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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                      28th April 2012
        Indices *             Close             Chg.        Mirroring the positive Asian market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                 17134.25        0.02      %     markets opened on a positive note. The markets traded
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5190.60         0.03      %     higher in the morning trade but failed to sustain higher due to
 NIFTY May FUT.             5210.80         -0.07     %     lack of follow up buying support and sustained bouts of
 India VIX                    17.89         -4.53     %     selling pressure. The markets came off the lows of the day in
 Nifty May Fut                20.20         Premium         the afternoon session on back of positive news flow on FII
                                                            taxation. The markets once again ended the day on a flat
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                      note to close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the
                    Level 1      Level 2         Level 3    day were SAIL, Coal India, ACC, IDFC, SBI, Jindal Steel,
Support              5161         5037              4955    BHEL, Bajaj Auto, Ambuja Cement and Rel. Infra
Resistance           5400         5681              5728
                                                            Technically, the market breadth remained negative
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                       amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
50 Day SMA                       5317.68                    largely positive. The domestic markets are likely to
100 Day SMA                      5130.25                    witness a flat to positive opening. The prevailing
200 Day SMA                      5127.39        ◄ Crucial   technical negatives continued to weigh on market
                                                            sentiment. The KST, Stochastic and RSI are still placed
             Volume (Lacs Shares)           *               below their respective averages. This would lead to
                27/04/12         26/04/12        % Chg.     selling pressure. However, positive technical conditions
BSE                 1826          1878              -2.77   still hold good and would help the markets take support
NSE                 5703          7273           -21.59     at lower levels. The Stochastic has moved in the over
Total               7529          9151           -17.73
                                                            sold zone. The MACD remains placed above its average.
                                                            The Nifty continues to sustain above its long-term
              Turnover ( ` Crores)          *               moving average the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s
                27/04/12         26/04/12        % Chg.     50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA
BSE             2021.54          2401.97         -15.84
                                                            and 200-day SMA, the later being called the “Golden
                                                            Cross” breakout. Moreso, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA has
NSE             9948.12         12258.34         -18.85
                                                            crossed above the Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive
NSE F&O         85215.03        190370.21        -55.24
                                                            technical conditions would prompt buying support at
Total           97184.69        205030.52        -52.60     lower levels. However, The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)              *          continue to move sideways, indicating that markets
                                                            would continue to remain range bound. The market
                27/04/12         26/04/12        % Chg.
                                                            sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the
Index Fut.      442887           637675          -30.55
                                                            markets witness buying support at lower levels for the
Stock Fut.      464543           1080432         -57.00     Nifty to take support. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial
Index Opt.      2233508          5323510         -58.04     support level for the markets. In the meanwhile the
Stock Opt.      154841           193415          -19.94     markets would take cues from the forthcoming Q4
Total           3295779          7235032         -43.24     results along with global markets and the crude prices.
                                                            The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                         4955. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and
Advances                              573                   5885 levels.
Declines                              908
Same                                  71
Total                             1552
A/D Ratio                        0.63 : 1
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                      Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                       th
                        The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Allahabad Bank          160.60      Sell Below            159        162.25        2.04         152          4.40
BGR Energy              328.95      Sell Below            326        333.25        2.22         310          4.91
Century Textiles        331.05      Sell Below            326        338.00        3.68         300          7.98
                                                                                                                    TGT of 175
                                                                                                                    Achieved
                                                                                                                    given Sell @
                                                                                                                    188 on
DLF                    181.50    Sell Below           180     184.50               2.50         170          5.56   24/04/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17134                17133     17244       17353         17573        17024        16913        16693
S&P CNX NIFTY                5191                 5189       5224       5258          5327            5156        5121       5052
NIFTY MAY FUT.               5211                 5210       5251       5291          5373            5170        5128       5047




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

AB Nuvo, Allahabad Bk; Andhra Bk; BOI, BGR Energy, Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Canara bk; Educomp, EKC, Escorts,
HCC, HDIL, Hotel Leela, IDFC, Indusind Bk; IOB, IRB, LITL, MLL, MTNL, Patel Engg; PFC, PNB, Polaris,
Ranbaxy, Rel. Comm; Rel. Infra, Rolta, Rel. Power, SAIL, SBI, Sintex, Sterlite, Uniphos, VIP, Voltas, Welcorp,
Yes Bk.
Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Balrampur Chini, Divis labs, GMDC, ICICI Bk; Infosys Tech; McDowell, Mphasis, Opto
Circuit, Sun Pharma, Tata Coffee, TCS




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     reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
     required to observe these restrictions.
     This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
     upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
     jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
     Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
     objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
     We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
     though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
     with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
     own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
     material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
     those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
     risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
     price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
     match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
     Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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     was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
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     written consent.




