Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                         23rd January 2012

                                                                     MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27488. It moved
                       Gold          Silver            Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)        (20 Feb-12)
                                                                     lower to touch an intra-day low of 27475. However, it recovered and
                                                                     moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 27524 on back of short
 Open                    27,488        55,040              4,994     covering and buying support. It ended the day with marginal gains
 High                    27,524        55,879              4,994     to close at 27490.

 Low                     27,475        55,040              4,971     The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages,
 Close                   27,490        55,548              4,979     which would result in buying support. Moreover, the Stochastic is
                                                                     still placed near the over sold zone, which would result in
 Prev. Close             27,448        54,825              5,006
                                                                     intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. The ADX
 % Change                 0.15%         1.32%            -0.54%      line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                     bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960
Source – MCX
                                                                     and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and
                                                                     24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                       21/1/2012     20/1/2012           % Chg.      MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 55040. It moved
                                                                     lower to touch an intra-day low of 55040. However, it recovered and
 Gold (gms)              2,365.0      43,479.0          -94.56%      moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55879 on back of buying
 Silver (kgs)              186.4       2,520.9          -92.61%      support. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 55548.
 Crude (bbl)               473.1      18,745.6          -97.48%
                                                                     The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Source – MCX                                                         averages, which would result in buying support. However, the
                                                                     Stochastic is placed in the over bought territory and would lead to
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                             profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving
                                                                     sideways but +DI line is placed at 39.53 level, indicating buyers are
                       21/1/2012     20/1/2012           % Chg.      gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53874, 54184,
Gold                    65,026.4   1,189,113.2          -94.53%
                                                                     56578, 56952 and 57190 levels, while the supports are placed at
                                                                     53387, 52001, 51749 and 50218 levels.
Silver                 103,592.7   1,359,058.5          -92.38%

Crude                   23,552.6     943,554.6          -97.50%
                                                                     MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4994 level.
                                                                     Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower
Source – MCX                                                         on back of selling pressure. It touched an intra-day low of 4971. It
                                                                     ended the day with moderate losses to close the day at 4979.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                     The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in
                       23/1/2012     21/1/2012           % Chg.
                                                                     intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is
Gold (oz)               1,668.10      1,664.00            0.25%      placed above its average and is also placed in the over sold zone,
                                                                     which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying
Silver (oz)                31.97           31.65          1.02%
                                                                     support. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However,
Crude (bbl)                98.04           98.33         -0.29%      -DI line is placed at 32.32 indicating sellers have an upper hand. It
Dollar Index               80.35           80.16          0.25%      faces resistance at 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the
                                                                     supports are placed at 4950, 4903 and 4877 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance               Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close           Pivot Point            R1                R2      R3              S1             S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                       4979                 4981           4992           5004        5027           4969           4958        4935

 GOLD FEB 12                       27490                27496          27518          27545      27594           27469          27447       27398

 SILVER MAR 12                     55548                55489          55938          56328      57167           55099          54650       53811


                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

       Monday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Jan. 23                      Jan. 24                     Jan. 25                        Jan. 26                       Jan. 27
4-Week Bill                FOMC Meeting Begins           FOMC Meeting                 Jobless Claims                US GDP Data
Announcement                                             Announcement
3-Month Bill Auction       US President Barack           Pending Home Sales           Durable Goods Orders          Consumer Sentiment
                           Obama Speaks                  Index
6-Month Bill Auction       ICSC-Goldman Store            EIA Petroleum Status         New Home Sales
                           Sales                         Report




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

Keynote commodity daily report 230112

  • 1.
    Daily Commodity Report 23rd January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27488. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 27475. However, it recovered and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 27524 on back of short Open 27,488 55,040 4,994 covering and buying support. It ended the day with marginal gains High 27,524 55,879 4,994 to close at 27490. Low 27,475 55,040 4,971 The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, Close 27,490 55,548 4,979 which would result in buying support. Moreover, the Stochastic is still placed near the over sold zone, which would result in Prev. Close 27,448 54,825 5,006 intermediate bouts of short covering and buying support. The ADX % Change 0.15% 1.32% -0.54% line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 Source – MCX and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) 21/1/2012 20/1/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 55040. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55040. However, it recovered and Gold (gms) 2,365.0 43,479.0 -94.56% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55879 on back of buying Silver (kgs) 186.4 2,520.9 -92.61% support. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 55548. Crude (bbl) 473.1 18,745.6 -97.48% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Source – MCX averages, which would result in buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought territory and would lead to Turnover (In Lacs) profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed at 39.53 level, indicating buyers are 21/1/2012 20/1/2012 % Chg. gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 53874, 54184, Gold 65,026.4 1,189,113.2 -94.53% 56578, 56952 and 57190 levels, while the supports are placed at 53387, 52001, 51749 and 50218 levels. Silver 103,592.7 1,359,058.5 -92.38% Crude 23,552.6 943,554.6 -97.50% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4994 level. Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower Source – MCX on back of selling pressure. It touched an intra-day low of 4971. It ended the day with moderate losses to close the day at 4979. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would result in 23/1/2012 21/1/2012 % Chg. intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is Gold (oz) 1,668.10 1,664.00 0.25% placed above its average and is also placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and buying Silver (oz) 31.97 31.65 1.02% support. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However, Crude (bbl) 98.04 98.33 -0.29% -DI line is placed at 32.32 indicating sellers have an upper hand. It Dollar Index 80.35 80.16 0.25% faces resistance at 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at 4950, 4903 and 4877 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4979 4981 4992 5004 5027 4969 4958 4935 GOLD FEB 12 27490 27496 27518 27545 27594 27469 27447 27398 SILVER MAR 12 55548 55489 55938 56328 57167 55099 54650 53811 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2.
    US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Jan. 25 Jan. 26 Jan. 27 4-Week Bill FOMC Meeting Begins FOMC Meeting Jobless Claims US GDP Data Announcement Announcement 3-Month Bill Auction US President Barack Pending Home Sales Durable Goods Orders Consumer Sentiment Obama Speaks Index 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status New Home Sales Sales Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3.
    Disclaimer This document isnot for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com