The document discusses the evolution of global governance and the transition from scarcity to coordination, emphasizing the historical context from the 16th century to present. It highlights the need for effective governance in socio-ecological systems to foster resilience while advocating for a shift towards a model that integrates territorial and functional structures. Key principles include simplifying governance, encouraging loose couplings, and valuing constructive debates to navigate the complexities of 21st-century governance.

1. 1
Carlo Jaeger
Beijing Normal University
&
Global Climate Forum
GOVERNANCE AND RESILIENCY
Fourth Conference on Community Resilience
Davos, August 28-30, 2013

2. 2
Overview
1) From Scarcity to Coordination
2) Governance in Socio-Ecological Systems
3) Global Governance and Resilience

3. 3
From Scarcity to Coordination
Since the renewal of China in the 1970s, human-
kind is gradually moving out of a world of mass
poverty.
If we avoid
global
disasters,
our grand-
children will
experience
unprece-
dented
affluence.

4. 4
Risks from Coordination Failures

5. 5
Global Coordination, Roman Style
The first structure of global governance was
the Spain-based empire of Charles V in
the 16th century.
Since then, nations have fought for
hegemony in global governance, with
disastrous transitions.
First, the UK, then the US succeeded;
various challengers failed.

6. 6
A Question of Hegemony
USA
China

7. 7
The Importance of Multiple Equilibria
1

8. 8
Good Equilibria – Bad Equilibria

9. 9
Three Rules of Thumb
1) Make it Simple
1) Ensure Loose Couplings
1) Cherish Debates

10. 10
The Rationality of Debates
1) Rationality is a property of
conversations, not of individuals.
2) Governance for Resilience Needs
Controversy
3) Truth is a Nomad Wandering through
Conversations, Feeding on Experience
and Creativity

11. 11
• In the 21st century, the center-periphery
model of global governance will give way
to a new pattern.
• Territorial structures like nations will find
new couplings with functional structures
like professional associations.
• We better cross the river by touching the
stones.
Global Governance and Resilience