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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                         10th December 2012
         Indices *            Close          % Chg.                     Correction likely to unfold…
 BSE SENSEX                   19424.10             -0.32
 S&P CNX NIFTY                 5907.40             -0.40     Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.               5944.90             -0.43     markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets
 India VIX                       14.96             -1.83     failed to capitalize on the gains and slipped in the red on
                                                             back of profit taking and selling pressure. The markets
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels
                                                             struggled to sustain higher. The over all trend remained
                 Level 1      Level 2         Level 3        range bound. The markets ended the day with modest losses
Support           5885         5816            5747          to close near the lows for the day. However, the Nifty
Resistance        5945         6135            6313          managed to close above the psychologically important 5900
                                                             level. The top losers for the day were DLF, Axis Bank, Sesa
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
                                                             Goa, HCL Tech; Tata Steel, Reliance, Rel. Infra, TCS,
50 Day SMA                    5704.85        ◄Positive
                                                             Powergrid and Asian Paints.
100 Day SMA                   5513.91
200 Day SMA                   5345.01                        Technically, the market breadth remained negative
                                                             amidst lower volumes. The markets witnessed a bout of
   Market Breadth *            BSE             NSE
                                                             correction on back of the prevailing technical negatives.
Advances                           1436               691
                                                             The Nifty has formed a negative divergence pattern on
Declines                           1486               858    the daily charts, which does not augur well for the
Same                                130               121    markets. Moreover, the Stochastic is still placed below
Total                              3052             1670     its average. More so, the RSI and the Stochastic are
A/D Ratio                       0.97 : 1          0.81 : 1   placed in the over bought zone. These negative technical
                                                             conditions would lead to further selling pressure.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)        *                   However, the prevailing technical positive conditions still
               07/12/12       06/12/12        % Chg.         hold good. The MACD, KST and RSI all are still placed
BSE                    3042        2982              2.01    above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD
NSE                    8745        9170             -4.63    and KST are placed in the positive territory. The Nifty
Total                 11787      12152              -3.00    remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and
                                                             200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains
             Turnover ( ` Crores)        *                   placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the
               07/12/12       06/12/12        % Chg.         later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These
BSE                  313824     414976             -24.38    positive conditions would lead to buying support at
NSE                  594129     660652             -10.07
                                                             lower levels. Though, the +DI line is placed above the 31
                                                             level it continues to move lower, indicating buyers are
NSE F&O           3117550      3898942             -20.04
                                                             booking profits regularly. The market sentiment remains
Total                306480     325820              -5.94
                                                             cautious as the Nifty approached all time high. Now, it is
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)           *              important that the Nifty witnesses follow up buying
               07/12/12       06/12/12        % Chg.
                                                             support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the 5945
                                                             resistance levels and move higher. In the meanwhile the
Index Fut.           313824     414976             -24.38
                                                             markets would take cues from the on going parliament
Stock Fut.           594129     660652             -10.07
                                                             session, global markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The
Index Opt.        3117550      3898942             -20.04    support levels for Nifty are placed at 5885, 5816, 5747 and
Stock Opt.           306480     325820              -5.94    5665. The Nifty faces resistance at     5945, 6135 and 6313
Total             4331983      5300390             -15.11    levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                    Stop
                                                     Initiation       Stop          Loss                     Target
      Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target         (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                         TGT of 1133
                                                                                                                         Achieved given
                                                                                                                         Buy @ 1100 on
AB Nuvo                 1118.30        Buy Above        1125.00      1109.00          1.42         1160          3.11    04/12/12
Adani Ports              137.60        Buy Above           138.00        134.85       2.28          145          5.07
                                                                                                                         TGT of 163
                                                                                                                         Achieved given
                                                                                                                         Buy @ 157 on
Allahabad Bank           158.85        Buy Above           160.00        157.30       1.69          166          3.75    03/12/12
                                                                                                                         TGT of 120
                                                                                                                         Achieved given
                                                                                                                         Buy @ 116 on
Andhra Bank            117.75   Buy Above         118.50      116.00                  2.11          124          4.64    03/12/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   19424                 19450       19536        19648          19847        19338           19251    19052
S&P CNX NIFTY                   5907                5915          5942       5977           6038          5881           5854     5793
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                 5945                5949          5976       6007           6065          5918           5891     5832




