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THE UNIVERSAL CONNECTIVITY
REVOLUTION
Benoît Felten, CEO
benoit@diffractionanalysis.com
Who is Diffraction Analysis ?
 •   Diffraction Analysis is a combination
     of expertise and resources between              Tactis                 Benoît Felten
     Tactis, a recognized European NGA
                                               Established European          Thought leader in NGA
     consultancy and Benoît Felten, a             NGA Consultancy            strategies, known and
     renowned NGA thought leader.               specialised in Digital      respected global analyst
                                             Territory Strategies, Policy    and « infamous » tech
                                                   and Regulation.                  blogger.
 •   Diffraction Analysis’ research is
     global in scope and relies on
     regional expertise in key trending
     markets to map progression,
     successes and failures and leading
     transformations in the NGA space.
                                                       Diffraction Analysis
 •   Diffraction Analysis is
                                              Global Research and Consultancy specialised in
     headquartered in Paris with                    the revolution in the access and the
     employees and contributors all over          transformation it drives in the telecom
     the world.                                                  ecosystem.
Where does this all start?
Why is the question of public intervention back?


 • Infrastructure and services are two different businesses

 • The copper network wasn’t built with private money

 • Private next-generation infrastructure deployment is not
   really happening in most markets

 • When next-generation infrastructure is deployed, it’s done in
   a captive way to ensure low competition
Common arguments for public involvement?

  « We need a fiber to the premise infrastructure and private
           businesses want to sweat their copper. »

 « We need an alternative infrastructure to encourage service
                        competition. »

« We need a universal infrastructure to connect all citizens, not
            just those that cost less or pay more. »

   Fiber to the Premise
                               Competitive
                                                  Universal
How do private businesses respond?


  Fiber
              There’s no demand for FTTP and it’s too expensive.
  to the          xDSL is enough for the foreseeable future.
 Premises


              Cable is competition (or) bitstream access will be the
Competitive              platform for future competition.




              We are a private business and cannot be expected to
 Universal          connect everyone without public money.
Universal Access Makes the Difference

                                              Citizens
         Urban                   Parents                       Voters
        Planning                                                                  Education
                                       Home-Owners

                                               Professionals
    Local                                                               Healthcare
  Tax Office       Community                                                               Childhood
                   Information                                                              Services
                                             Universal
   Public                                   Competitive                 Social                 Public
Administration          Registry                FTTP                   Housing                Services
                         Office
                                           Infrastructure
                                                                              Social
     Elections                                                               Services
                                                                                           Employment
                                        Grocery,
                   Local              Supermarkets
                   Safety                                    Home
                                                            Security             Culture       Public
                                   Banks
                                                                                               Library
                                            Businesses
Example One: Getting a Building Permit

                                              Citizens
         Urban                   Parents                         Voters
        Planning                                                                  Education
                                                      Citizens                Video-communication
                                    Home-Owners
                                                                                 for interactions
    Local                                      Professionals                    Remote Form-Filling
                                                                          Healthcare    Childhood
  Tax Office       Community
                   Information                                                            Services
                                                                                Shared project wiki
                                             Universal
   Public                                   Competitive                 Social                 Public
Administration          Registry                FTTP                   Housing                Services
                         Office
                                           Infrastructure
                                                                                Social
                                                                                      Benefits
                                                                               Services
     Elections
                                                                                          Employment
                                        Grocery,                                     Citizen:
                   Local              Supermarkets                            time saved, less hassle
                   Safety                                    Home
                                                            Security             Culture
                                                                                   Municipality:
                                                                                              Public
                                   Banks
                                                                             traceability, time Library
                                                                                                 saved,
                                            Businesses                            money saved
Example Two: Setting up an Appointment

                                              Citizens
         Urban                   Parents                         Voters
        Planning                                                                  Education
                                                      Citizens
                                    Home-Owners

