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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                23nd November 2012

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) –
Commodity
 Expiry             5-Dec-12        5-Dec-12           18-Dec-12   Gold opened higher at 31817 but failed to sustain higher and
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31794. However, it
 Open                 31,817             62,074            4,831
                                                                   managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
 High                 31,868             62,266            4,860   touched an intra-day high of 31868. It ended the day with marginal
 Low                  31,794             62,065            4,827   gains to close at 31849.
 Close                31,849             62,156            4,838   The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
 Prev. Close          31,813             62,047            4,823   averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
                                                                   Stochastic is still placed in the over bought territory, which would
 % Change              0.11%              0.18%           0.31%    lead to profit taking at higher levels. The +DI line is placed above
Source – MCX                                                       the 32 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Gold
                                                                   faces resistance at 31937, 32100 and 32421 while the support
                    Volume (In 000's)                              levels are placed at 31737, 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and
                                                                   30340
                   22-Nov-12       21-Nov-12             % Chg.

 Gold (gms)          13,522.0           24,065.0        -43.81%
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) –

 Silver (kgs)          588.2             1,371.7        -57.12%    Silver opened higher at 62074 but failed to sustain higher and
                                                                   moved marginally lower to touch an intra-day low of 62065.
 Crude (bbl)          9,327.2           26,086.4        -64.24%
                                                                   However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved
Source – MCX                                                       higher. It touched an intra-day high of 62266. It ended the day with
                                                                   modest gains to close at 62156.
                   Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                   The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
                   22-Nov-12       21-Nov-12             % Chg.    averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
                                                                   Stochastic is still placed in the over bought territory and would lead
Gold                430,458.1       764,321.2           -43.68%
                                                                   to profit taking at higher levels. The +DI line is placed above the 32
Silver              365,567.4       846,874.2           -56.83%    level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces
                                                                   resistance at 62176, 62240, 62342 and 62656 while the supports
Crude               452,045.5     1,261,448.1           -64.16%
                                                                   are placed at 61912, 61398, 60750, 59512 and 57400 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (18 DECEMBER 12) –
                Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   Crude opened higher at 4831 but failed to sustain higher and
                        23/11/2012        22/11/2012     % Chg.    moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4827. However, it
Gold (oz)                   1,729.20        1,728.20      0.06%    managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It
                                                                   touched an intra-day high of 4860. It ended the day with modest
Silver (oz)                     33.36          33.44     -0.24%    gains to close at 4838.
WTI Crude (bbl)                 87.16          87.38     -0.25%
                                                                   The Stochastic remains placed below its average, which would
Brent Crude (bbl)            110.30           110.55     -0.23%
                                                                   lead to selling pressure. However, the RSI is still placed above its
Dollar Index                    80.64          80.70     -0.07%    average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                          ADX line, – DI line and +DI, indicating a range bound trend. It faces
                                                                   resistance at 4892, 4950, 5000 and 5054 while the supports are
                                                                   placed at 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467.

                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                   Basis




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Brent slips below $111 after Gaza ceasefire
Oil slipped below $111 per barrel on Thursday, as concerns over supply eased after a ceasefire took effect in the
Gaza Strip, though uncertainty over its success and a recovery in Chinese manufacturing offered limited losses. Israel
and the Islamist Hamas movement agreed to an Egyptian-sponsored ceasefire late on Wednesday to halt the eight-
day conflict around Gaza, limiting oil price gains.
Gold, silver rise on renewed offtake, global cues
Gold prices recovered at the domestic bullion market today on brisk low-level retail buying amid wedding season
offtake and higher global cues. Silver also surged on sustained speculative demand on the back of renewed industrial
buying. Standard gold (99.5 purity) rose by Rs 110 per 10 grams to close at Rs 31,910 from Wednesday's closing level
of Rs 31,800.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                   Friday                           Monday                            Tuesday

    Regions                    23/Nov                            26/Nov                            27/Nov

     India          FX Reserves, USD (Nov 18)




                                                       Dallas Fed Manufacturing
      US                                                                                Durable Goods Orders (Oct)
                                                         Business Index (Nov)
                                                          Chicago Fed National
                                                                                          Fed's Bernanke Speech
                                                           Activity Index (Oct)

                                                                                        Consumer Confidence (Nov)




