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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   12th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
                                                         Markets surrender gains on downgrade threat
 BSE SENSEX                16668.01          -0.30
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5054.10          -0.28
                                                        Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5052.60          -0.13      markets witnessed a gap up opening. Broad based buying
 India VIX                   25.02           6.60       support was witnessed leading to short covering helping the
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels
                                                        markets move above the 5100 level. However, lack of follow
                                                        up buying support and regular bouts of profit taking saw the
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                        markets come off the highs for the day. Increased selling
Support           4950       4825            4777
                                                        pressure was witnessed after S&P threatened to downgrade
Resistance        5067       5114            5250       India. The markets ended the day with modest losses to close
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
                                                        near the lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were
                                                        HCL Tech; Cipla, L&T, BHEL, ONGC, M&M, DLF, Sesa Goa,
50 Day SMA                  5087.41
                                                        Ranbaxy and Tata Motors.
100 Day SMA                 5196.69
200 Day SMA                 5066.96        ◄ Critical   Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                                                        higher volumes. The global market cues are subdued.
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE        The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat to
Advances                     1447             769       negative opening. As we had indicated the markets
Declines                     1260             693       witnessed profit taking as the Stochastic was placed in
Same                          144                94     the over bought zone. The prevailing technical negatives
Total                        2851            1556       still continue to hold good and are likely to cap upside
A/D Ratio                   1.15 : 1        1.11 : 1    gains. The Stochastic remains placed in the over bought
                                                        zone, which would result in profit taking at regular
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                intervals. The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA,
               11/06/12     08/06/12        % Chg.      100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day
BSE              2035        1859            9.47       SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. These negative
NSE              7228        6198            16.63      conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking
Total            9263        8057            14.97
                                                        and selling pressure. However, a few technical positives
                                                        still hold good. The Stochastic, RSI, MACD and KST all
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                are placed above their respective averages. The KST and
               11/06/12     08/06/12        % Chg.      MACD are also placed in the positive territory. Moreover,
BSE             1947.16     1970.93          -1.21      the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are placed
                                                        above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The +DI line remains placed
NSE             9620.09     9740.85          -1.24
                                                        above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength,
NSE F&O        112566.68   105098.49         7.11
                                                        while the +ADX and the –DI line continue to move lower,
Total          124133.93   116810.27         6.27
                                                        indicating short covering is happening. These positive
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          technical conditions would prompt buying support and
                                                        short covering at lower levels. The market sentiment
               11/06/12     08/06/12        % Chg.
                                                        remains tentative as markets remain at crossroads. Now
Index Fut.      466961      538746           -13.32
                                                        it is important that the Nifty moves and sustains above
Stock Fut.      499566      519665           -3.87      its 200-day SMA for sustainable buying support to
Index Opt.     3333418      3017473          10.47      emerge. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Stock Opt.      196782      182733           7.69       from the IIP numbers to be announced today, Rupee,
Total          4496727      4258617          7.75       global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE
                                                        Nifty are placed at 4950, 4824 and 4777. The Nifty faces
                                                        resistance at the 5067, 5114 and 5250 levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                 Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                     (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                                  Stop
                                                     Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock             Close          Action          Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Adani Ports Fut          125.00       Sell Below           123.00      125.70         2.20         117          4.88
Bhushan Steel Fut        449.25       Sell Below           447.00      454.65         1.71         430          3.80


Bombay Dying           496.15    Buy Above         501.00     488.00                  2.59         530          5.79
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                               Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close          Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   16668                 16730      16832      16996          17262        16566        16463        16197
S&P CNX NIFTY                 5054                  5073       5105        5157          5241            5022        4989       4906
NIFTY JUNE FUT.               5053                  5070       5106        5160          5249            5017        4981       4891




