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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                           9th November 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                   Global cues to impact sentiment
 BSE SENSEX                    18846.26             -0.30
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5738.75             -0.37     Mirroring the weak global market cues, the domestic markets
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.                5765.20             -0.48     witnessed a gap down opening. However, the markets
 India VIX                        14.22             -1.99     managed to move higher and were off the lows for the day on
                                                              back of short covering and selected buying support.
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        However, increased selling pressure was witnessed in the
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        noon trade as markets again moved lower. But markets
Support           5665          5554            5447          managed to show resilience and moved higher in the
Resistance        5747          5816            5885          afternoon trade. The markets ended the day with modest
                                                              losses to close near the highs for the day. The top losers for
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         the day were L&T, GAIL, IDFC, Rel. Infra, Tata Power, BoB,
50 Day SMA                     5585.96                        ICICI Bank, Hero Motocorp, Grasim and Bajaj Auto.
100 Day SMA                    5416.50
200 Day SMA                    5308.40        ◄Positive       Technically, the market breadth remained negative,
                                                              amidst lower volumes. The prevailing technical
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           negatives led to profit taking and selling pressure on the
Advances                            1366               502    bourses. These conditions still hold good. The
Declines                            1462               638    Stochastic and KST have slipped below their respective
Same                                 133                 34   averages. Moreso, the Stochastic is still placed in the
Total                               2961             1174     over bought zone. The MACD is still placed in the
A/D Ratio                        0.93 : 1          0.79 : 1
                                                              negative territory. All these negative conditions are likely
                                                              to lead to profit taking and selling pressure at higher
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   levels. However, the prevailing technical positives also
               08/11/12        07/11/12        % Chg.         hold good and would help in supporting the markets at
BSE                    2563         2436              5.21
                                                              lower levels. The MACD has moved above its average.
                                                              Moreover, the RSI is still placed above its average. The
NSE                    6838         7014             -2.50
                                                              KST is still placed in the positive territory, which augurs
Total                  9401         9450             -0.51
                                                              well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
               08/11/12        07/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
                                                              SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
BSE                  2606.97     2269.15            14.89
                                                              Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
NSE              11132.51        9455.11            17.74
                                                              regular bouts of short covering and buying support. The
NSE F&O         112092.67       88242.05            27.03     ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways,
Total           125832.15       99966.31            25.87     indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment
                                                              remains cautious as Nifty has closed below the 5747
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *
                                                              level. Now, it is important that the Nifty moves and
               08/11/12        07/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              sustains above the 5747 level for follow up buying
Index Fut.           286665      222796             28.67     support to emerge, which would help the markets move
Stock Fut.           559475      416149             34.44     further higher and closer to the 5900 level. In the
Index Opt.        2679873       2210731             21.22     meanwhile the markets would take cues from the global
Stock Opt.           358474      220443             62.62     markets, earnings season, Rupee and the crude prices.
Total             3884487       3070119             19.78     The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5665, 5554 and
                                                              5447 The Nifty faces resistance at 5747, 5816, 5885, 5910
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE
                                                              and 5945 levels.

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                     Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop          Loss                      Target
       Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target          (%)                Remarks
Andhra Bank               108.80        Buy Above           109.50        107.00       2.28         115.00          5.02
Dena Bank                 114.55        Buy Above           115.00        112.75       1.96         120.00          4.35
IDBI                      106.75        Buy Above           107.50        104.00       3.26         115.00          6.98
SBI                   2242.30   Buy Above        2250.00    1199.00                  46.71      2360.00             4.89
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
       Indices             Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    18846                 18816       18895        18945          19073        18767             18687       18558
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5739                5726          5758       5776           5827            5707           5675        5625
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                  5765                5761          5781       5797           5834            5745           5724        5687




                                              Stocks To Watch Out Today
ACC, Allahabad Bank, Ambuja Cements, Andhra Bank, Arvind, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Bank of Baroda, Bank of
India, BHEL, Bombay dying, Canara Bank, CBI, DCB, Dena Bbank, DLF, FT, HCC, HDFC, HPCL, IDBI, Idea, IFCI, IGL,
Indian Bank, IOC, Jubilant Food, Karnataka Bank, Pantaloon Retail, Raymond, SBI, Sesa Goa, Syndicate Bank, Tata Global,
Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, Union Bank, United Spirits, Wipro, Unitech, ZEEL
Aban offshore, Apollo Tyre, Bharat Forge, L&T, Piramala Healthcare, Tata Power




