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Pertemuan 10 VARIAB E L ACAK DISKRIT DAN KONTINU Hdi Nasbey, M.Si Jurusan Fisika Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pemgetahuan Alam
Learning Outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Outline Materi ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Random Variable ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],= $10 T = -$30 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Discrete Random Variable ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Discrete Probability Distribution Example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Event:  Toss 2 Coins  Count # Tails T T T T This is using the  A Priori Classical Probability  approach. 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Discrete Probability Distribution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Summary Measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Summary Measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(continued) 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Computing the Mean for Investment Returns Return per $1,000 for two types of investments P( X i )  P( Y i )  Economic Condition  Dow Jones Fund  X   Growth Stock  Y .2  .2  Recession -$100   -$200   .5  .5  Stable Economy + 100   +  50 .3  .3  Expanding Economy   + 250   + 350   Investment 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Computing the Variance for Investment Returns P( X i )  P(Y i )  Economic Condition  Dow Jones Fund  X   Growth Stock  Y .2  .2  Recession -$100   -$200   .5  .5  Stable Economy + 100   +  50 .3  .3  Expanding Economy   + 250   + 350   Investment 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Continuous Random Variables A random variable  X  is  continuous  if its set of possible values is an entire interval of numbers (If  A  <  B , then any number  x  between  A  and  B  is possible). 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Probability Density Function For  f  ( x ) to be a pdf ,[object Object],[object Object],Area = 1 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Probability Distribution Let  X  be a continuous rv.  Then a  probability distribution or probability density function (pdf)  of  X  is a function  f  ( x ) such that for any two numbers  a  and  b , The graph of  f  is the  density curve . 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Probability Density Function is given by the area of the shaded region. b a 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Important difference of pmf and pdf ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Ex 1 . (4.1) X = amount of time for which a book on 2-hour reserve at a college library is checked out by a randomly selected student and suppose that X has density function. 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Probability for a Continuous rv If  X  is a continuous rv, then for any number  c ,  P ( x  =  c ) = 0.  For any two numbers  a  and  b  with  a  <  b, 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Expected Value   ,[object Object],[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Variance and Standard Deviation   The  variance  of continuous rv  X  with pdf  f ( x ) and mean  is The  standard deviation  is 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
Short-cut Formula for Variance 01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |
[object Object],01/02/11 ©  2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta  |  www.unj.ac.id  |

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Statistika Dasar (10) variable acak

  • 1. Pertemuan 10 VARIAB E L ACAK DISKRIT DAN KONTINU Hdi Nasbey, M.Si Jurusan Fisika Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pemgetahuan Alam
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  • 10. Computing the Mean for Investment Returns Return per $1,000 for two types of investments P( X i ) P( Y i ) Economic Condition Dow Jones Fund X Growth Stock Y .2 .2 Recession -$100 -$200 .5 .5 Stable Economy + 100 + 50 .3 .3 Expanding Economy + 250 + 350 Investment 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
  • 11. Computing the Variance for Investment Returns P( X i ) P(Y i ) Economic Condition Dow Jones Fund X Growth Stock Y .2 .2 Recession -$100 -$200 .5 .5 Stable Economy + 100 + 50 .3 .3 Expanding Economy + 250 + 350 Investment 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
  • 12. Continuous Random Variables A random variable X is continuous if its set of possible values is an entire interval of numbers (If A < B , then any number x between A and B is possible). 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
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  • 14. Probability Distribution Let X be a continuous rv. Then a probability distribution or probability density function (pdf) of X is a function f ( x ) such that for any two numbers a and b , The graph of f is the density curve . 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
  • 15. Probability Density Function is given by the area of the shaded region. b a 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
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  • 17. Ex 1 . (4.1) X = amount of time for which a book on 2-hour reserve at a college library is checked out by a randomly selected student and suppose that X has density function. 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
  • 18. Probability for a Continuous rv If X is a continuous rv, then for any number c , P ( x = c ) = 0. For any two numbers a and b with a < b, 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
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  • 20. Variance and Standard Deviation The variance of continuous rv X with pdf f ( x ) and mean is The standard deviation is 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
  • 21. Short-cut Formula for Variance 01/02/11 © 2010 Universitas Negeri Jakarta | www.unj.ac.id |
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