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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                                 7th August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.                  Short term rally could unfold
 BSE SENSEX                17412.96          1.25
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5282.55          1.28      Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.             5296.85         1.06      markets witnessed a gap up opening. Sustained buying
 India VIX                   16.22           0.62      support was witnessed, which also led to intermediate bouts
                                                       of short covering. However, the markets struggled to sustain
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 above the 5300 level on back of profit taking and lack of
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    follow up buying support due to weak European market cues.
Support           5250       5106            5047      However, buying support gained momentum towards the last
Resistance        5333       5379            5464      hour of trade. The markets ended the day with moderate
                                                       gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  the day were DLF, Bharti Airtel, HIndalco, Sesa Goa, HDFC,
50 Day SMA                  5145.48                    GAIL. BPCL, Coal India, PNB and Rel. Infra.
100 Day SMA                 5145.80
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
200 Day SMA                 5107.47        ◄Critical
                                                       lower volumes, indicates tentativeness at higher levels
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       on part of participants. The global market cues are
Advances                     1676             926      positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
Declines                     1162             562
                                                       positive opening. The prevailing technical positives
                                                       helped the markets move higher. The RSI is placed above
Same                          121               74
                                                       its average. Moreover, the KST and MACD have also
Total                        2959            1562
                                                       moved above their respective averages. The KST has
A/D Ratio                   1.44 : 1        1.65 : 1
                                                       also moved in the positive. The Nifty remains placed
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
                                                       More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA is placed above the
               06/08/12     03/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       Nifty’s 200-day SMA and Nifty’s 50-day SMA is on verge
BSE              1734        1988           -12.78
                                                       of moving above the Nifty’s 100-day SMA. These
NSE              5016        5371            -6.62     positives would lead to further buying support. However,
Total            6750        7359            -8.28     a few technical negatives still hold good. The Stochastic
                                                       remains placed below its average and is also placed in
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *
                                                       the over bought zone.. Moreover, the MACD is also
               06/08/12     03/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       placed in the negative territory. These negative technical
BSE             1684.88     1905.55         -11.58     conditions would prompt intermediate bouts of profit
NSE             8639.24     8903.67          -2.97     taking at higher levels. The ADX line, the +DI line and the
NSE F&O        88279.51    100201.47        -11.90     –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Total          98603.63    111010.69        -11.18     trend. The market sentiment has turned positive but
                                                       follow up buying support is needed to test the higher
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          range for Nifty, which is placed at 5333-5379 levels. In the
               06/08/12     03/08/12        % Chg.     meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Rupee,
Index Fut.      296977      423133          -29.81     global market cues and the crude prices. The support
Stock Fut.      380182      428451          -11.27     levels for Nifty are placed at 5250, 5106, 5047, 5000, 4950
Index Opt.     2451613      2791816         -12.19
                                                       and 4859. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5333, 5379 and
                                                       5464 levels.
Stock Opt.      174246      168780           3.24
Total          3303018      3812180          -8.78

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                  Stop
                                                   Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
          Stock         Close         Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)           Remarks
  BPCL Fut.             345.10      Sell Below            342             352      2.92          320           6.43


  ABB                   797.80      Buy Above             801             788      1.62          830           3.62
  Bajaj Auto           1636.45      Buy Above            1644            1614      1.82         1710           4.01
  Colgate              1195.60      Buy Above            1206            1184      1.82         1255           4.06
  Reliance               786.05 Buy Above             790                 772      2.28          830           5.06
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
        Indices         Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                    S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17413                 17393     17472          17531      17669             17333       17254     17116
S&P CNX NIFTY               5283                  5279          5297       5311          5344           5265          5247    5214
NIFTY AUG. FUT.             5297                  5295          5312       5327          5359           5280          5263    5231




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
ABB, Ambuja Cement, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BHEL, Biocon, Bombay Dying,
Colgate, FT, GAIL, GSPL, HDFC, HDFC Bank, JSW Steel, L&T, MRF, OFSS, Powergrid, Reliance, Sun Pharma, Sun TV
Andhra Bank, BPCL, HPCL, IOC, Oil India