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Andhra Bank, GAIl, GE Shipping, Grasim, GVK, HUL, ITC, Jubilant Foods, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chem; Tata Power, Titan,
TTK Prestige, Voltas
APIL, Bata, BEML, Cairn India, Cipla, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, Glaxo, Godrej Inds; HCL Tech; Hero Motocorp; Hexaware, Hind.
Zinc, IOC, Jindal Steel, Lupin, MRPL, Oil India, ONGC




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
      those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 120612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 12th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets surrender gains on downgrade threat BSE SENSEX 16668.01 -0.30 S&P CNX NIFTY 5054.10 -0.28 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5052.60 -0.13 markets witnessed a gap up opening. Broad based buying India VIX 25.02 6.60 support was witnessed leading to short covering helping the S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets move above the 5100 level. However, lack of follow up buying support and regular bouts of profit taking saw the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 markets come off the highs for the day. Increased selling Support 4950 4825 4777 pressure was witnessed after S&P threatened to downgrade Resistance 5067 5114 5250 India. The markets ended the day with modest losses to close Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY near the lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were HCL Tech; Cipla, L&T, BHEL, ONGC, M&M, DLF, Sesa Goa, 50 Day SMA 5087.41 Ranbaxy and Tata Motors. 100 Day SMA 5196.69 200 Day SMA 5066.96 ◄ Critical Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst higher volumes. The global market cues are subdued. Market Breadth * BSE NSE The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat to Advances 1447 769 negative opening. As we had indicated the markets Declines 1260 693 witnessed profit taking as the Stochastic was placed in Same 144 94 the over bought zone. The prevailing technical negatives Total 2851 1556 still continue to hold good and are likely to cap upside A/D Ratio 1.15 : 1 1.11 : 1 gains. The Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone, which would result in profit taking at regular Volume (Lacs Shares) * intervals. The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 11/06/12 08/06/12 % Chg. 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day BSE 2035 1859 9.47 SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. These negative NSE 7228 6198 16.63 conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking Total 9263 8057 14.97 and selling pressure. However, a few technical positives still hold good. The Stochastic, RSI, MACD and KST all Turnover ( ` Crores) * are placed above their respective averages. The KST and 11/06/12 08/06/12 % Chg. MACD are also placed in the positive territory. Moreover, BSE 1947.16 1970.93 -1.21 the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The +DI line remains placed NSE 9620.09 9740.85 -1.24 above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength, NSE F&O 112566.68 105098.49 7.11 while the +ADX and the –DI line continue to move lower, Total 124133.93 116810.27 6.27 indicating short covering is happening. These positive F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * technical conditions would prompt buying support and short covering at lower levels. The market sentiment 11/06/12 08/06/12 % Chg. remains tentative as markets remain at crossroads. Now Index Fut. 466961 538746 -13.32 it is important that the Nifty moves and sustains above Stock Fut. 499566 519665 -3.87 its 200-day SMA for sustainable buying support to Index Opt. 3333418 3017473 10.47 emerge. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Stock Opt. 196782 182733 7.69 from the IIP numbers to be announced today, Rupee, Total 4496727 4258617 7.75 global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Nifty are placed at 4950, 4824 and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5067, 5114 and 5250 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Adani Ports Fut 125.00 Sell Below 123.00 125.70 2.20 117 4.88 Bhushan Steel Fut 449.25 Sell Below 447.00 454.65 1.71 430 3.80 Bombay Dying 496.15 Buy Above 501.00 488.00 2.59 530 5.79 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16668 16730 16832 16996 17262 16566 16463 16197 S&P CNX NIFTY 5054 5073 5105 5157 5241 5022 4989 4906 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5053 5070 5106 5160 5249 5017 4981 4891 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Andhra Bank, GAIl, GE Shipping, Grasim, GVK, HUL, ITC, Jubilant Foods, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chem; Tata Power, Titan, TTK Prestige, Voltas APIL, Bata, BEML, Cairn India, Cipla, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, Glaxo, Godrej Inds; HCL Tech; Hero Motocorp; Hexaware, Hind. Zinc, IOC, Jindal Steel, Lupin, MRPL, Oil India, ONGC Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com