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Welcome
Evaluating business ideas
Agenda
• Introduction
• Shooting Puppies
– Bryan Cassady– Brussels Director Founder Institute
• Getting to big ideas… and some thoughts on market
research
– Koen Stevens - Director BuboBox
• BREAK (10 min)
• Your turn to evaluate some business ideas
• Joining The Founder Institute program
The Program
Idea Business Launch
1. Orientation
2. Vision
3. Research
4. Revenue
5. Naming
6. Mentor Idea Review
7. Startup Legal
8. Team
9. Product
10. Mentor Progress Review
11. Sales
12. Branding
13. Fundraising
14. Graduation
By focusing hard on ideas first
70% of graduates succeed and
45% get funded
Let’s be honest ….
Most start ups have ideas only a
mother could love !
The biggest 3 mistakes of Entrepreneurs
1. Investing in the wrong business
2. Staying too long in the wrong business.. (after you
should know it is time to change…)
3. People don’t buy your product or service ‘cause they
understand why they should…
I will see it when I believe it
vs.
I will believe it when I see it
Too much research is the first type
An example: global warming
Hot summers
Warm winters
Evidence of
global warming
Cold summers
Cold winters
Evidence of
global warming
Clearly there is evidence of global warming ?!
9
Solutions …
Issues
• We often do research to check
our brilliant ideas
• SUGGING (Selling under the guise
of market research)
Solutions
• Objective criteria in place before
the research starts
– Is 35% planned purchase good or
bad
• Clearly define your biases before
you start
• Focus on insight (vs.
confirmation)
• Do regular reality checks
You’re not alone !
‘‘More than nine out of ten consumable products
launched in the last ten years offered absolutely
nothing new to the consumer.
More than eight out of ten new products fail. You
don’t need to be a statistician to realize there’s a
correlation between the two numbers.’’
-- Robert McMath
Arguing the other direction…
Why is this a bad idea…
If it fails, why will it fail…
And then deciding what can
be done about it…
A checklist for ideas…
• Is there a benefit (real or perceived)
• People willing to pay (enough)
• Cost of cut-through acceptable
• People will see the benefit buy again / recommend
to others
• Will someone hate it
13
Pets.com
Pet supplies via the
internet
Save big, save time
Stay at home
14
Kosmo.com
Instant delivery of
products purchased
via the internet in big
cities
Order a wide variety
of products, from
movies to snack
food, and get them
delivered to your
door for
free within an hour.
16
Despair.com
We hate all the senseless, wasted time on employee motivation and un-
founded optimism
We imagine you do to, buy our products and show your true colors
17
Continuous effort is the key to unlocking your potential
Winston Churchill
18
Etoys.com
The new place to
buy toys. Find you
want on the
internet
20
21
Petrock.com
Pets take a lot of
time and energy.
Your kids can have
almost as much fun
with a pet rock.
We even include a
care guide
22
23
24
Webvan.com
Buying groceries should be
easier. With webvan you
can get all your groceries,
so you have time for other
things
25
Now the most important question
Why would this business fail …
Why would it fail …
Pets.com
Kosmo
Despair.com
Etoys.com
Petrock.com
Flooz
Webvan
27
Costs per stage
Ideas, screening
Concept, analysis
Prod.
devel
Test
mktg
commercialization
The time to
Make mistakes !
Budget
Time
Can you ask the experts ???
“I think there’s a world market for about five
computers.” (President of IBM, 1943)
“TV won’t be able to hold on to any market it
captures after the first six months. People will soon
get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.”
(President of 20th Century Fox, 1946)
30
Should consumers be followed or
led ?
Mobile phone
Computers
Internet…
Not all new products are
revolutions !
There are many holes in the
markets, but fewer markets in
the holes ..
Better is not always better
Fat Bastard is priced higher,
tastes less good but outsells
Bilton 10 to 1…
A checklist …
• Talk to 20 people (that are not your friends)
• If no one hates the idea, be scared
• Ask people “if this fails” why would it fail (you’ll get a
lot more information than asking what they think of
the idea !)
• Keep it simple … check do people really understand
Koen’s Presentation
A new experiment
7 pitches
Your challenge… pick the 3
winners
1. Breathometer
2. Onesole
3. Lollacup
4. Coffee Cups
5. First Defense
6. Kevo
7. Beddies
1. Breathometer
2. Onesole
3. Lollacup
4. Coffee Cups
5. First Defense
6. Kevo
7. Beddies
1. Breathometer
2. Onesole
3. Lollacup
4. Coffee Cups
5. First Defense
6. Kevo
7. Beddies
The Elevator Pitch…
You want to be an successful entrepreneur
Our Promise:
We'll help validate your ideas and show you a fast effective way to
build a meaningful and enduring company
Proof:
World class people ready to help in Brussels
A proven track record, 70% of graduates succeed and 45% get
funded
Free applications until August 31
http://fi.co/apply/brussels

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Evaluating Ideas: How to Spot a Winner

  • 2. Agenda • Introduction • Shooting Puppies – Bryan Cassady– Brussels Director Founder Institute • Getting to big ideas… and some thoughts on market research – Koen Stevens - Director BuboBox • BREAK (10 min) • Your turn to evaluate some business ideas • Joining The Founder Institute program
  • 3. The Program Idea Business Launch 1. Orientation 2. Vision 3. Research 4. Revenue 5. Naming 6. Mentor Idea Review 7. Startup Legal 8. Team 9. Product 10. Mentor Progress Review 11. Sales 12. Branding 13. Fundraising 14. Graduation
  • 4. By focusing hard on ideas first 70% of graduates succeed and 45% get funded
  • 5. Let’s be honest …. Most start ups have ideas only a mother could love !
