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Daily Com
                                                 D       mmodity Report

                                                                                                             6th Septe
                                                                                                                     ember 2012

                                                              MCX GOLD (5 O
                                                                X         OCTOBER 12) –
                    Go
                     old         Silver         Cru
                                                  ude
                   (5 O
                      Oct-12)   (5 De
                                    ec-12)    (19 Se
                                                   ep-12)
                                                              Gold opened low at 31435 and moved lower to touc an intra-
                                                                  d           wer                                  ch
 Open
    n                 31,435        61,916         5,312      day low of 31427 However, it managed to move higher to touch an
                                                                              7.
                                                              intra
                                                                  a-day high of 31543. It end the day o a flat note to close at
                                                                                            ded       on          e
 High
    h                 31,543        62,188         5,345      3146 68.
 Low                  31,427        61,625         5,280
                                                              The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                              he             c                       r
 Close                31,468        61,882         5,327      averrages. Howe ever, both the Stochastic and the R
                                                                                                        c            RSI are still
                                                              plac in the ove bought zone, which wou lead to pro taking at
                                                                 ced          er                        uld           ofit
 Prev Close
    v.                31,449        62,021         5,313
                                                              regu intervals. The ADX lin and the +D line is mov
                                                                  ular                       ne          DI           ving higher,
 % Ch
    hange              0.06%        -0.22%
                                    -              0.26%      indic
                                                                  cating buyers have an up
                                                                              s              pper hand ho
                                                                                                        owever, profit booking is
                                                                                                                      t
                                                              expeected at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces resistanc at 31487,
                                                                                                                     ce
Source – MCX
     e                                                        3154 31700 an 32000 wh the support levels are placed at
                                                                  43,          nd            hile                     e
                                                              3118 30837, 30
                                                                  86,          0428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859
                                                                                                         8
                    Vo
                     olume (In 000'
                                  's)
                                                              MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) –
                                                                X
                  05/0
                     09/2012    04/09/2012        % Chg.
                                                              Silve opened low at 60240 and moved lower to touc an intra-
                                                                  er           wer          0                    ch
 Gold (gms)          34
                      4,008.0     39
                                   9,104.0       -13.03%      day low of 59512 However, it managed to move higher to touch an
                                                                              2.
                                                              intra
                                                                  a-day high of 60778. It end the day w large loss to close
                                                                                            ded       with       ses
 Silver (kgs)         1,631.3
                      1             2,401.4
                                    2            -32.07%
                                                              at 59
                                                                  9512.
 Crude (bbl)         24
                      4,276.2     27
                                   7,535.0       -11.84%
                                                              The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
                                                                               e                        d            r
Source – MCX
     e                                                        averrages. Moreo over, both th Stochastic and the R
                                                                                             he         c           RSI are still
                                                              plac
                                                                 ced in the over bought zone. The
                                                                                              t         ese negative technical
                                                                                                                     e
                   Turnover (In Lac
                                  cs)                         condditions would lead to sellin pressure a profit taking. Though
                                                                                             ng         and
                                                              the ADX line is moving hig
                                                                              s              gher the +DI line is moving lower,
                                                                                                        I
                  05/0
                     09/2012    04/09/2012        % Chg.          cating buyers are booking profits at higher levels. MCX Silver
                                                              indic           s              g
                                                              face resistance 60883, 6096 and 61488 while the supports are
                                                                 es                          63         8
Gold              1,070
                      0,789.6   1,227
                                    7,828.9      -12.79%      plac at 59000, 56953, 56613 and 56157 levels.
                                                                 ced
Silver
     r            1,009
                      9,765.5   1,482
                                    2,321.4      -31.88%
                                                              MCX CRUDE (19 September 12) –
                                                                X         9
Crude
    e             1,291
                      1,017.6   1,475
                                    5,407.8      -12.50%
                                                              Crud opened low at 5312 b managed to move high to touch
                                                                  de           wer          but                       her
Source – MCX
     e                                                        an in
                                                                  ntra-day high of 5345. Ho
                                                                              h            owever, it faile to sustain higher and
                                                                                                          ed
                                                              movved lower to t            ra-day low of 5280. It end
                                                                               touch an intr                         ded the day
                Global Market (Nyme - $)
                                  ex                          with modest gains to close at 5
                                                                                            5327.

