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Paris, 9December 2019
35th ANNUAL MEETING
Food and Nutrition situation
in the Sahel and West Africa
by Baoua Issoufou, CILSS/AGRHYMET
Plan
1. How the analysis process is done?
2. Overview on existing data
3. Outcomes on the zones classification
4. Population estimation per phase
5. recommendations
Process
 Gulf of Guinea countries, October, 2019,
 Nigeria and Sahel countries: October-November,
2019
 Sahel countries: November, 2019
 Regional consolidation: 18-23 November 2019
 Total of 993 stakeholders, 50 days : participants
to the process : 76% male and 24% female
Process
 National analysis were conducted by
national EWS jointly with their partners
with the facilitation of CILSS and its
partners (WFP, FAO, UNICEF, FEWS NET,
OXFAM, AAH, Save the Children,
GSU/IPC, IFRC.
 Quality review and consolidation by the
CH Regional Technical Committee in
Niamey, Niger.
Process
EXISTING DATA REQUIRED BY THE CH
Pays
Food Consumption LC Nutrition Statut Mortality
FCS rCSI HDDS HHS HEA Proxy‐i LCS GAM MUAC BMI CDR U5MR
Chad
Mali
Burkina Faso
Niger
Senegal
Nigeria
Mauritania
Sierra Leone
Cote d’Ivoire
The Gambia
Guinea Bisau
Benin
Cabo Verde
Togo
Benin
Guinea
Available in all the countries
Hazard and vulnerability: insecurity, drought, Flood,
animal disasters,…
Food availability: Agricultural and pastoral campaign
reports, FSA data,
Access to Food: FSA data, market monitoring data,
Utilization including access to potable water: FSA;
SMART, nutrition screening data, access to water reports…
Stability: FSA data, livelihood calendar, trend on
production…
EXISTING DATA REQUIRED BY THE CH
IDENTIFICATION OF AREA AT FOOD AND
NUTRITION INSECURITY FOR THE
CURRENT & PROJECTED
SITUATION
ZONES COVERED IN THE 16 COUNTRIES IN SWA
938 zones
Non/Minial
Under‐Presure
Crisis
Emergency
Famine
Not analyzed
October‐December 2019 June‐August 2020
October – December 2019
Non analysée Minimale Sous pression Crise Urgence Famine Lac Tchad
Area under crisis Food 
and Nutrition Insecurity 
situation during the 
current period:
1. Borno and Yobe in 
Nigeria
2. North Mali
3. North Tillaberi, 
Tahoua, Zinder and 
Diffa in Niger
4. North Burkina Fao
5. Guinea Bissau
Area under crisis Food 
Insecurity situation during 
the projected period:
1. North‐east States 
Adamawa, Borno, 
Yobe in Nigeria
2. Sahel area in Chad
3. Diffa, Zinder, Tahoua
and Tillaberi in Niger
4. Nord and Centre in 
Burkina Faso
5. South‐east Mauritania
6. North and Centre of 
Mali
7. North and South in 
Senegal
Non analysée Minimale Sous pression Crise Urgence Famine Lac Tchad
June – August 2020
ESTIMATION OF POPULATIONS PER
PHASE IN CURRENT AND PROJECTED
Estimation of Population per CH Phase
in the 16 countries
June ‐ August 2020
October ‐ December 2019
14,4 M
9,4 M
Population estimation per Phase of severity
Pays
 Population 
totale en Phase 
3 à 5 
RCI 3 972                   
Togo 5 946                   
Cabo Verde 10 012                 
Bénin 13 689                 
Ghana 21 712                 
G Bissau 78 968                 
Guinée 142 504              
Gambie 330 140              
S Leone 534 232              
Mauritanie 609 180              
Sénégal 723 838              
Tchad 1 112 112           
Mali 1 117 001           
Burkina 1 786 629           
Niger 1 932 539           
Nigeria 5 947 954           
Total région 14 370 427                 
Pays
 Population 
totale en Phase 
3 à 5 
Togo 3 180                  
RCI 7 944                  
Cabo Verde 9 871                  
Bénin 24 936               
Ghana 65 645               
Guinée 72 416               
G Bissau 131 170             
Gambie 187 564             
Mauritanie 299 228             
S Leone 347 934             
Sénégal 359 646             
Tchad 564 175             
Mali 648 330             
Burkina 1 219 079          
Niger 1 444 905          
Nigeria 4 022 461          
Total région 9 408 483          
October‐December 2019 June‐August 2020
IDPs and Refugees Camps situation
75 IDPs camps in 9 LGA, in 
Borno State of Nigeria
5 refugees camps in Tahoua
and Tillaberi region of Niger
