2018-19 agro-pastoral campaign: final figures and the regional market situation, presented by Martial Traoré, CILSS/Agrhymet, RPCA restricted meeting, Brussels, 4 April 2019
Food and nutrition insecurity in the Sahel and West Africa, presented by Issoufou Baoua, CILSS/Agrhymet, RPCA restricted meeting, Brussels, 4 April 2019
Presentation by Sy Martial Traoré, Agrhymet/CILSS, providing information about 2018/2019 provisional food production and the regional market situation. The 2018-19 harvests are generally excepted to be good.
Food and nutrition insecurity in the Sahel and West Africa, presented by Issoufou Baoua, CILSS/Agrhymet, RPCA restricted meeting, Brussels, 4 April 2019
Presentation by Sy Martial Traoré, Agrhymet/CILSS, providing information about 2018/2019 provisional food production and the regional market situation. The 2018-19 harvests are generally excepted to be good.
Covid 19 Immigration Effects - December 2021 Update with 2018 baseline compar...Andrew Griffith
Key trends from December IRCC operational data, which reflect in part a normal seasonal decline:
Overall, comparing 2021 with 2018 data, most immigration programs have largely recovered from the steep impact of COVID travel and other restrictions, with the exceptions of the Provincial Nominee Program, asylum claimants, citizenship and visitor visas.
As trumpeted by the Minister, the number of permanent resident admissions slightly exceeded the 2021 target: 403,540, compared to 401,000. Compared to 2018, admissions have increased by 26 percent.
As seen throughout the year, this is largely due to two-step immigration by temporary residents, largely from the International Mobility Program and the Post-Graduate Work Program. The percentage of the economic class increased to 63 percent, up from 58 percent.
While on a monthly basis, permanent residency applications increased, compared to 2018, applications declined by 43 percent. This likely reflects recognition by potential applicants of large backlogs and two-step immigration.
Temporary Residents - While on a monthly basis, IMP declined in December, compared to 2018, numbers increased by 35 percent.
Temporary Residents - TFWP while December numbers remained stable, compared to 2018, numbers increased by 24 percent, with the greatest increase in LMIA.
Students: Study permit applications increased slightly in December while study permits issued almost tripled. Compared to 2018, applications increased by 64 percent, and permits issued by 27 percent.
Asylum Claimants: The number of asylum claimants continued to increase in December, mainly due to the reopening of Roxham Road. Compared to 2018, the number of claimants decreased by 55 percent.
Citizenship: The citizenship program continues to recover with traditional numbers of new citizens on a monthly basis. Compared to 2018, the number of new citizens declined by 38 percent..
Visitor Visas: While on a monthly basis, the number of visitor visas issued continues to approach traditional levels. However, compared 2018, the number of visas has decreased by 82 percent.
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2021Andrew Griffith
Quick overview:
- Advisably or not, IRCC has caught up to 2019 levels and will, as we have shared, likely come close to target of 400,000, with bulk coming from TR transitions
- TRs still below pre-covid levels
- Student applications and admissions higher than pre-covid
- Asylum claimants creeping up given reduced travel restrictions. Irregular arrivals at Roxham Road also up.
- Citizenship ramping up but still significantly below 2019
- Visas have increased given reduced travel restrictions
My regular monthly update. Slide 3 summarizes the changes.
Overall, the trend of increased transitions from temporary to permanent residents continued in February and given recent policy and operational changes (lowering of Express Entry minimum CRS score, recently announced targets for healthcare and other essential workers, international students) this trend will likely continue for the balance of the year.
All of these changes, advisable or not, will help the government achieve (or partially achieve) its 2021 target of 401,000 new immigrants.
Moreover, these changes should also address the imbalance between the higher skilled, who transition at a higher (and increasing rates) and the lower skilled, with lower transition rates).
Interestingly, IMP data now shows a large percentage of “Other IMP Participants.” Typically, this was less than 50 per month but jumped to over 3,000 in February, perhaps due to delayed coding against the individual programs.
In contrast to the relative return to traditional levels of new immigrants, the number of new citizens remains much lower than pre-COVID, from an average of about 21,000 in 2019 to an average of about 6,000 from June 2020 when the program was restarted.
Web statistics show an increase of interest compared to last year for all programs save citizenship.