    Local                                      Professionals
                                                                          Healthcare        Childhood
  Tax Office       Community
                   Information                                                               Services
                                             Universal
   Public                                   Competitive                 Social                  Public
Administration          Registry                FTTP                   Housing                 Services
                         Office
                                           Infrastructure
                                                                                Social
     Elections                                                                 Services
                                                                                           Benefits
                                                                                             Employment
                                           Multi-screen interface
                                        Grocery,
                   Local                      for appointments
                                      Supermarkets                                      Citizen:
                   Safety                                    Home                time saved, less hassle
                                                            Security             Culture       Public
                                   Banks      Reminders/easy
                                                                                       Municipality:
                                                                                               Library
                                                cancellation
                                                                                  time & money saved
                                            Businesses
Example Three: Public & Private Safety

                                              Citizens
         Urban                   Parents                         Voters
        Planning                                                                Video-monitoring
                                                      Citizens                     Education
                                    Home-Owners                                in streets and social
                                                                                      housing
    Local                                      Professionals
                                                                          Healthcare
                                                                                Alerting systems to
                                                                                          Childhood
  Tax Office       Community
                   Information                                              private surveilance and
                                                                                          Services
                                             Universal                         public enforcement
   Public                                   Competitive                 Social                Public
Administration          Registry                FTTP                   Housing               Services
                         Office
                                           Infrastructure
                                                                                Social
                                                                                      Benefits
                                                                               Services
     Elections
                                                                                          Employment
                                        Grocery,                                       Citizen:
                   Local              Supermarkets                             safety, peace of mind
                   Safety                                    Home
                                                            Security             Culture
                                                                                   Municipality:
                                                                                              Public
                                   Banks
                                                                                              Library
                                                                                  public safety,
                                            Businesses                       coordination & response
Implications on Project Philosophy

• Municipalities will only truly leverage next-generation
  infrastructure if they are ubiquitous

• Only those municipalities that are willing to completely
  rethink the way public services are offered should launch
  large-scale, long-term infrastructure projects

• The impact on the local economy, social welfare and
  (consequently) the political windfall can be significant, but
  only if the infrastructure and the services are designed
  together
Implications on Project Technology

                      Public e-services

           Internet



       Internet Access

         Wholesale                         Community LAN

        Infrastructure    Infrastructure

       PC, Smartphone             PC, Smartphone, TV, Text, Phone


                            Citizens
An ideal scenario

• Relying on internet access is an easy solution that may not
  always be relevant because it requires adoption of a
  commercial product for access

• Whether internet is the solution or not, intermediation
  between stakeholders needs to be curated, ideally by a local
  private business

• If PPPs can be a way to obtain universal access without
  sacrificing future-proofing or competition, they are well worth
  pursuing
No bed of roses

• Private access providers (especially incumbents and cable
  operators) will fight back with all they have:

 Fiber to the    What Future      Siphoning      Innovation or
Press Release     Needs?          Subsidies        Litigation?


• Scale and competence are necessary for economic viability

• Fragmented local networks do not a national network make
Some Conclusions


1
    Universal access enables the rethink of public
    services (and other local businesses)

2
    In the absence of private investment, communities
    can take matters into their own hands

3
    Don’t work in isolation, build bridges to other muni-
    networks

4   It’s a long and hard road
Thank You !



Benoît Felten, CEO

benoit@diffractionanalysis.com

@fiberguy

+33 6 18 24 31 89

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Benoit Felten - The Universal Connectivity Revolution

