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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    4th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.        200-Day Weekly SMA a crucial support for markets
 BSE SENSEX                15965.16          -1.56
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4841.6           -1.68      Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            4824.55          -2.18      witnessed a negative opening. Sustained selling pressure
 India VIX                   26.77           6.01       was witnessed as markets moved lower. The markets failed
                                                        to show any resilience against the selling pressure as buying
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  support once again remained absent. The markets ended the
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     day with moderate losses to close near the lows for the day.
Support           4824       4777            4742       The top losers for the day were Asian Paints, Cairn India,
Resistance        4950       5070            5106       Siemens, Bank of Baroda, Ranbaxy, Rel. Infra, HCL Tech;
                                                        SAIL, IDFC and Tata Motors.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
50 Day SMA                  5115.95                     Technically, the market breadth remained negative
100 Day SMA                 5190.38                     amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
200 Day SMA                 5066.82        ◄ Critical   negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
                                                        gap down opening. The prevailing technical negatives
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE        continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST and
Advances                      850             376       RSI have slipped below their respective averages.
Declines                     1830            1092       Moreover, the Stochastic is already placed below its
Same                          118                72     average. The KST and MACD are placed in the negative
Total                        2798            1540       territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The
A/D Ratio                   0.46 : 1        0.34 : 1    Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA
                                                        and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                below its 100-day SMA. These negative technical
               01/06/12     31/05/12        % Chg.      conditions would lead to further selling pressure.
BSE              2029        1747            16.14      However, a few positive technical conditions still hold
NSE              5483        9122           -39.89
                                                        good. The MACD is still placed above its average.
                                                        Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are
Total            7512        10869          -30.88
                                                        placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                technical conditions would prompt short covering and
               01/06/12     31/05/12        % Chg.      selective buying support at lower levels. The ADX line is
BSE             1873.85     1782.54          5.12
                                                        moving higher, while the –DI line is placed above its 30
                                                        level indicating sellers have an upper hand. The +DI line
NSE             8947.20    16178.35          -44.70
                                                        is moving lower. The market sentiment has turned
NSE F&O        79781.44    195703.89         -59.23
                                                        negative. Now it is important that the markets witness
Total          90602.49    213664.78         -57.60     buying support and move above the 4950 resistance
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          level. The Nifty’s 200 day SMA support on weekly charts
                                                        is placed at 4824, which should act as good support
               01/06/12     31/05/12        % Chg.
                                                        level. If Nifty fails to take support at this level then it is
Index Fut.      444173      783992           -43.34     likely to move lower and possibly test the 4742 level. In
Stock Fut.      464907      1164170          -60.07     the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
Index Opt.     2271315      5837042          -61.09     USDINR, global markets and the crude prices. The
Stock Opt.      147652      262265           -43.70     support levels for Nifty are placed at 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624
Total          3328047      8047469          -45.73     and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, 5106
                                                        and 5250 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                                Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action          Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
ABB Fut                704.95       Sell Below           700.00      711.25         1.61         675          3.57
Bata Fut               864.05       Sell Below           860.00      873.50         1.57         830          3.49
                                                                                                                     TGT of 410
                                                                                                                     Achieved
                                                                                                                     given Sell @
                                                                                                                     433 on
BEML Fut               419.00    Sell Below        415.00     426.25                2.71         390          6.02   30/05/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                             Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close          Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 15965                 16042      16150      16334          16627        15857        15749        15456
S&P CNX NIFTY               4842                  4866       4900        4959          5053            4807        4773       4680
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             4825                  4851       4888        4951          5050            4788        4752       4652




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Arvind, Bata, BEML, Federal Bank, GE Shipping, Grasim, Havells, HCL Tech; Hexaware, IDBI Bank, IVRCL, Jet Airways,
Jindal Steel, JSW Energy, L&T, Maruti, NHPC, Ranbaxy, Rel. Comm; Rel. Capital, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, Sun TV, Suzlon, VIP
GAIL, ITC, JP Power, Neyveli Lignite, Ultratech




      Disclaimer
      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 040612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 4th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. 200-Day Weekly SMA a crucial support for markets BSE SENSEX 15965.16 -1.56 S&P CNX NIFTY 4841.6 -1.68 Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4824.55 -2.18 witnessed a negative opening. Sustained selling pressure India VIX 26.77 6.01 was witnessed as markets moved lower. The markets failed to show any resilience against the selling pressure as buying S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels support once again remained absent. The markets ended the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 day with moderate losses to close near the lows for the day. Support 4824 4777 4742 The top losers for the day were Asian Paints, Cairn India, Resistance 4950 5070 5106 Siemens, Bank of Baroda, Ranbaxy, Rel. Infra, HCL Tech; SAIL, IDFC and Tata Motors. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 50 Day SMA 5115.95 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 100 Day SMA 5190.38 amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 200 Day SMA 5066.82 ◄ Critical negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a gap down opening. The prevailing technical negatives Market Breadth * BSE NSE continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST and Advances 850 376 RSI have slipped below their respective averages. Declines 1830 1092 Moreover, the Stochastic is already placed below its Same 118 72 average. The KST and MACD are placed in the negative Total 2798 1540 territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The A/D Ratio 0.46 : 1 0.34 : 1 Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed Volume (Lacs Shares) * below its 100-day SMA. These negative technical 01/06/12 31/05/12 % Chg. conditions would lead to further selling pressure. BSE 2029 1747 16.14 However, a few positive technical conditions still hold NSE 5483 9122 -39.89 good. The MACD is still placed above its average. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are Total 7512 10869 -30.88 placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive Turnover ( ` Crores) * technical conditions would prompt short covering and 01/06/12 31/05/12 % Chg. selective buying support at lower levels. The ADX line is BSE 1873.85 1782.54 5.12 moving higher, while the –DI line is placed above its 30 level indicating sellers have an upper hand. The +DI line NSE 8947.20 16178.35 -44.70 is moving lower. The market sentiment has turned NSE F&O 79781.44 195703.89 -59.23 negative. Now it is important that the markets witness Total 90602.49 213664.78 -57.60 buying support and move above the 4950 resistance F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * level. The Nifty’s 200 day SMA support on weekly charts is placed at 4824, which should act as good support 01/06/12 31/05/12 % Chg. level. If Nifty fails to take support at this level then it is Index Fut. 444173 783992 -43.34 likely to move lower and possibly test the 4742 level. In Stock Fut. 464907 1164170 -60.07 the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Index Opt. 2271315 5837042 -61.09 USDINR, global markets and the crude prices. The Stock Opt. 147652 262265 -43.70 support levels for Nifty are placed at 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 Total 3328047 8047469 -45.73 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, 5106 and 5250 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ABB Fut 704.95 Sell Below 700.00 711.25 1.61 675 3.57 Bata Fut 864.05 Sell Below 860.00 873.50 1.57 830 3.49 TGT of 410 Achieved given Sell @ 433 on BEML Fut 419.00 Sell Below 415.00 426.25 2.71 390 6.02 30/05/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 15965 16042 16150 16334 16627 15857 15749 15456 S&P CNX NIFTY 4842 4866 4900 4959 5053 4807 4773 4680 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4825 4851 4888 4951 5050 4788 4752 4652 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Arvind, Bata, BEML, Federal Bank, GE Shipping, Grasim, Havells, HCL Tech; Hexaware, IDBI Bank, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JSW Energy, L&T, Maruti, NHPC, Ranbaxy, Rel. Comm; Rel. Capital, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, Sun TV, Suzlon, VIP GAIL, ITC, JP Power, Neyveli Lignite, Ultratech Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com