                  06/0
                     09/2012    05/09/2012        % Chg.      The Stochastic ha slipped be
                                                                                as         elow its average. Moreover the RSI is
                                                                                                                     r,
                                                                  ady placed below its a
                                                              alrea                        average. The  ese negative technical
                                                                                                                     e
Gold (oz)            1,
                      ,696.40     1,690.80         0.33%
                                                              condditions would lead to selli
                                                                                            ing pressure The ADX lin +DI line
                                                                                                                    ne,
Silver (oz)
     r                  32.53        32.27         0.80%      and –DI line are moving sidewways, indicating a range bound trend.
WTI CCrude                                                        aces resistan
                                                              It fa            nce at 5366, 5408, 5516 and 5600 while the
                                                                                                                    0
                        96.07        95.36         0.74%
(bbl)                                                         suppports are plac at 5238, 5
                                                                               ced         5275, 5180, 55126 and 50933.
Brent Crude
      t
                      113.61        113.09         0.46%
(bbl)
Dollar Index            81.21        81.24         0.14%

Source – www.cmeg
     e          group.com




                                                            Keynot Capitals L
                                                                 te         Ltd.
              The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                    by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                 www.keyynotecapitals.com
Com
   mmodity New
             ws:

 •      Gold dips as buying ebbs ahead of E
        G                         s           ECB meeting: Gold prices dipped from near a six-mo  onth high on WWednesday,
        and
        a trading vo  olume was lig as invest
                                  ght          tors sat on th sidelines o the eve of the Europea Central Ba meeting.
                                                            he          on           f           an             ank
        Investors wer waiting for the conclusio of the ECB Governing Council meeting. Bullion h risen 9 p
                     re                        on           B                                     has          percent in six
        weeks on talk that the ECB will launch a program of purchasing It
        w           k            B                                      talian and Spaanish bonds, with other ste aimed at
                                                                                                                eps
        lo
         owering borro
                     owing costs fo debt-saddle countries. (ET)
                                  or            ed
 •      Oil
        O slips to $$114 on grow concerns before ECB meeting: B
                                  wth          s                        Brent crude o slipped to around $114 a barrel on
                                                                                    oil                     4
        Wednesday o worries ov economic growth and a
        W           on           ver                        ahead of a E
                                                                       European Cen ntral Bank (ECB) meeting expected to
        announce new measures to tackle the region's debt crisis. ECB President Ma Draghi is expected to back up his
        a            w             t                       t                        ario        s
                     "whatever it takes" to save the euro wh he presents details on Thursday of a new bond-buying plan
        pledge to do "
        p                         t            e           hen                      n            f
        designed to ease the deep
        d                        pening euro zo crisis (ET
                                               one         T)
 •      Silver futures down on profit-bookin Amid profit-booking by speculators after recent gains and a weak trend
        S             s           p           ng:                        y           s            t
        overseas, silv futures pri
        o            ver          ices today fell by Rs 286 to Rs 60,320 per kg. Mark
                                                                        0             ketmen said besides profit-booking by
        speculators, a weak trend overseas as a stronger do
        s                         o                        ollar cuts demand for the m
                                                                                     metals as an a
                                                                                                  alternative inv
                                                                                                                vestment and
        ahead of Euro
        a            opean Central Bank policy makers meet, put pressur on the silve futures here (ET)
                                                                         re          er            e.
 •      Cotton prices weaken 5% on ample s
        C            s           %            supply, impo              prices in India the world's second-large producer,
                                                           orts: Cotton p             a,                        est
        have weakened by 5% in the last one week on increased supp
        h                                     e                         plies in spot markets and higher impo
                                                                                                  d             orts by mills.
        Prices are exp
        P                        main stable with a new crop from northern states com
                     pected to rem                         p                         ming to markets in a fortnight.


