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India Morning Note
    a
Tuesd
    day, Septem
              mber 04, 201
                         12

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                   V
                                                            Views on ma
                                                                      arkets today
                                                                                 y
                                                            • Indian mmarkets declined to lowe closing levels in a
                                                                                               est
 Nam of Index
   me                  Aug 31        Sept 3    Change (%)     month as investors w were concerrned by the latest data
 Sens
    sex              17,429.56    17,384.40
                                  1              -0.26%       showing growth in m  manufacturing sector easing to a
 CNX Nifty            5,258.50     5,253.75      -0.09%       nine-mon nth low in August 2012 while investors
                                                                                  n           2
 BSE Mid-cap          6,005.02     6,010.62       0.09%       discounted deferment of propos   sed anti-tax avoidance
 BSE IT               5,741.96     5,734.37      -0.13%       rules, choosing to concentrate on macroeconomic
                                                                                               e
 BSE Banks           11,515.94    11,441.51
                                  1              -0.65%
                                                              woes lik the fiscal and trade deficits. Ind
                                                                      ke                                    dia's fiscal
                                                              deficit during the April-July p
                                                                      d                        period rose to `2.64
FII Ac
     ctivity                                      (`Cr)       ($47.5bn or 51.5% of the full fiscal year 2012/13.
                                                                      n)          %            l            r
                                                              Export d data also s showed that annual ex
                                                                                               t            xports fell
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       14.8% to $22.4bn i July, leav
                                                                       o           in         ving a trade deficit of
                                                                                                           e
 31-Aug                 3,126         3,272         -146      $15.5bn, the trade ministry said in a state
                                                                       ,                                  ement. The
 30-Aug                 5,196         2,694        2501       market was more w    worried on much-await   ted reform
                                                              measure as the political gridlock continued to weigh
                                                                      es                                    d
 Total Aug
     l                  48308        38579         9729
                                                              at a tim of rising risk of a so
                                                                     me                       overeign credit ratings
 2012 YTD
    2                  422278       359249        63029
                                                              downgra ade. Morgan Stanley also cut India's economic
                                                                                               o           s
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)      growth f forecast to 5
                                                                                   5.1% for the 2012/13 f
                                                                                               e           fiscal year,
                                                              citing weeak external demand, lo private investment
                                                                                               ow
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       and poo governme
                                                                      or           ent finances However, European
                                                                                               s.
 31-Aug                   314          372           -58      stock markets rose on Monday after wea Chinese
                                                                                               y           ak
                                                              manufac cturing data spurred hopes of additional
                                                                                   a
 30-Aug                 1,099          783          315
                                                              monetary easing me  easures in the country.
 Total Aug
     l                   9747        11211         -1463
                                                            • Banking shares co   ontinued Friday's slide after a
                                                                                                        e,
 2012 YTD
    2                   81716        90994         -9278
                                                              stronger-than-expect ted GDP daashed hopes for rate
Global Markets                                                cuts. Auugust auto sales witne essed a br road-based
                                                              slowdowwn, with no  one of the reported companies
 Index
     x                     Latest Values
                                t              Change (%)     throwing a positive s
                                                                     g            surprise.
 DJIA                            13
                                  3,090.84        0.69%     • Market b
                                                                     breadth was flat at ~1.02 as investors bought
                                                                                              2x
 NASD
    DAQ                           3,066.96
                                  3               0.60%       large cap stocks. On provisiona basis, bot FIIs and
                                                                                              al         th
 Nikke *
     ei                           8,805.26
                                  8              -0.39%       domestic institutions sold equiti
                                                                      c           s           ies worth `0
                                                                                                         0.55bn and
 Hang Seng *
    g                            19
                                  9,543.85        0.31%       `1.61bn, respectively in cash seg
                                                                                  y           gment.
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f                                                     • Asian s stocks dropped after investors awaited
                                                                                              r          s
                                                              importan events this week, i
                                                                      nt                      including a European
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot
                                                              Central B
                                                                      Bank meetin on Thursd
                                                                                 ng          day, while a weak U.S.
 Future contract                                   RBI
                                                              non-farm payroll rep
                                                                     m           port on Friday could sign another
                                                                                                         nal
                          Latest    Previous                  round of asset purch
                                                                                 hases by the Federal Reserve.
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close
 29/08/12                                         Rate      • We expe  ect a weak opening fo the Indian markets
                                                                                                   or
 India Rupee per $
     an                    55.70       55.93       55.45      following the cues from the Asian markets and rising
                                                                      g
 India Rupee per €
     an                    70.00       69.95       87.98      global poolitical instab
                                                                                     bility after Ir
                                                                                                   ran's warning to Israel
                                                                                                               gs
 India Rupee per £
     an                    88.39       88.26       69.70      took toll on the crude oil prices.
                                                                                     e
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    71.11       71.18       70.83    Economic and Corporate Developm
                                                                     a                    ments
* NSE Exchange                                              • Moody's Investors S Service has changed to negative
                                                                                                        o
                                                              from staable its outlook on the Aaa long-te
                                                                                                        erm issuer
                                                              rating of the Europea Union (EU
                                                                      f           an         U).


