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India Morning Note
    a       g
Mond
   day, June 11, 2012

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                    Jun 7        Jun 8   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets rose for the fifth straight tr
                                                                 an         s                                  rading
 Sensex             16,649.05     16,718.87      0.42%       sess
                                                                sion on Fridday and att  tained their highest closing
                                                                                                     r
                                                             level in 4-1/2 wweeks on h  hopes the Reserve Ba ank of
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,049.65     5,068.35      0.37%
                                                             India (RBI) will cut inte
                                                                 a                       erest rates at mid-qu uarter
 BSE Mid-cap          5,975.23     5,988.21      0.22%
                                                             monnetary policy review on 18 June 2012 to pro up op
 BSE IT               5,659.37     5,617.05     -0.75%       slow
                                                                wing econom my. Comme    ents from Ashima Goy
                                                                                                     A         yal, a
 BSE Banks          11,455.49     11,513.80      0.51%       memmber of the RBI's tec
                                                                             e           chnical advvisory comm
                                                                                                              mittee
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       that RBI has some room to provide a mon
                                                                                         m                    netary
                                                             stimulus to the economy raised ho
                                                                             e          y,          opes the central
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             bank will cut po
                                                                 k          olicy rates to prop up slowing economy.
                                                                                         o
 07-Jun                 2,740         2,000        741
                                                           • The gains on Frriday came despite rising worries about
 06-Jun                 3,329         3,160        169
                                                             the global economy given the lack of clarity about
                                                                                       n
 Tota Jun
    al                 10,629        11,061        -432         ential U.S. monetary s
                                                             pote                     stimulus, worries Chin will
                                                                                                 w           na
 2012 YTD             293,663      252,156       41506       post weak dat on Satu
                                                                t           ta        urday, and concerns about
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      Span
                                                                nish banking woes.
                                                                            g

 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net     • FMCG stocks extended recent gains triggere by ed
 07-Jun                   285          280            5
                                                                 val of mons
                                                             arriv         soon in Kerala early this week. Good
                                                             mon nsoon may b
                                                                           boost farm i
                                                                                      incomes and rural cons
                                                                                                           sumer
 06-Jun                   831          361         470
                                                             spennding.
 Tota Jun
    al                  2,508         1,685        823
                                                           • L&T rose 2.53% as the company ann
                                                                            %                      nounced tha L&T
                                                                                                              at
 2012 YTD              56,372        62,016       -5644
                                                             Ship
                                                                pbuilding, a subsidiary of the comp pany has ba
                                                                                                              agged
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 orde
                                                                ers valued at `483
                                                                            d           3Cr for four specialized
                                                                                                    f
                                      NSE          BSE       commercial ves ssels in Q1 June 2012.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                61.98         18.59    • Mark breadth was flat at ~1.01x as investors bought
                                                                 ket
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,741         1,971      large cap stoc
                                                                 e          cks. On pro
                                                                                      ovisional ba
                                                                                                 asis, FIIs b
                                                                                                            bought
 Advances                             690         1,371      equity of `2.02bn while domestic institutions sold
                                                                                                            s
                                                             equity of `0.81b in cash segment.
                                                                            bn
 Declines                             750         1,357
 Unchanged                             97          118     • Asian stock markets rose s sharply today, after ne
                                                                                                              ews of
                                                             a pla to shore up Spanish banks, reduced the g
                                                                 an         e           h                     global
 Tota
    al                              1,537         2,846
                                                             worrries on Euro
                                                                            opean crisis.
                                                                                        .
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                           • We expect a gap up openin for the In
                                                                  e                     ng      ndian marke
                                                                                                          ets, as
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     the easing worries over Spain and expectatio ons of
 DJIA
    A                            12,554.20       0.75%       rising liquidity across glob econom
                                                                                        bal    mies and in India
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,858.42       0.97%       would spur the markets.
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,616.79       1.86%     Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Hang Seng *                     18,872.93       2.00%     • Inter
                                                                 rest rates in India are not too high to affect
                                                                                               o
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      growwth, Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor K.C.
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     Chakkrabarty sai on Friday
                                                                            id        y.
                                    Latest     Previous    • Planning Comm  mission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh
                                    Quote         Close         uwalia today pegged t
                                                             Ahlu            y         the growth forecast fo the
                                                                                                            or
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.42        54.95      curre
                                                                 ent fiscal a 6.5-7% saying economic recov
                                                                            at                             very is
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.31        69.04      expeected only in the secon quarter.
                                                                                       nd
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              85.93        84.10    • Chie Economic Adviser Ka
                                                                 ef                     aushik Basu has warned that
                                                                                                                  d
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,598.00     1,590.10      if the Eurozone breaks up finally, it will hit India in the
                                                                   e
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.69        28.47      face as the couuntry is unlikely to have the streng to
                                                                                                                  gth
                                                             over rcome that c
                                                                             crisis.

