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1Q 2020 Results
14 MAY 2020
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a
number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the
projections upon which the statements are based.
There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to
be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to
the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as
projected.
2
AGENDA
1Q 2020 Highlights
Covid-19: A tough trading Environment
Key Figures
Immediate Reaction towards Covid-19
Results Review
Business Environment
1Q 2020 Group EBITDA
Results by Segments
Key Financials
Profit & Loss
Investments
Cash Flow Statement
2020 Guidance and Conclusions
Appendix
3
4
IMMEDIATE REACTION TOWARDS COVID-19
ERG’s
Operations
Local
Communities
Employees • Smart working extended, ahead of legal provisions, to over 70% of corporate population,
nearly 100% of office staff
• Adoption of appropriate safety measures for employees in the production sites
• Reorganization of O&M activities and production plant & Control room
• Enhanced IT resources : 10X rise in remote meetings thanks to most advanced platforms
• Covid-19 health insurance for all the employees
• No reduction in staff and no mandatory temporary leaves
• ERG allocated €2mn to support the healthcare system where its production sites operate
• ERG’s people donated 2,300 hours of their work to the Civil Protection Department
• ERG’s majority shareholder, allocated €1mn in favour of Genoa’s front-line hospitals
• Set a Daily WAR-cabinet meeting with top-mgmt to ensuring business continuity
• Electricity supply among the essential services in this period of emergency
• Put in place a set of measures to guarantee the best-in-class H&S standards for ERG people
• Some delays in construction investment program and authorization process
• Tough trading environment, although most of the electricity production already hedged
COVID-19: A TOUGH TRADING ENVIRONMENT
5
Source: IEA Global Energy Review 2020 and Company Data
ITALY: downturn of Electricity Demand, higher contribution of RES Worldwide collapse in Electricity Demand
Decline in Italian PUN (€/MWh) EU Electricity Mix more shifted to Renewables
% RES GenerationWeekly EE Demand (GWh/wk) Closures and partial lockdown Full lockdown
Number of days since lockdown began
Lockdown
Changeinelectricitydemand(%)
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
6
Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn)
Adjusted NFP (€ mn)
Adjusted Net Profit (€ mn)
164
156
5354
1Q 2019 1Q 2020
1,415
31/03/202031/12/2019
1Q 2020
CCGT
Wind
Corporate
EBITDA Margin
Solar
Hydro
1Q 2019
1,476
Adj. Leverage
Derivatives
Adj. NFP excl. Derivatives
Reduced windiness in Italy partly offset by contribution of new wind assets in FR and GE,
against a backdrop of weaker price environment exacerbated by Covid-19
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
8
Electricity Prices in Italy (€/MWh)
Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh)
All-in Wind Prices abroad (€/MWh)
Clean Spark Spread Indicator (€/MWh)
1Q 2019 1Q 2020 Delta %
Italian Electricity Demand 81 77 -5%
Italian Electricity Production 71 66 -6%
of which:
- Thermo 50 45 -9%
- Hydro 8 9 17%
- Solar 5 5 0%
- Wind 7 6 -17%
- Other Sources 1 1 2%
1Q 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
9
164
156
(23)
(0.5) (2)
1Q 2019 1Q 2020Wind Italy Hydro CCGT Corporate
(4) (4)
Solar
0.5
CorporateHydroSolar CCGTWind
0.5
Weaker Wind in Italy but greater overseas, Hydro in line but still lower vs historical avg
Period characterized by a poor price environment, exacerbated by Covid-19
17
Wind Abroad
WIND RESULTS
10
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
109
1,328
Italy East EuropeFrance Germany
1Q 2019 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 1Q 2020
115
1,366
Tough Scenario, reduced windiness in Italy partly offset by contribution of new assets in FR and GE
SOLAR RESULTS
11
12
13
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
1Q 20201Q 2019
44
45
1Q 20201Q 2019
Slightly down YoY due to lower merchant price
HYDRO RESULTS
12
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
24
301
324
1Q 2019 1Q 2020
23
1Q 2019 1Q 2020
Results slightly up YoY; volumes higher but still weak vs historical avg due to a persistent dry season
CCGT RESULTS
13
Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh)
17
618 626
1Q 2019 1Q 2020
15
1Q 2019 1Q 2020
Tough trading environment in March post Covid-19 and lower White Certificates
INVESTMENTS
14
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €41.9mn), and of
Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2.4mn
61
54
M&A:
44(2)
Solar
Wind
Corporate
Hydro
220
CCGT
233
M&A:
220(1)
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED P&L
16
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
124 Adjusted EBITDA 156 164
(76) Amortization and depreciation (75) (72)
48 Adjusted EBIT 82 92
(13) Net financial income (expenses) (13) (18)
0 Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 0
34 Adjusted Results before taxes 68 74
(6) Income taxes (15) (20)
29 Adjusted Results for the period 53 54
0 Minority interests 0 0
29 Adjusted Net Profit 53 54
16% Tax Rate 22% 27%
1Q 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
17
Adj. Leverage
1,476
1,415
Adj. Net Debt
31/12/2019
Net working
capital
Adj. Net Debt
31/03/2020
Adj.
