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Keynote technicals daily report 210711
1. Daily Technical Outlook
21st July 2011
Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the positive set of global market cues, the domestic
BSE SENSEX 18502.38 -0.81 markets witnessed a gap up opening. However, the markets
S&P CNX NIFTY 5567.05 -0.83 failed to capitalize on morning gains due to profit taking and
NIFTY JULY FUT. 5569.55 -0.98 selling pressure. This resulted in markets erasing the morning
India VIX 19.11 -0.72
gains to trade in the negative. The markets failed to show any
resilience against the sharp selling pressure and extended
S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels losses during the day. The markets remained volatile and
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3
choppy to close near the lows for the day with modest losses.
The top losers for the day were Wipro, Hindalco, JP
Support 5500 5364 5262
Associates, Hero Honda, Ranbaxy, Dr. Reddys, NTPC, Tata
Resistance 5600 5724 5885
Power, IDFC and HCL Tech.
Volume (Lacs Shares) Technically, the market breadth remained negative
20/07/11 19/07/11 % Chg. amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the
BSE 3911 3411 14.66 markets. The global market set of cues are negative. The
NSE 6308 5215 20.96 domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The
Total 10219 8626 18.47 Stochastic, RSI and KST have slipped below their
Source – BSE & NSE respective averages, which is a negative sign for the
markets. The MACD continues to remain placed below its
Turnover ( ` Crores)
average. These conditions would lead to regular bouts of
20/07/11 19/07/11 % Chg.
selling pressure. The prevailing negatives continue to
BSE 3165.65 2863.12 10.57 hold good and would lead to selling pressure at regular
NSE 11315.26 9900.08 14.29 intervals. Nifty continues to trade below its 200-day SMA.
NSE F&O 133492.86 118324.49 12.82 Moreover, the 50-day SMA remains placed below the 100-
Total 147973.77 131087.69 12.88 day SMA. The +DI line, ADX line and -DI line are moving
Source – BSE & NSE sideways indicating range bound trend. The market
Market Breadth (NSE)
sentiment remains tentative but is likely to display
occasional bouts of volatility and choppiness. Now, it is
Advances 485
important that the Nifty finds buying support at regular
Declines 979
intervals if the markets have to test its long term 200-day
Same 57 SMA, which is placed around the 5724 level. In the
Total 1521 meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
A/D Ratio 0.50 : 1 inflation data to be announced today, forthcoming
Source – NSE earnings season, news flow on the progress of monsoon,
Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY crude prices and the global markets. The support levels for
50 Day SMA 5506.70
Nifty are placed at 5500, 5364 and 5262. The Nifty faces
◄Negative resistance at the 5600, 5724, 5885 and 5911 levels.
100 Day SMA 5573.93
200 Day SMA 5723.37 ◄Negative
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
BSE SENSEX 18502 18581 18687 18872 19164 18396 18289 17997
S&P CNX NIFTY 5567 5589 5623 5679 5770 5533 5499 5409
NIFTY JULY FUT. 5570 5594 5634 5699 5804 5529 5489 5384
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)
Stop
Initiation Stop Loss Target
Stock CMP Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks
Hind Oil Explor. 181.35 Buy Above 183 179.50 1.91 190 3.83
Apollo Tyre 78.60 Sell Below 78 81.60 4.62 70 10.26
Ashok Leyland 48.75 Sell Below 48 50.00 4.17 43 10.42
Indian Hotels 78.35 Sell Below 77 80.00 3.90 71 7.79
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis.
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
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www.keynotecapitals.com