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                • Ashok Leyland announced it had sup
                                                                             d         pplied 100 o its
                                                                                                  of
                   Previous   Currennt   Change           con’ brand buses to Ghana against an o
                                                      ‘Falc                                       order
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       wort $7.6mn (
                                                          th        (`42Cr).
 Sun TV Network     236.10
                         0     257.65      9.13
                                                    • Termming the w week-long st trike by woorkers for w
                                                                                                        wage
 HDIL
    L                68.75
                         5      72.80      5.89
                                                      hike as 'illegal', the Arvind Ltd's management on
                                                          e                                 m
 India
     abulls Fin     222.90
                         0     233.35      4.69       Sunday threate  ened strict legal action if the wor
                                                                                             n          rkers
 Relia
     ance Infra     482.50
                         0     501.90      4.02       fail to turn up fo work on Monday.
                                                           t           or
 JSW ENERGY          45.40
                         0      47.10      3.74
                                                    • The government will dec   cide if incumbent tele  ecom
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  operators like A
                                                                     Airtel, Vodaffone and Ta Teleserv
                                                                                             ata        vices
                                                      have to pay a market-      -discovered price for the
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                         specctrum they currently hold. "Sp
                                                                     y                      pectrum pri  icing
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Jet A India
     Air            339.85     363.80       7.05      polic is about what is the need to pa or not to pay
                                                          cy                    e            ay
 Tata Coffee
    a               847.15     901.30       6.39      (by the existin operators as far as the spect
                                                                    ng            s)                     trum
 HDIL
    L                68.75      72.80       5.89      they already h
                                                         y           hold is conncerned," a source in the
 Berg Paints
    ger             141.65     148.90       5.12      Deppartment of Telecommu   unications (D
                                                                                             DoT) said.
 Rallis India       134.20     140.65       4.81    • Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (BHEL) may not join
                                                      hands with steel maker Rashtriya Ispat Nigam
                                                                                            a
TOP LOSERS                                            Limited (RINL) and MECO Ltd for the propo
                                                                               ON           r        osed
                                                      `2,0
                                                         000Cr joint v
                                                                     venture tha plans to set up a fac
                                                                               at           s        ctory
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                      at Vizag for ma
                                                         V          anufacturing steel for co sectors.
                                                                               g            ore
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                       • ONGGC is inte  erested in acquiring West Be   engal
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Auro
    obindo Phar     110.00
                         0    106.45
                                   5       -3.23      government's s stake in ail
                                                                                ling Haldia Petrochemicals
 God
   drej Cons        575.95
                         5    558.70
                                   0       -3.00      Ltd (HPL), a top company o
                                                                     p          official said.
                                                                                             .
 Glen
    nmark Pharm
              m     375.15
                         5    366.95
                                   5       -2.19    • Mahhindra Satya approve the mer
                                                                      am       ed       rger of the firm
 Unit
    ted Spirits     639.20
                         0    626.75
                                   5       -1.95      with its parent company Te
                                                         h                     ech Mahindra.
 Dab India
   bur              105.70
                         0    103.70
                                   0       -1.89    • The Reserve B Bank of Ind has app
                                                                                dia         proved Relia
                                                                                                       ance
                                                      Capital's `1,4550Cr stake sale in it mutual fund
                                                                                            ts
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                      busi
                                                         iness unit to Japan's Nippon Life.
                                                                     o
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                       US markets
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 BEM
   ML               407.95     385.40      -5.53    US markets on Fr riday reportted their be week ye for
                                                                                            est      et
 India Cements
     a               76.25      72.70      -4.66    the year as invesstors took a hopeful view that Europe
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d     83.80      79.95      -4.59    would move to coombat its ec conomic cris including an
                                                                                             sis,
 S Mo
    obility          47.95      45.80      -4.48          pated recapitalization of Spanish ba
                                                    anticip                       f          anks.
 Auro
    obindo Phar     110.00     106.45      -3.23    The Do Jones Ind
                                                         ow           dustrial rose 93.24 points, or 0.8% to
                                                                                  e                     %,
                                                    12,554
                                                         4.20. The S& 500 Inde climbed 10.66 point or
                                                                      &P         ex                     ts,
                                                    0.8%, to 1,325.65. The Nas    sdaq Composite advan   nced
                                                    27.40 points, or 1% to 2,858.42.
                                                          p           %,




