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© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 1© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 1
Measuring Sulfur in Tier III Gasoline
Michael C. Pohl
Corporation
HORIBA Instruments, Inc.
Gulf Coast Conference 2016 Presentation
October 21, 2015
Room 611
2:20PM
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 2
2
The Way Forward
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 3
Tier 3 Overview and Opportunities
• Federal Register / Vol. 79, No. 81
• 40 CFR Parts 79, 80, 85, 86, 600, 1036, 1037, 1039, 1042,
1048, 1054, 1065, and1066
• Control of Air Pollution From Motor Vehicles: Tier 3 Motor
Vehicle Emission and Fuel Standards
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 4
U.S. EPA Tier 3 Goals and Status
• Control of Air Pollution From Motor Vehicles:
• Tier 3 Motor Vehicle Emissions
– More stringent vehicle emissions standards
• Fuel Standards
– Reduce sulfur in gasoline beginning in 2017
• Now averaging in the 30 mg/kg S range
• Future 8-11 mg/kg S, or less
– Ethanol content
• Newly defined Specification Fuel has 10 volume %
• Future – 15 volume % ?
• California, Europe and Japan currently have gasoline
specifications similar to Tier 3
• Final rule Published April 28, 2014
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5
Tier 3 Impact – 1)
• EPA recognized approving methods through rulemaking is a barrier
for innovative analytical test methods.
– EPA decided to incorporate the PBMS approach
• Consistent with the Agency’s Performance Based Measurement
System (‘‘PBMS’’), EPA proposes not to require the use of
specific, prescribed analytic methods.
• The PBMS approach is intended to be more flexible and cost-
effective for the regulated community; it is also intended to encourage
innovation in analytical technology and improved data quality.
• EPA is not precluding the use of any method, whether it constitutes a
voluntary consensus standard or not, as long as it meets the
performance criteria specified.
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 6
Tier 3 Impact – 2)
• Once fully implemented, this rule will:
– (1) Requires individual laboratories to demonstrate adequate
measurement quality
– (2) allow laboratories to choose methods that meet their own
needs, provided they can meet prescribed criteria rather than
specific methods
– (3) requires all laboratories making regulatory measurements to
establish and maintain a statistical quality control program
• Qualification process intent - demonstrate the facility’s
capability with the test method they choose.
– Each instrument or operator is not required to qualify
– Labs may have multiple qualified instruments using a method
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 7
Tier 3 Impact – 3)
• PBMS is based upon an established performance criteria for accuracy and
precision.
• Laboratories demonstrate that a particular analytical test method is acceptable
for demonstrating compliance.
– Precision - The degree of agreement in a set of measurements performed
on the same property of identical test material.
– Accuracy – The closeness between an observed value from a test
measurement and an accepted reference value (ARV).
– QC Program - require all labs making regulatory measurements to establish
/ maintain a statistical quality control (SQC) program.
• Beginning January 1, 2016, sulfur in gasoline must be determined by a test
method approved under § 80.47 - Performance-based Test Method
Approach.
• EPA predicts -750 labs subject to info collection.
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 8
Tier 3 Definitions
• Absolute fuel parameter - a fuel parameter for which a
gravimetric standard is practical to construct and use.
Sulfur content of gasoline or diesel fuel are examples.
• Method-defined fuel parameter - a fuel parameter for
which an EPA-prescribed primary test method or
designated method defines the regulatory standard.
Examples include Reid vapor pressure (RVP) and
distillation parameters.
• Correlation equation (For method-defined fuel parameters)
- a correction equation as determined by ASTM standard
practice D6708. This standard practice determines
whether the comparison between the alternative test
method and the designated test method is a null result
(No Bias). If the comparison is not null (Bias Found), then
the standard practice provides for a correlation equation
(Correction Factor) that predicts designated test method
results.
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 9
Tier 3 Sulfur PBMS Tests and SQC (1
Absolute fuel parameter
• (b)(1) Sulfur repeatability - (r)
• Maximum allowable standard deviation computed
from a minimum 20 results made over 20 days
– 7 or fewer tests per week
– 2 or fewer tests per day
• STDEV ≤ 1.5 * (r / 2.77)
– ‘‘r’’ equals the repeatability of D7039–07
• Chosen because it had biggest r of alternate
methods
• Example: A 10 mg/kg sulfur gasoline sample:
– maximum allowable standard deviation of 20 gasoline
tests
≤ 1.5*(1.76 mg/kg / 2.77) = 0.95 mg/kg
• 20 Diesel low (5-15 mg/kg S) – Max STDEV = 0.72
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 10
Tier 3 Sulfur PBMS Tests and SQC (2
Absolute fuel parameter
• (b)(2) Sulfur accuracy
• Average of at least 10 continuous tests performed on a commercially available
gravimetric sulfur standard
– In the range of 1–10 ppm shall not differ from the ARV of the standard by
more than 0.71 ppm sulfur; (Diesel – 0.54)
– In the range of 10–20 ppm shall not differ from the ARV of the standard by
more than 1.00 ppm sulfur;
• In applying the accuracy tests individual test results shall be compensated for
any known chemical interferences.