EBITDA
CAPEX &
Acquisitions
Financial
charges
Others
(156)
(10)30 13
43%
45%
61
2020 GUIDANCE
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2020 GUIDANCE
19
CAPEX:
Guidance revised from €185-215mn to €150-180mn
to include some delays in investment programme
due to lockdown
Adj. EBITDA:
Guidance revised from €500-520mn to €480-500mn
• Tough price scenario since Covid-19
• Weak wind and Hydro conditions in April
480-500
Adj. NFP:
Guidance revised from €1.36-1.44bn to €1.35-1.43bn
1Q 2020
Guidance range
Guidance
Actual
(1) 2020 Guidance does not include IFRS 16 effects
150-180
156
61
1,415 1,350-1,430
2020 FCST1Q 2020
2020 FCST(1)1Q 2020
2020 FCST(1)
APPENDIX
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
21
Wind Capacity
1,967MW
Sun Capacity
141MW
Water Capacity
527MW
Natural Gas Capacity
480MW
1Q 2020 Production
1,366GWh
1Q 2020 Production
45GWh
1Q 2020 Production
324GWh
1Q 2020 Production
626GWh
Total 1Q 2020 Production: 2.4TWh
Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 4.2TWh
WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
22
4Q 2019 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
1,929 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,967 1,822
of which:
1,093 - Italy 1,093 1,093
359 - France 397 307
272 - Germany 272 216
82 - Poland 82 82
70 - Romania 70 70
54 - Bulgaria 54 54
1,155 Electricity Production (GWh) 1,366 1,328
of which:
587 - Italy 598 803
267 - France 371 209
138 - Germany 188 130
76 - Poland 91 82
52 - Romania 64 56
35 - Bulgaria 55 49
WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
23
4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
Unitary Revenues (€/MWh):
115 - Italy 121 120
90 - France 90 89
92 - Germany 98 101
78 - Poland 72 69
63 - Romania 59 72
90 - Bulgaria 67 81
Adjusted EBITDA:
51 - Italy 57 80
17 - France 27 14
9 - Germany 14 10
5 - Poland 6 5
2 - Romania 3 3
2 - Bulgaria 3 4
87 Total Adjusted EBITDA 109 115
(42) Depreciation (42) (40)
44 Adjusted EBIT 67 75
SOLAR: KEY FIGURES
24
4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
32 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 45 44
302 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 310 327
7 Adjusted EBITDA 12 13
(11) Depreciation (10) (10)
(4) Adjusted EBIT 2 3
HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
25
4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
361 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 324 301
94 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 102 108
23 Adjusted EBITDA 24 23
(14) Depreciation (14) (14)
9 Adjusted EBIT 9 9
CCGT: KEY FIGURES
26
4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
563 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 626 618
40 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 28 35
11 Adjusted EBITDA 15 17
(7) Depreciation (7) (7)
3 Adjusted EBIT 8 10
4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019
16 Wind 54 10
1 Solar 1 220
3 Hydro 1 1
10 CCGT 5 2
1 Corporate 0 0
31 Total 61 233
INVESTMENTS
27
(1)
(2)
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €41.9mn), and of
Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2.4mn
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn

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ERG 1Q2020 results

  • 1. 1Q 2020 Results 14 MAY 2020 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
  • 2. DISCLAIMER This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected. 2
  • 3. AGENDA 1Q 2020 Highlights Covid-19: A tough trading Environment Key Figures Immediate Reaction towards Covid-19 Results Review Business Environment 1Q 2020 Group EBITDA Results by Segments Key Financials Profit & Loss Investments Cash Flow Statement 2020 Guidance and Conclusions Appendix 3
