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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                     3rd May 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.      Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                17301.91          -0.10     markets opened on a firm note. Steady buying support was
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5239.15          -0.17     witnessed as markets moved higher to trade above the 5300
 NIFTY May FUT.             5246.95          -0.40     level. However, the markets once again failed to capitalize on
 India VIX                   18.54           4.04      morning gains as follow up buying support did not materialize.
                                                       Profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 levels. The markets ended the day with flat to close near the
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    lows for the day. The top losers for the day were Tata Motors,
Support           5161       5037            4955      Maruti, Tata Power, Grasim, Bajaj Auto, BPCL, Coal India,
Resistance        5400       5681            5728      ACC, Bank of Baroda and Powergrid
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Technically, the market breadth remained negative
50 Day SMA                  5299.35                    amidst higher volumes. The global market cues are
100 Day SMA                 5138.48                    divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
200 Day SMA                 5121.86        ◄ Crucial   flat opening. The prevailing technical positives have
                                                       helped the markets to move higher. However, lack of
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               follow up buying support at higher levels is leading to
               02/05/12     30/04/12        % Chg.     selling pressure. The KST, Stochastic and RSI are still
BSE              1810        1638            10.50     placed above their respective averages. The Nifty
NSE              5704        5394            5.74      continues to sustain above its long-term moving average
Total            7514        7032            6.85
                                                       the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA
                                                       remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout.
               02/05/12     30/04/12        % Chg.     Moreso, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA has crossed above the
BSE             1805.40     1678.89          7.54      Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical conditions
NSE             9575.59     8860.99          8.06
                                                       would prompt buying support at regular intervals.
                                                       However, the negative technical conditions still hold
NSE F&O        69746.75    66255.80          5.27
                                                       good and would lead to profit taking and selling pressure
Total          81127.74    76795.68          5.64
                                                       at higher levels. The MACD is placed below its average.
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          The KST has once again slipped in the negative territory.
                                                       The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, which is
               30/04/12     30/04/12        % Chg.
                                                       a short term negative. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line
Index Fut.      317064      328587           -3.51
                                                       continue to move sideways, indicating that markets
Stock Fut.      380083      379160           0.24      would continue to remain range bound. The market
Index Opt.     1824301      1705141          6.99      sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the
Stock Opt.      118464      122172           -3.04     markets witness follow up buying support at higher
Total          2639912      2535060          4.55      levels for the Nifty to sustain above the 5300 level. The
                                                       200-day SMA remains a crucial support level for the
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                    markets. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Advances                      660                      from the forthcoming Q4 results season along with
Declines                      792                      global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for
Same                           91                      Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and 4955. The Nifty faces
Total                        1543                      resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels.
A/D Ratio                   0.83 : 1
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                 Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Apollo Tyre              87.80      Sell Below             87         89.25        2.59          82          5.75
Century Textiles        315.55      Sell Below            313        319.00        1.92         300          4.15


Cipla                  318.05    Buy Above            319     314.00               1.57         330          3.45
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17302                17333     17401       17500         17667        17234        17166        17000
S&P CNX NIFTY                5239                 5248       5270       5302          5355            5217        5195       5142
NIFTY MAY FUT.               5247                 5262       5287       5327          5393            5221        5196       5130




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

3i Infotech, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Areva, Bharat Forge, Bharti Airtel, Cummins, DCHL, Dena Bank, Divis
Labs, DLF, Educomp, Federal Bank, GSPL, HOECL, Indian Hotels, Piramal Healthcare, PNB, PTC, Sun TV,
Syndicate Bank, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Titan, TTK Prestige, Uniphos
APIL, Ashok Leyland, Balrampur Chini, BHEL, BPCL, Dish TV, Exide, FT, GE Shipping, ITC, Maruti, Max India,
NCC, NTPC, PFC, Punj Lloyd, Renuka Sugar, Siemens, ShriramTransport, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, VIP




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     This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
     reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
     required to observe these restrictions.
     This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
     upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
     jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
     Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
     objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
     We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
     though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
     with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
     own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
     material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
     those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
     risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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     match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
     Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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     written consent.