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TOP GAINERS
    G                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)
                                                    • Tech Ma ahindra set to buyout Indian BPO arm of
                                                                                             O
                   Previous   Current    Change       hutch fo $100mn.
                                                             or
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Aurobindo Phar     110.70     118.20      6.78     • Piramal Healthcare looking t
                                                                           e          to acquire contract
 Exide Inds
     e              131.10     138.10      5.34       research and manu
                                                               h                      business of Ind-Swift
                                                                           ufacturing b
 Muth
    hoot Fin        124.60     130.85      5.02       facilities for `1000Cr
                                                               s           r.
 Rash
    htriya Chem      50.90      53.45      5.01     • United S                      ake sale in Whyte &
                                                             Spirits close to 49% sta
 Cham
    mbal Fert        65.05      67.80      4.23       Mackay.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                • Sun group enters raace to acquuire Deccan Chargers
                   Previous   Current    Change       (part of Deccan Chro
                                                                         onicle (DCHL
                                                                                    L)).
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                    • Blue Dart promoters express to cut stake in Indian
                                                                                   o
 Bajaj Corp
     j              177.70     190.00       6.92
                                                            eans compan not lookin for delisting, stock
                                                      arm (me           ny         ng
 Aurobindo Phar     110.70     118.20       6.78
                                                      was dow 3% yeste
                                                            wn         erday); curre
                                                                                   ent promote holding
                                                                                              er
 S Mo
    obility          37.95      40.00       5.40      81%.
 Shree Renuk Sug     30.30      31.85       5.12
 Muth
    hoot Fin        124.60     130.85       5.02
                                                    • Power GGrid approve `1935Cr investment in South
                                                                        ed
                                                      region grid.
TOP LOSERS
    L                                               • Jain Irrig
                                                               gation board meets toda to conside raising
                                                                                     ay         er
(BSE A-Group)                                         of aroun $200mn.
                                                               nd

                   Previous   Current    Change     • Ashok Leyland’s total sales for the month o August
                                                                                                of
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)       2012 wa up 30% at 9,432 units YoY.
                                                            as           t           s
 Piram Health
     mal            488.35     457.15      -6.39
 IFCI                26.10      24.85      -4.79
 JSW Steel
     S              695.25     669.90      -3.65
 Divis Lab
     s             1154.10    1116.20      -3.28
 Opto Circuits
    o               123.75     119.70      -3.27

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Resp
    ponsive Inds     93.40      82.90     -11.24
 JUBIL
     LANT           194.20     179.05      -7.80
 TVS Motor           39.15      36.60      -6.51
 Tulip Telecom
     p               93.55      88.90      -4.97
 IFCI                26.10      24.85      -4.79




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                    (research
                                                   h@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-3026
                                                                                               66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /              Tuesd
                                day                  Wednes
                                                          sday                  Thursda
                                                                                      ay                     Friday

   Reg
     gions                   4/Se
                                ep                      5/Sep
                                                            p                     6/Sep
                                                                                      p                      7/Sep
   India                                       M3 Money Su
                                               M         upply                                      Fo
                                                                                                     orex Reserve Data
                                                                                                                es