 Econ
    nomic Cale
             endar:

                             Thurs
                                 sday                    Frid
                                                            day                    Mon
                                                                                     nday                    Tue
                                                                                                               esday
                              Sept 06
                                 t                       Sep 07
                                                           pt                      Sep 10
                                                                                     pt                      Sept 11

India                                            Forex Rese
                                                          erves Data




                                                       Aveerage Hourly
                        Challenger Job Cuts
                                 r
US                                                     Earn
                                                          nings (YoY);
                               (Yo
                                 oY)
                                                 Average W
                                                         Weekly Hours
                       Initial and Continuing
                                   C                Nonfarm Payrolls;
                                                           ms                                           NFIB Sm Business
                                                                                                              mall
                           Jobless Claims          Unemplooyment Rate                                       Optimism (AUG)
                            ISM Non-
                                 N                                                                         US Tr
                                                                                                               rade Balance
                        Manufactuuring PMI
                        Eurozone Gross
                                e's                   Japan Coincident
                                                          n                    China E
                                                                                     Export Import       UK’s Tr
                                                                                                               rade Balance
Global                 Domestic Product s.a.
                                P                       Ind
                                                          dex; Leading                        data
                         (QoQ) an (YoY)
                                nd                     Econnomic Index
                                                          UK
                                                          U Industrial            Japa Consumer
                                                                                     an                    Japan’s Manpower
                                                     Produc
                                                          ction (YoY &                 Confidence                Survey (4Q)
                      UK's BoE In
                                nterest Rate
                                                   MoM); Ma
                                                          anufacturing
                            Decision
                                                     Produc
                                                          ction (YoY &
                                                                 MoM)




                                                     Keynot Capitals L
                                                          te         Ltd.
              The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                    by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                 www.keyynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
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Keynote commodity daily report for 060912