                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                             th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 030512

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 3rd May 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17301.91 -0.10 markets opened on a firm note. Steady buying support was S&P CNX NIFTY 5239.15 -0.17 witnessed as markets moved higher to trade above the 5300 NIFTY May FUT. 5246.95 -0.40 level. However, the markets once again failed to capitalize on India VIX 18.54 4.04 morning gains as follow up buying support did not materialize. Profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed at higher S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels levels. The markets ended the day with flat to close near the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 lows for the day. The top losers for the day were Tata Motors, Support 5161 5037 4955 Maruti, Tata Power, Grasim, Bajaj Auto, BPCL, Coal India, Resistance 5400 5681 5728 ACC, Bank of Baroda and Powergrid Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Technically, the market breadth remained negative 50 Day SMA 5299.35 amidst higher volumes. The global market cues are 100 Day SMA 5138.48 divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a 200 Day SMA 5121.86 ◄ Crucial flat opening. The prevailing technical positives have helped the markets to move higher. However, lack of Volume (Lacs Shares) * follow up buying support at higher levels is leading to 02/05/12 30/04/12 % Chg. selling pressure. The KST, Stochastic and RSI are still BSE 1810 1638 10.50 placed above their respective averages. The Nifty NSE 5704 5394 5.74 continues to sustain above its long-term moving average Total 7514 7032 6.85 the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout. 02/05/12 30/04/12 % Chg. Moreso, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA has crossed above the BSE 1805.40 1678.89 7.54 Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical conditions NSE 9575.59 8860.99 8.06 would prompt buying support at regular intervals. However, the negative technical conditions still hold NSE F&O 69746.75 66255.80 5.27 good and would lead to profit taking and selling pressure Total 81127.74 76795.68 5.64 at higher levels. The MACD is placed below its average. F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * The KST has once again slipped in the negative territory. The Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, which is 30/04/12 30/04/12 % Chg. a short term negative. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line Index Fut. 317064 328587 -3.51 continue to move sideways, indicating that markets Stock Fut. 380083 379160 0.24 would continue to remain range bound. The market Index Opt. 1824301 1705141 6.99 sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the Stock Opt. 118464 122172 -3.04 markets witness follow up buying support at higher Total 2639912 2535060 4.55 levels for the Nifty to sustain above the 5300 level. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial support level for the Market Breadth (NSE) * markets. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Advances 660 from the forthcoming Q4 results season along with Declines 792 global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Same 91 Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and 4955. The Nifty faces Total 1543 resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels. A/D Ratio 0.83 : 1 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Apollo Tyre 87.80 Sell Below 87 89.25 2.59 82 5.75 Century Textiles 315.55 Sell Below 313 319.00 1.92 300 4.15 Cipla 318.05 Buy Above 319 314.00 1.57 330 3.45 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17302 17333 17401 17500 17667 17234 17166 17000 S&P CNX NIFTY 5239 5248 5270 5302 5355 5217 5195 5142 NIFTY MAY FUT. 5247 5262 5287 5327 5393 5221 5196 5130 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today 3i Infotech, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Areva, Bharat Forge, Bharti Airtel, Cummins, DCHL, Dena Bank, Divis Labs, DLF, Educomp, Federal Bank, GSPL, HOECL, Indian Hotels, Piramal Healthcare, PNB, PTC, Sun TV, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Titan, TTK Prestige, Uniphos APIL, Ashok Leyland, Balrampur Chini, BHEL, BPCL, Dish TV, Exide, FT, GE Shipping, ITC, Maruti, Max India, NCC, NTPC, PFC, Punj Lloyd, Renuka Sugar, Siemens, ShriramTransport, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, VIP Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com