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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                         26th September 2012
         Indices *              Close         % Chg.                   Rally stalls, Correction to unfold
 BSE SENSEX                    18694.41         0.11
 S&P CNX NIFTY                 5673.90          0.08          Mirroring the weak Asian market cues the domestic markets
 NIFTY SEPT. FUT.              5683.00          0.02          witnessed a flat opening. Sustained selling pressure as
 India VIX                      17.11           -9.13         witnessed in the morning trade as markets traded with losses
                                                              but managed to take support above the 5630 level. The
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        markets managed to come off the lows for the day and
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        moved higher to erase all the losses. However, follow up
Support           5630          5607            5526          buying support failed to materialize on a sustainable basis
Resistance        5703          5741            5884          The markets ended the day on a flat note to close near the
                                                              highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Kotak
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         Bank, BHEL, HUL, Cipla, ITC, Ranbaxy, Grasim, HDFC,
50 Day SMA                     5331.89                        BPCL and IDFC.
100 Day SMA                    5198.04
200 Day SMA                    5171.81        ◄Critical
                                                              Technically, the market breadth remained positive,
                                                              amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           markets. The global market cues are weak. The domestic
Advances                            1552                777   markets are likely to witness a negative opening. The
Declines                            1325                706   prevailing technical negatives continued to trigger profit
Same                                 133                 96
                                                              taking and selling pressure. The Stochastic and the RSI
                                                              are still placed in the over bought zone, which would
Total                               3010             1579
                                                              lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. However, the
A/D Ratio                        1.17 : 1          1.10 : 1
                                                              positive technical conditions continued to hold good.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   The Stochastic has moved above its average. More over,
               25/09/12        24/09/12        % Chg.
                                                              the MACD, RSI and KST all are still placed above their
                                                              respective averages. More so the KST and MACD are
BSE                    2917         2863              1.89
                                                              placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains placed
NSE                   10790       10387               3.88
                                                              above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
Total                 13707       13250               3.45    More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being
                                                              called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive
               25/09/12        24/09/12        % Chg.
                                                              conditions would lead to further buying support. The
BSE                  3441.74     2868.46            19.99
                                                              ADX line and +DI line are moving lower, indicating
NSE              19884.65       16081.54            23.65     buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. The
NSE F&O         191691.98 171549.22                 11.74     market sentiment remains positive but intermediate
Total           215018.37 190499.22                 12.87     bouts of volatility would be witnessed due to derivative
                                                              segment expiry. In the meanwhile the markets would
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *              take cues from global markets, Rupee and the crude
               25/09/12        24/09/12        % Chg.         prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5630, 5607,
Index Fut.           581156      433163             34.17     5526, and 5448. The Nifty faces resistance at 5703, 5741
Stock Fut.        1223291       1014969             20.52     and 5884 levels.
Index Opt.        4537736       4151994               9.29
Stock Opt.           329793      394262             -16.35
Total             6671976       5994388               5.36

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation         Stop     Loss                   Target
         Stock            Close       Action       Price             Loss *     (%)      Target        (%)              Remarks
 Asian Paints             137.85     Buy Above             139       135.40      2.59        147          5.76
 Bombay Dying             504.45     Buy Above            506        495.00      2.17        530          4.74
  Century Textiles       359.70 Buy Above              362    356.00             1.66        375          3.59
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                     Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close        Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3              S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  18694              18707       18778       18861       19015          18624        18553        18399
S&P CNX NIFTY                 5674               5676       5700        5727          5777         5650          5626        5576
NIFTY SEPT. FUT.              5683               5685       5707        5732          5778         5660          5638        5591




                                           Stocks To Watch Out Today
Aurobindo Pharma, Arvind, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Century Textiles, Crompton Greaves, Godej iInds; HDFC Bk; HDIL, HPCL,
IDFC, JSW Energy, Kotak Bank, LIC Hsg; M&M, Mphasis, NHPC, OFSS, Pantaloon Retail, Raymond, Rel. Comm; Tech
Mahindra, Titan, TTK Prestige, Titan, Unitech, United Spirits, VIP
Hexzware, HOECL, India Infoline, McLeod Russel, NMDC, NTPC, Oil India, ONGC, Powergrid, South Indian Bank, Tata
Chemicals, Tata Coffee