Regular monthly update of impact of COVID on the suite of immigration programs: Permanent Residents, Temporary Residents, Asylum Seekers, International Students, Settlement Services, Citizenship and Visitor Visas.
The major change is with respect to Permanent Resident Admissions, which have more than doubled from 17,085 in May to 36,625 in June for all three classes. Compared to June 2019, however, only the Economic class increased. (Minister Mendicino just revealed that July admissions are close to 40,000, indicating government was well on its way to meeting this year's questionable target of 401,000 new Permanent Residents).
Close to three-quarters of new Permanent Residents were former Temporary Residents transitioning.
Temporary Residents (International Mobility Program) were up significantly while Temporary Foreign Worker Program was stable.
Study permit applications and permits also increased, both on a year-over-year basis as well as compared to 2019.
While the number of new citizens has increased compared to May, compared to 2019 the numbers are down by over half.
Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - october 2021 draft Andrew Griffith
Key trends from October IRCC operational data:
Number of permanent resident admissions on track to be close to 2021 target of 401,000, largely due to two-step immigration by temporary residents. Transition from temporary residents to permanent residents accounts for about three quarters of all permanent resident admissions.The economic class forms a slightly increasing percentage (from 57% in 2019 to 62% in 2021 YTD).
Interestingly, applications continue to decline in recent months, perhaps reflecting increased recognition that other programs, such as students, offer better pathways to permanent residency.
Temporary Residents - IMP shrunk in October, both with respect to October 2020 and October 2019, Temporary Residents - TFWP while overall numbers remained stable, caregivers dropped significantly in contrast to agriculture and LMIA.
Students: Seasonal decline of study permits as well as applications.
Asylum Claimants: Small increase in the number of asylum claimants, mainly at airports given reduced travel restrictions. Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc) remain small in number.à
Citizenship: Significant increase from 13,525 in September to 19,124 in October, approaching more traditional levels.
Visitor Visas: Remain much lower than normal, about one-third of traditional levels, October 2021 compared to 2019 average.
This Socioeconomic Report provides a rapid assessment of the region’s performance in the Calendar Year 2018 by presenting trends of key indicators, such as production, investments, labor, tourism, prices, and critical incidents. It also presents the development outlook for the year 2019. Results are compared with the data of the previous year, 2017.
This Socioeconomic Report provides a rapid assessment of the region’s performance in the Calendar Year 2018 by presenting trends of key indicators, such as production, investments, labor, tourism, prices, and critical incidents. It also presents the development outlook for the year 2019. Results are compared with the data of the previous year, 2017.
This presentation highlighted provisional figures of the analysis of the market situation in the Sahel and West Africa, including provisional results of cereal, tuber and roots productions by country and a focus on the pastoral situation and the nutritional status. It also includes a series of recommendations. It was presented by Sy Martial Traoré, CILSS/AGRHYMET at the 35th RPCA annual meeting on 9 December 2019 in Paris.
This presentation highlighted provisional figures of the analysis of the market situation in the Sahel and West Africa, including provisional results of cereal, tuber and roots productions by country and a focus on the pastoral situation and the nutritional status. It also includes a series of recommendations. It was presented by Sy Martial Traoré, CILSS/AGRHYMET at the 35th RPCA annual meeting on 9 December 2019 in Paris.
Résultats prévisionnels de la campagne agropastorale 2021-22 au Sahel et en Afrique de l'Ouest et situation des marchés ouest-africains, présentation par SY Martial Traoré.
Covid 19 Immigration Effects - December 2021 Update with 2018 baseline compar...Andrew Griffith
Key trends from December IRCC operational data, which reflect in part a normal seasonal decline:
Overall, comparing 2021 with 2018 data, most immigration programs have largely recovered from the steep impact of COVID travel and other restrictions, with the exceptions of the Provincial Nominee Program, asylum claimants, citizenship and visitor visas.
As trumpeted by the Minister, the number of permanent resident admissions slightly exceeded the 2021 target: 403,540, compared to 401,000. Compared to 2018, admissions have increased by 26 percent.
As seen throughout the year, this is largely due to two-step immigration by temporary residents, largely from the International Mobility Program and the Post-Graduate Work Program. The percentage of the economic class increased to 63 percent, up from 58 percent.
