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Daily Commodity Re
                                                D                eport

                                                                                                                1st August 2012

                   Gold
                   G            Si
                                 ilver          Cr
                                                 rude         MC GOLD (4 A
                                                                 CX             AUGUST 12) - Gold open higher at 29810 and
                                                                                                       ned         t
                 (4 A
                    Aug-12)    (5 Sept-12)    (20 A
                                                  Aug-12)     mov further higher to touch an intra-day high of 2993 However,
                                                                   ved                     h          y           30.
                                                                  ailed to sustai higher and moved lowe It touched an intra-day
                                                              it fa             in         d          er.
 Ope
   en                29,810        53,920          4,985
                                                              low of 29721. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at
                                                                                t
 High
    h                29,930        54,319          5,025      297 749.
 Low
   w                 29,721        53,920          4,907
                                                              The Stochastic remains pla
                                                                 e                        aced below i average and is also
                                                                                                       its
 Clos
    se               29,749        53,974          4,921      placced near th over bo
                                                                               he         ought zone, which wou     uld lead to
 Prev Close
    v.               29,788        53,827          4,978         ermediate bou of profit taking and se
                                                              inte             uts                    elling pressur However,
                                                                                                                    re.
                                                              the RSI remains placed abov its average but it is on the verge of
                                                                              s           ve          e,
 %C
  Change             -0.13%         0.27%         -1.15%
                                                              slipping below its average. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                        mov                          range bound trend. MCX G
                                                                  ving sideways indicating r
                                                                               s,                                    GOLD faces
                                                              resiistance at 30179, 30340, 30428 and 331000, while t supports
                                                                                                                     the
                   Volume (In 000
                   V            0's)                          are placed at 296668, 28859, 2
                                                                                           28765 and 27
                                                                                                      7962 levels.
                 31/0
                    07/2012    30/0
                                  07/2012         % Chg.      MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) - Silver open
                                                                 CX            5                        ned higher at 53920 and
                                                                                                                    t
 Gold (gms)
    d              18,316.0
                   1              16,987.0         7.82%      mov further higher to touch an intra-day high of 54319. However,
                                                                  ved                      h           y
                                                                  ailed to susta higher an came off the highs for the day. It
                                                              it fa            ain         nd                       r
 Silve (kgs)
     er              1,422.5       1,530.9        -7.08%      toucched an intraa-day low of 53920. It end
                                                                                                        ded the day w modest
                                                                                                                    with
 Crud (bbl)
    de             25,779.5
                   2              20,611.2
                                  2               25.08%
                                                  2           gain to close at 53974.
                                                                  ns           t
Sourc – MCX
    ce
                                                              The Stochastic a the RSI r
                                                                 e            and          remains place above their respective
                                                                                                        ed
                                                              ave
                                                                erages, which would result in interm
                                                                              h                        mediate bouts of buying
                                                                                                                   s
                  Tu
                   urnover (In Lacs)                          suppport. The AD line, -DI lin and +DI line are movin sideways,
                                                                             DX            ne                     ng
                 31/0
                    07/2012    30/0
                                  07/2012         % Chg.      indicating range bound tren MCX Silver faces re
                                                                             e             nd.                     esistance at
                                                              545570, 55551, 5
                                                                             56157 and 57 7737 while the supports are placed at
Gold
   d              54
                   46,861.8     50
                                 06,013.6          8.07%      536675, 51559, 51029, and 500252 levels.
Silve
    er            77
                   70,052.8     82
                                 20,267.0         -6.12%
                                                              MC CRUDE (20 August 12) - Crude ope
                                                                 CX                                     ened higher a 4985 level.
                                                                                                                    at
Crud
   de            1,28
                    81,944.3   1,03
                                  31,211.1        24.31%
                                                  2           It m
                                                                 managed to m   move higher to touch an intra-day high of 5025.
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                        How                                       moved lower to touch an
                                                                  wever, it faile to sustain higher and m
                                                                                ed
                                                                  a-day low of 4907. It end
                                                              intra                         ded the day with moderate losses to
               Global Market (Nym - $)
                                mex
                                                              clos at 4921.
                                                                  se