  • 6. The biggest 3 mistakes of Entrepreneurs 1. Investing in the wrong business 2. Staying too long in the wrong business.. (after you should know it is time to change…) 3. People don’t buy your product or service ‘cause they understand why they should…
  • 7. I will see it when I believe it vs. I will believe it when I see it Too much research is the first type
  • 8. An example: global warming Hot summers Warm winters Evidence of global warming Cold summers Cold winters Evidence of global warming Clearly there is evidence of global warming ?!
  • 9. 9 Solutions … Issues • We often do research to check our brilliant ideas • SUGGING (Selling under the guise of market research) Solutions • Objective criteria in place before the research starts – Is 35% planned purchase good or bad • Clearly define your biases before you start • Focus on insight (vs. confirmation) • Do regular reality checks
  • 10. You’re not alone ! ‘‘More than nine out of ten consumable products launched in the last ten years offered absolutely nothing new to the consumer. More than eight out of ten new products fail. You don’t need to be a statistician to realize there’s a correlation between the two numbers.’’ -- Robert McMath
  • 11. Arguing the other direction… Why is this a bad idea… If it fails, why will it fail… And then deciding what can be done about it…
  • 12. A checklist for ideas… • Is there a benefit (real or perceived) • People willing to pay (enough) • Cost of cut-through acceptable • People will see the benefit buy again / recommend to others • Will someone hate it
  • 13. 13 Pets.com Pet supplies via the internet Save big, save time Stay at home
  • 14. 14
  • 15. Kosmo.com Instant delivery of products purchased via the internet in big cities Order a wide variety of products, from movies to snack food, and get them delivered to your door for free within an hour.
  • 16. 16 Despair.com We hate all the senseless, wasted time on employee motivation and un- founded optimism We imagine you do to, buy our products and show your true colors
  • 17. 17 Continuous effort is the key to unlocking your potential Winston Churchill
  • 18. 18
  • 19. Etoys.com The new place to buy toys. Find you want on the internet
  • 20. 20
  • 21. 21 Petrock.com Pets take a lot of time and energy. Your kids can have almost as much fun with a pet rock. We even include a care guide
  • 22. 22
  • 23. 23
  • 24. 24 Webvan.com Buying groceries should be easier. With webvan you can get all your groceries, so you have time for other things
  • 25. 25
  • 26. Now the most important question Why would this business fail … Why would it fail … Pets.com Kosmo Despair.com Etoys.com Petrock.com Flooz Webvan
  • 27. 27
  • 28. Costs per stage Ideas, screening Concept, analysis Prod. devel Test mktg commercialization The time to Make mistakes ! Budget Time
  • 29. Can you ask the experts ??? “I think there’s a world market for about five computers.” (President of IBM, 1943) “TV won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.” (President of 20th Century Fox, 1946)
  • 30. 30 Should consumers be followed or led ? Mobile phone Computers Internet…
  • 31. Not all new products are revolutions ! There are many holes in the markets, but fewer markets in the holes ..
  • 32. Better is not always better Fat Bastard is priced higher, tastes less good but outsells Bilton 10 to 1…
  • 33. A checklist … • Talk to 20 people (that are not your friends) • If no one hates the idea, be scared • Ask people “if this fails” why would it fail (you’ll get a lot more information than asking what they think of the idea !) • Keep it simple … check do people really understand
  • 35. A new experiment 7 pitches Your challenge… pick the 3 winners
  • 36. 1. Breathometer 2. Onesole 3. Lollacup 4. Coffee Cups 5. First Defense 6. Kevo 7. Beddies
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44. 1. Breathometer 2. Onesole 3. Lollacup 4. Coffee Cups 5. First Defense 6. Kevo 7. Beddies
  • 45. 1. Breathometer 2. Onesole 3. Lollacup 4. Coffee Cups 5. First Defense 6. Kevo 7. Beddies
  • 46.
  • 47. The Elevator Pitch… You want to be an successful entrepreneur Our Promise: We'll help validate your ideas and show you a fast effective way to build a meaningful and enduring company Proof: World class people ready to help in Brussels A proven track record, 70% of graduates succeed and 45% get funded
  • 48. Free applications until August 31 http://fi.co/apply/brussels