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Bajaj Hind; BoB, Canara Bank, CBI,
Dabur, DCB; Glaxo, Hindalco, HOECL, HPCL, IDFC, India Cement, IndianBank, IOB, IRB Infra, ITC, JP Associates, JSW
Energy Jubilant Food, Maruti, McLeod Russel, MTNL, Patel Engg; Petronet, Piramal healthcare, Punj Lloyd, Raymond,
Renuka Sugar, Sobha, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR
Bhushan Steel, Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, DLF, Fortis, HCL Tech; Hexaware, Hind. Zinc, Hotel Leela, Idea, IGL, Indusind
Bank, NMDC, Oil India, TCS


NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 101212

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 10th December 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Correction likely to unfold… BSE SENSEX 19424.10 -0.32 S&P CNX NIFTY 5907.40 -0.40 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5944.90 -0.43 markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets India VIX 14.96 -1.83 failed to capitalize on the gains and slipped in the red on back of profit taking and selling pressure. The markets S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels struggled to sustain higher. The over all trend remained Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 range bound. The markets ended the day with modest losses Support 5885 5816 5747 to close near the lows for the day. However, the Nifty Resistance 5945 6135 6313 managed to close above the psychologically important 5900 level. The top losers for the day were DLF, Axis Bank, Sesa Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Goa, HCL Tech; Tata Steel, Reliance, Rel. Infra, TCS, 50 Day SMA 5704.85 ◄Positive Powergrid and Asian Paints. 100 Day SMA 5513.91 200 Day SMA 5345.01 Technically, the market breadth remained negative amidst lower volumes. The markets witnessed a bout of Market Breadth * BSE NSE correction on back of the prevailing technical negatives. Advances 1436 691 The Nifty has formed a negative divergence pattern on Declines 1486 858 the daily charts, which does not augur well for the Same 130 121 markets. Moreover, the Stochastic is still placed below Total 3052 1670 its average. More so, the RSI and the Stochastic are A/D Ratio 0.97 : 1 0.81 : 1 placed in the over bought zone. These negative technical conditions would lead to further selling pressure. Volume (Lacs Shares) * However, the prevailing technical positive conditions still 07/12/12 06/12/12 % Chg. hold good. The MACD, KST and RSI all are still placed BSE 3042 2982 2.01 above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD NSE 8745 9170 -4.63 and KST are placed in the positive territory. The Nifty Total 11787 12152 -3.00 remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains Turnover ( ` Crores) * placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the 07/12/12 06/12/12 % Chg. later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These BSE 313824 414976 -24.38 positive conditions would lead to buying support at NSE 594129 660652 -10.07 lower levels. Though, the +DI line is placed above the 31 level it continues to move lower, indicating buyers are NSE F&O 3117550 3898942 -20.04 booking profits regularly. The market sentiment remains Total 306480 325820 -5.94 cautious as the Nifty approached all time high. Now, it is F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * important that the Nifty witnesses follow up buying 07/12/12 06/12/12 % Chg. support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the 5945 resistance levels and move higher. In the meanwhile the Index Fut. 313824 414976 -24.38 markets would take cues from the on going parliament Stock Fut. 594129 660652 -10.07 session, global markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The Index Opt. 3117550 3898942 -20.04 support levels for Nifty are placed at 5885, 5816, 5747 and Stock Opt. 306480 325820 -5.94 5665. The Nifty faces resistance at 5945, 6135 and 6313 Total 4331983 5300390 -15.11 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 1133 Achieved given Buy @ 1100 on AB Nuvo 1118.30 Buy Above 1125.00 1109.00 1.42 1160 3.11 04/12/12 Adani Ports 137.60 Buy Above 138.00 134.85 2.28 145 5.07 TGT of 163 Achieved given Buy @ 157 on Allahabad Bank 158.85 Buy Above 160.00 157.30 1.69 166 3.75 03/12/12 TGT of 120 Achieved given Buy @ 116 on Andhra Bank 117.75 Buy Above 118.50 116.00 2.11 124 4.64 03/12/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19424 19450 19536 19648 19847 19338 19251 19052 S&P CNX NIFTY 5907 5915 5942 5977 6038 5881 5854 5793 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5945 5949 5976 6007 6065 5918 5891 5832 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Bajaj Hind; BoB, Canara Bank, CBI, Dabur, DCB; Glaxo, Hindalco, HOECL, HPCL, IDFC, India Cement, IndianBank, IOB, IRB Infra, ITC, JP Associates, JSW Energy Jubilant Food, Maruti, McLeod Russel, MTNL, Patel Engg; Petronet, Piramal healthcare, Punj Lloyd, Raymond, Renuka Sugar, Sobha, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR Bhushan Steel, Cipla, Coal India, Colgate, DLF, Fortis, HCL Tech; Hexaware, Hind. Zinc, Hotel Leela, Idea, IGL, Indusind Bank, NMDC, Oil India, TCS NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com