   US               Construction
                               n               MBA Mortgag
                                               M           ge             Challenger Job Cuts
                                                                          C                         Av
                                                                                                     verage Hourly
                    Spending (M
                              MoM)             Applications
                                               A                          (Y
                                                                           YoY)                     Ea
                                                                                                     arnings (YoY);
                                                                                                    Av
                                                                                                     verage Week kly
                                                                                                    Ho
                                                                                                     ours
                    Markit                                                In
                                                                           nitial and                onfarms Pay
                                                                                                    No          yrolls;
                    Manufacturing PMI                                     Continuing Jobless
                                                                          C                         Un
                                                                                                     nemploymen Rate
                                                                                                                 nt
                                                                          Claims
                                                                          C
                    Total Vehicle Sales
                                e                                         IS Non-
                                                                           SM
                                                                          Manufacturing PMI
                                                                          M
   Global           UK's PMI                   UK's Markit S
                                               U           Services       Eurozone's Gross          Japan Coincide ent
                               n
                    Construction               PMI
                                               P                          Domestic Product
                                                                          D                         Index; Leading g
                                                                          s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY)      Ecconomic Inde ex
                                               Germany's M
                                               G          Markit          UK's BoE Inte
                                                                          U           erest         UK Industrial
                                                                                                      K
                                               Services PMI
                                               S                          Rate Decision
                                                                          R           n             Prroduction (Yo &
                                                                                                                   oY
                                                                                                    MoM);
                                                                                                    Manufacturing  g
                                                                                                    Prroduction (Yo &
                                                                                                                   oY
                                                                                                    MoM)
                                                                          Eurozone's ECCB           UK Producer P
                                                                                                      K            Price
                                                                          In
                                                                           nterest Rate             Index - Input ((YoY &
                                                                          Decision
                                                                          D                         MoM); Produce   er
                                                                                                    Prrice Index - O
                                                                                                                   Output
                                                                                                    (Y
                                                                                                     YoY & MoM)




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                      The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba
                              ,            S         apat Marg, Dadar (W), M
                                                                D          Mumbai – 40 028
                                                                                     00
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                                                                         eynotecapita
                                                                                    als.com

Disclaim
       mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor
                    ort           f            on           nd             o             rmation. News content is a attributable to
                                                                                                                                  o
various media, unles specified ot
       s            ss           therwise. All m
                                               market related statistical da pertains to the immedia
                                                            d              ata           o            ately preceding trading dayy,
unless stated otherw
                   wise. Neither the information nor any opin
                                                            nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to
                                                                           ed           ort                        an             o
make an offer, to bu or sell the s
       a           uy            securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh
                                                            n.              of                                      hall not in any
                                                                                                                                  y
way be responsible for any loss a
      e                          arising from th use of this report. Inves
                                               he           s               stors are advi
                                                                                         ised to apply their own jud
                                                                                                                   dgment before  e
acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints.
        on         nts           ort.          t            n              to