• (The test method specified at § 80.46(a)(1) (D2622) and in use prior to May 30,
2014 is exempt from the repeatability and accuracy requirements of paragraphs
(b)(1) and (2) of this section.) ? Still must do QC.
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 11
Tier 3 Sulfur PBMS Tests and SQC (3
• (SQC) Requirements for Absolute (defined) Fuel
Parameters - Follows ASTM practice D6299
• (1) Accuracy SQC
– Mandatory at-least quarterly testing each instrument with
gravimetric reference material or check standard
– Pre-treat and assess results from the check standard testing
after at least 15 testing occasions (D 6299 section 8.2)
– Mandatory “MR’ and “I” charts
– Root cause investigation triggers, “back-to-back results
greater than standard error of the ARV in the consensus-
named fuel
• (2) Precision SQC
– QC samples either once a week or every 20 tests
– Mandatory “MR’ and “I” charts
– Root cause investigation triggers, Maintain records five years.
• (3) Validation of new QC material
– I-Procedure or Q- Procedure, then verified 3 times per year
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 12
Performance Based Measurements
System (PBMS) General Requirements
• Generally developed along the lines of ULSD in 2006
• Included some improvements and additions
• Requires accuracy and repeatability data same as ULSD
• Same tests as ULSD
• Testing covers two ranges
• 5-10 PPM and 10-20 PPM
• Data retention is now at the customer location for five
years
• Previously submitted to EPA using required spread sheets
• Spreadsheet will be up on EPA website shortly
• Provides immediate PASS/FAIL result
• Added Quality Control Charting as a specific requirement
• Monitoring of Precision and Accuracy are required
• Entire procedure is spelled out in CFR Part 80 several
sections
• Legalistically written
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 13
Example of Tier III Accuracy Testing
MESA-7220 Tier 3 Testing Results for Accuracy @ 5.0 and 15.0 mg/kg Sulfur
5.0 mg/kg S 15.0 mg/kg S
Test # Result Test # Result
1 5.1 1 15.5
2 5.3 2 15.7
3 5.7 3 15.9
4 5.4 4 15.8
5 5.5 5 16.1
6 5.2 6 15.9
7 4.9 7 15.5
8 4.8 8 15.8
9 4.6 9 15.9
10 4.8 10 16
Mean 5.12 Mean 15.81
 COA 0.12  COA 0.81
PASS PASS
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 14
Example of Tier III Repeatability Testing
10.0 mg/kg S
Test # Result Test # Result
1 9.1 12 9.4
2 10.7 13 9.7
3 9.9 14 9
4 9.1 15 10.6
5 9.9 16 9.3
6 10.4 17 10.5
7 9.7 18 9.9
8 9.7 19 9.7
9 9.3 20 10.4
10 9.4 Mean 9.8
11 10.9 STDEV 0.58
PASS
10.0 mg/kg S
Test # Result Test # Result
1 5.8 12 6.3
2 6.7 13 5.9
3 6.6 14 5
4 6.4 15 5.9
5 6.5 16 5.3
6 4.8 17 5.9
7 5.9 18 6.6
8 6 19 5.9
9 6.3 20 5.8
10 6.5 Mean 6
11 6.1 STDEV 0.52
PASS
MESA-7220 Tier III Testing Results for Repeatability at 6.0 and 10.0 mg/kg Sulfur
MESA-7220 Testing Repeatability
Results @ 10.0 mg/kg S
MESA-7220 Testing Repeatability
Results @ 6.0 mg/kg S
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 15
Acceptable Quality Control Charting
for Precision (repeatability)
Every facility shall conduct tests on every instrument with a quality control material and construct and
maintain an “I” chart and a “MR” chart as defined in ASTM D6299 either once per week or once per every
20 production tests, whichever is more frequent.
Run Rule Strategy - Any one of the following occurrences shall be interpreted as a strong signal that a
change in state of the measurement system has likely occurred:
(1) Two out of three consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 2σR’ from the center line in the
same direction.
