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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   18th June 2012
         Indices *          Close           % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16949.83           1.63
                                                                           All eyes on Subbarao
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5139.05           1.67
                                                         Mirroring the positive global market sentiment; the domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5147.70           1.85
                                                         markets witnessed a form opening. Selective buying support
 India VIX                   25.54           -0.66       was witnessed as Nifty crossed the 5100 level leading to
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                   short covering. Follow up buying support materialized helping
                                                         the Nifty to move above its 200-day SMA. The markets
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                         managed to hold on to the gains and showed no signs o
Support           5114       5071            4950
                                                         weakness. The markets ended the day with moderate gains
Resistance        5250       5333            5379        to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                    day were Grasim, Tata Motors, Ambuja Cements, Rel. Infra,
50 Day SMA                  5070.13
                                                         ACC, PNB, JP Associates, Hindalco, ICICI Bank and Coal
                                                         India.
100 Day SMA                 5200.31
200 Day SMA                 5071.98        ◄ Positive    Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                                                         lower volumes. The global market cues are positive. The
   Market Breadth *                          NSE
                                                         domestic markets are likely to witness a positive
Advances                                      823
                                                         opening. The overall trend is likely to remain range
Declines                                      611        bound till the RBI’s policy announcement. The prevailing
Same                                          101        technical positives continue to hold good and have
Total                                        1535        helped the markets move higher. The Nifty remains
A/D Ratio                                   1.35 : 1     placed above its 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
                                                         Moreover, the RSI, MACD and KST all are still placed
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                 above their respective averages. The KST and MACD are
               15/06/12     14/06/12        % Chg.       also placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for
BSE              1716         N.A.               -       the markets. Moreover, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA is placed
NSE              5227        5341            -2.14       above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical
Total            5227        5341            -2.14       conditions would prompt buying support. However, a few
                                                         technical negatives hold good and would cap upside
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                 gains. The Stochastic remains placed below its average.
               15/06/12     14/06/12        % Chg.       The Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA.
BSE             1722.99       N.A.               -       Moreover, the 50-day SMA has slipped below its 200-day
NSE             9495.92     8456.82          12.29
                                                         SMA and is already placed below its 100-day SMA. These
                                                         negative conditions would result in regular bouts of
NSE F&O        102516.56   105128.91         -2.48
                                                         profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line
Total          112012.48   113585.73         -1.39
                                                         and the –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *           bound trend. The market sentiment remains cautious
               15/06/12     14/06/12        % Chg.
                                                         ahead of next week’s events. Now it is important that the
                                                         markets witness buying support for Nifty to sustain
Index Fut.      469998      499941           -5.99
                                                         above its 200-day SMA. In the meanwhile the markets
Stock Fut.      454080      462393           -1.80
                                                         would take cues from, the RBI’s policy, Rupee, global
Index Opt.     2922493      2991098          -2.29       markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty
Stock Opt.      194979      210026           -7.16       are placed at 5114, 5071 and 4950. The Nifty faces
Total          4041550      4163458          -2.01       resistance at the 5250, 5333 and 5379 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
