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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                   10th September 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.        Markets move higher on low participation
 BSE SENSEX                17749.65          0.37
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5358.70          0.31      Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY SEPT. FUT.           5380.20          0.39      markets witnessed a positive opening. Steady buying support
 India VIX                   14.76           -3.27     was witnessed as markets moved higher. The markets
                                                       managed to hold on to the gains on this truncated trading
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 day. The markets did not show any signs of weakness as
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    follow up buying support emerged. The markets ended the
Support           5333       5250            5215      day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the day.
Resistance        5386       5464            5500      The top gainers for the day were Cipla, Sesa Goa, Sterlite,
                                                       Dr. Reddys, Hindalco, Jindal Steel, Ranbaxy, Tata Motors,
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Tata Steel and SAIL.
50 Day SMA                  5275.60
100 Day SMA                 5160.75                    Technically, the market breadth remained robust,
200 Day SMA                 5136.59        ◄Critical
                                                       indicating broad based buying support. The global
                                                       market cues are positive. The domestic markets are
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       likely to witness a gap up opening. The prevailing
Advances                     1559             872      technical positives continued to trigger buying support
Declines                      692             446      on the bourses. These positive technical conditions
Same                          101               70
                                                       continue to hold good. The Stochastic, RSI and KST all
                                                       are placed above their respective averages. More so the
Total                        2352            1388
                                                       KST is placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains
A/D Ratio                   2.25 : 1        1.96 : 1
                                                       placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
               08/09/12    07/09/12         % Chg.
                                                       above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later
                                                       being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive
BSE              369         1748           -78.89
                                                       conditions would lead to further buying support.
NSE              756         5207           -85.48
                                                       However, a few prevailing technical negatives continue
Total            1125        6955           -83.82     to hold good. The MACD is still placed below its average
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               and in the negative territory. The Nifty has formed a
                                                       negative divergence pattern. The Stochastic is placed
               08/09/12    07/09/12         % Chg.
                                                       near the over bought zone and would lead to profit taking
BSE             383.11      1850.17         -79.29
                                                       at higher levels. These negative technical conditions
NSE             1048.06     9870.43         -89.38     would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and
NSE F&O        12189.08    106760.72        -88.58     –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
Total          13620.25    118481.32        -88.50     trend. The market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is
                                                       important that markets witness follow up buying support
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          at higher levels for the Nifty to test the 5400 level. In the
               08/09/12    07/09/12         % Chg.     meanwhile the markets would take cues from global
Index Fut.      34522       287680          -88.00     markets, Rupee, and the crude prices. The support levels
Stock Fut.      56210       374510          -84.99     for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5215, 5118 and 5047. The
Index Opt.      347150     2210111          -84.29     Nifty faces resistance at 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607
Stock Opt.      23932       188970          -87.34
                                                       levels.
Total           461814     3061271          -66.25
                                                       NOTE: Volume, Turnover and F&O Contracts Traded data not
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE                          comparable with previous day as Trading Session on 08/09/12 was
                                                       only for 90 minutes.

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net             Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                  Stop
                                                   Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock           Close         Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)           Remarks
                                                                                                                       TGT of 130
                                                                                                                       Achieved
                                                                                                                       given Buy @
                                                                                                                       124 on
  Aurobindo Pharma       128.00      Buy Above            129          126.30      2.09         135           4.65     08/09/12
  Bank of Baroda         633.10      Buy Above             635         626.00      1.42         655           3.15
  Bharat Forge           294.45 Buy Above             298     290.35               2.57         315           5.70
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                    S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17750                 17739     17784          17818      17896            17705        17661      17583
S&P CNX NIFTY               5359                  5356          5369       5379          5402          5346          5333      5310
NIFTY SEPT. FUT.            5380                  5377          5393       5405          5432          5365          5350      5322




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
ABB, AB Nuvo, Allahabad Bank, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, BoB, Bharat Forge, Biocon, Bombay Dying, Cipla, Dish TV,
FT, GAIL, HCL Tech; HDFC, Hexaware, Hindalco, HOECL, HUL, ICICI Bank, Idea, Infosys Tech; JP Associates, Karnataka
Bank, LIC Hsg; L&T, Lupin, M&M, Maruti, Raymond, Reliance, Rel. Infra, SBI, SCI, Sun TV, Tata Chemicals, Tata Motors,
Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra, Welcorp, Yes Bank
BPCL, ITC, Ranbaxy, United Spirits

                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




    Disclaimer
    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
    reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
    required to observe these restrictions.
    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
    upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
    jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
    objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
    We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
    though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
    with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
    own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
    material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
    those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
    risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
    price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
    match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
    Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
    update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or
    other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking
    statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment
    businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
    We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short
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    (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and
    opinions.
    The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal
    views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation
    was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
    No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior
    written consent.




