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Doubling global progress on energy efficiency
Unlocking finance and investment in offshore wind power and energy efficiency in public
buildings in the Philippines
March 6, 2024
Brian Motherway, Head of the Office of Energy Efficiency and Inclusive Transitions
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 2
Doubling at the IEA 8th Annual Global Conference on Energy Efficiency
46 governments endorsed the goal of doubling global energy efficiency progress by 2030
at the 8th conference in Versailles, June 2023
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 3
Doubling global progress on energy efficiency
COP28 final text:
Calls on Parties to contribute to … doubling the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 4
What is the doubling goal?
Annual improvements in primary energy intensity (energy use per unit of GDP)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2001-10 2011-20 2021 2022 2023E 2022-30 NZE
Primary
energy
intensity
improvement
The IEA’s Net Zero by 2050 Scenario sees a doubling of annual improvement to 2030
x 2
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 5
Doubling offers substantial rewards
IEA has led the call for a global target to double energy efficiency progress this decade
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 6
Doubling is within reach of all countries
Over the past 10 years, almost every country has doubled efficiency progress at least once.​
Proportion of countries to surpass a 4% annual energy intensity improvement one or more times, 2012-2021​
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
At least once
in 10 years
At least twice
in 10 years
At least three times
in 10 years
At least four times
in 10 years
At least five times
in 10 years
Proportion
of
countries
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 7
Achieving the goal requires action across sectors
Key actions include fuel switching, including electrification; improving the technical efficiency of products
and buildings; and avoided demand through behaviour change and materials efficiency
Actions contributing to a doubling in the rate of annual primary energy intensity improvements in the NZE Scenario
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2022 Clean
cooking
Technical
efficiency
Avoided
demand
2030
NZE
Power
Buildings
Transport
Industry
Electrification
and renewables
Fuel switching
Source: IEA (2023), Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5 °C Goal in Reach: 2023 Update.
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 8
Policies and technologies for doubling already exist
The technologies needed to achieve a doubling already exist, and
policy thresholds are rapidly moving towards the required level.
Minimum Energy Performance Standards, IEA Efficiency Policy Level Index end
uses, global country range, 2023 and 2030
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Lighting
2023
ACs
2023
Ind. motors
2023
Cars
2023
Cars
2030
Index
100=2030
NZE
Scenario
level
Policy level range Median policy level Typically available best-in-class product 2030 NZE Scenario level
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 9
The energy transition requires a renewed focus on investment
EMDEs need to ramp up substantially their investment in electrification and energy efficiency to be in line with net
zero scenarios
Investment in energy efficiency and electrification in EMDEs in the STEPS and NZE Scenario, 2022-2035
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 10
Buildings Energy Efficiency Policy Package
• Targets for efficiency,
including renovations.
• Building energy codes.
• Minimum energy
performance requirements.
• Regulations to enable future
flexibility.
• Information on building
energy performance.
• Smart interactive
technologies.
• Training and education for
workforce.
• Public awareness campaigns.
• Retrofit or upgrade grants
and rebates.
• Preferential financing.
• Expedited administrative
procedures.
• Award and recognition
programmes.
INFORMATION INCENTIVES
REGULATION
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 11
The Road to Net Zero: What we need in the buildings sector
Energy intensity
Improve by
6% per year
2020-2030
4% per year
2030-2040
3% per year
2040-2050
Share of existing
buildings zero-carbon
ready
<1% 20% >80%
Avoided demand in
homes from behaviour
- 12% 14%
Average efficiency of
new space cooling
equipment (Wh/Wh)
3.5-4.5 5.0-6.5 7.5-9.0
Appliances unit
consumption (relative to
2020)
- -25% -40%
Also:
✓ 100% lighting by LEDs by 2030
✓ Universal access to electricity
and clean cooking by 2030
✓ All new buildings are zero-
carbon-ready by 2030
✓ 2.5% buildings are retrofitted
to be zero-carbon-ready every
year by 2030
2020 2030 2050
Source: IEA (2023), Net Zero Roadmap. A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5C Goal in Reach
Zero-carbon-ready buildings are highly energy-efficient and resilient buildings that either use renewable
energy directly or rely on a source of energy supply that can be fully decarbonised, such as electricity or district
energy
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 12
Other IEA resources https://elearning.iea.org/
Page 13
IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0.