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Keynote capitals india morning note september 4-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Tuesd day, Septem mber 04, 201 12 Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y • Indian mmarkets declined to lowe closing levels in a est Nam of Index me Aug 31 Sept 3 Change (%) month as investors w were concerrned by the latest data Sens sex 17,429.56 17,384.40 1 -0.26% showing growth in m manufacturing sector easing to a CNX Nifty 5,258.50 5,253.75 -0.09% nine-mon nth low in August 2012 while investors n 2 BSE Mid-cap 6,005.02 6,010.62 0.09% discounted deferment of propos sed anti-tax avoidance BSE IT 5,741.96 5,734.37 -0.13% rules, choosing to concentrate on macroeconomic e BSE Banks 11,515.94 11,441.51 1 -0.65% woes lik the fiscal and trade deficits. Ind ke dia's fiscal deficit during the April-July p d period rose to `2.64 FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) ($47.5bn or 51.5% of the full fiscal year 2012/13. n) % l r Export d data also s showed that annual ex t xports fell Date e Buy Sell Net 14.8% to $22.4bn i July, leav o in ving a trade deficit of e 31-Aug 3,126 3,272 -146 $15.5bn, the trade ministry said in a state , ement. The 30-Aug 5,196 2,694 2501 market was more w worried on much-await ted reform measure as the political gridlock continued to weigh es d Total Aug l 48308 38579 9729 at a tim of rising risk of a so me overeign credit ratings 2012 YTD 2 422278 359249 63029 downgra ade. Morgan Stanley also cut India's economic o s MF A Activity (`Cr) growth f forecast to 5 5.1% for the 2012/13 f e fiscal year, citing weeak external demand, lo private investment ow Date e Buy Sell Net and poo governme or ent finances However, European s. 31-Aug 314 372 -58 stock markets rose on Monday after wea Chinese y ak manufac cturing data spurred hopes of additional a 30-Aug 1,099 783 315 monetary easing me easures in the country. Total Aug l 9747 11211 -1463 • Banking shares co ontinued Friday's slide after a e, 2012 YTD 2 81716 90994 -9278 stronger-than-expect ted GDP daashed hopes for rate Global Markets cuts. Auugust auto sales witne essed a br road-based slowdowwn, with no one of the reported companies Index x Latest Values t Change (%) throwing a positive s g surprise. DJIA 13 3,090.84 0.69% • Market b breadth was flat at ~1.02 as investors bought 2x NASD DAQ 3,066.96 3 0.60% large cap stocks. On provisiona basis, bot FIIs and al th Nikke * ei 8,805.26 8 -0.39% domestic institutions sold equiti c s ies worth `0 0.55bn and Hang Seng * g 19 9,543.85 0.31% `1.61bn, respectively in cash seg y gment. * as of 8.25AM IST f • Asian s stocks dropped after investors awaited r s importan events this week, i nt including a European Curre ency Snapsh hot Central B Bank meetin on Thursd ng day, while a weak U.S. Future contract RBI non-farm payroll rep m port on Friday could sign another nal Latest Previous round of asset purch hases by the Federal Reserve. expir on re Reference R Quote Close 29/08/12 Rate • We expe ect a weak opening fo the Indian markets or India Rupee per $ an 55.70 55.93 55.45 following the cues from the Asian markets and rising g India Rupee per € an 70.00 69.95 87.98 global poolitical instab bility after Ir ran's warning to Israel gs India Rupee per £ an 88.39 88.26 69.70 took toll on the crude oil prices. e India Rupee per ¥ an 71.11 71.18 70.83 Economic and Corporate Developm a ments * NSE Exchange • Moody's Investors S Service has changed to negative o from staable its outlook on the Aaa long-te erm issuer rating of the Europea Union (EU f an U). Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Tech Ma ahindra set to buyout Indian BPO arm of O Previous Current Change hutch fo $100mn. or Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Aurobindo Phar 110.70 118.20 6.78 • Piramal Healthcare looking t e to acquire contract Exide Inds e 131.10 138.10 5.34 research and manu h business of Ind-Swift ufacturing b Muth hoot Fin 124.60 130.85 5.02 facilities for `1000Cr s r. Rash htriya Chem 50.90 53.45 5.01 • United S ake sale in Whyte & Spirits close to 49% sta Cham mbal Fert 65.05 67.80 4.23 Mackay. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Sun group enters raace to acquuire Deccan Chargers Previous Current Change (part of Deccan Chro onicle (DCHL L)). Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Blue Dart promoters express to cut stake in Indian o Bajaj Corp j 177.70 190.00 6.92 eans compan not lookin for delisting, stock arm (me ny ng Aurobindo Phar 110.70 118.20 6.78 was dow 3% yeste wn erday); curre ent promote holding er S Mo obility 37.95 40.00 5.40 81%. Shree Renuk Sug 30.30 31.85 5.12 Muth hoot Fin 124.60 130.85 5.02 • Power GGrid approve `1935Cr investment in South ed region grid. TOP LOSERS L • Jain Irrig gation board meets toda to conside raising ay er (BSE A-Group) of aroun $200mn. nd Previous Current Change • Ashok Leyland’s total sales for the month o August of Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) 2012 wa up 30% at 9,432 units YoY. as t s Piram Health mal 488.35 457.15 -6.39 IFCI 26.10 24.85 -4.79 JSW Steel S 695.25 669.90 -3.65 Divis Lab s 1154.10 1116.20 -3.28 Opto Circuits o 123.75 119.70 -3.27 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Resp ponsive Inds 93.40 82.90 -11.24 JUBIL LANT 194.20 179.05 -7.80 TVS Motor 39.15 36.60 -6.51 Tulip Telecom p 93.55 88.90 -4.97 IFCI 26.10 24.85 -4.79 Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Tuesd day Wednes sday Thursda ay Friday Reg gions 4/Se ep 5/Sep p 6/Sep p 7/Sep India M3 Money Su M upply Fo orex Reserve Data es US Construction n MBA Mortgag M ge Challenger Job Cuts C Av verage Hourly Spending (M MoM) Applications A (Y YoY) Ea arnings (YoY); Av verage Week kly Ho ours Markit In nitial and onfarms Pay No yrolls; Manufacturing PMI Continuing Jobless C Un nemploymen Rate nt Claims C Total Vehicle Sales e IS Non- SM Manufacturing PMI M Global UK's PMI UK's Markit S U Services Eurozone's Gross Japan Coincide ent n Construction PMI P Domestic Product D Index; Leading g s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY) Ecconomic Inde ex Germany's M G Markit UK's BoE Inte U erest UK Industrial K Services PMI S Rate Decision R n Prroduction (Yo & oY MoM); Manufacturing g Prroduction (Yo & oY MoM) Eurozone's ECCB UK Producer P K Price In nterest Rate Index - Input ((YoY & Decision D MoM); Produce er Prrice Index - O Output (Y YoY & MoM) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to