• Severe food consumption 
deficit in quantity and quality
• No/limited coping strategies 
opportunity in the Camps
POPULATION ESTIMATION IN PHASE 3 TO 5 IN THE
IOG IN MILLIONS OF PEOPLE
5.0   
8.5   
3.8    4.2   
7.9   
12.6   
5.7   
6.6   
 ‐
 2.0
 4.0
 6.0
 8.0
 10.0
 12.0
 14.0
 CILSS  ‐  CEDEAO  ‐  UEMOA  ‐  G5‐Sahel
October‐December 2019  June‐August 2020 
7.9   
3.0   
4.7   
7.4   
8.1   
6.7   
9.5   
10.4   
9.6   
13.8   
9.6   
7.1   
10.7   
4.5   
11.1   
9.4   
14.4  
 ‐
 2.0
 4.0
 6.0
 8.0
 10.0
 12.0
 14.0
 16.0
Jun‐14 Dec‐14 Jun‐15 Dec‐15 Jun‐16 Dec‐16 Jun‐17 Dec‐17 Jun‐18 Dec‐18 Jun‐19 Dec‐19 Jun‐20
POPULATION TREND UNDER PHASE 3 TO 5 FROM 2014 TO JUNE
2020 IN THE 17 COUNTRIES IN THE SAHEL AND WEST AFRICA
COMPARISON OF LEAN SAISON MEAN 2015-2019 OF POPULATION
VARIATION FIGURE UNDER PHASE 3 TO 5 IN THE SAHEL AND WEST
AFRICA
Nearby monitoring of the Food and Nutrition 
situation is needed through data updates by 
February‐March 2020
Northern-east States of Nigeria
Adamawa
0,6 M
Yobe
1 M
Borno
1,1 M
Adamawa
0,9 M
Yobe
1,1 M
Borno
1,6 M
Oct-Dec 2019 June-August 2020
Liptako Gourma Authority Zone
October‐December 2019 June ‐ August 2020
Country
Total 
Population Ph1 Ph2
Total Ph
3 to 5 Ph1 Ph2
Total Ph
3 to 5
Burkina Faso 6 651 880 5 043 870 1 325 078 282 933 4 718 350 1 448 388 485 142
Mali 4 439 000 3 383 226 775 571 280 203 2 892 908 1 114 214 431 878
Niger 11 325 518 8 669 275 2 193 529 462 714 8 243 208 2 424 566 657 743
Total LGA 22 416 398 17 096 371 4 294 177 1 025 8500 15 854 466 4 987 168 1 574 763
1 M 1,6 M
4,3M 5 M
FNI in Cameroun
1,4 M 1,1 M
4 M
40 zones analyzed
 Insecurity issue : in the Lac Chad basin (Niger‐Nigeria‐Chad), the Liptako
Gourma Authority zone (West‐Niger, North Burkina Faso, Northern and 
Centre of Mali), Social conflict on natural resources, Kidnaping in Nigeria ;
 Population displacement because of the insecurity situation
 Hazard : animal disasters : Niger, Mali, Senegal, Mauritania, Chad, Burkina 
Faso, and Guinea Bissau
 Unregular Market functioning in the zones affected by the conflict;
 Nigeria boarder closing impact in south Niger and Benin
 Bad nutritional practices, persistence of U5 children disasters, gap of 
health assistance, gap of food consumption (quantity and quality)
 Money Inflation in Sierra Leone and Guinea
FNI drivers and limiting factors
FNI drivers and limiting factors
Biomass deficit : Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Senegal, Chad
Recommendations
 Use the results of CH analysis for planning and formulation of appropriate 
response plan for Food and Nutrition insecure populations
 Continue to strengthen the security operatives in troubled areas with a view to 
making the vulnerable populations in such areas more accessible for 
humanitarian assistance.
 Targeted Emergency humanitarian interventions especially in the  Lake Chad 
Basin (North East States of Nigeria, Diffa in Niger and Lac in Chad) and the 
Liptako Gourma Authority Zone and some of the North ‐western states (Burkina 
Faso‐Mali‐Niger)
 Promote recovery and resilience interventions to improve self‐reliance as well 
as prevent further deterioration of the food and nutrition security situation 
during the lean in all the countries
Recommendations
Strengthen emergency response in IDP and refugee 
camps in Niger and Nigeria as well as for IDP in the host 
communities (Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, Nigeria and 
Chad).
Assess the quality of humanitarian assistance in IDP 
camps in Nigeria's Borno State and refugee camps in 
Niger
Set up a data collection system for conflict zones and 
inaccessible area to facilitate the FNI analysis
IDPs and refugees
Recommendations
Accelerating the pre‐positioning of feed stocks 
in biomass‐deficit areas in Senegal, 
Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger and 
Chad
Accelerate the transhumance political 
effective coordination with the coastal 
countries in order to follow‐up response on 
potential conflict on natural resources
Many thanks for your attention!

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