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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                               22nd November 2012

                    Gold            Silver             Crude      MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) –
Commodity
 Expiry            5-Dec-12        5-Dec-12        18-Dec-12      Gold opened higher at 31755 but failed to sustain higher and
                                                                  moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31705. However, it
 Open                 31,755             61,602          4,808
                                                                  managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
 High                 31,840             62,160          4,869    touched an intra-day high of 31840. It ended the day with modest
 Low                  31,705             61,510          4,793    gains to close at 31813.
 Close                31,813             62,047          4,823    The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
 Prev.                                                            averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
                      31,744             61,536          4,806
 Close                                                            Stochastic has moved in the over bought territory, which would
 % Change              0.22%              0.83%          0.35%    lead to profit taking at higher levels Though the +DI line is placed
                                                                  above the 30 level, it has come off its recent highs and has started
Source – MCX
                                                                  falling indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. MCX Gold
                                                                  faces resistance at 31937, 32100 and 32421 while the support
                    Volume (In 000's)                             levels are placed at 31737, 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and
                   21-Nov-12       20-Nov-12            % Chg.    30340

 Gold (gms)          24,065.0           31,312.0       -23.14%    MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) –
 Silver (kgs)         1,371.7            1,592.5       -13.87%
                                                                  Silver opened higher at 61602 but failed to sustain higher and
 Crude (bbl)         26,086.4           30,173.6       -13.55%    moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 61510. However, it
Source – MCX                                                      managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
                                                                  touched an intra-day high of 62160. It ended the day with moderate
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                             gains to close at 62047.

                   21-Nov-12       20-Nov-12            % Chg.    The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
                                                                  averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
Gold                764,321.2       995,267.9          -23.20%    Stochastic is still placed in the over bought territory and would lead
Silver              846,874.2       982,837.7          -13.83%    to profit taking at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed above
                                                                  the 30 level, it has come off its recent highs and has started falling
Crude             1,261,448.1     1,470,766.6          -14.23%    indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. MCX Silver faces
Source – MCX                                                      resistance at 62176, 62240, 62342 and 62656 while the supports
                                                                  are placed at 61912, 61398, 60750, 59512 and 57400 levels.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                  MCX CRUDE (18 DECEMBER 12) –
                        22/11/2012        21/11/2012    % Chg.
                                                                  Crude opened higher at 4808 and moved further higher to touch an
Gold (oz)                  1,731.00         1,728.20     0.16%    intra-day high of 4869. However, it failed to sustain higher and
Silver (oz)                     33.42          33.44    -0.06%    moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of 4793. It ended the day
                                                                  with modest gains to close at 4823.
WTI Crude (bbl)                 87.64          87.38     0.30%

Brent Crude (bbl)             110.95          110.86     0.08%    The Stochastic remains placed below its average and is also
                                                                  placed around the over bought zone, which would lead to selling
Dollar Index                    80.83          80.80     0.04%
                                                                  pressure and profit taking. However, the RSI is still placed above
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                         its average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels.
                                                                  The ADX line, – DI line and +DI, indicating a range bound trend. It
                                                                  faces resistance at 4892, 4950, 5000 and 5054 while the supports
                                                                  are placed at 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467.

                                                                  NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                  Basis


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Silver trading plunges in China as demand falters
Silver trading on the largest spot market in China, the second-largest consumer, tumbled this year as slowing growth
cut industrial use, a bourse official said. Volume on the Shanghai White Platinum & Silver Exchange dropped about
30% from a year earlier to 1,000 tonne, said Gao Huijie, chief executive officer. Industrial demand represents most
transactions on the bourse, where about 20% of China's annual demand is traded,
Agri-commodity prices soar by 10%-15% in West Bengal
Mamata Banerjee may be busy garnering support from political parties to move a no-confidence motion against the
UPA government for its anti-people policies, but back home, in her own state, prices of commodities like potato, rice
and onion are on the rise. Over the last couple of weeks, prices of these commodities have gone up by 10% -15%
pinching pockets of common people.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                 Thursday                           Friday                          Monday

   Regions                     22/Nov                           23/Nov                           26/Nov

                         Winter session of
     India                                           FX Reserves, USD (Nov 18)
                            parliament




                       CBI Industrial Trends                                           Dallas Fed Manufacturing
      US
                      Survey - Orders (MoM)                                              Business Index (Nov)
                                                                                          Chicago Fed National
                                                                                           Activity Index (Oct)




