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Climate change is
risky business:
learn more about tools,
rules and FAQ’s
Kathryn Hubbard
Changing climate –
“the new normal?”
The climate is changing, regardless
of the cause.
Increase in earth’s temperature is
causing changes to weather patterns.
Changing
precipitation
patterns
and
frequencies
Rising
sea
levels
Increasing
storm
intensity
High
heat
days
Potential
impacts
Rising sea levels
Causing coastal
inundation, infrastructure
damage, erosion, storm
surge flooding, rising water
table, and saltwater
intrusion
Potential
impacts
Increased water
temperature
Causing larger, more
intense storm events,
harmful algal blooms,
shifts in species range,
and change in timing
of ecological events
Potential
impacts
Changing rainfall
and snow patterns
Causing prolonged
drought, wildfires,
and tsunamis
Potential
impacts
Changes to
biological systems
Causing invasive
species and changing
biodiversity
How does this impact you?
• Coastal infrastructure damage
• Increased flash flood risk
• Risks of danger to human health and
property damage
8
How does this impact you?
• Increased energy and
water demands and
associated costs
• Water shortages
• Interruptions to
operations and loss of
productivity
9
U.S. DOE19
Strategies to protect
our communities from
climate disruptions
Assessing vulnerability and
adapting to climate change
A vulnerability assessment
is the process of identifying,
quantifying, and prioritizing
the vulnerabilities in a system.
Vulnerability assessment
What is at risk and why?
• Age of assets
• Geographic location
• Elevation
• Current/historical
performance and condition
• Water supply and usage
(forecasted demand)
• Water/power reliability
• Repair/maintenance
schedule and costs
• Structural design
• Materials used
• Design lifetime and stage
of life
• Floodplains and surface flooding
• At-risk road crossings
• Stormwater BMPs
• Emergency response capacity
• Wells and septic systems
• Hazardous materials storage
Coastal vulnerabilities
Rising sea levels
• Erode beaches
• Drown marshes and wetlands
• Damage barrier islands,
habitat, and ecological
processes
• Saline intrusion into freshwater ecosystems
and groundwater
• Flooding or inundation of low-lying areas, and damage to
private and public property and infrastructure
13
Oregon Shore Zone imagery
Record-breaking rain drenches
San Diego
By Gary Robbins and Edward Sifuentes | 7:14 a.m. July 18, 2015 | San Diego Union Tribune
14
Drought-stricken San Diego
received record rainfall on Saturday
from Tropical Storm Dolores,
whose unexpectedly tough punch
also caused power outages, street
flooding, a brush fire, downed trees
and dozens of accidents on local
freeways.
By 5 p.m. Saturday, San Diego's Lindbergh Field had recorded 1.03 inches of
rain, which is more precipitation than the city had received during the entire
month of July dating back to 1902. San Diego averages only 0.02 inch of
precipitation in July.
Approaches to addressing
impending changes
Assessing vulnerability and
adapting to climate change
Adaptation planning is
the idea that changes are occurring
or will occur, and we can increase
resilience to the effects and mitigate
harmful impacts for the future.
Adaptation strategy:
Steps to prepare for climate variability
• Education and behavioral change
• Adjusting maintenance practices
– e.g., cleaning drains more frequently
• Engineering new assets to withstand anticipated
environmental conditions
– e.g., better suited construction materials for
hotter days
• Revise planning tools to represent greater climate
extremes
– e.g. flood maps, specifications
• Retrofitting existing assets
– e.g., adding barriers to prevent water incursion
into tunnels
• Systems planning
– e.g., siting new facilities outside of expanded
flood plains
• Improved operations plans for weather
emergencies
• Engage stakeholders and effectively communicate
about climate change vulnerability
Adaptation strategy:
Steps to prepare for climate variability
Adaptation strategy:
Steps to prepare for climate variability
Tools, guides and checklists
to direct and streamline
preparedness strategies
Vulnerability assessment
and adaptation planning
tools and guides
Ecosystem-Based Management
Tools Network
A climate change/vulnerability assessment and adaptation tool portal.
