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India Morning Note
    a       g
Frida June 08, 2012
    ay,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                    Jun 6        Jun 7   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets rose for a fourth con
                                                                  an                              nsecutive se
                                                                                                             ession
                                                             yestterday to it highest c
                                                                            ts         close since May 7, ridding a
 Sensex             16,454.30     16,649.05      1.18%
                                                             globbal rally oon continueed expecta ations mon netary
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,997.10     5,049.65      1.05%
                                                             stimulus at hom and abro
                                                                            me          oad would spark a reccovery
 BSE Mid-cap          5,932.30     5,975.23      0.72%       in risk assets. Prime Min nister Manmmohan Sing on
                                                                                                             gh
 BSE IT               5,638.81     5,659.37      0.36%       Wed dnesday    announced
                                                                            a             a   big   push   to   the
 BSE Banks          11,218.78     11,455.49      2.11%       infra
                                                                 astructure sector to revive sagging economic
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       growwth, also boost the mar
                                                                                       rket sentime
                                                                                                  ents.
                                                           • The BSE Sensex rose 194.75 poin       nts or 1.18
                                                                                                             8% to
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             16,6
                                                                649.05, its h
                                                                            highest clos
                                                                                       sing level since 7 May 2012.
 06-Jun                 3,329         3,160        169       The index jump ped 226.29 points at the day's high of
                                                                                                   t
 05-Jun                 1,237         1,866        -629      16,6
                                                                680.59 in lat trade.
                                                                            te
 Tota Jun
    al                  7,888         9,061       -1173    • Interrest rate se
                                                                             ensitive banking, auto and realty s
                                                                                                    a          stocks
 2012 YTD             290,922      250,156       40765       exteended recen gains trig
                                                                             nt         ggered by hopes the RBI will
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      cut interest ra ates at mi  id-quarter monetary policy
                                                             revie on 18 Ju
                                                                  ew          une 2012 to prop up slowing eco
                                                                                         o          s         onomy
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       after data rele
                                                                  r          eased by t  the government last week
 06-Jun                   831          361         470       showwed India's economy grew 5.3% in Q4 March 2012,
                                                                                                    n
 05-Jun                   650          359         291       its slowest pace of expansion in nearly a decade.
                                                                             e                      y
 Tota Jun
    al                  2,223         1,405        818     • Data on industr
                                                                 a         rial producti
                                                                                       ion for April 2012 due on 12
                                                                                                   l
 2012 YTD              56,087        61,736       -5649      June 2012 and inflation for May 2012 due on 14 June
                                                                e                                 2          4
                                                             2012 could pro
                                                                 2         ovide cues on the central bank's likely
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines
                                                             polic stance a mid-quar
                                                                 cy        at         rter moneta ary policy r
                                                                                                             review
                                      NSE          BSE       on 18 June 2012
                                                                1          2.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                65.15         20.44    • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.3
                                                                             h                   30x as inve estors
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                    10,686         2,177      bougght large c cap stocks. On provis
                                                                                                 sional basis FIIs
                                                                                                             s,
 Advances                             848         1,527      bougght equity of `6.75bn while dommestic institu
                                                                                                             utions
 Declines                             589         1,172      sold equity of `0
                                                                             0.34bn in ca segmen
                                                                                        ash     nt.
 Unchanged                            101          125     • Asian shares drropped toda on profit taking an the
                                                                                        ay,                   nd
                                                             unexxpected cut in the inter
                                                                            t           rest rates by China whi the
                                                                                                    y         ile
 Tota
    al                              1,538         2,824
                                                             U.S. remained silent about the prosp  pect of adding to
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       its monetary sti
                                                                 m          imulus.
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )   • We expect Indi  ian markets to decline in the op
                                                                                        s          e         pening
 DJIA
    A                            12,460.96       0.37%       trades, followin the cues from the Asian ma
                                                                            ng                    e          arkets.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,831.02      -0.48%       Howwever, rising perception that the interest rate will
                                                                            g           n                     es
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,470.35      -1.96%
                                                             be cut in the next mon
                                                                 c                      netary polic meeting and
                                                                                                   cy         g
                                                             rupe
                                                                ee's apprec ciation will give some support t the
                                                                                                  e           to
 Hang Seng *                     18,577.15      -0.54%
                                                             stocks.
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                   • India refiners cut imports from Iran by 38% in May
                                                                 an                     s        n         n
                                    Latest     Previous      from a year ag tanker d
                                                                m           go,        discharge da showed in a
                                                                                                  ata     d,
                                    Quote         Close      seco
                                                                ond month of steep reductions as they s    switch
 Indian Rupee per $                  54.95        55.36      supppliers to cushion the impact of new US sanctions
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.04        69.63      on Tehran.
                                                                T
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              83.16        84.82    • Rain were 36% below ave
                                                                ns         %           erage in the week to Ju
                                                                                                  e          une 6,
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,569.00     1,586.60      the weather of ffice said o Thursday, reflecting the
                                                                                       on
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.23        28.53      delay in the arrival of the seasonal rains over K
                                                                                       e          r          Kerala
                                                             from the usual J
                                                                m           June 1 start date.

