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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                          12th December 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                 Markets struggle above 5900 leval
 BSE SENSEX                    19387.14             -0.12
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5898.80             -0.17
                                                              Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
                                                              markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.                5928.40             -0.24
                                                              continued to struggle higher and failed to capitalize on the
 India VIX                        14.67             1.10
                                                              morning gains. The markets failed to show any resilience
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        against the selling pressure and moved lower breaching the
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        5885 support level. However, the markets managed to come
Support           5885          5816            5747
                                                              off the lows in the last hour of trade on back of short
                                                              covering. The markets ended the day with marginal losses to
Resistance        5945          6135            6313
                                                              close near the lows for the day. The Nifty closed below the
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         5900 level. The top losers for the day were Hindalco, BHEL,
50 Day SMA                     5714.26        ◄Positive       Cairn, DLF, HCL Tech; NTPC, TCS, ONGC and Coal India.
100 Day SMA                    5527.74
                                                              Technically, the market breadth remained weak amidst
200 Day SMA                    5349.11                        higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the markets.
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE
                                                              The markets continued to struggle on back of the
                                                              prevailing technical negatives. The Nifty has formed a
Advances                            1154               341
                                                              negative divergence pattern on the daily charts, which
Declines                            1766               833
                                                              does not augur well for the markets. Moreover, the
Same                                 141                 34   Stochastic is still placed below its average. More so, the
Total                               3061             1208     RSI is still placed in the over bought zone. These
A/D Ratio                        0.65 : 1          0.41 : 1   negative technical conditions would lead to further
                                                              selling pressure. However, the prevailing technical
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   positive conditions still hold good. The MACD, KST and
               11/12/12        10/12/12        % Chg.         RSI all are still placed above their respective averages.
BSE                    3026         2584            17.11     Moreover, the MACD and KST are placed in the positive
NSE                    8507         6918            22.97     territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA,
Total                 11533         9502            21.38     100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-
                                                              day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross
               11/12/12        10/12/12        % Chg.         breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
BSE                  2614.27     2295.64            13.88     buying support at lower levels. The market sentiment
NSE              14242.17       10956.86            29.98     remains cautious as the Nifty continues to struggle at
NSE F&O         164077.15       97902.58            67.59     higher level and the 5945 resistance level is turning out
Total           180933.59 111155.08                 62.78
                                                              to be a stiff resistance for the markets. Now, it is
                                                              important that the Nifty witnesses follow up buying
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *              support at regular intervals for the Nifty to test the 5945
               11/12/12        10/12/12        % Chg.         resistance level and move higher. Incase the market fails
Index Fut.           417951      177264            135.78
                                                              to cross this resistance level then markets are likely to
                                                              witness a correction, which could take the Nifty lower to
Stock Fut.           612995      465027             31.82
                                                              test the 5800-5750 range. In the meanwhile the markets
Index Opt.        4133149       2360584             75.09
                                                              would take cues from the on going parliament session,
Stock Opt.           305511      228056             33.96     global markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support
Total             5469606       3230931             57.26     levels for Nifty are placed at 5885, 5816, 5747 and 5665. The
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE                                 Nifty faces resistance at 5945, 6135 and 6313 levels.

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                     Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop          Loss                      Target
      Stock             Close           Action          Price         Loss *          (%)       Target          (%)                Remarks
Cairn Fut                321.00        Sell Below           320.50        325.25       1.48         310.00          3.28

                                                                                                                            TGT of 166
                                                                                                                            Achieved given
                                                                                                                            Buy @ 160 on
Allahabad Bank           161.75        Buy Above            163.00        160.75       1.38         168.00          3.07    10/12/12
Bajaj Auto            2005.00   Buy Above        2010.00    1980.00                    1.49     2075.00             3.23
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close           Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                   S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   19387                  19428       19571        19755          20082        19244             19101       18774
S&P CNX NIFTY                   5899                 5910          5954       6010           6109            5854           5810        5710
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                 5928                 5943          5988       6048           6154            5883           5838        5732




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks To Watch Out Today
Adani Enterprises, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Ambuja Cement, Bajaj Auto, HDFC, Hero Motocorp, HUL, ITC, Jet Airways,
Piramal Healthcare, Powergrid, Punj Lloyd, Sun Pharma, TTK Prestige, United Spirits, Ultratech Cemco
Apollo Tyre, Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BGR Energy, Bharat Forge, Bharti Airtel, Bhel, Bombay Dying
Cairn India, Coal India, Delta Corp, FT, GMDC< Godrej Inds; GSPL, GVK, HCC, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hexaware, Hindalco,
HOECL, HPCL, Hotel Leela, IDBI, Idea, IFCI, Indian Hotels, IVRCL Jindal Saw, Jain Irrigation, JSW Steel, NHPC, NTPC, Oil
India, ONGC, PFC, Ranbaxy, REC, Reliance, Renuka Sugar, RPower, SCI, Siemens, SIB, Sun TV, Suzlon, Syndicate Bank,
Tata Chemicals, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Power, Tata Steel, TCS, Titan, TVS Motors, UCO Bank, Vijaya
Bank, VIP, Voltas, Wipro, ZEEL




NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 121212

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 12th December 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets struggle above 5900 leval BSE SENSEX 19387.14 -0.12 S&P CNX NIFTY 5898.80 -0.17 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5928.40 -0.24 continued to struggle higher and failed to capitalize on the India VIX 14.67 1.10 morning gains. The markets failed to show any resilience S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels against the selling pressure and moved lower breaching the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 5885 support level. However, the markets managed to come Support 5885 5816 5747 off the lows in the last hour of trade on back of short covering. The markets ended the day with marginal losses to Resistance 5945 6135 6313 close near the lows for the day. The Nifty closed below the Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 5900 level. The top losers for the day were Hindalco, BHEL, 50 Day SMA 5714.26 ◄Positive Cairn, DLF, HCL Tech; NTPC, TCS, ONGC and Coal India. 100 Day SMA 5527.74 Technically, the market breadth remained weak amidst 200 Day SMA 5349.11 higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the markets. Market Breadth * BSE NSE The markets continued to struggle on back of the prevailing technical negatives. The Nifty has formed a Advances 1154 341 negative divergence pattern on the daily charts, which Declines 1766 833 does not augur well for the markets. Moreover, the Same 141 34 Stochastic is still placed below its average. More so, the Total 3061 1208 RSI is still placed in the over bought zone. These A/D Ratio 0.65 : 1 0.41 : 1 negative technical conditions would lead to further selling pressure. However, the prevailing technical Volume (Lacs Shares) * positive conditions still hold good. The MACD, KST and 11/12/12 10/12/12 % Chg. RSI all are still placed above their respective averages. BSE 3026 2584 17.11 Moreover, the MACD and KST are placed in the positive NSE 8507 6918 22.97 territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, Total 11533 9502 21.38 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50- day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and Turnover ( ` Crores) * 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross 11/12/12 10/12/12 % Chg. breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to BSE 2614.27 2295.64 13.88 buying support at lower levels. The market sentiment NSE 14242.17 10956.86 29.98 remains cautious as the Nifty continues to struggle at NSE F&O 164077.15 97902.58 67.59 higher level and the 5945 resistance level is turning out Total 180933.59 111155.08 62.78 to be a stiff resistance for the markets. Now, it is important that the Nifty witnesses follow up buying F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * support at regular intervals for the Nifty to test the 5945 11/12/12 10/12/12 % Chg. resistance level and move higher. Incase the market fails Index Fut. 417951 177264 135.78 to cross this resistance level then markets are likely to witness a correction, which could take the Nifty lower to Stock Fut. 612995 465027 31.82 test the 5800-5750 range. In the meanwhile the markets Index Opt. 4133149 2360584 75.09 would take cues from the on going parliament session, Stock Opt. 305511 228056 33.96 global markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support Total 5469606 3230931 57.26 levels for Nifty are placed at 5885, 5816, 5747 and 5665. The NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Nifty faces resistance at 5945, 6135 and 6313 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Cairn Fut 321.00 Sell Below 320.50 325.25 1.48 310.00 3.28 TGT of 166 Achieved given Buy @ 160 on Allahabad Bank 161.75 Buy Above 163.00 160.75 1.38 168.00 3.07 10/12/12 Bajaj Auto 2005.00 Buy Above 2010.00 1980.00 1.49 2075.00 3.23 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19387 19428 19571 19755 20082 19244 19101 18774 S&P CNX NIFTY 5899 5910 5954 6010 6109 5854 5810 5710 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5928 5943 5988 6048 6154 5883 5838 5732 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks To Watch Out Today Adani Enterprises, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Ambuja Cement, Bajaj Auto, HDFC, Hero Motocorp, HUL, ITC, Jet Airways, Piramal Healthcare, Powergrid, Punj Lloyd, Sun Pharma, TTK Prestige, United Spirits, Ultratech Cemco Apollo Tyre, Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BGR Energy, Bharat Forge, Bharti Airtel, Bhel, Bombay Dying Cairn India, Coal India, Delta Corp, FT, GMDC< Godrej Inds; GSPL, GVK, HCC, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hexaware, Hindalco, HOECL, HPCL, Hotel Leela, IDBI, Idea, IFCI, Indian Hotels, IVRCL Jindal Saw, Jain Irrigation, JSW Steel, NHPC, NTPC, Oil India, ONGC, PFC, Ranbaxy, REC, Reliance, Renuka Sugar, RPower, SCI, Siemens, SIB, Sun TV, Suzlon, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chemicals, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Power, Tata Steel, TCS, Titan, TVS Motors, UCO Bank, Vijaya Bank, VIP, Voltas, Wipro, ZEEL NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com