Thank you

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Doubling global progress on energy efficiency, IEA.pdf

  • 1. Doubling global progress on energy efficiency Unlocking finance and investment in offshore wind power and energy efficiency in public buildings in the Philippines March 6, 2024 Brian Motherway, Head of the Office of Energy Efficiency and Inclusive Transitions
  • 2. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 2 Doubling at the IEA 8th Annual Global Conference on Energy Efficiency 46 governments endorsed the goal of doubling global energy efficiency progress by 2030 at the 8th conference in Versailles, June 2023
  • 3. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 3 Doubling global progress on energy efficiency COP28 final text: Calls on Parties to contribute to … doubling the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements by 2030
  • 4. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 4 What is the doubling goal? Annual improvements in primary energy intensity (energy use per unit of GDP) 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2001-10 2011-20 2021 2022 2023E 2022-30 NZE Primary energy intensity improvement The IEA’s Net Zero by 2050 Scenario sees a doubling of annual improvement to 2030 x 2
  • 5. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 5 Doubling offers substantial rewards IEA has led the call for a global target to double energy efficiency progress this decade
  • 6. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 6 Doubling is within reach of all countries Over the past 10 years, almost every country has doubled efficiency progress at least once.​ Proportion of countries to surpass a 4% annual energy intensity improvement one or more times, 2012-2021​ 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% At least once in 10 years At least twice in 10 years At least three times in 10 years At least four times in 10 years At least five times in 10 years Proportion of countries
  • 7. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 7 Achieving the goal requires action across sectors Key actions include fuel switching, including electrification; improving the technical efficiency of products and buildings; and avoided demand through behaviour change and materials efficiency Actions contributing to a doubling in the rate of annual primary energy intensity improvements in the NZE Scenario 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2022 Clean cooking Technical efficiency Avoided demand 2030 NZE Power Buildings Transport Industry Electrification and renewables Fuel switching Source: IEA (2023), Net Zero Roadmap: A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5 °C Goal in Reach: 2023 Update.
  • 8. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 8 Policies and technologies for doubling already exist The technologies needed to achieve a doubling already exist, and policy thresholds are rapidly moving towards the required level. Minimum Energy Performance Standards, IEA Efficiency Policy Level Index end uses, global country range, 2023 and 2030 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Lighting 2023 ACs 2023 Ind. motors 2023 Cars 2023 Cars 2030 Index 100=2030 NZE Scenario level Policy level range Median policy level Typically available best-in-class product 2030 NZE Scenario level
  • 9. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 9 The energy transition requires a renewed focus on investment EMDEs need to ramp up substantially their investment in electrification and energy efficiency to be in line with net zero scenarios Investment in energy efficiency and electrification in EMDEs in the STEPS and NZE Scenario, 2022-2035
  • 10. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 10 Buildings Energy Efficiency Policy Package • Targets for efficiency, including renovations. • Building energy codes. • Minimum energy performance requirements. • Regulations to enable future flexibility. • Information on building energy performance. • Smart interactive technologies. • Training and education for workforce. • Public awareness campaigns. • Retrofit or upgrade grants and rebates. • Preferential financing. • Expedited administrative procedures. • Award and recognition programmes. INFORMATION INCENTIVES REGULATION
  • 11. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 11 The Road to Net Zero: What we need in the buildings sector Energy intensity Improve by 6% per year 2020-2030 4% per year 2030-2040 3% per year 2040-2050 Share of existing buildings zero-carbon ready <1% 20% >80% Avoided demand in homes from behaviour - 12% 14% Average efficiency of new space cooling equipment (Wh/Wh) 3.5-4.5 5.0-6.5 7.5-9.0 Appliances unit consumption (relative to 2020) - -25% -40% Also: ✓ 100% lighting by LEDs by 2030 ✓ Universal access to electricity and clean cooking by 2030 ✓ All new buildings are zero- carbon-ready by 2030 ✓ 2.5% buildings are retrofitted to be zero-carbon-ready every year by 2030 2020 2030 2050 Source: IEA (2023), Net Zero Roadmap. A Global Pathway to Keep the 1.5C Goal in Reach Zero-carbon-ready buildings are highly energy-efficient and resilient buildings that either use renewable energy directly or rely on a source of energy supply that can be fully decarbonised, such as electricity or district energy
  • 12. IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Page 12 Other IEA resources https://elearning.iea.org/
  • 13. Page 13 IEA 2024. CC BY 4.0. Thank you