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Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
1
DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES
Section 1
Choose from the following:
Introduction: Traffic chaos in town centre
Example 4.1: Two tetrahedral dice
Example 4.2: Finding k for a random
variable
End presentation
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
2
No. people per car 1 2 3 4 5 > 5
Frequency 560 240 150 40 10 0
Traffic chaos in town centre
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
number of people
frequency
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
3
Traffic chaos in town centre
Number of people /
Outcome r
1 2 3 4 5 > 5
Relative frequency /
Probability P(X = r)
0.56 0.24 0.15 0.04 0.01 0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
r
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
4
Example 4.1
Two tetrahedral dice, each with faces labelled 1, 2, 3
and 4, are thrown and the random variable X
represents the sum of the numbers on which the dice
fall.
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
(i) Find the probability distribution of X.
(ii) Illustrate the distribution; describe the shape of
the distribution.
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
5
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
6
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
7
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
8
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
4
16
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
9
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
3
16
4
16
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
10
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
2
16
3
16
4
16
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
11
Example 4.1
+ 1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5 6
3 4 5 6 7
4 5 6 7 8
1
16
2
16
3
16
4
16
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
12
Example 4.1
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
r
P(X = r )
1
16
2
16
3
16
4
16
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
13
Example 4.1
1
16
2
16
3
16
4
16
3
16
2
16
1
16
r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
P(X = r)
(iii) What is the probability that any throw of the dice
results in a value of X which is an odd number?
The probability that X yields an odd number
= + +
2
16
4
16
2
16
= P(X = 3) + P(X = 5) + P(X = 7)
1
2=
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
14
Example 4.2
The probability distribution of a random variable X is
given by
P(X = r) = kr for r = 1, 2, 3, 4
P(X = r) = 0 otherwise
(i) Find the value of the constant k.
r 1 2 3 4
P(X = r) k 2k 3k 4k
S P(X = r) = 1  k + 2k + 3k+ 4k = 1
 10k = 1
 k = 0.1
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
15
Example 4.2
r 1 2 3 4
P(X = r) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 1 2 3 4 5
r
P(X = r)
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
16
Example 4.2 r 1 2 3 4
P(X = r) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
(a) P(both values of X are the same)
= P (X1 = X2 = 1 or X1 = X2 = 2 or X1 = X2 = 3 or
X1 = X2 = 4)
= P(X1 = X2 = 1) + P(X1 = X2 = 2) + P(X1 = X2 = 3) +
P(X1 = X2 = 4)
= P(X1 = 1) × P(X2 = 1) + P(X1 = 2) × P(X2 = 2)
+ P(X1 = 3) × P(X2 = 3) + P(X1 = 4) × P(X2 = 4)
= (0.1)2 + (0.2)2 + (0.3)2 + (0.4)2
= 0.01 + 0.04 + 0.09 + 0.16
= 0.3
X1 = 1st value
X2 = 2nd value
Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1
17
Example 4.2 r 1 2 3 4
P(X = r) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
(b) P(total of the two values is greater than 6)
= P(X1 + X2 > 6)
= P(X1 + X2 = 7 or 8)
= P(X1 + X2 = 7) + P(X1 + X2 = 8)
= P(X1 = 3) × P(X2 = 4) + P(X1 = 4) × P(X2 = 3)
+ P(X1 = 4) × P(X2 = 4)
= 0.3 × 0.4 + 0.4 × 0.3 + 0.4 × 0.4
= 0.12 + 0.12 + 0.16
= 0.4
X1 = 1st value
X2 = 2nd value

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Introduction to Discrete Random Variables

  • 1. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 1 DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES Section 1 Choose from the following: Introduction: Traffic chaos in town centre Example 4.1: Two tetrahedral dice Example 4.2: Finding k for a random variable End presentation
  • 2. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 2 No. people per car 1 2 3 4 5 > 5 Frequency 560 240 150 40 10 0 Traffic chaos in town centre 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 number of people frequency
  • 3. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 3 Traffic chaos in town centre Number of people / Outcome r 1 2 3 4 5 > 5 Relative frequency / Probability P(X = r) 0.56 0.24 0.15 0.04 0.01 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 r P(X = r)
  • 4. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 4 Example 4.1 Two tetrahedral dice, each with faces labelled 1, 2, 3 and 4, are thrown and the random variable X represents the sum of the numbers on which the dice fall. + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 (i) Find the probability distribution of X. (ii) Illustrate the distribution; describe the shape of the distribution.
  • 5. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 5 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 6. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 6 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 7. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 7 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 8. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 8 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 4 16 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 9. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 9 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 3 16 4 16 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 10. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 10 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 2 16 3 16 4 16 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 11. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 11 Example 4.1 + 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 3 4 5 6 7 4 5 6 7 8 1 16 2 16 3 16 4 16 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 12. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 12 Example 4.1 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 r P(X = r ) 1 16 2 16 3 16 4 16 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r)
  • 13. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 13 Example 4.1 1 16 2 16 3 16 4 16 3 16 2 16 1 16 r 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(X = r) (iii) What is the probability that any throw of the dice results in a value of X which is an odd number? The probability that X yields an odd number = + + 2 16 4 16 2 16 = P(X = 3) + P(X = 5) + P(X = 7) 1 2=
  • 14. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 14 Example 4.2 The probability distribution of a random variable X is given by P(X = r) = kr for r = 1, 2, 3, 4 P(X = r) = 0 otherwise (i) Find the value of the constant k. r 1 2 3 4 P(X = r) k 2k 3k 4k S P(X = r) = 1  k + 2k + 3k+ 4k = 1  10k = 1  k = 0.1
  • 15. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 15 Example 4.2 r 1 2 3 4 P(X = r) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0 1 2 3 4 5 r P(X = r)
  • 16. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 16 Example 4.2 r 1 2 3 4 P(X = r) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 (a) P(both values of X are the same) = P (X1 = X2 = 1 or X1 = X2 = 2 or X1 = X2 = 3 or X1 = X2 = 4) = P(X1 = X2 = 1) + P(X1 = X2 = 2) + P(X1 = X2 = 3) + P(X1 = X2 = 4) = P(X1 = 1) × P(X2 = 1) + P(X1 = 2) × P(X2 = 2) + P(X1 = 3) × P(X2 = 3) + P(X1 = 4) × P(X2 = 4) = (0.1)2 + (0.2)2 + (0.3)2 + (0.4)2 = 0.01 + 0.04 + 0.09 + 0.16 = 0.3 X1 = 1st value X2 = 2nd value
  • 17. Statistics 1 Discrete Random Variables Section 1 17 Example 4.2 r 1 2 3 4 P(X = r) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 (b) P(total of the two values is greater than 6) = P(X1 + X2 > 6) = P(X1 + X2 = 7 or 8) = P(X1 + X2 = 7) + P(X1 + X2 = 8) = P(X1 = 3) × P(X2 = 4) + P(X1 = 4) × P(X2 = 3) + P(X1 = 4) × P(X2 = 4) = 0.3 × 0.4 + 0.4 × 0.3 + 0.4 × 0.4 = 0.12 + 0.12 + 0.16 = 0.4 X1 = 1st value X2 = 2nd value