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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                           5th December 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                           Markets extend gains
 BSE SENSEX                    19348.12             0.22
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5889.25             0.31
                                                              Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.                5923.65             0.20
                                                              markets witnessed a flat opening. However, the markets
 India VIX                        15.91             1.85      managed to move higher and tested the 5885 resistance
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        level but it failed to move above it and drifted lower profit
                                                              taking and selling pressure and touching a new intra-day low.
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3
                                                              However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to
Support           5885          5816            5747
                                                              move higher. The markets ended the day with marginal gains
Resistance        5912          5945            6135          to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         day were JP Associates, Tata Power, Reliance, Ranbaxy,
50 Day SMA                     5688.38        ◄Positive
                                                              Rel. Infra, Bank of Baroda, IDFC, Bajaj Auto, Lupin and ICICI
                                                              Bank.
100 Day SMA                    5495.39
200 Day SMA                    5339.79
                                                              Technically, the market breadth remained positive
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           amidst higher volumes, which augurs well for the
Advances                            1607               635
                                                              markets. The markets continued to consolidate as the
                                                              parliament debated on retail FDI. However, the prevailing
Declines                            1327               529
                                                              technical negative conditions continue to hold good. The
Same                                 127                 45
                                                              Stochastic is still placed below its average. Moreover,
Total                               3061             1209     the RSI and the Stochastic are placed in the over bought
A/D Ratio                        1.21 : 1          1.20 : 1   zone. These negative technical conditions would lead to
                                                              intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *
                                                              However, the prevailing positive technical conditions
               04/12/12        03/12/12        % Chg.
                                                              also hold valid and would support the markets at regular
BSE                    3029         2904              4.30    intervals. The MACD, KST and RSI all are placed above
NSE                    8503         8393              1.32    their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST
Total                 11532       11297               2.09    are placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains
                                                              placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
               04/12/12        03/12/12        % Chg.         above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later
BSE                  2940.27     2471.02            18.99     being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive
NSE              12569.40       12009.60              4.66    conditions would lead to further buying support. Though,
NSE F&O          86214.52       86999.53             -0.90    the +DI line is placed above the 35 level, it has come off
Total           101724.19 101480.15                   0.24
                                                              its recent highs and is moving lower, indicating buyers
                                                              are booking profits regularly. The market sentiment
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *              remains upbeat as Nifty nears has closed above the 5885
               04/12/12        03/12/12        % Chg.         resistance level. Now, it is important that the Nifty
Index Fut.           206571      208254              -0.81    witnesses follow up buying support at higher levels for
Stock Fut.           523214      488124               7.19
                                                              the Nifty to test the 5912-5945 resistance levels. In the
                                                              meanwhile the markets would take cues from the on
Index Opt.        1918148       2019926              -5.04
                                                              going parliament session, global markets, Rupee and the
Stock Opt.           245698      214215             14.70
                                                              crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Total             2893631       2930519              -2.40    5885, 5816, 5747 and 5665. The Nifty faces resistance at
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE                                 5910, 5945 and 6135 levels.

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                 Stop
                                                     Initiation       Stop       Loss                     Target
      Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *       (%)       Target         (%)          Remarks
                                                                                                                     TGT of 199
                                                                                                                     Achieved given
                                                                                                                     Buy @ 188.50
Aurobindo Pharma         197.60        Buy Above           199.00                100.00         205          3.02    on 03/12/12
Canara Bank              472.90        Buy Above           474.00                100.00         490          3.38
Godrej Inds            314.95   Buy Above         316.00                         100.00         328          3.80
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                Intra-day Resistance                      Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   19348                 19329       19393     19439          19549        19283          19218    19108
S&P CNX NIFTY                   5889                5881          5903    5917           5953         5867           5845     5809
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                 5924                5915          5937    5951           5987         5901           5879     5843