  • 4. 4 IMMEDIATE REACTION TOWARDS COVID-19 ERG’s Operations Local Communities Employees • Smart working extended, ahead of legal provisions, to over 70% of corporate population, nearly 100% of office staff • Adoption of appropriate safety measures for employees in the production sites • Reorganization of O&M activities and production plant & Control room • Enhanced IT resources : 10X rise in remote meetings thanks to most advanced platforms • Covid-19 health insurance for all the employees • No reduction in staff and no mandatory temporary leaves • ERG allocated €2mn to support the healthcare system where its production sites operate • ERG’s people donated 2,300 hours of their work to the Civil Protection Department • ERG’s majority shareholder, allocated €1mn in favour of Genoa’s front-line hospitals • Set a Daily WAR-cabinet meeting with top-mgmt to ensuring business continuity • Electricity supply among the essential services in this period of emergency • Put in place a set of measures to guarantee the best-in-class H&S standards for ERG people • Some delays in construction investment program and authorization process • Tough trading environment, although most of the electricity production already hedged
  • 5. COVID-19: A TOUGH TRADING ENVIRONMENT 5 Source: IEA Global Energy Review 2020 and Company Data ITALY: downturn of Electricity Demand, higher contribution of RES Worldwide collapse in Electricity Demand Decline in Italian PUN (€/MWh) EU Electricity Mix more shifted to Renewables % RES GenerationWeekly EE Demand (GWh/wk) Closures and partial lockdown Full lockdown Number of days since lockdown began Lockdown Changeinelectricitydemand(%)
  • 6. HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES 6 Adjusted EBITDA (€ mn) Adjusted NFP (€ mn) Adjusted Net Profit (€ mn) 164 156 5354 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 1,415 31/03/202031/12/2019 1Q 2020 CCGT Wind Corporate EBITDA Margin Solar Hydro 1Q 2019 1,476 Adj. Leverage Derivatives Adj. NFP excl. Derivatives Reduced windiness in Italy partly offset by contribution of new wind assets in FR and GE, against a backdrop of weaker price environment exacerbated by Covid-19
  • 7. RESULTS REVIEW PAOLO MERLI, CORPORATE GENERAL MANAGER & CFO
  • 8. BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 8 Electricity Prices in Italy (€/MWh) Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh) All-in Wind Prices abroad (€/MWh) Clean Spark Spread Indicator (€/MWh) 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 Delta % Italian Electricity Demand 81 77 -5% Italian Electricity Production 71 66 -6% of which: - Thermo 50 45 -9% - Hydro 8 9 17% - Solar 5 5 0% - Wind 7 6 -17% - Other Sources 1 1 2%
  • 9. 1Q 2020 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION 9 164 156 (23) (0.5) (2) 1Q 2019 1Q 2020Wind Italy Hydro CCGT Corporate (4) (4) Solar 0.5 CorporateHydroSolar CCGTWind 0.5 Weaker Wind in Italy but greater overseas, Hydro in line but still lower vs historical avg Period characterized by a poor price environment, exacerbated by Covid-19 17 Wind Abroad
  • 10. WIND RESULTS 10 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 109 1,328 Italy East EuropeFrance Germany 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 115 1,366 Tough Scenario, reduced windiness in Italy partly offset by contribution of new assets in FR and GE
  • 11. SOLAR RESULTS 11 12 13 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 1Q 20201Q 2019 44 45 1Q 20201Q 2019 Slightly down YoY due to lower merchant price
  • 12. HYDRO RESULTS 12 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 24 301 324 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 23 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 Results slightly up YoY; volumes higher but still weak vs historical avg due to a persistent dry season
  • 13. CCGT RESULTS 13 Adjusted Ebitda (€ mn) Volumes (GWh) 17 618 626 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 15 1Q 2019 1Q 2020 Tough trading environment in March post Covid-19 and lower White Certificates
  • 14. INVESTMENTS 14 (1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €41.9mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2.4mn 61 54 M&A: 44(2) Solar Wind Corporate Hydro 220 CCGT 233 M&A: 220(1)
