Trends in agriculture will shape the future of farming in Pakistan. Modern techniques like increased scale and specialization, efficient production methods, and viewing farming as a business are crucial for meeting the country's growing food demands. Emerging issues like climate change, population growth, and environmental sustainability also present challenges and opportunities. Strategies going forward include innovative technologies, extension services, market integration, risk management, and developing infrastructure and human capital for a resilient agricultural system.

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2. Trends in Agriculture In Pakistan
By
Mr. Allah Dad Khan
Former Director General Agricultural Extension KPK/
Agricultural advisor Sohni Dharti TV Islamabad
Visiting Professor Agri University Peshawar
allahdad52@gmail.com
03329221298
Dated 26th April 2016

3. Agriculture Development Depends on
 Trends in Agriculture
 Changes in the Rural Community
 Characteristics of the New Rural Community
 Issues for Agriculture in the New Rural Community
 Potential Conflict & Potential Risk
 Coping in the New Rural Community:
 Strategies for Agriculture

5. How Trends in Agriculture would Work ?
 Increasing Size & Scale of Production ( Cooperative farming)
 Specialization (Tunnel Technology)
 Efficiencies of Production ( High Yielding Varieties)
 Farming as Business ( Commercial farming)
 International Market Place ( WTO)
 Vertical Integration ( Integrated Farming)
 Role of technology ( Zero tillage , modern equipment's and machines)
 Change in the family farm ( Young Folk)
 Tenure ( Lease, Share cropper)
 Environmental Liability ( Climate Change)
 Alternate Cropping ( Vegetables and fruit)

6. Thomas Malthus
 In 1798, English philosopher famously argued that food
production growth is inevitably limited by physical
resource availability while population growth is geometric
in its nature. He saw the food-population balance as
always precarious because of physical resource limitations
and
 Global numbers are expected to grow from 7 billion in
2011 to a stable plateau of 9.1 billion by 2050, far below
the path Malthus perceived, which would have meant
more than 14 billion by 2050—without the intervention of
disease or famine the arithmetic growth potential.

7. Risk Management Towards Trends
 Production Risk: yields will be lower than desired due to
weather or some other unpredictable event.
 Marketing Risk: prices will be lower than desired due to
volatile market conditions. • Financial Risk: returns from
production will not be great enough to support a farm over
time.
 Legal Risk: legal issues, such as interpretations of contract
provisions and environmental obligations, will threaten the cash
income of farms.
 Human Resource Risk: events affecting human resources, such
as death, illness, or poor personnel management, will seriously
disrupt an agricultural operation.

8. Structural constraints of Pakistan’s agricultural sector
1.Agriculture Price Policy ( inputs output , planning)
2.Agriculture Taxation ( in effective land reform)
3.Agriculture Credit ( Provision and Recovery)
4.Agriculture Marketing ( Cool chain , market monopoly, Access to market information)
5. Agriculture Research ( Varieties)
6. Agricultural Extension (Transfer of technology)
7.Agricultural Education ( Practical)
8.Agriculture Subsides ( as in other countries)
9.Irrigated Vs barani Agriculture ( Water management)
10.Making small farmers viable ( Through Projects)
11.Manpower and employment ( Entrepreneurship)
12.Agriculture Cooperatives
13.Population
14. Natural resource degradation (land, water, forests, biodiversity)
15. Gender equality and women’s empowerment .

9. Modern Agriculture
The ―modernity of agricultural systems is a characteristic well understood by
farmers but not easily defined with specificity. Still, the distinctions between
modern and traditional systems have powerful implications for the future
development of the global food system even though it is important to recognize
that few, if any, systems fall entirely into either the modern or traditional
categories.

10. Modern Agriculture’s Crucial Role
The vital importance of food to physical, economic and cultural
development, together with the importance of efficient, sustainable
production makes modern techniques crucial—in fact, there is strong
evidence that only such approaches have any significant chance of
meeting the world’s basic food needs in the next few decades. In
addition, they offer by far the world’s best—perhaps only—prospect of
dealing with growing future challenges to protect the environment and to
deal with global climate change. Finally, modern techniques offers the
only prospect of extending the food choices now available to the wealthy
to the world’s growing middle class.