Matrices and the tools to help communities focus on how to get started in
planning for climate change
U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit
A toolkit complete with case studies, tools, and frameworks to explore and
better understand and address climate issues
20
Vulnerability assessment and adaptation
planning types of tools
• Process Tools: allow development of a planning process to
incorporate climate vulnerabilities
• Portals: give access to other tools and/or data that may be
important in climate work
• Analytical Tools: allow investigation of current conditions and
determine the effects of potential future conditions
• Visualization Tools: allow users to build unique tools and
simulations that enable stakeholder engagement through the use
of pictures or web-based tools
• Natural Resource Tools: can be used to assess the vulnerability of
ecosystems or specific species to climate change
NOAA Office for Coastal Management
Sea Level Rise Viewer
Mapping tool to visualize community-level impacts from coastal
flooding or sea level rise (up to 6 feet above average high tides)
Current Condition With 6 feet of Sea Level Rise
Risk Finder sea level tool
23
Climate Central's Surging Seas Risk Finder
Designed to provide citizens, communities and policy makers
in the U.S. with tailored local information to understand and
respond to the risks of rising sea levels and coastal flooding in
their own neighborhoods.
NOAA Sea Level Rise
24
Used by Coastal Managers to evaluate several aspects of sea-level rise
impacts to the natural environment and examines the impact to human
land development along the coast.
Port Resilience Atlas
Used by individuals involved in infrastructure planning for ports
and surrounding communities.
Game of Floods: Community outreach
Questions?
CONTACT
Kathryn Hubbard
Technical Expert
CPSWQ, QSD, QISP
Haley & Aldrich
714.371.1836
khubbard@haleyaldrich.com

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Climate change is risky business: Learn more about tools, rules, and FAQ's

  • 1. Climate change is risky business: learn more about tools, rules and FAQ’s Kathryn Hubbard
  • 2. Changing climate – “the new normal?” The climate is changing, regardless of the cause. Increase in earth’s temperature is causing changes to weather patterns.
  • 4. Potential impacts Rising sea levels Causing coastal inundation, infrastructure damage, erosion, storm surge flooding, rising water table, and saltwater intrusion
  • 5. Potential impacts Increased water temperature Causing larger, more intense storm events, harmful algal blooms, shifts in species range, and change in timing of ecological events
  • 6. Potential impacts Changing rainfall and snow patterns Causing prolonged drought, wildfires, and tsunamis
  • 7. Potential impacts Changes to biological systems Causing invasive species and changing biodiversity
  • 8. How does this impact you? • Coastal infrastructure damage • Increased flash flood risk • Risks of danger to human health and property damage 8
  • 9. How does this impact you? • Increased energy and water demands and associated costs • Water shortages • Interruptions to operations and loss of productivity 9 U.S. DOE19
  • 10. Strategies to protect our communities from climate disruptions
  • 11. Assessing vulnerability and adapting to climate change A vulnerability assessment is the process of identifying, quantifying, and prioritizing the vulnerabilities in a system.
  • 12. Vulnerability assessment What is at risk and why? • Age of assets • Geographic location • Elevation • Current/historical performance and condition • Water supply and usage (forecasted demand) • Water/power reliability • Repair/maintenance schedule and costs • Structural design • Materials used • Design lifetime and stage of life • Floodplains and surface flooding • At-risk road crossings • Stormwater BMPs • Emergency response capacity • Wells and septic systems • Hazardous materials storage
  • 13. Coastal vulnerabilities Rising sea levels • Erode beaches • Drown marshes and wetlands • Damage barrier islands, habitat, and ecological processes • Saline intrusion into freshwater ecosystems and groundwater • Flooding or inundation of low-lying areas, and damage to private and public property and infrastructure 13 Oregon Shore Zone imagery
  • 14. Record-breaking rain drenches San Diego By Gary Robbins and Edward Sifuentes | 7:14 a.m. July 18, 2015 | San Diego Union Tribune 14 Drought-stricken San Diego received record rainfall on Saturday from Tropical Storm Dolores, whose unexpectedly tough punch also caused power outages, street flooding, a brush fire, downed trees and dozens of accidents on local freeways. By 5 p.m. Saturday, San Diego's Lindbergh Field had recorded 1.03 inches of rain, which is more precipitation than the city had received during the entire month of July dating back to 1902. San Diego averages only 0.02 inch of precipitation in July.
