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India Morning Note
    a
Friday October 2 2012
     y,        26,

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                    V
                                                             Views on ma
                                                                       arkets today
                                                                                  y
                                                             • The BSE Sensex gainned 48.61 po
                                                                                             oints or 0.26 to close
                                                                                                         6%
 Nam of Index
   me                   23-Oct       25-Oct       Change
                                                               at 18,7558.63 and Nifty50 sur rged 13.90 points or
 Sens
    sex              18,710.02   18,758.63
                                 1                 0.26%       0.24% to close at 5,705.30 le by stocks of Auto,
                                                                                             ed           s
 CNX Nifty            5,691.40     5,705.30        0.24%       Capital G
                                                                       Goods and Ba
                                                                                  anks sectors
                                                                                             s.
 BSE Mid-cap          6,649.09     6,659.20        0.15%     • The expi of Octobe derivative contracts at the end
                                                                       iry        er         es
 BSE IT               5,697.59     5,691.82       -0.10%       of the session pro oved less vvolatility, as investors
                                                               focused on earnings and on hopes for cut in interest
                                                                                  s
 BSE Banks           13,293.56   13,340.14
                                 1                 0.35%
                                                               rates at the Reserve Bank of In
                                                                                  e          ndia's policy review on
FII Ac
     ctivity                                       (`Cr)       Tuesday
                                                             • M&M wa the top g
                                                                       as       gainer from the BSE Se
                                                                                                     ensex. The
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net       company reported 2
                                                                       y        22.3% jump in standalo
                                                                                                     one PAT at
 23-O
    Oct                 2,319          1,893         427
                                                               Rs 901.8 for the quarter ended Septembe 30, 2012
                                                                      8Cr                            er
                                                               on the ba of good sales
                                                                       ack
 22-O
    Oct                 1,920          1,588         332
                                                             • Among t the 13 sectoral indices, e
                                                                                                eight sectors closed in
 Total Oct
     l                 43,460       32,815         10645
                                                               negative while remaining fiv
                                                                       e,                      ve sectors closed in
 2012 YTD
    2                  537399       442146         95253       positive. Top Gainers: BSE Auto up by 0.58% BSE CG
                                                                                                            %,
                                                               gained 0 0.35% and BSE Banke up by 0.35%. Top
                                                                                               ex
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)      Losers: BBSE Realty d
                                                                                   down by 1.3 35%, BSE HC snapped
                                                                                                            C
                                                               by 0.35% and BSE Te down by 0.21%.
                                                                       %           eck         y
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net
                                                                 • Market breadth was negative a ~0.83x as investors
                                                                           b           s         at           s
 22-O
    Oct                   297           495         -198
                                                                   sold larg cap stocks. On prov
                                                                           ge                     visional basi FII sold
                                                                                                              is,
 22-O
    Oct                   297           495         -198           equity o `5.5bn a
                                                                           of          and domestic institutions bought
 Total Oct
     l                  6,537          8,418       -1881           equity of `0.34bn in cash segment.
                                                                           f
 2012 YTD
    2                   97980       113171        -15191         • Asia stoc dropped today, as te
                                                                           cks                   echnology firms taking
                                                                   a hit aft
                                                                           ter Apple Inc released weaker-than
                                                                                       c.                   n-expected
Global Markets                                                     results o
                                                                           overnight, w
                                                                                      while some earnings in Asia also
                                                                   worked to weigh dow markets.
                                                                           t          wn
 Index
     x                 Latest Valu
                                 ues            Change (%)
                                                C
                                                                 • We expe a cautiou opening for the India markets
                                                                          ect        us           f          an
 DJIA                     13,103.68                0.20%           on acc count of negative global equities and
                                                                                                  g
 Nasd
    daq                    2,986
                               6.12                0.15%           expectat
                                                                          tions ahead of RBI's rate cut decisio on 30th
                                                                                                  e           on
 Nikke
     ei                    9,042.36               -0.14%           October.
 Hang Seng
    g                     21,702.70               -0.49%         Economic a
                                                                          and Corporate Developm
                                                                                               ments
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f
                                                             •     Faced     with     subbdued   manufacturing
                                                                                                             g    sector
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot
                                                                   performa
                                                                          ance, Prim   me Ministerr's key a  advisor C
                                                                   Rangarajjan lowered the growt projectio for the
                                                                                        d          th        on
 Future contract                                   RBI             current fiscal to 6 per cent from 6.7 per cent
                          Latest    Previous
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close                       estimate
                                                                          ed     earlier.   "The  disturbing
                                                                                                  d            area   is
 29/10/12                                         Rate
                                                                   manufaccturing, ther refore one may have to revise
 India Rupee per $
     an                    53.63        53.81      53.63           estimate downward
                                                                          es           ds.
 India Rupee per €
     an                    69.72        69.94      69.75
                                                             •     A majori ity of India Inc have litttle expectations from
 India Rupee per £
     an                    86.58        85.99      86.18           RBI's seecond quart   ter moneta ary policy r review on
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    66.89        67.36      66.91           October 30 given the macro-       -fundamentaals of the
                                                                   economy with 53 pe
                                                                           y,            ercent not fo
                                                                                                     orseeing any reduction
                                                                                                                y
* NSE Exchange                                                     in the po
                                                                           olicy rate, says a survey.




