901.6 1,119,216.9 -18.61% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5092. It ended the day Crude 914,712.2 906,057.1 0.96% with modest losses to close at 5106. Source – MCX The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective averages. Moreover, both the RSI and Stochastic are also placed Global Market (Nymex - $) around the over bought zone. These negative technical conditions 10/01/2013 09/01/2013 % Chg. would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line remains placed above the -DI line and is also placed above the 34 level, but has come off Gold (oz) 1,657.20 1,655.60 0.10% its recent highs indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. It Silver (oz) 30.39 30.24 0.50% faces resistance at 5126, 5157 and 5300, while the supports are WTI Crude (bbl) 93.48 93.10 0.41% placed at 5085, 4989, 4788, 4755, and 4727. Brent Crude (bbl) 111.87 111.76 0.10% Positional Call – SELL MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) below Dollar Index 80.61 80.52 0.11% 5106, Stop Loss 5169 Target of 4975 Source – www.cmegroup.com Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Gold gains on signs of demand in China Gold today rose for a second day on signs of increased demand in China before the country's Lunar New Year that starts next month. Gold rose by 0.3 per cent to 1,663.50 dollar an ounce. It reached 1,625.85 dollar on January 4, the lowest since August 21. Silver also rose 0.3 per cent to 30.47 dollar an ounce. Zinc futures down on subdued demand, global cues Zinc futures prices today fell by 0.27 per cent to Rs 111.25 per kg amid sluggish domestic demand and a weak global trend. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, zinc for delivery in January traded lower by 30 paise, or 0.27 per cent, to Rs 110.25 per kg, with a business turnover of 1,251 lots. Lead futures soften on weak overseas trend, sluggish demand Lead softened by 0.27 per cent to Rs 127 per kg in futures trade today after traders reduced their positions amid a weak trend in base metals overseas and sluggish demand from battery-makers in the spot market. Market analysts attributed the decline in lead futures prices to a weak trend in base metals after copper inventories at the London Metal Exchange climbed to the highest level in 11 months, prompting concerns over the demand. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Regions 10/13 11/13 14/13 India FX Reserves, USD (Jan 6) WPI Inflation (Dec) Industrial Output (Nov) Manufacturing Output (Nov) Bank Loan Growth (Dec 23) Wholesale Inventories US Trade Balance (Nov) Fed's Evans Speech (Nov) Import Price Index (YoY) 30-Year Bond Auction (Dec) UK Industrial Production Euro Industrial Production Global China Trade Balance (Dec) (MoM) (Nov) w.d.a. (YoY) (Nov) BoE Interest Rate Decision UK NIESR GDP Estimate (Jan 10) (3M) (Dec) Japan Trade Balance - BOP Basis (Nov) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com