                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                             th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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    required to observe these restrictions.
    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
    upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
    jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
    objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
    We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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    with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                            th
                 The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 070812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 7th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Short term rally could unfold BSE SENSEX 17412.96 1.25 S&P CNX NIFTY 5282.55 1.28 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5296.85 1.06 markets witnessed a gap up opening. Sustained buying India VIX 16.22 0.62 support was witnessed, which also led to intermediate bouts of short covering. However, the markets struggled to sustain S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels above the 5300 level on back of profit taking and lack of Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 follow up buying support due to weak European market cues. Support 5250 5106 5047 However, buying support gained momentum towards the last Resistance 5333 5379 5464 hour of trade. The markets ended the day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY the day were DLF, Bharti Airtel, HIndalco, Sesa Goa, HDFC, 50 Day SMA 5145.48 GAIL. BPCL, Coal India, PNB and Rel. Infra. 100 Day SMA 5145.80 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 200 Day SMA 5107.47 ◄Critical lower volumes, indicates tentativeness at higher levels Market Breadth * BSE NSE on part of participants. The global market cues are Advances 1676 926 positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a Declines 1162 562 positive opening. The prevailing technical positives helped the markets move higher. The RSI is placed above Same 121 74 its average. Moreover, the KST and MACD have also Total 2959 1562 moved above their respective averages. The KST has A/D Ratio 1.44 : 1 1.65 : 1 also moved in the positive. The Nifty remains placed Volume (Lacs Shares) * above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA is placed above the 06/08/12 03/08/12 % Chg. Nifty’s 200-day SMA and Nifty’s 50-day SMA is on verge BSE 1734 1988 -12.78 of moving above the Nifty’s 100-day SMA. These NSE 5016 5371 -6.62 positives would lead to further buying support. However, Total 6750 7359 -8.28 a few technical negatives still hold good. The Stochastic remains placed below its average and is also placed in Turnover ( ` Crores) * the over bought zone.. Moreover, the MACD is also 06/08/12 03/08/12 % Chg. placed in the negative territory. These negative technical BSE 1684.88 1905.55 -11.58 conditions would prompt intermediate bouts of profit NSE 8639.24 8903.67 -2.97 taking at higher levels. The ADX line, the +DI line and the NSE F&O 88279.51 100201.47 -11.90 –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Total 98603.63 111010.69 -11.18 trend. The market sentiment has turned positive but follow up buying support is needed to test the higher F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * range for Nifty, which is placed at 5333-5379 levels. In the 06/08/12 03/08/12 % Chg. meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Rupee, Index Fut. 296977 423133 -29.81 global market cues and the crude prices. The support Stock Fut. 380182 428451 -11.27 levels for Nifty are placed at 5250, 5106, 5047, 5000, 4950 Index Opt. 2451613 2791816 -12.19 and 4859. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5333, 5379 and 5464 levels. Stock Opt. 174246 168780 3.24 Total 3303018 3812180 -8.78 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks BPCL Fut. 345.10 Sell Below 342 352 2.92 320 6.43 ABB 797.80 Buy Above 801 788 1.62 830 3.62 Bajaj Auto 1636.45 Buy Above 1644 1614 1.82 1710 4.01 Colgate 1195.60 Buy Above 1206 1184 1.82 1255 4.06 Reliance 786.05 Buy Above 790 772 2.28 830 5.06 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17413 17393 17472 17531 17669 17333 17254 17116 S&P CNX NIFTY 5283 5279 5297 5311 5344 5265 5247 5214 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5297 5295 5312 5327 5359 5280 5263 5231 Stocks To Watch Out Today ABB, Ambuja Cement, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BHEL, Biocon, Bombay Dying, Colgate, FT, GAIL, GSPL, HDFC, HDFC Bank, JSW Steel, L&T, MRF, OFSS, Powergrid, Reliance, Sun Pharma, Sun TV Andhra Bank, BPCL, HPCL, IOC, Oil India Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com