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TOP GAINERS
    G                                                Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                         • HMT is eyeing a tu
                                                                         urnover of Rs 1,000 cro
                                                                                    R          ore in the
                    Previous   Current    Change        next five years and plans to fora into aeros
                                                                e                       ay         space and
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Orien
     ntal Bank        293.7      314.4     7.05%        manufac
                                                              cture of weapons and mi
                                                                                    issile compo
                                                                                               onents.
 India
     abulls Fin      242.15      253.6     4.73%      • The cabinet approve a proposa on Thursd
                                                                          ed        al        day to sell
 Bajaj Finserv
     j                882.6      921.6     4.42%
                                                        a 10 percent stake in the state
                                                                                      e-run NMDC Ltd via a
 Yes Bank
     B               399.35      416.5     4.29%
 Mahindra & Mahi      827.8     857.55     3.59%               ale, Heavy In
                                                        share sa           ndustries Min
                                                                                       nister Praful Patel told

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                    reporter
                                                               rs.

                    Previous   Current    Change      • CESC will acquire
                                                             w                   49.5%      eq
                                                                                             quity   in    FirstSource
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                        Solutions for Rs 280 crore.CESC is schedule to buy
                                                                           0          C           ed
 Orien
     ntal Bank        293.7      314.4     7.05%
 Tuni Textile        220.45        235     6.60%
                                                        5%    each    from    three
                                                                              t       FirstS
                                                                                           Source         sha
                                                                                                            areholders

 Jyoth Lab
     hy               168.6     178.95     6.14%        including ICICI, Tem
                                                                g          masek and Fidelity. Th
                                                                                                hereafter,
 Nava Bharat Ve
    a                176.05     186.85     6.13%        CESC would provide an open o
                                                                         e         offer at Rs 1
                                                                                               12.10 per
 India
     abulls Fin      242.15      253.6     4.73%
                                                        share.
TOP LOSERS
    L                                                 • Kotak Mahindra Ban could see a deteriorat
                                                                         nk                     tion in the
(BSE A-Group)                                           credit quality of its retail loan book, going forward,
                                                                                                    g
                    Previous   Current    Change        its chief financial off
                                                                              ficer said.
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                      • JK Pape formed a joint venture with Ja
                                                              er                             apan's Oji
 IRB Infra            141.2    119.05     -15.69%
 Have India
    ells              647.3      620.3     -4.17%       Holdings Corporatio and Maru
                                                               s          on       ubeni Corporation for
 Sun T Network
     TV              355.95    343.65      -3.46%       manufac
                                                              cturing      and
                                                                             d   sales      of
                                                                                             f   corrugate
                                                                                                         ed     paper
 Ober Realty
    roi              279.05    269.55      -3.40%
                                                        products with plans to invest Rs 150 crore on a new
                                                               s                       s
 Unite Spirits
     ed             1264.45    1224.8      -3.14%
                                                        plant in Rajasthan.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                      • Congres MP Navee Jindal has filed a crim
                                                              ss       en         s            minal case
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)        against Zee TV fo a sting operation a
                                                                        or                  about his
 IRB Infra            141.2     119.05    -15.69%
                                                        company's alleged involvement in the scam-tainted
                                                                                    t
 Shipp
     ping Corp        54.25      50.85     -6.27%
 Shree Global Trd       53.9     50.75     -5.84%              ock allocatio
                                                        coal blo           ons. Jindal alleged that he was
                                                                                       a          t
 Bajaj Elect-$
     j               225.35     213.05     -5.46%       asked fo cash to sto the negat
                                                               or          op        tive story on him.
 Tulip Telecom
     p                  40.4      38.4     -4.95%
                                                      • SpiceJet is in talks t place a $2
                                                                             to         2.7-3.6 billio aircraft
                                                                                                     on
                                                        order with Boeing, according to news rep
                                                              w                      t         ports. The
                                                        airline may order 30-40 737 MA aircraft, each one
                                                                m                    AX
                                                        costing a
                                                                around USD 90 million.