11. World Economic Forum Says About Trends
The world is looking to agriculture to do more to meet growing needs for food,
feed, fiber and industrial products, and to do so sustainably—all against a
backdrop of constrained natural resources and growing challenges. Like many in
agriculture, we believe that agriculture can sustainably grow to meet rising
demand.
We think there are four approaches to meeting growing global demand:
 First—preventing the post-harvest loss of what is already grown;
 Then, making the most efficient use of those crops;
 Next—improving productivity on existing land; and
 Last, where possible, sustainably bring some additional land into production

12. Traditional Agriculture
Traditional systems. Perhaps the most important difference
between the categories is the way farmers see themselves
and their roles. Traditional farmers, for example, often say
that they seek to work effectively with resources at hand.
That is, they use the land, rainfall, seeds, tillage methods
and power sources they have to produce what nature offers.
Conventional processes are used to till the land, select and
plant seeds, protect plants from competing plants and
animals and gather the harvest. Surpluses are marketed
through nearby outlets. Such producers frequently report
only limited capacity to change these processes—and some
seek to avoid change.

13. Trends Helps In
1. Massive growth in food demand ( population influx)
2. A continuing ramp up in efficiency ( Prices hike up)
3. Hyper-science ( Not fully potential ized)
4. Innovation defines success ( ecology )
5. Retail and packaging innovation drive agricultural decisions ( Market
demand)
6. Intelligent packaging moves front and center ( Modern packaging)
7. The Energy opportunity ( Alternate sources)
8. Convenience and health take center stage ( Quality products and
MRL)
9. Direct consumer-producer relationships blossom ( Linkages)
10. Generational transformation ( Processing facilities)
11. Partnership defines success ( Always)

14. Technologies and Trends Towards Future Agriculture
 Integrated Crop Management (IDM, IPM, ICM and IFM)
 Biotechnology ( New intervention GM foods , BT crops, Herbicides tolerant
crops, Disease resistant crops , Increased-solids tomatoes , Transgenic crops )
 Genetic Engineering
 Zero tillage Technology ( Raised Beds Sowing)
 Organic Farming ( Farm Yard Manure and green Manuring and GAP))
 Agriculture Advisory Service at Farm Services Centers ( FSC,s)
 Community Organizations ( Farmers Organizations)
 Bio pesticides ( Plants products)
 Mass Communication ( TV , radio , Video Conferences ,Talk Shows , Seminars
Conferences,Exhibitions and other )
 Drip Irrigation and sprinkler irrigation (HE Irrigation System0
 Ecological zoning ( micro climate)
 Healthier foods (Nutritionally enhanced foods , Food enzymes)
 WTO (Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS).

15. Strategies in Agriculture
 Be vigilant - monitor and identify environmental issues as per Millennium development
Goal ( Climate Change)
 Aggressively develop & implement approaches to environmental issues (
Agrometerology)
 Anticipate loss of protection from terms such as “normal farm practices”
 Importance of Agriculture extension , education, communication and Agriculture
research ( Private and Public Extension Services and Public Private Partnership ,Projects
etc )
 Work to ensure that local government (and the community) is aware of agriculture’s
contribution to the local community (After devolution)
 Work for an agriculture first land use policy and rural development the next.
 Bank to effectively contribute to a broader development of greater agricultural
productivity, food security and poverty reduction Bank remain engaged in the
agricultural sector but be more focused, selective, and innovative
 Agriculture Infrastructure and Capacity building for sustainable agriculture and rural
development initiatives:

16. Modern Trend In Agriculture A Summary
 1.Farm Services Centers
 2. Farmers Field Schools
 3.E –Agriculture
 4. Tunnel Technology for vegetable cultivation
 5. Novel vegetables Cultivation
 6. High Value Medicinal Plants Cultivation
 Let we Discuss them in Separate Presentation