While on a monthly basis, permanent residency applications increased, compared to 2018, applications declined by 43 percent. This likely reflects recognition by potential applicants of large backlogs and two-step immigration.
Temporary Residents - While on a monthly basis, IMP declined in December, compared to 2018, numbers increased by 35 percent.
Temporary Residents - TFWP while December numbers remained stable, compared to 2018, numbers increased by 24 percent, with the greatest increase in LMIA.
Students: Study permit applications increased slightly in December while study permits issued almost tripled. Compared to 2018, applications increased by 64 percent, and permits issued by 27 percent.
Asylum Claimants: The number of asylum claimants continued to increase in December, mainly due to the reopening of Roxham Road. Compared to 2018, the number of claimants decreased by 55 percent.
Citizenship: The citizenship program continues to recover with traditional numbers of new citizens on a monthly basis. Compared to 2018, the number of new citizens declined by 38 percent..
Visitor Visas: While on a monthly basis, the number of visitor visas issued continues to approach traditional levels. However, compared 2018, the number of visas has decreased by 82 percent.
Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - September 2021Andrew Griffith
Quick overview:
- Advisably or not, IRCC has caught up to 2019 levels and will, as we have shared, likely come close to target of 400,000, with bulk coming from TR transitions
- TRs still below pre-covid levels
- Student applications and admissions higher than pre-covid
- Asylum claimants creeping up given reduced travel restrictions. Irregular arrivals at Roxham Road also up.
- Citizenship ramping up but still significantly below 2019
- Visas have increased given reduced travel restrictions
My regular monthly update. Slide 3 summarizes the changes.
Overall, the trend of increased transitions from temporary to permanent residents continued in February and given recent policy and operational changes (lowering of Express Entry minimum CRS score, recently announced targets for healthcare and other essential workers, international students) this trend will likely continue for the balance of the year.
All of these changes, advisable or not, will help the government achieve (or partially achieve) its 2021 target of 401,000 new immigrants.
Moreover, these changes should also address the imbalance between the higher skilled, who transition at a higher (and increasing rates) and the lower skilled, with lower transition rates).
Interestingly, IMP data now shows a large percentage of “Other IMP Participants.” Typically, this was less than 50 per month but jumped to over 3,000 in February, perhaps due to delayed coding against the individual programs.
In contrast to the relative return to traditional levels of new immigrants, the number of new citizens remains much lower than pre-COVID, from an average of about 21,000 in 2019 to an average of about 6,000 from June 2020 when the program was restarted.
Web statistics show an increase of interest compared to last year for all programs save citizenship.
Regular monthly update of impact of COVID on the suite of immigration programs: Permanent Residents, Temporary Residents, Asylum Seekers, International Students, Settlement Services, Citizenship and Visitor Visas.
The major change is with respect to Permanent Resident Admissions, which have more than doubled from 17,085 in May to 36,625 in June for all three classes. Compared to June 2019, however, only the Economic class increased. (Minister Mendicino just revealed that July admissions are close to 40,000, indicating government was well on its way to meeting this year's questionable target of 401,000 new Permanent Residents).
Close to three-quarters of new Permanent Residents were former Temporary Residents transitioning.
Temporary Residents (International Mobility Program) were up significantly while Temporary Foreign Worker Program was stable.
Study permit applications and permits also increased, both on a year-over-year basis as well as compared to 2019.
While the number of new citizens has increased compared to May, compared to 2019 the numbers are down by over half.
Covid 19 immigration effects - key slides - october 2021 draft Andrew Griffith
Key trends from October IRCC operational data:
Number of permanent resident admissions on track to be close to 2021 target of 401,000, largely due to two-step immigration by temporary residents. Transition from temporary residents to permanent residents accounts for about three quarters of all permanent resident admissions.The economic class forms a slightly increasing percentage (from 57% in 2019 to 62% in 2021 YTD).
Interestingly, applications continue to decline in recent months, perhaps reflecting increased recognition that other programs, such as students, offer better pathways to permanent residency.
Temporary Residents - IMP shrunk in October, both with respect to October 2020 and October 2019, Temporary Residents - TFWP while overall numbers remained stable, caregivers dropped significantly in contrast to agriculture and LMIA.