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                     (research
                                                    h@keynotecapitals.net)                   (+9122-3026
                                                                                                       66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /                     Friday                            Mond
                                                                        day                            Tuesday


   Reg
     gions                         26/Oct                             29/Oct                            30/Oct


   India




                                                         Cor Personal Consumption
                                                            re         C            n
                       Gross Dom
                               mestic Produ
                                          uct                                               S&P/Case e-Shiller Hom
                                                                                                                 me
   US                                                    Exp
                                                           penditure - Prices Index
                       Annualized (Q3)                                                      Price Indi
                                                                                                     ices (YoY) (A
                                                                                                                 Aug)
                                                         (YoY (Sep)
                                                             Y)

                       Gross Dommestic Purch
                                           hases
                                                                                            Consume Confidence (Oct)
                                                                                                  er         e
                       Price Inde (Q3)
                                ex

                       Reuters/M
                               Michigan
                       Consumer Sentiment Index
                                r
                       (Oct)




                       Spain Une
                               employment                                                   Japan Vehhicle Production
   Global                                                UK Consumer Credit (Sep)
                                                                     C
                       Survey (Q
                               Q3)                                                          (YoY) (Sep)

                                                                                            Spain Gro Domestic
                                                                                                    oss          c
                                                         Gre
                                                           eece Produce Price
                                                                      er
                                                                                            Product - Estimated (QoQ)
                                                         Inde (YoY) (Sep)
                                                            ex
                                                                                            (Q3)

                                                         Japa Unemploy
                                                            an       yment Rate             Euro Consumer Confidence
                                                         (Sep)                              (Oct)




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Disclaim
       mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor
                    ort           f            on           nd             o             rmation. News content is a attributable to
                                                                                                                                  o
various media, unles specified ot
       s            ss           therwise. All m
                                               market related statistical da pertains to the immedia
                                                            d              ata           o            ately preceding trading dayy,
unless stated otherw
                   wise. Neither the information nor any opin
                                                            nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to
                                                                           ed           ort                        an             o
make an offer, to bu or sell the s
       a           uy            securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh
                                                            n.              of                                      hall not in any
                                                                                                                                  y
way be responsible for any loss a
      e                          arising from th use of this report. Inves
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acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints.
        on         nts           ort.          t            n              to

