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Telecom Disruption to Conquer
Telecom Universe
Urban is reaching saturation  66% population projection for 2015 – 435 mn Rural penetration – 9.01% Currently one in two net adds from rural Additional potential 100 mn ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Additional potential 200 mn ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Urban Vs Rural Penetration
Hence, the future opportunity URBAN  66% Teledensity RURAL 10% Teledensity The Future Opportunity
However, the Acquisition reality…
[object Object],[object Object],ARPU
Unless A telecom company continues to gain more ARPU ,  it cannot fuel it's acquisition of the vast opportunity in the  semi -urban & rural markets.
[object Object]
80% POSTPAID PREPAID 80% 20% 20% ARPU Postpaid customers give 4 times as much ARPU as Prepaid customers  ( TRAI  Dec ‘08) SUBSCRIBER BASE
Also, ARPU revenue is  highest in Metros  (Urban markets) as compared to the rest of India (across brands) TRAI –  Oct 08 Non Metros Metros
How will this work? URBAN  ARPU RURAL ARPU Higher URBAN Post paid ARPU = More Profits  = More CAPITAL to make rural acquisitions Telecom companies have acquired 3G spectrums at a very high cost, both b2b & end-consumer usage shall come from Urban-India.
How do we generate higher ARPU? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Therefore, Urban Postpaid customers are our main source of ARPU.
Teledensity is highest amongst SEC A & B 71% of SEC A & 60% of SEC B is already penetrated.
If most of the high ARPU generating TG has been captured, will they switch to a new player?
Apart from functional attributes, brand appeal is one of the key drivers – which seems to be the stronghold of Airtel & Vodafone ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Network ,[object Object],1.0 ,[object Object]
Brand Association Map  Key drivers of network and brand appeal  mainly associated with Airtel and Vodafone
We cannot get new urban Postpaid customers because it’s already highly penetrated by Airtel, Vodafone & customers are highly loyal to these brands. So how do we disrupt these brands which have first mover advantage and own the highest parameters of the lifestyle imagery. AIRTEL Vodafone
AIRTEL VODAFONE Brand “X” Will the urban high ARPU consumers ever shift ?
So while we can acquire the rural consumers by a combination of good imagery + great core functional attributes + conversion offers…How will we ever acquire the profit giving Urban ARPU consumers? Also since ARPU in is largely driven by VAS (more than talk time – which is reducing in its contribution to ARPU) is handicapped in India by the lack of  penetration of phones which are compatible or enabled with pro-VAS features & the lower the SEC you go to the pre-paid segment, the lower is the calibration of the phone & hence the lesser the ARPU. 2 important points of note
Burning How do we get higher ARPU’s consumers from urban areas, to sustain the acquisition of the rural? So the question is
Higher ARPU = higher profits
 
Premium luxury phones Mass premium phones Mass phones
 
Mass premium brands Mass brands NO PREMIUM LUXURY PLAYER IN THE SERVICE PROVIDERS…
HENCE, In terms of image association… Premium Luxury phones Mass Luxury Phones Mass Phones ? Can there be a  premium luxury mobile service ?!
Introducing,
Looking at what the Luxury mobile phone consumer wants…
Exclusivity Exceptional Benefits Pampering “  I want to be made to feel special.  I should be treated special and they should be willing to handle all my quirks.” “  I should have the most latest and exclusive things available. The moment others are seen having it, I know it’s time for me to get something new.” “  I want benefits that make my life easy and comfortable. It should in some way benefit to my life, either functionally or in a feel good manner. ” LUXURY IS : “Something you really don’t need  at all. But it is so exceptional that you really must have it, (if only you could afford it)” Sales Driver Sales Driver Imagery Driver
Hence,
Pampering ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Exceptional Benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Launch with the Google phone, iphone 5, Vertu etc; in India  (never launch with non-cutting edge phones). Like Singapore telecom operators, discount the cutting edge device. A two year minimum monthly bill amount contract gets at 0 rupees.
Exclusivity Looking at what the luxury consumer likes: Likes only the Exclusive You are not worth it unless you are INSIDE the circle
Hence,  Luxury operates on the principles of reverse psychology: Exclusion Desire to belong to that group Leads to… Therefore, Key Task:  To build exclusivity around the brand by intention
 
The social diffusion effect: Opinion leaders Introduce your brand to a small group of opinion leaders and watch it spread by itself. (people who have very high influence, lots of friends and who are aspirational to others)
 
 
Phase I Recruited a core group of opinion leaders  Still remains a niche… hence, aspirational Make yourself inaccessible    a Luxury  Only by invitation
Phase II Identify more, larger groups opinion leaders and recruit them  Spreads to a much larger consumer base… but is still by invitation, hence, still cool & important… Make yourself, deliberately accessible to a few more    Mass luxury
Phase III Going Mass The image that has been built over phase I & II continues… But volumes increase many fold… The brand now is not by “invitation only & truly massified – hence, though massified stays premium in its imagery”
Hence, 3year plan for Platinum… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
The simple question is: How many consumers of ‘premium luxury mobile phones’ are aware of the call charges that they pay? Almost none…
Hence, ,[object Object],This means: 1 Platinum connection 2 vodafone connections ARPU from 1 Platinum consumer ARPU from 10 vodafone consumers Since there are other premium services available as well…
The high ARPU generating Urban market is truly open to us now & with number portability & approximately 25% churn of SEC A consumers due to network & call drops shall be open to us. On the one simple principle… What my boss or that tashan wala peer of mine has, I need…
THINK: ( where is the iPhone, Black Berry equivalent “brand”?) Mass premium brands Mass brands NO PREMIUM LUXURY PLAYER IN THE SERVICE PROVIDERS…
 