  • 16. Assessing vulnerability and adapting to climate change Adaptation planning is the idea that changes are occurring or will occur, and we can increase resilience to the effects and mitigate harmful impacts for the future.
  • 17. Adaptation strategy: Steps to prepare for climate variability • Education and behavioral change • Adjusting maintenance practices – e.g., cleaning drains more frequently • Engineering new assets to withstand anticipated environmental conditions – e.g., better suited construction materials for hotter days • Revise planning tools to represent greater climate extremes – e.g. flood maps, specifications
  • 18. • Retrofitting existing assets – e.g., adding barriers to prevent water incursion into tunnels • Systems planning – e.g., siting new facilities outside of expanded flood plains • Improved operations plans for weather emergencies • Engage stakeholders and effectively communicate about climate change vulnerability Adaptation strategy: Steps to prepare for climate variability Adaptation strategy: Steps to prepare for climate variability
  • 19. Tools, guides and checklists to direct and streamline preparedness strategies
  • 20. Vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning tools and guides Ecosystem-Based Management Tools Network A climate change/vulnerability assessment and adaptation tool portal. Matrices and the tools to help communities focus on how to get started in planning for climate change U.S. Climate Resilience Toolkit A toolkit complete with case studies, tools, and frameworks to explore and better understand and address climate issues 20
  • 21. Vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning types of tools • Process Tools: allow development of a planning process to incorporate climate vulnerabilities • Portals: give access to other tools and/or data that may be important in climate work • Analytical Tools: allow investigation of current conditions and determine the effects of potential future conditions • Visualization Tools: allow users to build unique tools and simulations that enable stakeholder engagement through the use of pictures or web-based tools • Natural Resource Tools: can be used to assess the vulnerability of ecosystems or specific species to climate change
  • 22. NOAA Office for Coastal Management Sea Level Rise Viewer Mapping tool to visualize community-level impacts from coastal flooding or sea level rise (up to 6 feet above average high tides) Current Condition With 6 feet of Sea Level Rise
  • 23. Risk Finder sea level tool 23 Climate Central's Surging Seas Risk Finder Designed to provide citizens, communities and policy makers in the U.S. with tailored local information to understand and respond to the risks of rising sea levels and coastal flooding in their own neighborhoods.
  • 24. NOAA Sea Level Rise 24 Used by Coastal Managers to evaluate several aspects of sea-level rise impacts to the natural environment and examines the impact to human land development along the coast.
  • 25. Port Resilience Atlas Used by individuals involved in infrastructure planning for ports and surrounding communities.
  • 26. Game of Floods: Community outreach
  • 27. Questions? CONTACT Kathryn Hubbard Technical Expert CPSWQ, QSD, QISP Haley & Aldrich 714.371.1836 khubbard@haleyaldrich.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Love it Do we need the name and date?
  2. Love it
  3. More visual?
  4. More visual?
  5. More visual?
  6. ShoreZone's baseline data improves our ability to understand, respond to, and plan for the dynamic coastal changes taking place in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska - changes such as increasing storm frequency and coastal erosion, projected increases in shipping traffic, and offshore oil and gas development. With ShoreZone coastal managers have access to data to support planning and response efforts.
  7. More visual?
  8. More visual? Based on similar practices used for traditional storm water management we discussed at the beginning
  9. More visual? Encourage community and stakeholder collaboration in development decisions, ensuring that public interests in and rights of access to the waterfront and coastal waters are upheld
  10. Don’t know if we need two slides on Port Resilience Atlas? I think a better explanation should be provided, because the labels are too small to see what is on the maps. Suggest deleting one of these.