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Keynote capitals india morning note 26 october-12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Friday October 2 2012 y, 26, Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y • The BSE Sensex gainned 48.61 po oints or 0.26 to close 6% Nam of Index me 23-Oct 25-Oct Change at 18,7558.63 and Nifty50 sur rged 13.90 points or Sens sex 18,710.02 18,758.63 1 0.26% 0.24% to close at 5,705.30 le by stocks of Auto, ed s CNX Nifty 5,691.40 5,705.30 0.24% Capital G Goods and Ba anks sectors s. BSE Mid-cap 6,649.09 6,659.20 0.15% • The expi of Octobe derivative contracts at the end iry er es BSE IT 5,697.59 5,691.82 -0.10% of the session pro oved less vvolatility, as investors focused on earnings and on hopes for cut in interest s BSE Banks 13,293.56 13,340.14 1 0.35% rates at the Reserve Bank of In e ndia's policy review on FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) Tuesday • M&M wa the top g as gainer from the BSE Se ensex. The Date e Buy Sell Net company reported 2 y 22.3% jump in standalo one PAT at 23-O Oct 2,319 1,893 427 Rs 901.8 for the quarter ended Septembe 30, 2012 8Cr er on the ba of good sales ack 22-O Oct 1,920 1,588 332 • Among t the 13 sectoral indices, e eight sectors closed in Total Oct l 43,460 32,815 10645 negative while remaining fiv e, ve sectors closed in 2012 YTD 2 537399 442146 95253 positive. Top Gainers: BSE Auto up by 0.58% BSE CG %, gained 0 0.35% and BSE Banke up by 0.35%. Top ex MF A Activity (`Cr) Losers: BBSE Realty d down by 1.3 35%, BSE HC snapped C by 0.35% and BSE Te down by 0.21%. % eck y Date e Buy Sell Net • Market breadth was negative a ~0.83x as investors b s at s 22-O Oct 297 495 -198 sold larg cap stocks. On prov ge visional basi FII sold is, 22-O Oct 297 495 -198 equity o `5.5bn a of and domestic institutions bought Total Oct l 6,537 8,418 -1881 equity of `0.34bn in cash segment. f 2012 YTD 2 97980 113171 -15191 • Asia stoc dropped today, as te cks echnology firms taking a hit aft ter Apple Inc released weaker-than c. n-expected Global Markets results o overnight, w while some earnings in Asia also worked to weigh dow markets. t wn Index x Latest Valu ues Change (%) C • We expe a cautiou opening for the India markets ect us f an DJIA 13,103.68 0.20% on acc count of negative global equities and g Nasd daq 2,986 6.12 0.15% expectat tions ahead of RBI's rate cut decisio on 30th e on Nikke ei 9,042.36 -0.14% October. Hang Seng g 21,702.70 -0.49% Economic a and Corporate Developm ments * as of 8.25AM IST f • Faced with subbdued manufacturing g sector Curre ency Snapsh hot performa ance, Prim me Ministerr's key a advisor C Rangarajjan lowered the growt projectio for the d th on Future contract RBI current fiscal to 6 per cent from 6.7 per cent Latest Previous expir on re Reference R Quote Close estimate ed earlier. "The disturbing d area is 29/10/12 Rate manufaccturing, ther refore one may have to revise India Rupee per $ an 53.63 53.81 53.63 estimate downward es ds. India Rupee per € an 69.72 69.94 69.75 • A majori ity of India Inc have litttle expectations from India Rupee per £ an 86.58 85.99 86.18 RBI's seecond quart ter moneta ary policy r review on India Rupee per ¥ an 66.89 67.36 66.91 October 30 given the macro- -fundamentaals of the economy with 53 pe y, ercent not fo orseeing any reduction y * NSE Exchange in the po olicy rate, says a survey. Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • HMT is eyeing a tu urnover of Rs 1,000 cro R ore in the Previous Current Change next five years and plans to fora into aeros e ay space and Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Orien ntal Bank 293.7 314.4 7.05% manufac cture of weapons and mi issile compo onents. India abulls Fin 242.15 253.6 4.73% • The cabinet approve a proposa on Thursd ed al day to sell Bajaj Finserv j 882.6 921.6 4.42% a 10 percent stake in the state e-run NMDC Ltd via a Yes Bank B 399.35 416.5 4.29% Mahindra & Mahi 827.8 857.55 3.59% ale, Heavy In share sa ndustries Min nister Praful Patel told (BSE Mid-Cap) E reporter rs. Previous Current Change • CESC will acquire w 49.5% eq quity in FirstSource Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Solutions for Rs 280 crore.CESC is schedule to buy 0 C ed Orien ntal Bank 293.7 314.4 7.05% Tuni Textile 220.45 235 6.60% 5% each from three t FirstS Source sha areholders Jyoth Lab hy 168.6 178.95 6.14% including ICICI, Tem g masek and Fidelity. Th hereafter, Nava Bharat Ve a 176.05 186.85 6.13% CESC would provide an open o e offer at Rs 1 12.10 per India abulls Fin 242.15 253.6 4.73% share. TOP LOSERS L • Kotak Mahindra Ban could see a deteriorat nk tion in the (BSE A-Group) credit quality of its retail loan book, going forward, g Previous Current Change its chief financial off ficer said. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • JK Pape formed a joint venture with Ja er apan's Oji IRB Infra 141.2 119.05 -15.69% Have India ells 647.3 620.3 -4.17% Holdings Corporatio and Maru s on ubeni Corporation for Sun T Network TV 355.95 343.65 -3.46% manufac cturing and d sales of f corrugate ed paper Ober Realty roi 279.05 269.55 -3.40% products with plans to invest Rs 150 crore on a new s s Unite Spirits ed 1264.45 1224.8 -3.14% plant in Rajasthan. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Congres MP Navee Jindal has filed a crim ss en s minal case Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) against Zee TV fo a sting operation a or about his IRB Infra 141.2 119.05 -15.69% company's alleged involvement in the scam-tainted t Shipp ping Corp 54.25 50.85 -6.27% Shree Global Trd 53.9 50.75 -5.84% ock allocatio coal blo ons. Jindal alleged that he was a t Bajaj Elect-$ j 225.35 213.05 -5.46% asked fo cash to sto the negat or op tive story on him. Tulip Telecom p 40.4 38.4 -4.95% • SpiceJet is in talks t place a $2 to 2.7-3.6 billio aircraft on order with Boeing, according to news rep w t ports. The airline may order 30-40 737 MA aircraft, each one m AX costing a around USD 90 million. Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Friday Mond day Tuesday Reg gions 26/Oct 29/Oct 30/Oct India Cor Personal Consumption re C n Gross Dom mestic Produ uct S&P/Case e-Shiller Hom me US Exp penditure - Prices Index Annualized (Q3) Price Indi ices (YoY) (A Aug) (YoY (Sep) Y) Gross Dommestic Purch hases Consume Confidence (Oct) er e Price Inde (Q3) ex Reuters/M Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index r (Oct) Spain Une employment Japan Vehhicle Production Global UK Consumer Credit (Sep) C Survey (Q Q3) (YoY) (Sep) Spain Gro Domestic oss c Gre eece Produce Price er Product - Estimated (QoQ) Inde (YoY) (Sep) ex (Q3) Japa Unemploy an yment Rate Euro Consumer Confidence (Sep) (Oct) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to