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 100912

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 10th September 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets move higher on low participation BSE SENSEX 17749.65 0.37 S&P CNX NIFTY 5358.70 0.31 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5380.20 0.39 markets witnessed a positive opening. Steady buying support India VIX 14.76 -3.27 was witnessed as markets moved higher. The markets managed to hold on to the gains on this truncated trading S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels day. The markets did not show any signs of weakness as Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 follow up buying support emerged. The markets ended the Support 5333 5250 5215 day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the day. Resistance 5386 5464 5500 The top gainers for the day were Cipla, Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Dr. Reddys, Hindalco, Jindal Steel, Ranbaxy, Tata Motors, Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Tata Steel and SAIL. 50 Day SMA 5275.60 100 Day SMA 5160.75 Technically, the market breadth remained robust, 200 Day SMA 5136.59 ◄Critical indicating broad based buying support. The global market cues are positive. The domestic markets are Market Breadth * BSE NSE likely to witness a gap up opening. The prevailing Advances 1559 872 technical positives continued to trigger buying support Declines 692 446 on the bourses. These positive technical conditions Same 101 70 continue to hold good. The Stochastic, RSI and KST all are placed above their respective averages. More so the Total 2352 1388 KST is placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains A/D Ratio 2.25 : 1 1.96 : 1 placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day Volume (Lacs Shares) * SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed 08/09/12 07/09/12 % Chg. above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive BSE 369 1748 -78.89 conditions would lead to further buying support. NSE 756 5207 -85.48 However, a few prevailing technical negatives continue Total 1125 6955 -83.82 to hold good. The MACD is still placed below its average Turnover ( ` Crores) * and in the negative territory. The Nifty has formed a negative divergence pattern. The Stochastic is placed 08/09/12 07/09/12 % Chg. near the over bought zone and would lead to profit taking BSE 383.11 1850.17 -79.29 at higher levels. These negative technical conditions NSE 1048.06 9870.43 -89.38 would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and NSE F&O 12189.08 106760.72 -88.58 –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound Total 13620.25 118481.32 -88.50 trend. The market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that markets witness follow up buying support F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * at higher levels for the Nifty to test the 5400 level. In the 08/09/12 07/09/12 % Chg. meanwhile the markets would take cues from global Index Fut. 34522 287680 -88.00 markets, Rupee, and the crude prices. The support levels Stock Fut. 56210 374510 -84.99 for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5215, 5118 and 5047. The Index Opt. 347150 2210111 -84.29 Nifty faces resistance at 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 Stock Opt. 23932 188970 -87.34 levels. Total 461814 3061271 -66.25 NOTE: Volume, Turnover and F&O Contracts Traded data not NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE comparable with previous day as Trading Session on 08/09/12 was only for 90 minutes. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 130 Achieved given Buy @ 124 on Aurobindo Pharma 128.00 Buy Above 129 126.30 2.09 135 4.65 08/09/12 Bank of Baroda 633.10 Buy Above 635 626.00 1.42 655 3.15 Bharat Forge 294.45 Buy Above 298 290.35 2.57 315 5.70 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17750 17739 17784 17818 17896 17705 17661 17583 S&P CNX NIFTY 5359 5356 5369 5379 5402 5346 5333 5310 NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5380 5377 5393 5405 5432 5365 5350 5322 Stocks To Watch Out Today ABB, AB Nuvo, Allahabad Bank, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, BoB, Bharat Forge, Biocon, Bombay Dying, Cipla, Dish TV, FT, GAIL, HCL Tech; HDFC, Hexaware, Hindalco, HOECL, HUL, ICICI Bank, Idea, Infosys Tech; JP Associates, Karnataka Bank, LIC Hsg; L&T, Lupin, M&M, Maruti, Raymond, Reliance, Rel. Infra, SBI, SCI, Sun TV, Tata Chemicals, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra, Welcorp, Yes Bank BPCL, ITC, Ranbaxy, United Spirits Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com