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 091112

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 9th November 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Global cues to impact sentiment BSE SENSEX 18846.26 -0.30 S&P CNX NIFTY 5738.75 -0.37 Mirroring the weak global market cues, the domestic markets NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5765.20 -0.48 witnessed a gap down opening. However, the markets India VIX 14.22 -1.99 managed to move higher and were off the lows for the day on back of short covering and selected buying support. S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels However, increased selling pressure was witnessed in the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 noon trade as markets again moved lower. But markets Support 5665 5554 5447 managed to show resilience and moved higher in the Resistance 5747 5816 5885 afternoon trade. The markets ended the day with modest losses to close near the highs for the day. The top losers for Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY the day were L&T, GAIL, IDFC, Rel. Infra, Tata Power, BoB, 50 Day SMA 5585.96 ICICI Bank, Hero Motocorp, Grasim and Bajaj Auto. 100 Day SMA 5416.50 200 Day SMA 5308.40 ◄Positive Technically, the market breadth remained negative, amidst lower volumes. The prevailing technical Market Breadth * BSE NSE negatives led to profit taking and selling pressure on the Advances 1366 502 bourses. These conditions still hold good. The Declines 1462 638 Stochastic and KST have slipped below their respective Same 133 34 averages. Moreso, the Stochastic is still placed in the Total 2961 1174 over bought zone. The MACD is still placed in the A/D Ratio 0.93 : 1 0.79 : 1 negative territory. All these negative conditions are likely to lead to profit taking and selling pressure at higher Volume (Lacs Shares) * levels. However, the prevailing technical positives also 08/11/12 07/11/12 % Chg. hold good and would help in supporting the markets at BSE 2563 2436 5.21 lower levels. The MACD has moved above its average. Moreover, the RSI is still placed above its average. The NSE 6838 7014 -2.50 KST is still placed in the positive territory, which augurs Total 9401 9450 -0.51 well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its Turnover ( ` Crores) * 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the 08/11/12 07/11/12 % Chg. Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden BSE 2606.97 2269.15 14.89 Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to NSE 11132.51 9455.11 17.74 regular bouts of short covering and buying support. The NSE F&O 112092.67 88242.05 27.03 ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, Total 125832.15 99966.31 25.87 indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty has closed below the 5747 F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * level. Now, it is important that the Nifty moves and 08/11/12 07/11/12 % Chg. sustains above the 5747 level for follow up buying Index Fut. 286665 222796 28.67 support to emerge, which would help the markets move Stock Fut. 559475 416149 34.44 further higher and closer to the 5900 level. In the Index Opt. 2679873 2210731 21.22 meanwhile the markets would take cues from the global Stock Opt. 358474 220443 62.62 markets, earnings season, Rupee and the crude prices. Total 3884487 3070119 19.78 The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5665, 5554 and 5447 The Nifty faces resistance at 5747, 5816, 5885, 5910 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE and 5945 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Andhra Bank 108.80 Buy Above 109.50 107.00 2.28 115.00 5.02 Dena Bank 114.55 Buy Above 115.00 112.75 1.96 120.00 4.35 IDBI 106.75 Buy Above 107.50 104.00 3.26 115.00 6.98 SBI 2242.30 Buy Above 2250.00 1199.00 46.71 2360.00 4.89 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18846 18816 18895 18945 19073 18767 18687 18558 S&P CNX NIFTY 5739 5726 5758 5776 5827 5707 5675 5625 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5765 5761 5781 5797 5834 5745 5724 5687 Stocks To Watch Out Today ACC, Allahabad Bank, Ambuja Cements, Andhra Bank, Arvind, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Bank of Baroda, Bank of India, BHEL, Bombay dying, Canara Bank, CBI, DCB, Dena Bbank, DLF, FT, HCC, HDFC, HPCL, IDBI, Idea, IFCI, IGL, Indian Bank, IOC, Jubilant Food, Karnataka Bank, Pantaloon Retail, Raymond, SBI, Sesa Goa, Syndicate Bank, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, Union Bank, United Spirits, Wipro, Unitech, ZEEL Aban offshore, Apollo Tyre, Bharat Forge, L&T, Piramala Healthcare, Tata Power Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com