  • 16. ADJUSTED P&L 16 Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures 4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 124 Adjusted EBITDA 156 164 (76) Amortization and depreciation (75) (72) 48 Adjusted EBIT 82 92 (13) Net financial income (expenses) (13) (18) 0 Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 0 34 Adjusted Results before taxes 68 74 (6) Income taxes (15) (20) 29 Adjusted Results for the period 53 54 0 Minority interests 0 0 29 Adjusted Net Profit 53 54 16% Tax Rate 22% 27%
  • 17. 1Q 2020 CASH FLOW STATEMENT 17 Adj. Leverage 1,476 1,415 Adj. Net Debt 31/12/2019 Net working capital Adj. Net Debt 31/03/2020 Adj. EBITDA CAPEX & Acquisitions Financial charges Others (156) (10)30 13 43% 45% 61
  • 19. 2020 GUIDANCE 19 CAPEX: Guidance revised from €185-215mn to €150-180mn to include some delays in investment programme due to lockdown Adj. EBITDA: Guidance revised from €500-520mn to €480-500mn • Tough price scenario since Covid-19 • Weak wind and Hydro conditions in April 480-500 Adj. NFP: Guidance revised from €1.36-1.44bn to €1.35-1.43bn 1Q 2020 Guidance range Guidance Actual (1) 2020 Guidance does not include IFRS 16 effects 150-180 156 61 1,415 1,350-1,430 2020 FCST1Q 2020 2020 FCST(1)1Q 2020 2020 FCST(1)
  • 21. ENERGY PORTFOLIO 21 Wind Capacity 1,967MW Sun Capacity 141MW Water Capacity 527MW Natural Gas Capacity 480MW 1Q 2020 Production 1,366GWh 1Q 2020 Production 45GWh 1Q 2020 Production 324GWh 1Q 2020 Production 626GWh Total 1Q 2020 Production: 2.4TWh Total Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 4.2TWh
  • 22. WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2) 22 4Q 2019 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 1,929 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,967 1,822 of which: 1,093 - Italy 1,093 1,093 359 - France 397 307 272 - Germany 272 216 82 - Poland 82 82 70 - Romania 70 70 54 - Bulgaria 54 54 1,155 Electricity Production (GWh) 1,366 1,328 of which: 587 - Italy 598 803 267 - France 371 209 138 - Germany 188 130 76 - Poland 91 82 52 - Romania 64 56 35 - Bulgaria 55 49
  • 23. WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2) 23 4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh): 115 - Italy 121 120 90 - France 90 89 92 - Germany 98 101 78 - Poland 72 69 63 - Romania 59 72 90 - Bulgaria 67 81 Adjusted EBITDA: 51 - Italy 57 80 17 - France 27 14 9 - Germany 14 10 5 - Poland 6 5 2 - Romania 3 3 2 - Bulgaria 3 4 87 Total Adjusted EBITDA 109 115 (42) Depreciation (42) (40) 44 Adjusted EBIT 67 75
  • 24. SOLAR: KEY FIGURES 24 4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 32 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 45 44 302 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 310 327 7 Adjusted EBITDA 12 13 (11) Depreciation (10) (10) (4) Adjusted EBIT 2 3
  • 25. HYDRO: KEY FIGURES 25 4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 361 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 324 301 94 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 102 108 23 Adjusted EBITDA 24 23 (14) Depreciation (14) (14) 9 Adjusted EBIT 9 9
  • 26. CCGT: KEY FIGURES 26 4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 563 Electricity Prodution (GWh) 626 618 40 Unitary Revenues (€/MWh) 28 35 11 Adjusted EBITDA 15 17 (7) Depreciation (7) (7) 3 Adjusted EBIT 8 10
  • 27. 4Q 2019 Euro millions 1Q 2020 1Q 2019 16 Wind 54 10 1 Solar 1 220 3 Hydro 1 1 10 CCGT 5 2 1 Corporate 0 0 31 Total 61 233 INVESTMENTS 27 (1) (2) (1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Trinity acquisition (which took place on February 24, 2020 for an amount of €41.9mn), and of Laszki acquistion (which took place on March 5, 2020) amounting to €2.4mn (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of Andromeda acquisition (which took place on February 12, 2019), amounting to €220mn