(2) Five consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 1σR’ from the centerline in the same direction.
(3) Nine or more points in a row above or below the centerline on the I chart.
(4) Seven points in a row steadily increasing or decreasing.
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 16
Typical MESA-7220 Precision SQC Data
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 17
Acceptable Quality Control Charting for Accuracy
Run Rule Strategy - Any one of the following occurrences shall be interpreted as a strong signal that a
change in state of the measurement system has likely occurred:
(1) Two out of three consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 2σR’ from the center line in the
same direction.
(2) Five consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 1σR’ from the centerline in the same direction.
(3) Nine or more points in a row above or below the centerline on the I chart.
(4) Seven points in a row steadily increasing or decreasing.
For each instrument used, testing of a reference material or certified check standard at least 3
times a year is required. The facility must construct “MR” and “I” charts with control lines as described
in ASTM D6299. The following accuracy control charts track a daily check standard testing scheme.
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 18
Typical MESA-7220 Accuracy SQC Data
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 19
The Path to Qualification
• Determine tentative technology to be employed
• Select a protocol for your own testing
• Obtain samples for testing
• Record data from sample testing
• Download the data into EPA spreadsheet
• Print out the results of the project
• Prepare to implement SQC protocol
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 20
D7220 Tier 2 & Tier 3 Testing Kits
Item
SEPA-T2-
KIT-500
SEPA-T2-O2-
KIT-500
SEPA-T3-
KIT-500
SEPA-T3-O2-
KIT-500
Contains:
1. SEPA-T(X)-Set of customer Choice - Complete Test
Set,
2. Pertinent excerpts from Congressional Federal
Register,
3. Plain Language Descriptions of Required Testing
4. Pass/Fail Calculations with Worked Examples.
5. An overview of EPA/D6299 SQA requirements
• For EPA Sulfur in Gasoline Test Method Qualification
© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 21
Danke
Большое спасибо
Grazie
‫ر‬ْ‫ك‬ُ‫ش‬‫ا‬
Σας ευχαριστούμε
감사합니다
Obrigado
谢谢
ขอบคุณครับ
ありがとうございました
धन्यवाद
நன்ற
Cảm ơn
Dziękuję
Tack ska ni ha
Thank you
Merci

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Measuring Sulfur in Tier III Gasoline

  • 1. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 1© 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 1 Measuring Sulfur in Tier III Gasoline Michael C. Pohl Corporation HORIBA Instruments, Inc. Gulf Coast Conference 2016 Presentation October 21, 2015 Room 611 2:20PM
  • 2. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 2 2 The Way Forward
  • 3. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 3 Tier 3 Overview and Opportunities • Federal Register / Vol. 79, No. 81 • 40 CFR Parts 79, 80, 85, 86, 600, 1036, 1037, 1039, 1042, 1048, 1054, 1065, and1066 • Control of Air Pollution From Motor Vehicles: Tier 3 Motor Vehicle Emission and Fuel Standards
  • 4. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 4 U.S. EPA Tier 3 Goals and Status • Control of Air Pollution From Motor Vehicles: • Tier 3 Motor Vehicle Emissions – More stringent vehicle emissions standards • Fuel Standards – Reduce sulfur in gasoline beginning in 2017 • Now averaging in the 30 mg/kg S range • Future 8-11 mg/kg S, or less – Ethanol content • Newly defined Specification Fuel has 10 volume % • Future – 15 volume % ? • California, Europe and Japan currently have gasoline specifications similar to Tier 3 • Final rule Published April 28, 2014
  • 5. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5 Tier 3 Impact – 1) • EPA recognized approving methods through rulemaking is a barrier for innovative analytical test methods. – EPA decided to incorporate the PBMS approach • Consistent with the Agency’s Performance Based Measurement System (‘‘PBMS’’), EPA proposes not to require the use of specific, prescribed analytic methods. • The PBMS approach is intended to be more flexible and cost- effective for the regulated community; it is also intended to encourage innovation in analytical technology and improved data quality. • EPA is not precluding the use of any method, whether it constitutes a voluntary consensus standard or not, as long as it meets the performance criteria specified.