    Global          European Council meeting         European Council meeting             Euro EcoFin Meeting

                    China HSBC Manufacturing          Germany Gross Domestic            UK Nationwide Housing
                              PMI                      Product s.a (QoQ) (Q3)           Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Oct)
                    Euro Markit Manufacturing             UK BBA Mortgage
                          & Service PMI                      Approvals




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 221112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 22nd November 2012 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Commodity Expiry 5-Dec-12 5-Dec-12 18-Dec-12 Gold opened higher at 31755 but failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31705. However, it Open 31,755 61,602 4,808 managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It High 31,840 62,160 4,869 touched an intra-day high of 31840. It ended the day with modest Low 31,705 61,510 4,793 gains to close at 31813. Close 31,813 62,047 4,823 The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective Prev. averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the 31,744 61,536 4,806 Close Stochastic has moved in the over bought territory, which would % Change 0.22% 0.83% 0.35% lead to profit taking at higher levels Though the +DI line is placed above the 30 level, it has come off its recent highs and has started Source – MCX falling indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31937, 32100 and 32421 while the support Volume (In 000's) levels are placed at 31737, 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and 21-Nov-12 20-Nov-12 % Chg. 30340 Gold (gms) 24,065.0 31,312.0 -23.14% MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – Silver (kgs) 1,371.7 1,592.5 -13.87% Silver opened higher at 61602 but failed to sustain higher and Crude (bbl) 26,086.4 30,173.6 -13.55% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 61510. However, it Source – MCX managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It touched an intra-day high of 62160. It ended the day with moderate Turnover (In Lacs) gains to close at 62047. 21-Nov-12 20-Nov-12 % Chg. The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Gold 764,321.2 995,267.9 -23.20% Stochastic is still placed in the over bought territory and would lead Silver 846,874.2 982,837.7 -13.83% to profit taking at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed above the 30 level, it has come off its recent highs and has started falling Crude 1,261,448.1 1,470,766.6 -14.23% indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. MCX Silver faces Source – MCX resistance at 62176, 62240, 62342 and 62656 while the supports are placed at 61912, 61398, 60750, 59512 and 57400 levels. Global Market (Nymex - $) MCX CRUDE (18 DECEMBER 12) – 22/11/2012 21/11/2012 % Chg. Crude opened higher at 4808 and moved further higher to touch an Gold (oz) 1,731.00 1,728.20 0.16% intra-day high of 4869. However, it failed to sustain higher and Silver (oz) 33.42 33.44 -0.06% moved lower. It touched an intra-day low of 4793. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 4823. WTI Crude (bbl) 87.64 87.38 0.30% Brent Crude (bbl) 110.95 110.86 0.08% The Stochastic remains placed below its average and is also placed around the over bought zone, which would lead to selling Dollar Index 80.83 80.80 0.04% pressure and profit taking. However, the RSI is still placed above Source – www.cmegroup.com its average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, – DI line and +DI, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 4892, 4950, 5000 and 5054 while the supports are placed at 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467. NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Silver trading plunges in China as demand falters Silver trading on the largest spot market in China, the second-largest consumer, tumbled this year as slowing growth cut industrial use, a bourse official said. Volume on the Shanghai White Platinum & Silver Exchange dropped about 30% from a year earlier to 1,000 tonne, said Gao Huijie, chief executive officer. Industrial demand represents most transactions on the bourse, where about 20% of China's annual demand is traded, Agri-commodity prices soar by 10%-15% in West Bengal Mamata Banerjee may be busy garnering support from political parties to move a no-confidence motion against the UPA government for its anti-people policies, but back home, in her own state, prices of commodities like potato, rice and onion are on the rise. Over the last couple of weeks, prices of these commodities have gone up by 10% -15% pinching pockets of common people. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Regions 22/Nov 23/Nov 26/Nov Winter session of India FX Reserves, USD (Nov 18) parliament CBI Industrial Trends Dallas Fed Manufacturing US Survey - Orders (MoM) Business Index (Nov) Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct) Global European Council meeting European Council meeting Euro EcoFin Meeting China HSBC Manufacturing Germany Gross Domestic UK Nationwide Housing PMI Product s.a (QoQ) (Q3) Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Oct) Euro Markit Manufacturing UK BBA Mortgage & Service PMI Approvals Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com