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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    28th May 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.       Mirroring the divergent market cues the domestic markets
 BSE SENSEX                16217.82          -0.03      witnessed a flat opening. The overall trend remained
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4920.40          -0.02      lackluster and listless ahead of the weekend. The markets
 NIFTY May FUT.             4918.85          0.12       see-sawed in a narrow range for the better part of the day
 India VIX                   25.14           -1.37      struggling to sustain higher, while garnering selective buying
                                                        support at lower levels. The markets ended the day flat to
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     were GAIL, JP Associates, Rel. Infra, Tata Steel, Cairn, SBI,
Support           4777       4742            4624       SAIL, DLF, Sterlite and L&T.
Resistance        4950       5070            5106
                                                        Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   lower volumes. The global market cues are divergent.
50 Day SMA                  5154.00                     The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
100 Day SMA                 5180.89                     Lack of follow up buying support and prevailing
200 Day SMA                 5071.87        ◄ Critical   technical negatives kept the markets quite. The
                                                        Stochastic and the MACD have moved above their
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                     respective averages. Moreover, the RSI and KST are
Advances                      844                       already placed above their respective averages.
Declines                      601                       Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above
Same                           85                       Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The Nifty’s 100-day SMA is placed
Total                        1530                       above the Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical
A/D Ratio                   1.40 : 1                    conditions would lead to regular bouts of buying support
                                                        and short covering, which would lead to intermediate
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                bouts of relief rally. However, the prevailing technical
               25/05/12     24/05/12        % Chg.      negatives continue to hold good and are likely to cap
BSE              1785        2025           -11.85      upside gains. The KST and MACD are placed in the
NSE              4982        5244            -5.00
                                                        negative territory and warn of impending selling
                                                        pressure. The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day
Total            6767        7269            -6.91
                                                        SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                day SMA has slipped below its 100-day SMA. These
               25/05/12     24/05/12        % Chg.      negative technical conditions would lead to selling
BSE             1793.83     1945.50          -7.80
                                                        pressure at regular intervals and would cap the upside
                                                        gains. Though the ADX line and -DI line are trending
NSE             8120.96     9052.11          -10.29
                                                        these have started declining indicating sellers are
NSE F&O        122173.77   166423.31         -26.59
                                                        covering their shorts. The market sentiment remains
Total          132088.56   177420.92         -25.55     tentative. Now it is important that the markets witness
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          follow up buying support at higher levels for Nifty to test
                                                        and sustain above the 4950 resistance level. The markets
               25/05/12     24/05/12        % Chg.
                                                        would witness intermediate bouts of volatility and
Index Fut.      432069      694100           -37.75     choppiness ahead of the derivative segment expiry on
Stock Fut.      609231      597841           1.91       Thursday. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Index Opt.     3787369      5357046          -29.30     from the USDINR, global markets and the crude prices.
Stock Opt.      192087      223972           -14.24     The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4777, 4742, 4624
Total          5020756      6872959          -23.30     and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, 5106
                                                        and 5250 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                                Stop
                                                    Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock             Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Adani Enterprises        259.50      Buy Above             264        254.00        3.79         286          8.33
Aurobindo Pharma         117.00      Buy Above             119        115.40        2.62         127          6.75
GAIL                   337.15    Buy Above            341     332.45                2.51         360          5.57
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                             Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   16218               16203      16288       16358         16513        16133        16048        15893
S&P CNX NIFTY                 4920                4915        4941       4962          5008            4895        4869       4822
NIFTY MAY FUT.                4919                4910        4942       4965          5021            4886        4854       4798




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

APIL, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, BOI, Bata, BF Utilities, Cairn, Canara Bank, Century Textiles, Coal India,
Cummins, DCB, Exide, Federal Bank, FT, Fortis, GAIL, Hero Motocorp, Hindalco, IFCI, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, Kotak Bank,
L&T, McDowell, MRF, NTPC, ONGC, Polaris, Praj, Rel. Infra, SBI, SCI, Siemens, Sintex, Sterlite, Tata Comm; Tata Motors,
Wipro, Yes Bank,
Cipla, Dabur, DCHL, Guj Flourochemicals, HPCL, HUL, ITC, Opto Circuit