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                • ICIC Bank and Yes Bank to
                                                         CI                    oday signed a collabora
                                                                                           d         ative
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       deal with the Export -I
                                                                    e          Import Ban of Mala
                                                                                           nk        aysia
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       Berhhad (Exim B
                                                                    Bank) to enhance trade especially for
                                                                                           e,        y
 Relia
     ance Cap       314.55
                         5     337.10      7.17       palm oil, betwe
                                                         m          een the two countries.
 TTK Prestige      2771.15
                         5    2953.90      6.59
                                                    • Baja Auto launched the Pulsar 200NS for the
                                                         aj                     e      2
 Zee Entert         130.40
                         0     136.90      4.98       Mahharashtra market priced at `84,096/- ex-
 Glen
    nmark Pharm
              m     359.30
                         0     375.15      4.41       show
                                                         wroom, Pu  une after having showcased it in
 Volt
    tas              99.00
                         0     103.00      4.04       Janu
                                                         uary this yea at the Au Show.
                                                                     ar        uto
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                • JSW Steel expe ects to normalize stee productio at
                                                                                            el        on
                                                      its 10 million tonne pe annum steel plant at
                                                                                er
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                         Toraanagal in B
                                                                    Bellary distr
                                                                                rict within the next tw to
                                                                                            t         wo
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Himadri Chem        28.00      31.00     10.71       thre months, once the regular ir
                                                         ee                                 ron ore mining
 Delt Corp
    ta               61.35      67.20       9.54      resu
                                                         umes in Karnataka.
 Rallis India       124.05     135.30       9.07    • Stat Bank of India has reduced short-term r
                                                          te                                    retail
 Baja Hind
    aj               25.95      28.10       8.29      term deposit rates by 2 basis points (bps), as
                                                         m                      25
 Pola
    aris Fin Tec    107.50     116.05       7.95      liquidity in the system has improved.
                                                    US markets
TOP LOSERS
                                                    US stoc mostly declined aft a gap up opening, a
                                                          cks                  ter     p          after
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                Federa Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says the
                                                         al
                   Previous   Currennt   Change     central bank woul review th economy before ma
                                                          l           ld       he      y         aking
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)     a decis
                                                          sion on furth stimulus
                                                                      her      s.
 Strid Arco
     des            736.85
                         5    712.20
                                   0       -3.35
 Tata Comm
    a               225.85
                         5    220.10
                                   0       -2.55
 IRB Infra          122.20
                         0    119.75
                                   5       -2.00
 Wipro              408.50
                         0    400.70
                                   0       -1.91
 HPC
   CL               301.10
                         0    295.40
                                   0       -1.89

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 S Mo
    obility          49.90      47.55      -4.71
 Mind
    dtree           634.70     608.00      -4.21
 FAG Bearings
   G               1525.00    1465.00      -3.93
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d     86.60      83.60      -3.46
 Strid Arco
     des            736.85     712.20      -3.35




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)           (+912
                                                                                        22-3026600
                                                                                                 00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /               Fri
                                iday                    Mo
                                                         onday                     Tu
                                                                                    uesday                  We
                                                                                                             ednesday