  • 6. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 6 Tier 3 Impact – 2) • Once fully implemented, this rule will: – (1) Requires individual laboratories to demonstrate adequate measurement quality – (2) allow laboratories to choose methods that meet their own needs, provided they can meet prescribed criteria rather than specific methods – (3) requires all laboratories making regulatory measurements to establish and maintain a statistical quality control program • Qualification process intent - demonstrate the facility’s capability with the test method they choose. – Each instrument or operator is not required to qualify – Labs may have multiple qualified instruments using a method
  • 7. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 7 Tier 3 Impact – 3) • PBMS is based upon an established performance criteria for accuracy and precision. • Laboratories demonstrate that a particular analytical test method is acceptable for demonstrating compliance. – Precision - The degree of agreement in a set of measurements performed on the same property of identical test material. – Accuracy – The closeness between an observed value from a test measurement and an accepted reference value (ARV). – QC Program - require all labs making regulatory measurements to establish / maintain a statistical quality control (SQC) program. • Beginning January 1, 2016, sulfur in gasoline must be determined by a test method approved under § 80.47 - Performance-based Test Method Approach. • EPA predicts -750 labs subject to info collection.
  • 8. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 8 Tier 3 Definitions • Absolute fuel parameter - a fuel parameter for which a gravimetric standard is practical to construct and use. Sulfur content of gasoline or diesel fuel are examples. • Method-defined fuel parameter - a fuel parameter for which an EPA-prescribed primary test method or designated method defines the regulatory standard. Examples include Reid vapor pressure (RVP) and distillation parameters. • Correlation equation (For method-defined fuel parameters) - a correction equation as determined by ASTM standard practice D6708. This standard practice determines whether the comparison between the alternative test method and the designated test method is a null result (No Bias). If the comparison is not null (Bias Found), then the standard practice provides for a correlation equation (Correction Factor) that predicts designated test method results.
  • 9. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 9 Tier 3 Sulfur PBMS Tests and SQC (1 Absolute fuel parameter • (b)(1) Sulfur repeatability - (r) • Maximum allowable standard deviation computed from a minimum 20 results made over 20 days – 7 or fewer tests per week – 2 or fewer tests per day • STDEV ≤ 1.5 * (r / 2.77) – ‘‘r’’ equals the repeatability of D7039–07 • Chosen because it had biggest r of alternate methods • Example: A 10 mg/kg sulfur gasoline sample: – maximum allowable standard deviation of 20 gasoline tests ≤ 1.5*(1.76 mg/kg / 2.77) = 0.95 mg/kg • 20 Diesel low (5-15 mg/kg S) – Max STDEV = 0.72
  • 10. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 10 Tier 3 Sulfur PBMS Tests and SQC (2 Absolute fuel parameter • (b)(2) Sulfur accuracy • Average of at least 10 continuous tests performed on a commercially available gravimetric sulfur standard – In the range of 1–10 ppm shall not differ from the ARV of the standard by more than 0.71 ppm sulfur; (Diesel – 0.54) – In the range of 10–20 ppm shall not differ from the ARV of the standard by more than 1.00 ppm sulfur; • In applying the accuracy tests individual test results shall be compensated for any known chemical interferences. • (The test method specified at § 80.46(a)(1) (D2622) and in use prior to May 30, 2014 is exempt from the repeatability and accuracy requirements of paragraphs (b)(1) and (2) of this section.) ? Still must do QC.
  • 11. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 11 Tier 3 Sulfur PBMS Tests and SQC (3 • (SQC) Requirements for Absolute (defined) Fuel Parameters - Follows ASTM practice D6299 • (1) Accuracy SQC – Mandatory at-least quarterly testing each instrument with gravimetric reference material or check standard – Pre-treat and assess results from the check standard testing after at least 15 testing occasions (D 6299 section 8.2) – Mandatory “MR’ and “I” charts – Root cause investigation triggers, “back-to-back results greater than standard error of the ARV in the consensus- named fuel • (2) Precision SQC – QC samples either once a week or every 20 tests – Mandatory “MR’ and “I” charts – Root cause investigation triggers, Maintain records five years. • (3) Validation of new QC material – I-Procedure or Q- Procedure, then verified 3 times per year