     Global          European Council meeting             Euro EcoFin Meeting                  UK GDP (QoQ)

                     Germany Gross Domestic             UK Nationwide Housing
                                                                                             German CPI (YoY)
                      Product s.a (QoQ) (Q3)            Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Oct)
                                                                                             UK Total Business
                    UK BBA Mortgage Approvals
                                                                                           Investment (YoY) (Q3)




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
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advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 231112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 23nd November 2012 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Commodity Expiry 5-Dec-12 5-Dec-12 18-Dec-12 Gold opened higher at 31817 but failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 31794. However, it Open 31,817 62,074 4,831 managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It High 31,868 62,266 4,860 touched an intra-day high of 31868. It ended the day with marginal Low 31,794 62,065 4,827 gains to close at 31849. Close 31,849 62,156 4,838 The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective Prev. Close 31,813 62,047 4,823 averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is still placed in the over bought territory, which would % Change 0.11% 0.18% 0.31% lead to profit taking at higher levels. The +DI line is placed above Source – MCX the 32 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31937, 32100 and 32421 while the support Volume (In 000's) levels are placed at 31737, 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and 30340 22-Nov-12 21-Nov-12 % Chg. Gold (gms) 13,522.0 24,065.0 -43.81% MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – Silver (kgs) 588.2 1,371.7 -57.12% Silver opened higher at 62074 but failed to sustain higher and moved marginally lower to touch an intra-day low of 62065. Crude (bbl) 9,327.2 26,086.4 -64.24% However, it managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved Source – MCX higher. It touched an intra-day high of 62266. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 62156. Turnover (In Lacs) The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective 22-Nov-12 21-Nov-12 % Chg. averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic is still placed in the over bought territory and would lead Gold 430,458.1 764,321.2 -43.68% to profit taking at higher levels. The +DI line is placed above the 32 Silver 365,567.4 846,874.2 -56.83% level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 62176, 62240, 62342 and 62656 while the supports Crude 452,045.5 1,261,448.1 -64.16% are placed at 61912, 61398, 60750, 59512 and 57400 levels. Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (18 DECEMBER 12) – Global Market (Nymex - $) Crude opened higher at 4831 but failed to sustain higher and 23/11/2012 22/11/2012 % Chg. moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4827. However, it Gold (oz) 1,729.20 1,728.20 0.06% managed to bounce back from lower levels and moved higher. It touched an intra-day high of 4860. It ended the day with modest Silver (oz) 33.36 33.44 -0.24% gains to close at 4838. WTI Crude (bbl) 87.16 87.38 -0.25% The Stochastic remains placed below its average, which would Brent Crude (bbl) 110.30 110.55 -0.23% lead to selling pressure. However, the RSI is still placed above its Dollar Index 80.64 80.70 -0.07% average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The Source – www.cmegroup.com ADX line, – DI line and +DI, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 4892, 4950, 5000 and 5054 while the supports are placed at 4760, 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467. NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Brent slips below $111 after Gaza ceasefire Oil slipped below $111 per barrel on Thursday, as concerns over supply eased after a ceasefire took effect in the Gaza Strip, though uncertainty over its success and a recovery in Chinese manufacturing offered limited losses. Israel and the Islamist Hamas movement agreed to an Egyptian-sponsored ceasefire late on Wednesday to halt the eight- day conflict around Gaza, limiting oil price gains. Gold, silver rise on renewed offtake, global cues Gold prices recovered at the domestic bullion market today on brisk low-level retail buying amid wedding season offtake and higher global cues. Silver also surged on sustained speculative demand on the back of renewed industrial buying. Standard gold (99.5 purity) rose by Rs 110 per 10 grams to close at Rs 31,910 from Wednesday's closing level of Rs 31,800. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 23/Nov 26/Nov 27/Nov India FX Reserves, USD (Nov 18) Dallas Fed Manufacturing US Durable Goods Orders (Oct) Business Index (Nov) Chicago Fed National Fed's Bernanke Speech Activity Index (Oct) Consumer Confidence (Nov) Global European Council meeting Euro EcoFin Meeting UK GDP (QoQ) Germany Gross Domestic UK Nationwide Housing German CPI (YoY) Product s.a (QoQ) (Q3) Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Oct) UK Total Business UK BBA Mortgage Approvals Investment (YoY) (Q3) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com