   Reg
     gions                    8-
                               -Jun                      11
                                                          1-Jun                     12-Jun
                                                                                    1                          13-Jun

   Ind
     dia             Forex Reserves Data                                   Index of Industrial
                                                                           Production (IIP) for
                                                                           April 201
                                                                                   12

                     Bank Loan Growth
                             n




   US                Trade Bala
                              ance                                         Monthly budget              Retail Sales
                                                                                                              S
                                                                           statement

                     Wholesalee                                                                        Busines Inventorie
                                                                                                             ss         es
                     Inventorie
                              es(Apr)



   Glo
     obal            Japan Eco Watchers         Germany Wholesale
                                                        y                  UK indus
                                                                                  strial               German CPI Data
                                                                                                            ny
                     Survey (Current &          Price Inde
                                                         ex                production
                     Outlook)

                     UK Produc Price
                               cer              Japan Corporate            UK Trade balance
                                                                                  e
                     Index - Inp (YoY &
                               put              goods pri index
                                                        ice
                     MoM)n.s.a a

                     UK Produc Price
                              cer               UK Housing price
                     Index - Ou
                              utput (YoY        balance
                     & MoM)n.ss.a




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                    Tel. : +9
                                            9122-30266
                                                     6000         •   www
                                                                        w.keynotec
                                                                                 capitals.com
                                                                                            m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 8-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Frida June 08, 2012 ay, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 6 Jun 7 Change (%) ) • India markets rose for a fourth con an nsecutive se ession yestterday to it highest c ts close since May 7, ridding a Sensex 16,454.30 16,649.05 1.18% globbal rally oon continueed expecta ations mon netary CNX Nifty X 4,997.10 5,049.65 1.05% stimulus at hom and abro me oad would spark a reccovery BSE Mid-cap 5,932.30 5,975.23 0.72% in risk assets. Prime Min nister Manmmohan Sing on gh BSE IT 5,638.81 5,659.37 0.36% Wed dnesday announced a a big push to the BSE Banks 11,218.78 11,455.49 2.11% infra astructure sector to revive sagging economic FII A Activity (`Cr) growwth, also boost the mar rket sentime ents. • The BSE Sensex rose 194.75 poin nts or 1.18 8% to Date e Buy Sell Net 16,6 649.05, its h highest clos sing level since 7 May 2012. 06-Jun 3,329 3,160 169 The index jump ped 226.29 points at the day's high of t 05-Jun 1,237 1,866 -629 16,6 680.59 in lat trade. te Tota Jun al 7,888 9,061 -1173 • Interrest rate se ensitive banking, auto and realty s a stocks 2012 YTD 290,922 250,156 40765 exteended recen gains trig nt ggered by hopes the RBI will MF A Activity (`Cr) cut interest ra ates at mi id-quarter monetary policy revie on 18 Ju ew une 2012 to prop up slowing eco o s onomy Date e Buy Sell Net after data rele r eased by t the government last week 06-Jun 831 361 470 showwed India's economy grew 5.3% in Q4 March 2012, n 05-Jun 650 359 291 its slowest pace of expansion in nearly a decade. e y Tota Jun al 2,223 1,405 818 • Data on industr a rial producti ion for April 2012 due on 12 l 2012 YTD 56,087 61,736 -5649 June 2012 and inflation for May 2012 due on 14 June e 2 4 2012 could pro 2 ovide cues on the central bank's likely Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines polic stance a mid-quar cy at rter moneta ary policy r review NSE BSE on 18 June 2012 1 2. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 65.15 20.44 • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.3 h 30x as inve estors Turn nover (`Cr) 10,686 2,177 bougght large c cap stocks. On provis sional basis FIIs s, Advances 848 1,527 bougght equity of `6.75bn while dommestic institu utions Declines 589 1,172 sold equity of `0 0.34bn in ca segmen ash nt. Unchanged 101 125 • Asian shares drropped toda on profit taking an the ay, nd unexxpected cut in the inter t rest rates by China whi the y ile Tota al 1,538 2,824 U.S. remained silent about the prosp pect of adding to Glob Markets bal its monetary sti m imulus. Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) • We expect Indi ian markets to decline in the op s e pening DJIA A 12,460.96 0.37% trades, followin the cues from the Asian ma ng e arkets. NAS SDAQ 2,831.02 -0.48% Howwever, rising perception that the interest rate will g n es Nikk * kei 8,470.35 -1.96% be cut in the next mon c netary polic meeting and cy g rupe ee's apprec ciation will give some support t the e to Hang Seng * 18,577.15 -0.54% stocks. * as o 8.25AM IST of Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s • India refiners cut imports from Iran by 38% in May an s n n Latest Previous from a year ag tanker d m go, discharge da showed in a ata d, Quote Close seco ond month of steep reductions as they s switch Indian Rupee per $ 54.95 55.36 supppliers to cushion the impact of new US sanctions Indian Rupee per € 69.04 69.63 on Tehran. T NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 83.16 84.82 • Rain were 36% below ave ns % erage in the week to Ju e une 6, Gold ($/oz) d 1,569.00 1,586.60 the weather of ffice said o Thursday, reflecting the on Silve ($/oz) er 28.23 28.53 delay in the arrival of the seasonal rains over K e r Kerala from the usual J m June 1 start date. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • ICIC Bank and Yes Bank to CI oday signed a collabora d ative Previous Currennt Change deal with the Export -I e Import Ban of Mala nk aysia Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Berhhad (Exim B Bank) to enhance trade especially for e, y Relia ance Cap 314.55 5 337.10 7.17 palm oil, betwe m een the two countries. TTK Prestige 2771.15 5 2953.90 6.59 • Baja Auto launched the Pulsar 200NS for the aj e 2 Zee Entert 130.40 0 136.90 4.98 Mahharashtra market priced at `84,096/- ex- Glen nmark Pharm m 359.30 0 375.15 4.41 show wroom, Pu une after having showcased it in Volt tas 99.00 0 103.00 4.04 Janu uary this yea at the Au Show. ar uto (BSE Mid-Cap) E • JSW Steel expe ects to normalize stee productio at el on its 10 million tonne pe annum steel plant at er Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Toraanagal in B Bellary distr rict within the next tw to t wo Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Himadri Chem 28.00 31.00 10.71 thre months, once the regular ir ee ron ore mining Delt Corp ta 61.35 67.20 9.54 resu umes in Karnataka. Rallis India 124.05 135.30 9.07 • Stat Bank of India has reduced short-term r te retail Baja Hind aj 25.95 28.10 8.29 term deposit rates by 2 basis points (bps), as m 25 Pola aris Fin Tec 107.50 116.05 7.95 liquidity in the system has improved. US markets TOP LOSERS US stoc mostly declined aft a gap up opening, a cks ter p after (BSE A-Group) E Federa Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says the al Previous Currennt Change central bank woul review th economy before ma l ld he y aking Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) a decis sion on furth stimulus her s. Strid Arco des 736.85 5 712.20 0 -3.35 Tata Comm a 225.85 5 220.10 0 -2.55 IRB Infra 122.20 0 119.75 5 -2.00 Wipro 408.50 0 400.70 0 -1.91 HPC CL 301.10 0 295.40 0 -1.89 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) S Mo obility 49.90 47.55 -4.71 Mind dtree 634.70 608.00 -4.21 FAG Bearings G 1525.00 1465.00 -3.93 Shre Global Trd ee d 86.60 83.60 -3.46 Strid Arco des 736.85 712.20 -3.35 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Fri iday Mo onday Tu uesday We ednesday Reg gions 8- -Jun 11 1-Jun 12-Jun 1 13-Jun Ind dia Forex Reserves Data Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for April 201 12 Bank Loan Growth n US Trade Bala ance Monthly budget Retail Sales S statement Wholesalee Busines Inventorie ss es Inventorie es(Apr) Glo obal Japan Eco Watchers Germany Wholesale y UK indus strial German CPI Data ny Survey (Current & Price Inde ex production Outlook) UK Produc Price cer Japan Corporate UK Trade balance e Index - Inp (YoY & put goods pri index ice MoM)n.s.a a UK Produc Price cer UK Housing price Index - Ou utput (YoY balance & MoM)n.ss.a KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.