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Climate Observing Network Design

                  Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, &
                                    Greg Hakim

                                           University of Washington




Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim   Climate Observing Network Design
Observing Network Design



             Many networks grow “organically” (e.g. ASOS)
             Others are designed before implementation (e.g. CRN)

     Objective network design
             Given a performance measure & constraints, find sites.
             New sites are conditional on previous.
             Can design networks with a suite of metrics.
             Optimal if linear & Gaussian.




Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim   Climate Observing Network Design
Climate Reference Network Performance




     CRN explained precipitation variance
             MM5 4 km monthly precipitation.
             Regress precip onto 11 CRN stations.
             Map: percentage variance explained by the regression.
Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim   Climate Observing Network Design
Results for Monthly Precipitation




     Metric: area averaged precipitation
             Five stations explain 95% of variance.
             Stations are located in the mountains.
             Distribution is not intuitive.

Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim   Climate Observing Network Design
Summary
     Climate Network Design
             Objectively site observations
             Maximize available resources (or reduce costs)
             Can rapidly evaluate metrics
             Can incorporate other constraints
                     Federal land
                     Cement trucks




Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim   Climate Observing Network Design
Theory

     Metric = J, with sample vector J; state = x with sample X

                                                       1
                                           σ2 =           δJδJT .                                  (1)
                                                     N −1
     Leading-order Taylor approximation:
                                                                 T
                                                           ∂J
                                             δJ =                    δX,                           (2)
                                                           ∂x
                                                     T
                                          ∂J                                   ∂J
                                 δσi2   =                  (Bi−1 − Bi )                            (3)
                                          ∂x                                   ∂x
     Kalman filter:
                                           Bi−1 − Bi = KHB                                         (4)



Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim        Climate Observing Network Design

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Climate observing network design

  • 1. Climate Observing Network Design Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim University of Washington Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim Climate Observing Network Design
  • 2. Observing Network Design Many networks grow “organically” (e.g. ASOS) Others are designed before implementation (e.g. CRN) Objective network design Given a performance measure & constraints, find sites. New sites are conditional on previous. Can design networks with a suite of metrics. Optimal if linear & Gaussian. Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim Climate Observing Network Design
  • 3. Climate Reference Network Performance CRN explained precipitation variance MM5 4 km monthly precipitation. Regress precip onto 11 CRN stations. Map: percentage variance explained by the regression. Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim Climate Observing Network Design
  • 4. Results for Monthly Precipitation Metric: area averaged precipitation Five stations explain 95% of variance. Stations are located in the mountains. Distribution is not intuitive. Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim Climate Observing Network Design
  • 5. Summary Climate Network Design Objectively site observations Maximize available resources (or reduce costs) Can rapidly evaluate metrics Can incorporate other constraints Federal land Cement trucks Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim Climate Observing Network Design
  • 6. Theory Metric = J, with sample vector J; state = x with sample X 1 σ2 = δJδJT . (1) N −1 Leading-order Taylor approximation: T ∂J δJ = δX, (2) ∂x T ∂J ∂J δσi2 = (Bi−1 − Bi ) (3) ∂x ∂x Kalman filter: Bi−1 − Bi = KHB (4) Phil Mote, Karin Bumbaco, Guillaume Mauger, & Greg Hakim Climate Observing Network Design