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Telecom disruption

  • 3.
  • 4. Hence, the future opportunity URBAN 66% Teledensity RURAL 10% Teledensity The Future Opportunity
  • 6.
  • 7. Unless A telecom company continues to gain more ARPU , it cannot fuel it's acquisition of the vast opportunity in the semi -urban & rural markets.
  • 8.
  • 9. 80% POSTPAID PREPAID 80% 20% 20% ARPU Postpaid customers give 4 times as much ARPU as Prepaid customers ( TRAI Dec ‘08) SUBSCRIBER BASE
  • 10. Also, ARPU revenue is highest in Metros (Urban markets) as compared to the rest of India (across brands) TRAI – Oct 08 Non Metros Metros
  • 11. How will this work? URBAN ARPU RURAL ARPU Higher URBAN Post paid ARPU = More Profits = More CAPITAL to make rural acquisitions Telecom companies have acquired 3G spectrums at a very high cost, both b2b & end-consumer usage shall come from Urban-India.
  • 12.
  • 13. Therefore, Urban Postpaid customers are our main source of ARPU.
  • 14. Teledensity is highest amongst SEC A & B 71% of SEC A & 60% of SEC B is already penetrated.
  • 15. If most of the high ARPU generating TG has been captured, will they switch to a new player?
  • 16.
  • 17. Brand Association Map Key drivers of network and brand appeal mainly associated with Airtel and Vodafone
  • 18. We cannot get new urban Postpaid customers because it’s already highly penetrated by Airtel, Vodafone & customers are highly loyal to these brands. So how do we disrupt these brands which have first mover advantage and own the highest parameters of the lifestyle imagery. AIRTEL Vodafone
  • 19. AIRTEL VODAFONE Brand “X” Will the urban high ARPU consumers ever shift ?
  • 20. So while we can acquire the rural consumers by a combination of good imagery + great core functional attributes + conversion offers…How will we ever acquire the profit giving Urban ARPU consumers? Also since ARPU in is largely driven by VAS (more than talk time – which is reducing in its contribution to ARPU) is handicapped in India by the lack of penetration of phones which are compatible or enabled with pro-VAS features & the lower the SEC you go to the pre-paid segment, the lower is the calibration of the phone & hence the lesser the ARPU. 2 important points of note
  • 21. Burning How do we get higher ARPU’s consumers from urban areas, to sustain the acquisition of the rural? So the question is
  • 22. Higher ARPU = higher profits
  • 23.  
  • 24. Premium luxury phones Mass premium phones Mass phones
  • 25.  
  • 26. Mass premium brands Mass brands NO PREMIUM LUXURY PLAYER IN THE SERVICE PROVIDERS…
  • 27. HENCE, In terms of image association… Premium Luxury phones Mass Luxury Phones Mass Phones ? Can there be a premium luxury mobile service ?!
  • 29. Looking at what the Luxury mobile phone consumer wants…
  • 30. Exclusivity Exceptional Benefits Pampering “ I want to be made to feel special. I should be treated special and they should be willing to handle all my quirks.” “ I should have the most latest and exclusive things available. The moment others are seen having it, I know it’s time for me to get something new.” “ I want benefits that make my life easy and comfortable. It should in some way benefit to my life, either functionally or in a feel good manner. ” LUXURY IS : “Something you really don’t need at all. But it is so exceptional that you really must have it, (if only you could afford it)” Sales Driver Sales Driver Imagery Driver
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. Exclusivity Looking at what the luxury consumer likes: Likes only the Exclusive You are not worth it unless you are INSIDE the circle
  • 35. Hence, Luxury operates on the principles of reverse psychology: Exclusion Desire to belong to that group Leads to… Therefore, Key Task: To build exclusivity around the brand by intention
  • 36.  
  • 37. The social diffusion effect: Opinion leaders Introduce your brand to a small group of opinion leaders and watch it spread by itself. (people who have very high influence, lots of friends and who are aspirational to others)
  • 38.  
  • 39.  
  • 40. Phase I Recruited a core group of opinion leaders Still remains a niche… hence, aspirational Make yourself inaccessible  a Luxury Only by invitation
  • 41. Phase II Identify more, larger groups opinion leaders and recruit them Spreads to a much larger consumer base… but is still by invitation, hence, still cool & important… Make yourself, deliberately accessible to a few more  Mass luxury
  • 42. Phase III Going Mass The image that has been built over phase I & II continues… But volumes increase many fold… The brand now is not by “invitation only & truly massified – hence, though massified stays premium in its imagery”
  • 43.
  • 44.  
  • 45. The simple question is: How many consumers of ‘premium luxury mobile phones’ are aware of the call charges that they pay? Almost none…
  • 46.
  • 47. The high ARPU generating Urban market is truly open to us now & with number portability & approximately 25% churn of SEC A consumers due to network & call drops shall be open to us. On the one simple principle… What my boss or that tashan wala peer of mine has, I need…
  • 48. THINK: ( where is the iPhone, Black Berry equivalent “brand”?) Mass premium brands Mass brands NO PREMIUM LUXURY PLAYER IN THE SERVICE PROVIDERS…
  • 49.