      Disclaimer
      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
      own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
      those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
      price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
      match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
      Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 280512

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 28th May 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Mirroring the divergent market cues the domestic markets BSE SENSEX 16217.82 -0.03 witnessed a flat opening. The overall trend remained S&P CNX NIFTY 4920.40 -0.02 lackluster and listless ahead of the weekend. The markets NIFTY May FUT. 4918.85 0.12 see-sawed in a narrow range for the better part of the day India VIX 25.14 -1.37 struggling to sustain higher, while garnering selective buying support at lower levels. The markets ended the day flat to S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 were GAIL, JP Associates, Rel. Infra, Tata Steel, Cairn, SBI, Support 4777 4742 4624 SAIL, DLF, Sterlite and L&T. Resistance 4950 5070 5106 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY lower volumes. The global market cues are divergent. 50 Day SMA 5154.00 The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. 100 Day SMA 5180.89 Lack of follow up buying support and prevailing 200 Day SMA 5071.87 ◄ Critical technical negatives kept the markets quite. The Stochastic and the MACD have moved above their Market Breadth (NSE) * respective averages. Moreover, the RSI and KST are Advances 844 already placed above their respective averages. Declines 601 Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Same 85 Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The Nifty’s 100-day SMA is placed Total 1530 above the Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical A/D Ratio 1.40 : 1 conditions would lead to regular bouts of buying support and short covering, which would lead to intermediate Volume (Lacs Shares) * bouts of relief rally. However, the prevailing technical 25/05/12 24/05/12 % Chg. negatives continue to hold good and are likely to cap BSE 1785 2025 -11.85 upside gains. The KST and MACD are placed in the NSE 4982 5244 -5.00 negative territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day Total 6767 7269 -6.91 SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50- Turnover ( ` Crores) * day SMA has slipped below its 100-day SMA. These 25/05/12 24/05/12 % Chg. negative technical conditions would lead to selling BSE 1793.83 1945.50 -7.80 pressure at regular intervals and would cap the upside gains. Though the ADX line and -DI line are trending NSE 8120.96 9052.11 -10.29 these have started declining indicating sellers are NSE F&O 122173.77 166423.31 -26.59 covering their shorts. The market sentiment remains Total 132088.56 177420.92 -25.55 tentative. Now it is important that the markets witness F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * follow up buying support at higher levels for Nifty to test and sustain above the 4950 resistance level. The markets 25/05/12 24/05/12 % Chg. would witness intermediate bouts of volatility and Index Fut. 432069 694100 -37.75 choppiness ahead of the derivative segment expiry on Stock Fut. 609231 597841 1.91 Thursday. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Index Opt. 3787369 5357046 -29.30 from the USDINR, global markets and the crude prices. Stock Opt. 192087 223972 -14.24 The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4777, 4742, 4624 Total 5020756 6872959 -23.30 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, 5106 and 5250 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Adani Enterprises 259.50 Buy Above 264 254.00 3.79 286 8.33 Aurobindo Pharma 117.00 Buy Above 119 115.40 2.62 127 6.75 GAIL 337.15 Buy Above 341 332.45 2.51 360 5.57 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16218 16203 16288 16358 16513 16133 16048 15893 S&P CNX NIFTY 4920 4915 4941 4962 5008 4895 4869 4822 NIFTY MAY FUT. 4919 4910 4942 4965 5021 4886 4854 4798 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today APIL, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, BOI, Bata, BF Utilities, Cairn, Canara Bank, Century Textiles, Coal India, Cummins, DCB, Exide, Federal Bank, FT, Fortis, GAIL, Hero Motocorp, Hindalco, IFCI, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, Kotak Bank, L&T, McDowell, MRF, NTPC, ONGC, Polaris, Praj, Rel. Infra, SBI, SCI, Siemens, Sintex, Sterlite, Tata Comm; Tata Motors, Wipro, Yes Bank, Cipla, Dabur, DCHL, Guj Flourochemicals, HPCL, HUL, ITC, Opto Circuit Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com