  • 1. THE UNIVERSAL CONNECTIVITY REVOLUTION Benoît Felten, CEO benoit@diffractionanalysis.com
  • 2. Who is Diffraction Analysis ? • Diffraction Analysis is a combination of expertise and resources between Tactis Benoît Felten Tactis, a recognized European NGA Established European Thought leader in NGA consultancy and Benoît Felten, a NGA Consultancy strategies, known and renowned NGA thought leader. specialised in Digital respected global analyst Territory Strategies, Policy and « infamous » tech and Regulation. blogger. • Diffraction Analysis’ research is global in scope and relies on regional expertise in key trending markets to map progression, successes and failures and leading transformations in the NGA space. Diffraction Analysis • Diffraction Analysis is Global Research and Consultancy specialised in headquartered in Paris with the revolution in the access and the employees and contributors all over transformation it drives in the telecom the world. ecosystem.
  • 3. Where does this all start?
  • 4. Why is the question of public intervention back? • Infrastructure and services are two different businesses • The copper network wasn’t built with private money • Private next-generation infrastructure deployment is not really happening in most markets • When next-generation infrastructure is deployed, it’s done in a captive way to ensure low competition
  • 5. Common arguments for public involvement? « We need a fiber to the premise infrastructure and private businesses want to sweat their copper. » « We need an alternative infrastructure to encourage service competition. » « We need a universal infrastructure to connect all citizens, not just those that cost less or pay more. » Fiber to the Premise Competitive Universal
  • 6. How do private businesses respond? Fiber There’s no demand for FTTP and it’s too expensive. to the xDSL is enough for the foreseeable future. Premises Cable is competition (or) bitstream access will be the Competitive platform for future competition. We are a private business and cannot be expected to Universal connect everyone without public money.
  • 7. Universal Access Makes the Difference Citizens Urban Parents Voters Planning Education Home-Owners Professionals Local Healthcare Tax Office Community Childhood Information Services Universal Public Competitive Social Public Administration Registry FTTP Housing Services Office Infrastructure Social Elections Services Employment Grocery, Local Supermarkets Safety Home Security Culture Public Banks Library Businesses
  • 8. Example One: Getting a Building Permit Citizens Urban Parents Voters Planning Education Citizens Video-communication Home-Owners for interactions Local Professionals Remote Form-Filling Healthcare Childhood Tax Office Community Information Services Shared project wiki Universal Public Competitive Social Public Administration Registry FTTP Housing Services Office Infrastructure Social Benefits Services Elections Employment Grocery, Citizen: Local Supermarkets time saved, less hassle Safety Home Security Culture Municipality: Public Banks traceability, time Library saved, Businesses money saved
  • 9. Example Two: Setting up an Appointment Citizens Urban Parents Voters Planning Education Citizens Home-Owners Local Professionals Healthcare Childhood Tax Office Community Information Services Universal Public Competitive Social Public Administration Registry FTTP Housing Services Office Infrastructure Social Elections Services Benefits Employment Multi-screen interface Grocery, Local for appointments Supermarkets Citizen: Safety Home time saved, less hassle Security Culture Public Banks Reminders/easy Municipality: Library cancellation time & money saved Businesses
  • 10. Example Three: Public & Private Safety Citizens Urban Parents Voters Planning Video-monitoring Citizens Education Home-Owners in streets and social housing Local Professionals Healthcare Alerting systems to Childhood Tax Office Community Information private surveilance and Services Universal public enforcement Public Competitive Social Public Administration Registry FTTP Housing Services Office Infrastructure Social Benefits Services Elections Employment Grocery, Citizen: Local Supermarkets safety, peace of mind Safety Home Security Culture Municipality: Public Banks Library public safety, Businesses coordination & response
  • 11. Implications on Project Philosophy • Municipalities will only truly leverage next-generation infrastructure if they are ubiquitous • Only those municipalities that are willing to completely rethink the way public services are offered should launch large-scale, long-term infrastructure projects • The impact on the local economy, social welfare and (consequently) the political windfall can be significant, but only if the infrastructure and the services are designed together
  • 12. Implications on Project Technology Public e-services Internet Internet Access Wholesale Community LAN Infrastructure Infrastructure PC, Smartphone PC, Smartphone, TV, Text, Phone Citizens
  • 13. An ideal scenario • Relying on internet access is an easy solution that may not always be relevant because it requires adoption of a commercial product for access • Whether internet is the solution or not, intermediation between stakeholders needs to be curated, ideally by a local private business • If PPPs can be a way to obtain universal access without sacrificing future-proofing or competition, they are well worth pursuing
  • 14. No bed of roses • Private access providers (especially incumbents and cable operators) will fight back with all they have: Fiber to the What Future Siphoning Innovation or Press Release Needs? Subsidies Litigation? • Scale and competence are necessary for economic viability • Fragmented local networks do not a national network make
  • 15. Some Conclusions 1 Universal access enables the rethink of public services (and other local businesses) 2 In the absence of private investment, communities can take matters into their own hands 3 Don’t work in isolation, build bridges to other muni- networks 4 It’s a long and hard road
  • 16. Thank You ! Benoît Felten, CEO benoit@diffractionanalysis.com @fiberguy +33 6 18 24 31 89