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                             th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 280412

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 28th April 2012 Indices * Close Chg. Mirroring the positive Asian market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17134.25 0.02 % markets opened on a positive note. The markets traded S&P CNX NIFTY 5190.60 0.03 % higher in the morning trade but failed to sustain higher due to NIFTY May FUT. 5210.80 -0.07 % lack of follow up buying support and sustained bouts of India VIX 17.89 -4.53 % selling pressure. The markets came off the lows of the day in Nifty May Fut 20.20 Premium the afternoon session on back of positive news flow on FII taxation. The markets once again ended the day on a flat S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels note to close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 day were SAIL, Coal India, ACC, IDFC, SBI, Jindal Steel, Support 5161 5037 4955 BHEL, Bajaj Auto, Ambuja Cement and Rel. Infra Resistance 5400 5681 5728 Technically, the market breadth remained negative Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 50 Day SMA 5317.68 largely positive. The domestic markets are likely to 100 Day SMA 5130.25 witness a flat to positive opening. The prevailing 200 Day SMA 5127.39 ◄ Crucial technical negatives continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST, Stochastic and RSI are still placed Volume (Lacs Shares) * below their respective averages. This would lead to 27/04/12 26/04/12 % Chg. selling pressure. However, positive technical conditions BSE 1826 1878 -2.77 still hold good and would help the markets take support NSE 5703 7273 -21.59 at lower levels. The Stochastic has moved in the over Total 7529 9151 -17.73 sold zone. The MACD remains placed above its average. The Nifty continues to sustain above its long-term Turnover ( ` Crores) * moving average the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 27/04/12 26/04/12 % Chg. 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA BSE 2021.54 2401.97 -15.84 and 200-day SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout. Moreso, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA has NSE 9948.12 12258.34 -18.85 crossed above the Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive NSE F&O 85215.03 190370.21 -55.24 technical conditions would prompt buying support at Total 97184.69 205030.52 -52.60 lower levels. However, The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * continue to move sideways, indicating that markets would continue to remain range bound. The market 27/04/12 26/04/12 % Chg. sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the Index Fut. 442887 637675 -30.55 markets witness buying support at lower levels for the Stock Fut. 464543 1080432 -57.00 Nifty to take support. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial Index Opt. 2233508 5323510 -58.04 support level for the markets. In the meanwhile the Stock Opt. 154841 193415 -19.94 markets would take cues from the forthcoming Q4 Total 3295779 7235032 -43.24 results along with global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and Market Breadth (NSE) * 4955. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and Advances 573 5885 levels. Declines 908 Same 71 Total 1552 A/D Ratio 0.63 : 1 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Allahabad Bank 160.60 Sell Below 159 162.25 2.04 152 4.40 BGR Energy 328.95 Sell Below 326 333.25 2.22 310 4.91 Century Textiles 331.05 Sell Below 326 338.00 3.68 300 7.98 TGT of 175 Achieved given Sell @ 188 on DLF 181.50 Sell Below 180 184.50 2.50 170 5.56 24/04/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17134 17133 17244 17353 17573 17024 16913 16693 S&P CNX NIFTY 5191 5189 5224 5258 5327 5156 5121 5052 NIFTY MAY FUT. 5211 5210 5251 5291 5373 5170 5128 5047 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today AB Nuvo, Allahabad Bk; Andhra Bk; BOI, BGR Energy, Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Canara bk; Educomp, EKC, Escorts, HCC, HDIL, Hotel Leela, IDFC, Indusind Bk; IOB, IRB, LITL, MLL, MTNL, Patel Engg; PFC, PNB, Polaris, Ranbaxy, Rel. Comm; Rel. Infra, Rolta, Rel. Power, SAIL, SBI, Sintex, Sterlite, Uniphos, VIP, Voltas, Welcorp, Yes Bk. Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Balrampur Chini, Divis labs, GMDC, ICICI Bk; Infosys Tech; McDowell, Mphasis, Opto Circuit, Sun Pharma, Tata Coffee, TCS Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com