  • 12. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 12 Performance Based Measurements System (PBMS) General Requirements • Generally developed along the lines of ULSD in 2006 • Included some improvements and additions • Requires accuracy and repeatability data same as ULSD • Same tests as ULSD • Testing covers two ranges • 5-10 PPM and 10-20 PPM • Data retention is now at the customer location for five years • Previously submitted to EPA using required spread sheets • Spreadsheet will be up on EPA website shortly • Provides immediate PASS/FAIL result • Added Quality Control Charting as a specific requirement • Monitoring of Precision and Accuracy are required • Entire procedure is spelled out in CFR Part 80 several sections • Legalistically written
  • 13. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 13 Example of Tier III Accuracy Testing MESA-7220 Tier 3 Testing Results for Accuracy @ 5.0 and 15.0 mg/kg Sulfur 5.0 mg/kg S 15.0 mg/kg S Test # Result Test # Result 1 5.1 1 15.5 2 5.3 2 15.7 3 5.7 3 15.9 4 5.4 4 15.8 5 5.5 5 16.1 6 5.2 6 15.9 7 4.9 7 15.5 8 4.8 8 15.8 9 4.6 9 15.9 10 4.8 10 16 Mean 5.12 Mean 15.81  COA 0.12  COA 0.81 PASS PASS
  • 14. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 14 Example of Tier III Repeatability Testing 10.0 mg/kg S Test # Result Test # Result 1 9.1 12 9.4 2 10.7 13 9.7 3 9.9 14 9 4 9.1 15 10.6 5 9.9 16 9.3 6 10.4 17 10.5 7 9.7 18 9.9 8 9.7 19 9.7 9 9.3 20 10.4 10 9.4 Mean 9.8 11 10.9 STDEV 0.58 PASS 10.0 mg/kg S Test # Result Test # Result 1 5.8 12 6.3 2 6.7 13 5.9 3 6.6 14 5 4 6.4 15 5.9 5 6.5 16 5.3 6 4.8 17 5.9 7 5.9 18 6.6 8 6 19 5.9 9 6.3 20 5.8 10 6.5 Mean 6 11 6.1 STDEV 0.52 PASS MESA-7220 Tier III Testing Results for Repeatability at 6.0 and 10.0 mg/kg Sulfur MESA-7220 Testing Repeatability Results @ 10.0 mg/kg S MESA-7220 Testing Repeatability Results @ 6.0 mg/kg S
  • 15. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 15 Acceptable Quality Control Charting for Precision (repeatability) Every facility shall conduct tests on every instrument with a quality control material and construct and maintain an “I” chart and a “MR” chart as defined in ASTM D6299 either once per week or once per every 20 production tests, whichever is more frequent. Run Rule Strategy - Any one of the following occurrences shall be interpreted as a strong signal that a change in state of the measurement system has likely occurred: (1) Two out of three consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 2σR’ from the center line in the same direction. (2) Five consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 1σR’ from the centerline in the same direction. (3) Nine or more points in a row above or below the centerline on the I chart. (4) Seven points in a row steadily increasing or decreasing.
  • 16. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 16 Typical MESA-7220 Precision SQC Data
  • 17. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 17 Acceptable Quality Control Charting for Accuracy Run Rule Strategy - Any one of the following occurrences shall be interpreted as a strong signal that a change in state of the measurement system has likely occurred: (1) Two out of three consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 2σR’ from the center line in the same direction. (2) Five consecutive results on the I chart that are more than 1σR’ from the centerline in the same direction. (3) Nine or more points in a row above or below the centerline on the I chart. (4) Seven points in a row steadily increasing or decreasing. For each instrument used, testing of a reference material or certified check standard at least 3 times a year is required. The facility must construct “MR” and “I” charts with control lines as described in ASTM D6299. The following accuracy control charts track a daily check standard testing scheme.
  • 18. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 18 Typical MESA-7220 Accuracy SQC Data
  • 19. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 19 The Path to Qualification • Determine tentative technology to be employed • Select a protocol for your own testing • Obtain samples for testing • Record data from sample testing • Download the data into EPA spreadsheet • Print out the results of the project • Prepare to implement SQC protocol
  • 20. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 20 D7220 Tier 2 & Tier 3 Testing Kits Item SEPA-T2- KIT-500 SEPA-T2-O2- KIT-500 SEPA-T3- KIT-500 SEPA-T3-O2- KIT-500 Contains: 1. SEPA-T(X)-Set of customer Choice - Complete Test Set, 2. Pertinent excerpts from Congressional Federal Register, 3. Plain Language Descriptions of Required Testing 4. Pass/Fail Calculations with Worked Examples. 5. An overview of EPA/D6299 SQA requirements • For EPA Sulfur in Gasoline Test Method Qualification
  • 21. © 2015 HORIBA, Ltd. All rights reserved. 21 Danke Большое спасибо Grazie ‫ر‬ْ‫ك‬ُ‫ش‬‫ا‬ Σας ευχαριστούμε 감사합니다 Obrigado 谢谢 ขอบคุณครับ ありがとうございました धन्यवाद நன்ற Cảm ơn Dziękuję Tack ska ni ha Thank you Merci