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)              (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /              Mon
                               nday                     Tuesday                  Wed
                                                                                   dnesday                    Thursday

   Reg
     gions                    11-Jun                     12
                                                          2-Jun                     13-Jun
                                                                                    1                          14-Jun

   Ind
     dia                                        Index of I
                                                         Industrial                                     WPI based Inflation
                                                Productio (IIP) for
                                                        on                                             for the month of
                                                April 2012                                             May 2012




   US                                           Monthly b
                                                        budget             Retail Sa
                                                                                   ales                Capacit utilization
                                                                                                             ty          n
                                                statemen
                                                       nt

                                                                           Business Inventorie
                                                                                  s          es




   Glo
     obal            Germany Wholesale          UK indust
                                                        trial              Germany CPI Data
                                                                                 y
                     Price Index                productio
                                                        on

                     Japan Corporate            UK Trade balance
                                                       e
                     goods pric index
                              ce

                     UK Housin price
                             ng
                     balance




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
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acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 11-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Mond day, June 11, 2012 Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 7 Jun 8 Change (%) ) • India markets rose for the fifth straight tr an s rading Sensex 16,649.05 16,718.87 0.42% sess sion on Fridday and att tained their highest closing r level in 4-1/2 wweeks on h hopes the Reserve Ba ank of CNX Nifty X 5,049.65 5,068.35 0.37% India (RBI) will cut inte a erest rates at mid-qu uarter BSE Mid-cap 5,975.23 5,988.21 0.22% monnetary policy review on 18 June 2012 to pro up op BSE IT 5,659.37 5,617.05 -0.75% slow wing econom my. Comme ents from Ashima Goy A yal, a BSE Banks 11,455.49 11,513.80 0.51% memmber of the RBI's tec e chnical advvisory comm mittee FII A Activity (`Cr) that RBI has some room to provide a mon m netary stimulus to the economy raised ho e y, opes the central Date e Buy Sell Net bank will cut po k olicy rates to prop up slowing economy. o 07-Jun 2,740 2,000 741 • The gains on Frriday came despite rising worries about 06-Jun 3,329 3,160 169 the global economy given the lack of clarity about n Tota Jun al 10,629 11,061 -432 ential U.S. monetary s pote stimulus, worries Chin will w na 2012 YTD 293,663 252,156 41506 post weak dat on Satu t ta urday, and concerns about MF A Activity (`Cr) Span nish banking woes. g Date e Buy Sell Net • FMCG stocks extended recent gains triggere by ed 07-Jun 285 280 5 val of mons arriv soon in Kerala early this week. Good mon nsoon may b boost farm i incomes and rural cons sumer 06-Jun 831 361 470 spennding. Tota Jun al 2,508 1,685 823 • L&T rose 2.53% as the company ann % nounced tha L&T at 2012 YTD 56,372 62,016 -5644 Ship pbuilding, a subsidiary of the comp pany has ba agged Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines orde ers valued at `483 d 3Cr for four specialized f NSE BSE commercial ves ssels in Q1 June 2012. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 61.98 18.59 • Mark breadth was flat at ~1.01x as investors bought ket Turn nover (`Cr) 9,741 1,971 large cap stoc e cks. On pro ovisional ba asis, FIIs b bought Advances 690 1,371 equity of `2.02bn while domestic institutions sold s equity of `0.81b in cash segment. bn Declines 750 1,357 Unchanged 97 118 • Asian stock markets rose s sharply today, after ne ews of a pla to shore up Spanish banks, reduced the g an e h global Tota al 1,537 2,846 worrries on Euro opean crisis. . Glob Markets bal • We expect a gap up openin for the In e ng ndian marke ets, as Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) the easing worries over Spain and expectatio ons of DJIA A 12,554.20 0.75% rising liquidity across glob econom bal mies and in India NAS SDAQ 2,858.42 0.97% would spur the markets. Nikk * kei 8,616.79 1.86% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Hang Seng * 18,872.93 2.00% • Inter rest rates in India are not too high to affect o * as o 8.25AM IST of growwth, Reserve Bank of India Deputy Governor K.C. Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s Chakkrabarty sai on Friday id y. Latest Previous • Planning Comm mission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Quote Close uwalia today pegged t Ahlu y the growth forecast fo the or Indian Rupee per $ 55.42 54.95 curre ent fiscal a 6.5-7% saying economic recov at very is Indian Rupee per € 69.31 69.04 expeected only in the secon quarter. nd NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 85.93 84.10 • Chie Economic Adviser Ka ef aushik Basu has warned that d Gold ($/oz) d 1,598.00 1,590.10 if the Eurozone breaks up finally, it will hit India in the e Silve ($/oz) er 28.69 28.47 face as the couuntry is unlikely to have the streng to gth over rcome that c crisis. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Ashok Leyland announced it had sup d pplied 100 o its of Previous Currennt Change con’ brand buses to Ghana against an o ‘Falc order Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) wort $7.6mn ( th (`42Cr). Sun TV Network 236.10 0 257.65 9.13 • Termming the w week-long st trike by woorkers for w wage HDIL L 68.75 5 72.80 5.89 hike as 'illegal', the Arvind Ltd's management on e m India abulls Fin 222.90 0 233.35 4.69 Sunday threate ened strict legal action if the wor n rkers Relia ance Infra 482.50 0 501.90 4.02 fail to turn up fo work on Monday. t or JSW ENERGY 45.40 0 47.10 3.74 • The government will dec cide if incumbent tele ecom (BSE Mid-Cap) E operators like A Airtel, Vodaffone and Ta Teleserv ata vices have to pay a market- -discovered price for the Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e specctrum they currently hold. "Sp y pectrum pri icing Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Jet A India Air 339.85 363.80 7.05 polic is about what is the need to pa or not to pay cy e ay Tata Coffee a 847.15 901.30 6.39 (by the existin operators as far as the spect ng s) trum HDIL L 68.75 72.80 5.89 they already h y hold is conncerned," a source in the Berg Paints ger 141.65 148.90 5.12 Deppartment of Telecommu unications (D DoT) said. Rallis India 134.20 140.65 4.81 • Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (BHEL) may not join hands with steel maker Rashtriya Ispat Nigam a TOP LOSERS Limited (RINL) and MECO Ltd for the propo ON r osed `2,0 000Cr joint v venture tha plans to set up a fac at s ctory (BSE A-Group) E at Vizag for ma V anufacturing steel for co sectors. g ore Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • ONGGC is inte erested in acquiring West Be engal Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Auro obindo Phar 110.00 0 106.45 5 -3.23 government's s stake in ail ling Haldia Petrochemicals God drej Cons 575.95 5 558.70 0 -3.00 Ltd (HPL), a top company o p official said. . Glen nmark Pharm m 375.15 5 366.95 5 -2.19 • Mahhindra Satya approve the mer am ed rger of the firm Unit ted Spirits 639.20 0 626.75 5 -1.95 with its parent company Te h ech Mahindra. Dab India bur 105.70 0 103.70 0 -1.89 • The Reserve B Bank of Ind has app dia proved Relia ance Capital's `1,4550Cr stake sale in it mutual fund ts (BSE Mid-Cap) E busi iness unit to Japan's Nippon Life. o Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e US markets Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) BEM ML 407.95 385.40 -5.53 US markets on Fr riday reportted their be week ye for est et India Cements a 76.25 72.70 -4.66 the year as invesstors took a hopeful view that Europe Shre Global Trd ee d 83.80 79.95 -4.59 would move to coombat its ec conomic cris including an sis, S Mo obility 47.95 45.80 -4.48 pated recapitalization of Spanish ba anticip f anks. Auro obindo Phar 110.00 106.45 -3.23 The Do Jones Ind ow dustrial rose 93.24 points, or 0.8% to e %, 12,554 4.20. The S& 500 Inde climbed 10.66 point or &P ex ts, 0.8%, to 1,325.65. The Nas sdaq Composite advan nced 27.40 points, or 1% to 2,858.42. p %, Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Mon nday Tuesday Wed dnesday Thursday Reg gions 11-Jun 12 2-Jun 13-Jun 1 14-Jun Ind dia Index of I Industrial WPI based Inflation Productio (IIP) for on for the month of April 2012 May 2012 US Monthly b budget Retail Sa ales Capacit utilization ty n statemen nt Business Inventorie s es Glo obal Germany Wholesale UK indust trial Germany CPI Data y Price Index productio on Japan Corporate UK Trade balance e goods pric index ce UK Housin price ng balance KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.