                 01/0
                    08/2012    31/0
                                  07/2012         % Chg.      The Stochastic has once again slipp
                                                                 e                                       ped below it average.
                                                                                                                        ts
                                                              Morreover, the RSI already remains pla     aced below its average.
Gold (oz)
   d               1,613.80
                   1              1,610.50         0.20%
                                                              The negative t
                                                                 ese           technical connditions would lead to sellin pressure.
                                                                                                         d              ng
Silve (oz)
    er                27.91          27.91        -0.03%      The +DI line, -DI line and ADX line are mo
                                                                 e            I              X           oving sideway indicating
                                                                                                                       ys,
Crud (bbl)
   de                 87.84          88.06        -0.25%      a ra
                                                                 ange bound tr rend. It faces resistance a 4946, 5093 5126, 518,
                                                                                            s            at           3,
                                                              and 5217 while t supports a placed at 4777, 4737 a 4681.
                                                                 d            the            are                       and
Dolla Index
    ar                82.67          82.64         0.14%

Sourc – www.cme
    ce        egroup.com

                                                                   Intra-day Re
                                                                              esistance                  Intra-day Sup
                                                                                                                     pport
Comm
   modities                     Close        Pivot Point
                                                                   R1         R2            R3
                                                                                            R         S1          S2           S3

CRUD AUG 12
   DE                            4921              4951          4995
                                                                 4          50
                                                                             069          518
                                                                                            87      4877
                                                                                                       7        4833         4715

GOLD AUG 12
   D                            29749             29800
                                                  2            29
                                                                9879       300
                                                                             009          3021
                                                                                             18    29670
                                                                                                       0       29591         29382

SILVE SEPT 12
    ER                          53974             54071
                                                  5            54
                                                                4222       544
                                                                             470          5486
                                                                                             69    53823
                                                                                                       3       53672         53273


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Keynote commodity daily report for 010812