                                             Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, Adani Ports, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Aurobindo Pharma, Canara Bank, Godrej Inds, Havells, HDIL, ICICI
Bank, IDBI, IDEA, IFCI, Indian Overseas Bank, IVRCL, JP Associates, JP Power, JSW Steel, LIC Hsg; MRF, Powergrid,
Ranbaxy, Reliance, Rel. Infra, SBI, SCI, Siemens, SIB; Sun TV, Tata Chem; Tata Power, UCO Bank, Unitech, Voltas, Yes
Bank, ZEEL
Karnataka Bank, L&T, NTpC, Syndicate Bank, Wipro



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 051212

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 5th December 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets extend gains BSE SENSEX 19348.12 0.22 S&P CNX NIFTY 5889.25 0.31 Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues the domestic NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5923.65 0.20 markets witnessed a flat opening. However, the markets India VIX 15.91 1.85 managed to move higher and tested the 5885 resistance S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels level but it failed to move above it and drifted lower profit taking and selling pressure and touching a new intra-day low. Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels to Support 5885 5816 5747 move higher. The markets ended the day with marginal gains Resistance 5912 5945 6135 to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY day were JP Associates, Tata Power, Reliance, Ranbaxy, 50 Day SMA 5688.38 ◄Positive Rel. Infra, Bank of Baroda, IDFC, Bajaj Auto, Lupin and ICICI Bank. 100 Day SMA 5495.39 200 Day SMA 5339.79 Technically, the market breadth remained positive Market Breadth * BSE NSE amidst higher volumes, which augurs well for the Advances 1607 635 markets. The markets continued to consolidate as the parliament debated on retail FDI. However, the prevailing Declines 1327 529 technical negative conditions continue to hold good. The Same 127 45 Stochastic is still placed below its average. Moreover, Total 3061 1209 the RSI and the Stochastic are placed in the over bought A/D Ratio 1.21 : 1 1.20 : 1 zone. These negative technical conditions would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. Volume (Lacs Shares) * However, the prevailing positive technical conditions 04/12/12 03/12/12 % Chg. also hold valid and would support the markets at regular BSE 3029 2904 4.30 intervals. The MACD, KST and RSI all are placed above NSE 8503 8393 1.32 their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST Total 11532 11297 2.09 are placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed 04/12/12 03/12/12 % Chg. above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later BSE 2940.27 2471.02 18.99 being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive NSE 12569.40 12009.60 4.66 conditions would lead to further buying support. Though, NSE F&O 86214.52 86999.53 -0.90 the +DI line is placed above the 35 level, it has come off Total 101724.19 101480.15 0.24 its recent highs and is moving lower, indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. The market sentiment F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * remains upbeat as Nifty nears has closed above the 5885 04/12/12 03/12/12 % Chg. resistance level. Now, it is important that the Nifty Index Fut. 206571 208254 -0.81 witnesses follow up buying support at higher levels for Stock Fut. 523214 488124 7.19 the Nifty to test the 5912-5945 resistance levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the on Index Opt. 1918148 2019926 -5.04 going parliament session, global markets, Rupee and the Stock Opt. 245698 214215 14.70 crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Total 2893631 2930519 -2.40 5885, 5816, 5747 and 5665. The Nifty faces resistance at NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE 5910, 5945 and 6135 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 199 Achieved given Buy @ 188.50 Aurobindo Pharma 197.60 Buy Above 199.00 100.00 205 3.02 on 03/12/12 Canara Bank 472.90 Buy Above 474.00 100.00 490 3.38 Godrej Inds 314.95 Buy Above 316.00 100.00 328 3.80 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19348 19329 19393 19439 19549 19283 19218 19108 S&P CNX NIFTY 5889 5881 5903 5917 5953 5867 5845 5809 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5924 5915 5937 5951 5987 5901 5879 5843 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, Adani Ports, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Aurobindo Pharma, Canara Bank, Godrej Inds, Havells, HDIL, ICICI Bank, IDBI, IDEA, IFCI, Indian Overseas Bank, IVRCL, JP Associates, JP Power, JSW Steel, LIC Hsg; MRF, Powergrid, Ranbaxy, Reliance, Rel. Infra, SBI, SCI, Siemens, SIB; Sun TV, Tata Chem; Tata Power, UCO Bank, Unitech, Voltas, Yes Bank, ZEEL Karnataka Bank, L&T, NTpC, Syndicate Bank, Wipro Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com