ACC                   1223.25       Buy Above       1232.00        1202.00         2.44        1297          5.28
                                                                                                                    TGT of 170
                                                                                                                    Achieved
                                                                                                                    given Buy @
                                                                                                                    164.50 on
Ambuja Cements         169.05       Buy Above           170.00      166.40         2.12         178          4.71   14/06/12
BPCL                   742.55    Buy Above         745.00     722.00               3.09         796          6.85
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16950                16873      17045      17139          17406        16778        16606        16340
S&P CNX NIFTY               5139                 5118       5167        5195          5272            5090        5041       4964
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             5148                 5126       5178        5209          5292            5095        5042       4959




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Auto, CESC, IOC, NHPC, Tata Chemicals, Tata Communication
Bharti Airtel, Cairn, Cipla, Coal India, GMDC, Grasim, HUL, India Cements, Infosys Tech; ITC, JSW Energy, Piramal
Healthcare, Sun Pharma, Syndicate Bank, TCS, Tech. Mahindra, Ultratech Cement




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 180612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 18th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16949.83 1.63 All eyes on Subbarao S&P CNX NIFTY 5139.05 1.67 Mirroring the positive global market sentiment; the domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5147.70 1.85 markets witnessed a form opening. Selective buying support India VIX 25.54 -0.66 was witnessed as Nifty crossed the 5100 level leading to S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels short covering. Follow up buying support materialized helping the Nifty to move above its 200-day SMA. The markets Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 managed to hold on to the gains and showed no signs o Support 5114 5071 4950 weakness. The markets ended the day with moderate gains Resistance 5250 5333 5379 to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY day were Grasim, Tata Motors, Ambuja Cements, Rel. Infra, 50 Day SMA 5070.13 ACC, PNB, JP Associates, Hindalco, ICICI Bank and Coal India. 100 Day SMA 5200.31 200 Day SMA 5071.98 ◄ Positive Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are positive. The Market Breadth * NSE domestic markets are likely to witness a positive Advances 823 opening. The overall trend is likely to remain range Declines 611 bound till the RBI’s policy announcement. The prevailing Same 101 technical positives continue to hold good and have Total 1535 helped the markets move higher. The Nifty remains A/D Ratio 1.35 : 1 placed above its 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the RSI, MACD and KST all are still placed Volume (Lacs Shares) * above their respective averages. The KST and MACD are 15/06/12 14/06/12 % Chg. also placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for BSE 1716 N.A. - the markets. Moreover, the Nifty’s 100-day SMA is placed NSE 5227 5341 -2.14 above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical Total 5227 5341 -2.14 conditions would prompt buying support. However, a few technical negatives hold good and would cap upside Turnover ( ` Crores) * gains. The Stochastic remains placed below its average. 15/06/12 14/06/12 % Chg. The Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA. BSE 1722.99 N.A. - Moreover, the 50-day SMA has slipped below its 200-day NSE 9495.92 8456.82 12.29 SMA and is already placed below its 100-day SMA. These negative conditions would result in regular bouts of NSE F&O 102516.56 105128.91 -2.48 profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line Total 112012.48 113585.73 -1.39 and the –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * bound trend. The market sentiment remains cautious 15/06/12 14/06/12 % Chg. ahead of next week’s events. Now it is important that the markets witness buying support for Nifty to sustain Index Fut. 469998 499941 -5.99 above its 200-day SMA. In the meanwhile the markets Stock Fut. 454080 462393 -1.80 would take cues from, the RBI’s policy, Rupee, global Index Opt. 2922493 2991098 -2.29 markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty Stock Opt. 194979 210026 -7.16 are placed at 5114, 5071 and 4950. The Nifty faces Total 4041550 4163458 -2.01 resistance at the 5250, 5333 and 5379 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ACC 1223.25 Buy Above 1232.00 1202.00 2.44 1297 5.28 TGT of 170 Achieved given Buy @ 164.50 on Ambuja Cements 169.05 Buy Above 170.00 166.40 2.12 178 4.71 14/06/12 BPCL 742.55 Buy Above 745.00 722.00 3.09 796 6.85 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16950 16873 17045 17139 17406 16778 16606 16340 S&P CNX NIFTY 5139 5118 5167 5195 5272 5090 5041 4964 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5148 5126 5178 5209 5292 5095 5042 4959 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Auto, CESC, IOC, NHPC, Tata Chemicals, Tata Communication Bharti Airtel, Cairn, Cipla, Coal India, GMDC, Grasim, HUL, India Cements, Infosys Tech; ITC, JSW Energy, Piramal Healthcare, Sun Pharma, Syndicate Bank, TCS, Tech. Mahindra, Ultratech Cement Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com