  • 1. Daily Commodity Re D eport 1st August 2012 Gold G Si ilver Cr rude MC GOLD (4 A CX AUGUST 12) - Gold open higher at 29810 and ned t (4 A Aug-12) (5 Sept-12) (20 A Aug-12) mov further higher to touch an intra-day high of 2993 However, ved h y 30. ailed to sustai higher and moved lowe It touched an intra-day it fa in d er. Ope en 29,810 53,920 4,985 low of 29721. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at t High h 29,930 54,319 5,025 297 749. Low w 29,721 53,920 4,907 The Stochastic remains pla e aced below i average and is also its Clos se 29,749 53,974 4,921 placced near th over bo he ought zone, which wou uld lead to Prev Close v. 29,788 53,827 4,978 ermediate bou of profit taking and se inte uts elling pressur However, re. the RSI remains placed abov its average but it is on the verge of s ve e, %C Change -0.13% 0.27% -1.15% slipping below its average. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are Sourc – MCX ce mov range bound trend. MCX G ving sideways indicating r s, GOLD faces resiistance at 30179, 30340, 30428 and 331000, while t supports the Volume (In 000 V 0's) are placed at 296668, 28859, 2 28765 and 27 7962 levels. 31/0 07/2012 30/0 07/2012 % Chg. MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) - Silver open CX 5 ned higher at 53920 and t Gold (gms) d 18,316.0 1 16,987.0 7.82% mov further higher to touch an intra-day high of 54319. However, ved h y ailed to susta higher an came off the highs for the day. It it fa ain nd r Silve (kgs) er 1,422.5 1,530.9 -7.08% toucched an intraa-day low of 53920. It end ded the day w modest with Crud (bbl) de 25,779.5 2 20,611.2 2 25.08% 2 gain to close at 53974. ns t Sourc – MCX ce The Stochastic a the RSI r e and remains place above their respective ed ave erages, which would result in interm h mediate bouts of buying s Tu urnover (In Lacs) suppport. The AD line, -DI lin and +DI line are movin sideways, DX ne ng 31/0 07/2012 30/0 07/2012 % Chg. indicating range bound tren MCX Silver faces re e nd. esistance at 545570, 55551, 5 56157 and 57 7737 while the supports are placed at Gold d 54 46,861.8 50 06,013.6 8.07% 536675, 51559, 51029, and 500252 levels. Silve er 77 70,052.8 82 20,267.0 -6.12% MC CRUDE (20 August 12) - Crude ope CX ened higher a 4985 level. at Crud de 1,28 81,944.3 1,03 31,211.1 24.31% 2 It m managed to m move higher to touch an intra-day high of 5025. Sourc – MCX ce How moved lower to touch an wever, it faile to sustain higher and m ed a-day low of 4907. It end intra ded the day with moderate losses to Global Market (Nym - $) mex clos at 4921. se 01/0 08/2012 31/0 07/2012 % Chg. The Stochastic has once again slipp e ped below it average. ts Morreover, the RSI already remains pla aced below its average. Gold (oz) d 1,613.80 1 1,610.50 0.20% The negative t ese technical connditions would lead to sellin pressure. d ng Silve (oz) er 27.91 27.91 -0.03% The +DI line, -DI line and ADX line are mo e I X oving sideway indicating ys, Crud (bbl) de 87.84 88.06 -0.25% a ra ange bound tr rend. It faces resistance a 4946, 5093 5126, 518, s at 3, and 5217 while t supports a placed at 4777, 4737 a 4681. d the are and Dolla Index ar 82.67 82.64 0.14% Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com Intra-day Re esistance Intra-day Sup pport Comm modities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 R S1 S2 S3 CRUD AUG 12 DE 4921 4951 4995 4 50 069 518 87 4877 7 4833 4715 GOLD AUG 12 D 29749 29800 2 29 9879 300 009 3021 18 29670 0 29591 29382 SILVE SEPT 12 ER 53974 54071 5 54 4222 544 470 5486 69 53823 3 53672 53273 Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US E Economic C Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Mo onday Tues sday Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 A Au 06 ug Aug 07 g ADP Employment P t 4-Week B Bill ICSC-Goldm Store man Jobles Claims ss Employm ment Situation n Report Announce ement Sales Monster Employment r t ISM Mfg Index Factor Orders ry 3-Month B Auction Bill Consumer C Credit Index FOM Meeting MC Ben Bernan nke Money supply y ISM Non n-Mfg Index 6-Month B Auction Bill Announcement Speech Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Discclaimer This document is n for public di not istribution and has been furnis shed to you so olely for your information and must not be re eproduced or redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restr rictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not ed s to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer o solicitation e or woul be illegal. It i for the gener information o clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recomm ld is ral of t mendation or take into account the particular inve estment objectiv tuations, or need of individual clients. ves, financial sit ds We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current o historical info the or ormation, it is beelieved to be rel liable though its accuracy or s comp pleteness canno be guarantee Neither Keyn ot ed. note Capitals Lt nor any pers connected with it, accepts any liability aris td., son sing from the use of this documen The recipien of this mater should rely on their own inv nt. nts rial vestigations and take their own professional a advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this m material may go up or down. Past performan is not a gu nce uide for future pperformance. Certa transactions -including thos involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investmen grade securit ain s se s nt ties - involve subsstantial risk and are not suitab for all invest d ble tors. Reports ba ased on technic analysis cen cal nters on studyin charts of a stock’s price ng move ement and trad ding volume, as opposed to fo s ocusing on a co ompany’s funda amentals and as such, may no match with a report on a s ot comp pany’s fundame entals. Opinnions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appea d f aring on this maaterial only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be r s on n regulatory, commpliance, or othe reasons that prevent us fro doing so. er t om Prosspective investo and others are cautioned t ors a that any forward d-looking statemments are not p predictions and may be subjec to change ct witho notice. Our proprietary tr out r rading and inve estment busine esses may ma ake investment decisions that are inconsiste with the t ent recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates, officers, direc and ctors, and empl loyees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or sh positions in and buy or m hort n, sell t securities th the hereof, of compa (ies) mentio any oned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involvi such securit ing ties and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a mar o rket maker in th financial inst he truments of the company (ies) discussed here or act as ein advis or lender / borrower to such company (ie or have other potential con sor es) nflict of interest with respect to any recomme t o endation and related information a opinions. and The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views express s s e sed in this repo accurately re ort eflect his or he personal view about the er ws subje company or companies an its or their se ect r nd ecurities, and no part of his or her compensa r ation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly y related to specific re ecommendation or views expr ns ressed in this report. No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com