Students: Seasonal decline of study permits as well as applications.
Asylum Claimants: Small increase in the number of asylum claimants, mainly at airports given reduced travel restrictions. Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc) remain small in number.à
Citizenship: Significant increase from 13,525 in September to 19,124 in October, approaching more traditional levels.
Visitor Visas: Remain much lower than normal, about one-third of traditional levels, October 2021 compared to 2019 average.
This Socioeconomic Report provides a rapid assessment of the region’s performance in the Calendar Year 2018 by presenting trends of key indicators, such as production, investments, labor, tourism, prices, and critical incidents. It also presents the development outlook for the year 2019. Results are compared with the data of the previous year, 2017.
This Socioeconomic Report provides a rapid assessment of the region’s performance in the Calendar Year 2018 by presenting trends of key indicators, such as production, investments, labor, tourism, prices, and critical incidents. It also presents the development outlook for the year 2019. Results are compared with the data of the previous year, 2017.
This presentation highlighted provisional figures of the analysis of the market situation in the Sahel and West Africa, including provisional results of cereal, tuber and roots productions by country and a focus on the pastoral situation and the nutritional status. It also includes a series of recommendations. It was presented by Sy Martial Traoré, CILSS/AGRHYMET at the 35th RPCA annual meeting on 9 December 2019 in Paris.
This presentation highlighted provisional figures of the analysis of the market situation in the Sahel and West Africa, including provisional results of cereal, tuber and roots productions by country and a focus on the pastoral situation and the nutritional status. It also includes a series of recommendations. It was presented by Sy Martial Traoré, CILSS/AGRHYMET at the 35th RPCA annual meeting on 9 December 2019 in Paris.
Résultats prévisionnels de la campagne agropastorale 2021-22 au Sahel et en Afrique de l'Ouest et situation des marchés ouest-africains, présentation par SY Martial Traoré.
This presentation highlights key findings from the most recent Cadre harmonisé analysis of the food and nutrition situation in the Sahel and West Africa. It was presented by Issoufou Baoua, CILSS/AGRHYMET at the 35th RPCA annual meeting on 9 December 2019, in Paris.
This presentation highlights key findings from the most recent Cadre harmonisé analysis on the food and nutrition situation in the Sahel and West Africa. Some 4.9 people are currently in immediate need for assistance (October-December 2019). Key findings were presented by Issouffou Baoua, CILSS/AGRHYMET at the 35th RPCA annual meeting on 9 December 2019 in Paris.
Pork Export Outlook - Dr. Dermot Hayes, Iowa State University, from the 2020 Minnesota Pork Congress, held January 28 - 29, 2020, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
More presentations at https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL_5bHW6MgRAxDHcrbY42-xvfSZdMGNdQD
ZGB - The Role of Generative AI in Government transformation.pdfSaeed Al Dhaheri
This keynote was presented during the the 7th edition of the UAE Hackathon 2024. It highlights the role of AI and Generative AI in addressing government transformation to achieve zero government bureaucracy
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
Donate to charity during this holiday seasonSERUDS INDIA
For people who have money and are philanthropic, there are infinite opportunities to gift a needy person or child a Merry Christmas. Even if you are living on a shoestring budget, you will be surprised at how much you can do.
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-to-donate-to-charity-during-this-holiday-season/
#charityforchildren, #donateforchildren, #donateclothesforchildren, #donatebooksforchildren, #donatetoysforchildren, #sponsorforchildren, #sponsorclothesforchildren, #sponsorbooksforchildren, #sponsortoysforchildren, #seruds, #kurnool
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
This session provides a comprehensive overview of the latest updates to the Uniform Administrative Requirements, Cost Principles, and Audit Requirements for Federal Awards (commonly known as the Uniform Guidance) outlined in the 2 CFR 200.
With a focus on the 2024 revisions issued by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), participants will gain insight into the key changes affecting federal grant recipients. The session will delve into critical regulatory updates, providing attendees with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate and comply with the evolving landscape of federal grant management.
Learning Objectives:
- Understand the rationale behind the 2024 updates to the Uniform Guidance outlined in 2 CFR 200, and their implications for federal grant recipients.
