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Predictive Analytics:
Moving From Data to Decisions
Colleen Carmean, PhD
University of Washington Tacoma
Assistant Chancellor, Academic Affairs
carmean@uw.edu
Making sense of complex
data is hard
Tools and Skills Have Changed
Majority First
Generation
Majority Pell-Eligible
Majority > 21 years
Minority Caucasian
The New Traditionals of UWT
EACH YEAR, UW TACOMA LOSES:
 25-30% of First Year Students
 10-15% of Second Year
 3-5% of Our Near-Completers
80% of our losses are students
in good academic standing
Now What?
How Do We Discover
Who, When , Why
Patterns in the DATA
Finding Students in the DATA
From Reporting…
…to Discovering
New Roles, New Skills
Federated Institutional Research
Federated Knowledge:
Strategy/Insights/Interests
Phase 1: Shared Interests
Phase 2: Strategy
Phase 3: Insights
Data, Discovery, Action
Analytics: From Data to Decisions

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Analytics: From Data to Decisions

Editor's Notes

  1. Introduce me (assistant chanc/Ac Affairs-IR: dragging UW Tacoma into the digital age)
  2. digital age, rapid change, volumes of data. Creates New demands, opportunities, roles. Need for new kinds of talent, which must be understood and curated. Creative Commons BY-NC-SA http://www.adeptustc.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Digital-e1424549288229.jpg
  3. We’ve seen not just a change at the technical/data discovery front – but in practice. How do we create a data culture on a campus that has always flown without a compass? A well-intended urban-serving campus built on story myth urban-serving legend Creative Commons BY-NC-SA https://c2.staticflickr.com/4/3564/3324252772_d653e92a2d_z.jpg?zz=1
  4. Students have changed. data: demographics (majority first gen, minority caucasian, majority Pell, majority undergrads >21)
  5. analytics: can we more deeply know who when where why? And then take action.
  6. Patterns in Analytics: patterns not previously found or observable (we needed machines. The existence of Nate Silver raised expectations everywhere.) “ Tiny campus, with an anemic IR”)
  7. Story image/hero within…: Joseph Campbell says there’s only one story, told 1000 ways. For HE, that story/the archetypal legend is now persistence. Thru that lens, we tell the story of student as hero of 1000 faces, 1000 filters, 1000 predictors
  8. reinventing the narrative means not resting on limited dead data, but finding patterns at the core of new stories, new learners, new modalities of teaching and learning
  9. You’ve all seen these…IR reports it every year, but when does it become information needed and used by decision makers? Where is the actionable information in the “dead data”?
  10. reinventing the anemic IR: from reporting to discovering, probing, wondering …and action. Looking at powerful predictors seen in historic data and applying in real time to knowing our present students and helping them to the finish line.
  11. discovery: someone needs to be looking . WHAT are the skills of these new analysts? Where in the organization are they found? Creative Commons: BY-NC-SA http://www.mechanictomillionaire.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Epi-201-M2M.png
  12. UWT: IR-owned, decentralized working group.
  13. power user group: title and 3 images (strategy/insights/interests)
  14. phase 1: shared interests (cross-campus team / learning curve/exploration/explanation)
  15. phase 2: strategy – explore pressing ?s: FTIC, FY, demographic filters, powerful predictors Creative Commons: BY-NC-SA:http://www.brandingstrategyinsider.com/images/2013/10/Brand-Strategy-Business-Strategy.jpg
  16. phase 3: ?? insights – suggested by community/pursued by the campus working group/discovery presented to leadership: can we get there? Creative Commons BY-NC-SA: https://www.emergenetics.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Collaboration.jpg
  17. infusing discovery into action and moving a reporting culture into a research lab culture Creative Common BY-NC-SA: http://siliconangle.com/files/2012/04/data-into-action.png
  18. Thank you! Happy to share stories and ideas. Creative commons ByNCSA: http://verastic.com/site/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Thank-You.jpg