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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                 17th September 2012
         Indices *          Close         % Chg.               Government unleashes reforms
 BSE SENSEX                18464.27         2.46
 S&P CNX NIFTY             5577.65          2.62      Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY SEPT. FUT.          5584.90          2.46      markets witnessed a gap up opening, which also led to
 India VIX                  15.38           -1.85     intermediate bouts of short covering helping the benchmark
                                                      indices to trade with smart gains. Though profit taking was
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                witnessed at higher levels the markets managed to hold on to
                 Level 1   Level 2         Level 3    the gains. The markets ended the day with large gains to
Support           5526      5448            5333      close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day
Resistance        5607      5630            5703      were HIndalco, DLF, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Bank of
                                                      Baroda, ICICI Bank, Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Axis Bank and Tata
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                 Steel.
50 Day SMA                 5290.04
100 Day SMA                5171.67                    Technically, the market breadth remained positive,
200 Day SMA                5150.20        ◄Critical
                                                      amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the
                                                      markets. The global market cues are positive. The
   Market Breadth *         BSE             NSE       domestic markets are likely to witness a gap up opening.
Advances                    1497             806      The prevailing positive technical conditions continued to
Declines                    1420             678      boost markets. The MACD, RSI and KST all are still
Same                         141             107
                                                      placed above their respective averages. More so the KST
                                                      and MACD are placed in the positive territory. The Nifty
Total                       3058            1591
                                                      remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and
A/D Ratio                  1.05 : 1        1.19 : 1
                                                      200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains
             Volume (Lacs Shares)     *               placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the
               14/09/12    13/09/12        % Chg.
                                                      later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. The ADX
                                                      line and +DI line are moving higher, More so the +DI line
BSE              2082       1942            7.21
                                                      has moved above the 30 level, indicating buyers are
NSE              8031       5491            46.25
                                                      gaining strength. These positive conditions would lead
Total           10113       7433            36.05     to further buying support. However, a few prevailing
             Turnover ( ` Crores)     *               technical negatives also continue to hold good and
                                                      would weigh on market sentiment at higher levels. The
               14/09/12    13/09/12        % Chg.
                                                      Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreover, the
BSE             2154.42    1938.40          11.14
                                                      RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over bought zone.
NSE            14855.73    8906.63          66.79     These negative technical conditions would lead to
NSE F&O        194298.06   81879.61        137.30     selling pressure and profit taking at higher levels. The
Total          211308.21   92724.64        127.89     market sentiment has turned positive. Now, it is
                                                      important that markets witness follow up buying support
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)        *          at higher levels. Moreover, it is important that the RBI
               14/09/12    13/09/12        % Chg.     also announces a rate cut for buying momentum to
Index Fut.      539824     208386          159.05     continue. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Stock Fut.      654879     386376           69.49     from RBI’s monetary policy, global markets, Rupee, and
Index Opt.     5424042     2205423         145.94     the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Stock Opt.      439035     210258          108.81
                                                      5526, 5448, 5386, 5333 and 5250. The Nifty faces resistance
                                                      at 5607, 5630, 5703 and 5740 levels.
Total          7057780     3010443         114.51

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net           Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                 Stop
                                                  Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock            Close       Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)           Remarks
                                                                                                                      TGT of 198
                                                                                                                      Achieved
                                                                                                                      given Buy @
                                                                                                                      192 on
  Ambuja Cements         197.35     Buy Above             198         194.85      1.59         205           3.54     13/09/12
                                                                                                                      TGT of 655
                                                                                                                      Achieved
                                                                                                                      given Buy @
                                                                                                                      635 on
  Bank of Baroda         680.80     Buy Above             685         673.75      1.64         710           3.65     10/09/12
  Cairn                  354.45 Buy Above             356     346.50              2.67         377           5.90
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                           Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close        Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                    S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  18464               18416     18547          18630      18843            18333        18202      17988
S&P CNX NIFTY                5578                5564          5601       5623          5683          5541          5504      5444
NIFTY SEPT. FUT.             5585                5571          5612       5639          5706          5544          5503      5436




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
ACC, Allahabad bank, Ambuja Cements, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Bank of Baroda, bank of India, BHEL, Bhushan
Steel, Bombay Dying, Cairn India, Canara Bank, Coal India, Dish TV, DLF, HDFC, HDFC Bank, HDIl, Hero Motocorp,
Hindalco, ICICI Bank, IDFC, Infosy Tech; JP Associates, Kotak Bank, Maruti, Reliance, Rel. Infra, SAIL, SBI, Sesa Goa, Tata
Motors, UCO Bank, VIP, Yes Bank. Cipla, Dr. Reddys, Glaxo, GMDC, HPCL, IOC, ITC, Lupin, Mphasis, NTPC, Oil India,
ONGC, Piramal Healthcare, Polaris,Pwergrid, Ranbaxy, Rolta, Sun Pharma, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Tech Mahindra


                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
    reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
    required to observe these restrictions.
    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
    upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
    jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
    objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
    We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
    though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
    with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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    material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
    those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
    risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
    price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
    match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
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    written consent.