- Identify the key changes and revisions introduced by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the 2024 edition of 2 CFR 200.
- Gain proficiency in applying the updated regulations to ensure compliance with federal grant requirements and avoid potential audit findings.
- Develop strategies for effectively implementing the new guidelines within the grant management processes of their respective organizations, fostering efficiency and accountability in federal grant administration.
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Monitoring Health for the SDGs - Global Health Statistics 2024 - WHOChristina Parmionova
The 2024 World Health Statistics edition reviews more than 50 health-related indicators from the Sustainable Development Goals and WHO’s Thirteenth General Programme of Work. It also highlights the findings from the Global health estimates 2021, notably the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on life expectancy and healthy life expectancy.
2018-19 agro-pastoral campaign and the regional market situation
1. BRUSSELS, April 2019
RESTRICTED MEETING
2018/2019 season final
figures and the regional
market situation
by Sy Martial, TRAORE, CILSS
2. Plan
• Background
• 2018/2019 final cereal production figures
• Final cereal food balance for 2018/2019
• 2018/2019 roots and tubers final production figures
• 2018/2019 leguminous final production figures
• Pastoral situation
• Regional nutrition situation
• Regional markets situation
• Recommendations
3. Background
• The final production figures for all the countries and all the main
crops have been presented and validated during the regional
PREGEC meeting in Cotonou 27 to 29 Mach 2019 (Bissau Guinea and
Cabo Verde);
• Summary of fish production of 8 countries
• National staffs from from all 17 countries have taken part of the
regional PREGEC meeting;
• Forage balance sheet improvement : Burkina, Mauritania, Niger,
Chad, Senegal
• Weaknesses : Cereal balance and Food balance sheets; Animal and
fish productions
4. 2018/2019 Final cereal production figures
73.2 million mT, increased by 7% vs last year and 18% vs average 5years
49
58
46
56
47
56 55
61
64
67 69
73
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Prodx1,000,000mT
Regional cereal production trend 2007-2018 (millionT)
21%
21%
11%
18%
Nov. : 74M
5. 2018/2019 Provisional cereal production
figures
Situation per cereal
Items
Production
Million mT
Var.
2017/2018 (%)
Var. Average
5yrs (%)
Maize 25 397 158 4,95 22,07
Rice 20 817 297 4,44 14,97
Sorghum 15 259 904 10,36 15,11
Millet 11 014 950 9,83 18,01
Fonio/Acha 664 271 - 0,29 4,15
Wheat-Barley 87 525 5,31 - 28,55
Others 1 500
Total 73 242 605 6,67 17,65
6. 2018/2019 final cereal production
figures
Countries 2018/2019
Production Var17/18 Var 5 yrs Avg
Burkina Faso 5 180 702 27,5 16,9
Cap Vert 3 893 - -7,7
Gambie 92 959 -24,3 -49,6
Guinée Bissau 224 164 6,7 4,9
Mali 10 159 540 9,3 30,5
Mauritanie 408 205 12,7 20,8
Niger 608 5537 4,0 15,9
Sénégal 2 889 022 14,7 55,0
Tchad 3 021 972 11,2 12,6
SAHEL 28 065 994 11,6 23,3
Production per Countries and zones
7. 2018/2019 final Cereal production
figures
Countries 2018/2019
Production Var17/18 VarMoy5A
Bénin 2 087 750 1,3 17,0
Côte d'Ivoire 3 214 091 -2,3 3,5
Guinée 3 942 133 4,4 11,6
Ghana 3 174 472 0,8 11,8
Liberia 257 995 4,2 -6,3
Nigeria 29 886 715 6,0 17,4
Sierra Leone 1 274 348 -15,7 3,3
Togo 1 339 107 2,9 5,8