  • 1. Daily Com D mmodity Report 6th Septe ember 2012 MCX GOLD (5 O X OCTOBER 12) – Go old Silver Cru ude (5 O Oct-12) (5 De ec-12) (19 Se ep-12) Gold opened low at 31435 and moved lower to touc an intra- d wer ch Open n 31,435 61,916 5,312 day low of 31427 However, it managed to move higher to touch an 7. intra a-day high of 31543. It end the day o a flat note to close at ded on e High h 31,543 62,188 5,345 3146 68. Low 31,427 61,625 5,280 The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective he c r Close 31,468 61,882 5,327 averrages. Howe ever, both the Stochastic and the R c RSI are still plac in the ove bought zone, which wou lead to pro taking at ced er uld ofit Prev Close v. 31,449 62,021 5,313 regu intervals. The ADX lin and the +D line is mov ular ne DI ving higher, % Ch hange 0.06% -0.22% - 0.26% indic cating buyers have an up s pper hand ho owever, profit booking is t expeected at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces resistanc at 31487, ce Source – MCX e 3154 31700 an 32000 wh the support levels are placed at 43, nd hile e 3118 30837, 30 86, 0428, 30340, 30179, 29668 and 28859 8 Vo olume (In 000' 's) MCX SILVER (5 SEPT 12) – X 05/0 09/2012 04/09/2012 % Chg. Silve opened low at 60240 and moved lower to touc an intra- er wer 0 ch Gold (gms) 34 4,008.0 39 9,104.0 -13.03% day low of 59512 However, it managed to move higher to touch an 2. intra a-day high of 60778. It end the day w large loss to close ded with ses Silver (kgs) 1,631.3 1 2,401.4 2 -32.07% at 59 9512. Crude (bbl) 24 4,276.2 27 7,535.0 -11.84% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective e d r Source – MCX e averrages. Moreo over, both th Stochastic and the R he c RSI are still plac ced in the over bought zone. The t ese negative technical e Turnover (In Lac cs) condditions would lead to sellin pressure a profit taking. Though ng and the ADX line is moving hig s gher the +DI line is moving lower, I 05/0 09/2012 04/09/2012 % Chg. cating buyers are booking profits at higher levels. MCX Silver indic s g face resistance 60883, 6096 and 61488 while the supports are es 63 8 Gold 1,070 0,789.6 1,227 7,828.9 -12.79% plac at 59000, 56953, 56613 and 56157 levels. ced Silver r 1,009 9,765.5 1,482 2,321.4 -31.88% MCX CRUDE (19 September 12) – X 9 Crude e 1,291 1,017.6 1,475 5,407.8 -12.50% Crud opened low at 5312 b managed to move high to touch de wer but her Source – MCX e an in ntra-day high of 5345. Ho h owever, it faile to sustain higher and ed movved lower to t ra-day low of 5280. It end touch an intr ded the day Global Market (Nyme - $) ex with modest gains to close at 5 5327. 06/0 09/2012 05/09/2012 % Chg. The Stochastic ha slipped be as elow its average. Moreover the RSI is r, ady placed below its a alrea average. The ese negative technical e Gold (oz) 1, ,696.40 1,690.80 0.33% condditions would lead to selli ing pressure The ADX lin +DI line ne, Silver (oz) r 32.53 32.27 0.80% and –DI line are moving sidewways, indicating a range bound trend. WTI CCrude aces resistan It fa nce at 5366, 5408, 5516 and 5600 while the 0 96.07 95.36 0.74% (bbl) suppports are plac at 5238, 5 ced 5275, 5180, 55126 and 50933. Brent Crude t 113.61 113.09 0.46% (bbl) Dollar Index 81.21 81.24 0.14% Source – www.cmeg e group.com Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Com mmodity New ws: • Gold dips as buying ebbs ahead of E G s ECB meeting: Gold prices dipped from near a six-mo onth high on WWednesday, and a trading vo olume was lig as invest ght tors sat on th sidelines o the eve of the Europea Central Ba meeting. he on f an ank Investors wer waiting for the conclusio of the ECB Governing Council meeting. Bullion h risen 9 p re on B has percent in six weeks on talk that the ECB will launch a program of purchasing It w k B talian and Spaanish bonds, with other ste aimed at eps lo owering borro owing costs fo debt-saddle countries. (ET) or ed • Oil O slips to $$114 on grow concerns before ECB meeting: B wth s Brent crude o slipped to around $114 a barrel on oil 4 Wednesday o worries ov economic growth and a W on ver ahead of a E European Cen ntral Bank (ECB) meeting expected to announce new measures to tackle the region's debt crisis. ECB President Ma Draghi is expected to back up his a w t t ario s "whatever it takes" to save the euro wh he presents details on Thursday of a new bond-buying plan pledge to do " p t e hen n f designed to ease the deep d pening euro zo crisis (ET one T) • Silver futures down on profit-bookin Amid profit-booking by speculators after recent gains and a weak trend S s p ng: y s t overseas, silv futures pri o ver ices today fell by Rs 286 to Rs 60,320 per kg. Mark 0 ketmen said besides profit-booking by speculators, a weak trend overseas as a stronger do s o ollar cuts demand for the m metals as an a alternative inv vestment and ahead of Euro a opean Central Bank policy makers meet, put pressur on the silve futures here (ET) re er e. • Cotton prices weaken 5% on ample s C s % supply, impo prices in India the world's second-large producer, orts: Cotton p a, est have weakened by 5% in the last one week on increased supp h e plies in spot markets and higher impo d orts by mills. Prices are exp P main stable with a new crop from northern states com pected to rem p ming to markets in a fortnight. Econ nomic Cale endar: Thurs sday Frid day Mon nday Tue esday Sept 06 t Sep 07 pt Sep 10 pt Sept 11 India Forex Rese erves Data Aveerage Hourly Challenger Job Cuts r US Earn nings (YoY); (Yo oY) Average W Weekly Hours Initial and Continuing C Nonfarm Payrolls; ms NFIB Sm Business mall Jobless Claims Unemplooyment Rate Optimism (AUG) ISM Non- N US Tr rade Balance Manufactuuring PMI Eurozone Gross e's Japan Coincident n China E Export Import UK’s Tr rade Balance Global Domestic Product s.a. P Ind dex; Leading data (QoQ) an (YoY) nd Econnomic Index UK U Industrial Japa Consumer an Japan’s Manpower Produc ction (YoY & Confidence Survey (4Q) UK's BoE In nterest Rate MoM); Ma anufacturing Decision Produc ction (YoY & MoM) Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
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