                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 260912

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 26th September 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Rally stalls, Correction to unfold BSE SENSEX 18694.41 0.11 S&P CNX NIFTY 5673.90 0.08 Mirroring the weak Asian market cues the domestic markets NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5683.00 0.02 witnessed a flat opening. Sustained selling pressure as India VIX 17.11 -9.13 witnessed in the morning trade as markets traded with losses but managed to take support above the 5630 level. The S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets managed to come off the lows for the day and Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 moved higher to erase all the losses. However, follow up Support 5630 5607 5526 buying support failed to materialize on a sustainable basis Resistance 5703 5741 5884 The markets ended the day on a flat note to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Kotak Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Bank, BHEL, HUL, Cipla, ITC, Ranbaxy, Grasim, HDFC, 50 Day SMA 5331.89 BPCL and IDFC. 100 Day SMA 5198.04 200 Day SMA 5171.81 ◄Critical Technically, the market breadth remained positive, amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the Market Breadth * BSE NSE markets. The global market cues are weak. The domestic Advances 1552 777 markets are likely to witness a negative opening. The Declines 1325 706 prevailing technical negatives continued to trigger profit Same 133 96 taking and selling pressure. The Stochastic and the RSI are still placed in the over bought zone, which would Total 3010 1579 lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. However, the A/D Ratio 1.17 : 1 1.10 : 1 positive technical conditions continued to hold good. Volume (Lacs Shares) * The Stochastic has moved above its average. More over, 25/09/12 24/09/12 % Chg. the MACD, RSI and KST all are still placed above their respective averages. More so the KST and MACD are BSE 2917 2863 1.89 placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains placed NSE 10790 10387 3.88 above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Total 13707 13250 3.45 More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Turnover ( ` Crores) * Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive 25/09/12 24/09/12 % Chg. conditions would lead to further buying support. The BSE 3441.74 2868.46 19.99 ADX line and +DI line are moving lower, indicating NSE 19884.65 16081.54 23.65 buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. The NSE F&O 191691.98 171549.22 11.74 market sentiment remains positive but intermediate Total 215018.37 190499.22 12.87 bouts of volatility would be witnessed due to derivative segment expiry. In the meanwhile the markets would F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * take cues from global markets, Rupee and the crude 25/09/12 24/09/12 % Chg. prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5630, 5607, Index Fut. 581156 433163 34.17 5526, and 5448. The Nifty faces resistance at 5703, 5741 Stock Fut. 1223291 1014969 20.52 and 5884 levels. Index Opt. 4537736 4151994 9.29 Stock Opt. 329793 394262 -16.35 Total 6671976 5994388 5.36 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Asian Paints 137.85 Buy Above 139 135.40 2.59 147 5.76 Bombay Dying 504.45 Buy Above 506 495.00 2.17 530 4.74 Century Textiles 359.70 Buy Above 362 356.00 1.66 375 3.59 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18694 18707 18778 18861 19015 18624 18553 18399 S&P CNX NIFTY 5674 5676 5700 5727 5777 5650 5626 5576 NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5683 5685 5707 5732 5778 5660 5638 5591 Stocks To Watch Out Today Aurobindo Pharma, Arvind, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Century Textiles, Crompton Greaves, Godej iInds; HDFC Bk; HDIL, HPCL, IDFC, JSW Energy, Kotak Bank, LIC Hsg; M&M, Mphasis, NHPC, OFSS, Pantaloon Retail, Raymond, Rel. Comm; Tech Mahindra, Titan, TTK Prestige, Titan, Unitech, United Spirits, VIP Hexzware, HOECL, India Infoline, McLeod Russel, NMDC, NTPC, Oil India, ONGC, Powergrid, South Indian Bank, Tata Chemicals, Tata Coffee Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com