Pays Côtiers 45 176 611 3,8 14,4
Production per countries and zones
8. 2018/2019 final Cereal production figures
Production per countries and zones
ZONES Production Var17/18
VarMoy5
A
UEMOA 31 179 913 9,0 21,3
ECOWAS 69 812 428 6,3 17,8
CILSS 38 649 075 8,4 19,1
Estern Basin 41 081 974 5,8 16,8
Central Basin 23 067 912 9,3 18,8
Western Basin 9 092 719 3,9 18,9
9. 2018/2019 Provisional cereal production
figures
Cereal production per head
Countries
2018/2019
(kg/head/year)
Var 2017/2018 (%) Var 5 ys Average (%)
Burkina Faso 257 10% 2%
Cap Vert 7 -33% -27%
Gambie 43 -53% -61%
Guinée Bissau 113 -5% -8%
Mali 509 11% 41%
Mauritanie 100 41% -49%
Niger 274 0% 29%
Sénégal 184 24% 52%
Tchad 199 1% 0%
SAHEL 275 7% 12%
10. 2018/2019 Provisional cereal production
figures
Cereal production per head
Countries
2018/2019
Kg/capita
Var 2017/2018
(%)
Var Average 2012/2017
(%)
Bénin 204 26% 30%
Côte d'Ivoire 134 7% 7%
Guinée 323 -4% 7%
Ghana 123 18% 18%
Liberia 59 -8% -49%
Nigeria 151 0% 37%
Sierra Léone 160 20% -10%
Togo 173 -2% -7%
Pays Côtiers 155 3% 9%
Ensemble Zone 185 4% 5%
13. Roots and Tubers production final figure (2018/2019)
Crops
Production
Million mT
Var. 2017/2018
(%)
Var. Average 5yrs (%)
Cassava 96 899 780 4,99 17,15
Yam 72 563 080 1,38 18,57
Sweet potato 4 809 964 - 1,98 5,76
Irish potato 1 593 993 - 5,76 10,18
Coco yam 9 784 555 5,60 98,98
Total 185 640 949 3,30 19,91
185 640 949 05 T soit 3% VS 2017/2018 et 20% vs Moy5ans
14. Leguminous and oil seeds final production figure
(2018/2019)
Crops
Production
Million mT
Var. 2017/2018 (%) Var. Average 5yrs (%)
Ground nut 10 089 788 5 29
Cowpea 8 248 260 13 23
Sesame 3 869 163 4 87
Cotton 2 391 074 -9 0
Soya bean 1 460 370 4 22
Bambara nut 200 113 8 47
Others 148 741 74 161
Total 26 407 509 6 30
15. Other productions
Countries Nature 2018 20172013-2017
Benin Total 60 296 65 138 52920
Gambia Total 5 4434 51 662 52562
Ghana Total 444 488 412 618
Guinée Total 37 1891 285 221
Liberia Total 18 436 17 558 15198
Mali Total 103 140 106 220
Sénégal Total 411 627 407 667 400712
Togo Total 27 000 24 910 25163
1 491 312 1 370 994
Variations 9% 5%
Countries 2018/2019 2017/2018 2013/2017
Côte d'Ivoire 1 955 670 1 882 262 1 787 332
Ghana 4 278 834 4 278 834 3 904 700
Total 6 234 504 6 161 096 5 692 032
Variations 1,2% 10%
Fish production (8 pays)
Plantain
16. Pastoral situation
Pastoral condition:
Production :Good compared to last year
80% of pasture zones productivity are good in Sahelian zone
High mortality of livestock last year
Zoo sanitation : Foot and mouth disease and others diseases (Donkey Gourme)
Livestock prices are variables from markets, species, and zones(but increasing)
Accessibility of pasture zone are very difficult : Liptako Gourma, Niger and Mali border;
Lac Chad zones
Bilans pastoraux : Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso, Sénégal
17. Nutritional situation
The nutritional situation in the region remains worrying despite
efforts of countries and their partners to reduce the high prevalence of
global acute malnutrition.
Latest surveys carried out in some countries reveal prevalence's
exceeding the emergency (>15%) and alert (>10%) thresholds in several
areas, most of which are located in Chad, North-East Nigeria,
Niger, Mauritania, Burkina Faso, Gambia, Mali and Senegal.
However, the prevalence of GAM is stabilizing or even improving
in some areas in particular, but is observed in these countries.