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 170912

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 17th September 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Government unleashes reforms BSE SENSEX 18464.27 2.46 S&P CNX NIFTY 5577.65 2.62 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5584.90 2.46 markets witnessed a gap up opening, which also led to India VIX 15.38 -1.85 intermediate bouts of short covering helping the benchmark indices to trade with smart gains. Though profit taking was S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels witnessed at higher levels the markets managed to hold on to Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 the gains. The markets ended the day with large gains to Support 5526 5448 5333 close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day Resistance 5607 5630 5703 were HIndalco, DLF, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Bank of Baroda, ICICI Bank, Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Axis Bank and Tata Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Steel. 50 Day SMA 5290.04 100 Day SMA 5171.67 Technically, the market breadth remained positive, 200 Day SMA 5150.20 ◄Critical amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. The global market cues are positive. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE domestic markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. Advances 1497 806 The prevailing positive technical conditions continued to Declines 1420 678 boost markets. The MACD, RSI and KST all are still Same 141 107 placed above their respective averages. More so the KST and MACD are placed in the positive territory. The Nifty Total 3058 1591 remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and A/D Ratio 1.05 : 1 1.19 : 1 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains Volume (Lacs Shares) * placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the 14/09/12 13/09/12 % Chg. later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. The ADX line and +DI line are moving higher, More so the +DI line BSE 2082 1942 7.21 has moved above the 30 level, indicating buyers are NSE 8031 5491 46.25 gaining strength. These positive conditions would lead Total 10113 7433 36.05 to further buying support. However, a few prevailing Turnover ( ` Crores) * technical negatives also continue to hold good and would weigh on market sentiment at higher levels. The 14/09/12 13/09/12 % Chg. Stochastic has slipped below its average. Moreover, the BSE 2154.42 1938.40 11.14 RSI and Stochastic are placed in the over bought zone. NSE 14855.73 8906.63 66.79 These negative technical conditions would lead to NSE F&O 194298.06 81879.61 137.30 selling pressure and profit taking at higher levels. The Total 211308.21 92724.64 127.89 market sentiment has turned positive. Now, it is important that markets witness follow up buying support F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * at higher levels. Moreover, it is important that the RBI 14/09/12 13/09/12 % Chg. also announces a rate cut for buying momentum to Index Fut. 539824 208386 159.05 continue. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Stock Fut. 654879 386376 69.49 from RBI’s monetary policy, global markets, Rupee, and Index Opt. 5424042 2205423 145.94 the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Stock Opt. 439035 210258 108.81 5526, 5448, 5386, 5333 and 5250. The Nifty faces resistance at 5607, 5630, 5703 and 5740 levels. Total 7057780 3010443 114.51 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 198 Achieved given Buy @ 192 on Ambuja Cements 197.35 Buy Above 198 194.85 1.59 205 3.54 13/09/12 TGT of 655 Achieved given Buy @ 635 on Bank of Baroda 680.80 Buy Above 685 673.75 1.64 710 3.65 10/09/12 Cairn 354.45 Buy Above 356 346.50 2.67 377 5.90 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18464 18416 18547 18630 18843 18333 18202 17988 S&P CNX NIFTY 5578 5564 5601 5623 5683 5541 5504 5444 NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5585 5571 5612 5639 5706 5544 5503 5436 Stocks To Watch Out Today ACC, Allahabad bank, Ambuja Cements, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bajaj Auto, Bank of Baroda, bank of India, BHEL, Bhushan Steel, Bombay Dying, Cairn India, Canara Bank, Coal India, Dish TV, DLF, HDFC, HDFC Bank, HDIl, Hero Motocorp, Hindalco, ICICI Bank, IDFC, Infosy Tech; JP Associates, Kotak Bank, Maruti, Reliance, Rel. Infra, SAIL, SBI, Sesa Goa, Tata Motors, UCO Bank, VIP, Yes Bank. Cipla, Dr. Reddys, Glaxo, GMDC, HPCL, IOC, ITC, Lupin, Mphasis, NTPC, Oil India, ONGC, Piramal Healthcare, Polaris,Pwergrid, Ranbaxy, Rolta, Sun Pharma, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Tech Mahindra Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com