The comprehensive response in 2018, which mobilized
contributions from different sectors, combining treatment, prevention
and social measures for populations, clearly indicates that this
multisectoral approach is critical and should be mainstreamed
18. Regional markets situations
Context
Good cereal production compare to last
year and average;
Persistence of inflation in many
countries in the region (SL, LI, NG,
GH, GN, GB);
Reinforcing of cross-border flow but
persistence of road harassment;
Persistence of civil insecurity in several
parts of the regional:
• In the Lake Chad area
• In the north of Mali
• In the Liptako Gourma area
• Niger and Mali borders
Market supply
Overall level of cereal supplies is
improving because of good
harvest and imported
products available in the
market;
Market stock levels are good
compare to last year;
Market demand
The demand is decreasing
compare to the last year situation.
19. Regional markets situations
-1-.50.51
Maize Millet Sorghum Local rice Imported rice
Cereal price
-1:3% -1: 4% -7: -2% 3:7% 2-5%
Overall increase in cereal prices (-0.9 – 1.8%), all the crop are concerned
Commodities Maize Millet Sorghum Local Rice Imported Rice
Var. Aou18 2-7% 11-19% 16-21% 10-18% 11-14%
Oct 18 1-5% 3-8% 6-11% 3-6% 2-6%
20. Regional markets situations
Countries Var vs 5ys
Cap Vert -6,3%
Gambie 3,4%
Guinee 4,7%
Guinee-
Bissau -9,3%
Mauritanie 20,7%
Liberia 21,5%
Senegal 5,2%
Sierra Leone 22,4%
Western
bassin -9% to 22%
Burkina -2,7%
Côte d'ivoire 0,7%
Ghana 12,0%
Mali 0,3%
Togo 7,4%
Central
basin -3 % to 10%
Benin -6,5%
Niger -6,5%
Nigeria -0,7%
Tchad -15,3%
Eastern
bassin -1% to -15%
Region 0,5%
Composite prices of cereals
Average per country
Cereals prices changes vs 5 years averages
23. Regional markets situations
Term of Trade
Term of Trade : Over
all is favorable accros
the region
Palm oil/Cereal
Livestock/Cereal
Cash Crops/Cereal
Industrial Crops/Cereal
24. Recommendations
To Countries:
• Engage with partners, the process of building response plans for
vulnerable populations;
• Undertake sustainable actions against malnutrition to
significantly reduce high prevalence of GAM;
• Strengthen and maintain information watch on the markets
and areas at risk of forage deficit;
• Operationalize national management taskforces for the
control of the armyworm and ensure their regular operation;
• Continue efforts for water mobilization, promote
context-specific irrigation systems and large hydro-agricultural
schemes to improve the level of agricultural production.
25. Recommendations
To CILSS and partners:
Support countries in the effective and sustainable management
of the armyworm;
Mobilize more resources to support countries in their efforts
to effectively and sustainably manage armyworm in the region;
Contribute to the financing of humanitarian assistance
programs for populations requiring immediate assistance
Strengthen national MIS for monitoring and price analysis
systems, strengthen monitoring of cross-border flows;
Update the consumption standard for each country of the
regional
Train national staffs on cereal and food balance sheet
preparation in collaboration with FAO;
26. Tendance des prix internationaux et perspectives
(Résumé PREGEC, Cotonou, by M. NAINDOUBA)
L'Indice FAO des prix des produits
alimentaires en Février 2019 est en
hausse de 1,7% par rapport au mois de
Janvier 2019, son plus haut niveau depuis
août 2018
Toute fois , il est en baisse de 2,3% par rapport à la
même période ( Février) de l’année dernière
L’Indice FAO des prix des céréales est en légère
hausse en Février(0,17%), par rapport à Janvier
2019
Mais en hausse de 4,7 % de son niveau à la même
période de l’année dernière
27. Tendance des prix internationaux et perspectives
Production mondiale de céréales devrait s’établir
à 2,609 milliards T soit - 2,8 millions de
tonnes de moins par rapport aux prévisions de
février
Utilisation mondiale de céréales
(baisse) : 2,652 milliards T, soit
+43M tonnes de plus que les prévisions
de production
Stocks mondiaux de céréales pour
les campagnes qui se terminent en 2019
ont été revues à la baisse par rapport à
celles de février et s’établissent
désormais à 766,5 millions de tonnes
Perspectives :
Bien que la tendance globale des prix de
denrées alimentaires soit en hausse, les
prix du blé du riz sont stables voire a la
baisse.
L’approvisionnement de marchés
internationaux demeure acceptable ,
l’offre et la demande restent stables