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India Morning Note
    a
Wedn
   nesday, Sept
              tember 05, 2012

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                   V
                                                            Views on ma
                                                                      arkets today
                                                                                 y
                                                            • Indian markets reco
                                                                      m           ouped early losses to e  end higher
 Nam of Index
   me                   Sept 3       Sept 4    Change (%)     yesterda snapping a two-day fall, led by a recovery
                                                                      ay,
 Sens
    sex              17,384.40    17,440.87
                                  1               0.32%       in blue-c
                                                                      chip shares wwhile bank sshares such gained on
 CNX Nifty            5,253.75     5,274.00       0.39%       hopes of governm     ment capit  tal infusionn. Market
 BSE Mid-cap          6,010.62     6,042.41       0.53%       sentimen also got a boost after a panel appointed by
                                                                       nt                      r
 BSE IT               5,734.37     5,731.64      -0.05%       the goveernment to review the p  proposed Ge  eneral Anti
 BSE Banks           11,441.51    11,501.58
                                  1               0.53%
                                                              Avoidanc Rules (G
                                                                       ce         GAAR) recom  mmended in a report
                                                                                                           n
                                                              submitte to the go
                                                                      ed          overnment o 1 Septem
                                                                                               on          mber 2012
FII Ac
     ctivity                                      (`Cr)       that the governmen should abolish the tax on gains
                                                                                  nt                        x
                                                              arising from transfer of listed se
                                                                                   r           ecurities, ap
                                                                                                           pplicable to
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       both resiidents as we as non-res
                                                                                  ell          sidents.
 03-Se
     ep                 1,666         1,713          -47    • Banking shares led the gains after RBI Go
                                                                                                a           overnor D.
 31-Aug                 3,126         3,272         -146      Subbarao said the government needs to i
                                                                        o                       t           infuse 900
 Total Sept
     l                  1,666         1,713          -47      billion ru
                                                                       upees into sta
                                                                                    ate-run bank to maintain majority
                                                                                                ks
 2012 YTD
    2                  423944       360962        62982       shareholding under Basel III regulations. Goldman
                                                              Sachs al  lso upgraded Indian ba anks to "neuutral" from
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)      "cautious citing favorable risk/r
                                                                        s"                      reward in pu
                                                                                                           ublic sector
                                                              bank sto ock prices, a the gap between st
                                                                                    as                     tate-owned
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       and priv vate banks widens to a 10-year high. Oil
 03-Se
     ep                   281          431          -150      marketers rose on re  eports that government may raise
                                                                                                g
 31-Aug                   314          372           -58      diesel prices by `4  4-5 per litre after the monsoon
                                                                                                e,         e
 Total Sept
     l                    281          431          -150      parliame ent session ends on S    Sept. 7 as oil firms'
                                                              revenue loss has soa ared to almo half the r
                                                                                               ost         retail price.
 2012 YTD
    2                   81997        91425         -9429
                                                              Tech Ma  ahindra Ltd rose 1.31% after it h
                                                                                              %,           has bought
Global Markets                                                Hutchiso on Whampo   oa Ltd's ba  ack-office call center
                                                              business in the country for $87.1
                                                                       s                       1mn.
 Index
     x                     Latest Values
                                t              Change (%)   • Market bbreadth was positive at ~1.28x as investors
                                                                                  s           t         s
 DJIA                            13
                                  3,035.94       -0.42%       bought large cap s  stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs
 NASD
    DAQ                           3,075.06
                                  3               0.26%       bought equity of `3
                                                                      e           3.04bn while domestic i
                                                                                             e           institutions
 Nikke *
     ei                           8,702.34
                                  8              -0.83%       sold equity of `1.06b in cash se
                                                                                  bn         egment.
 Hang Seng *
    g                            19
                                  9,226.95       -1.04%     • Asian m
                                                                    markets declined shar     rply, after softening
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f                                                       commoddity prices an fall in US markets ove
                                                                                 nd                      ernight.
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot                                           • We expe Indian ma
                                                                      ect         arkets to ope gap down following
                                                                                              en        n,
                                                              the rising concerns in the global economies and fall in
                                                                       g                      l
 Future contract                                   RBI        the Asian markets to
                                                                       n         oday.
                          Latest    Previous
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R              Economic and Corporate Developm
                                                                     a                    ments
                          Quote        Close
 29/08/12                                         Rate
 India Rupee per $
     an                    55.81       55.70       55.54
                                                            • SBI Chaairman Pratip Chaudhuri expects 100 basis
                                                              points ca
                                                                      ash reserve ratio (CRR) cut by the RBI in its
                                                                                            )          e
 India Rupee per €
     an                    70.25       70.00       88.23
                                                              Septemb 17 policy meet.
                                                                      ber       y
 India Rupee per £
     an                    88.55       88.39       70.02
                                                            • The oil m
                                                                      ministry is ppreparing a Cabinet noote on fuel
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    71.16       71.11       70.85
                                                              price hik
                                                                      ke. An incr rease in peetrol, diesel, domestic
* NSE Exchange                                                cooking gas (LPG   G) and kerosene pric     ces looks
                                                              "imminent" after the Finance M
                                                                                   e         Ministry said it has no
                                                              money to provide for fuel subsidy.
                                                                      o           r


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TOP GAINERS
    G                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                       • STAR Ind ready to sell 26% Balaji Telefilms stake to
                                                             dia                                s
                   Previous   Current    Change       promoteers.
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)     • IL& FS moves cour over the proposed m
                                                                      rt                  merger of
 IB Re Est
     eal             42.05      45.25      7.61
                                                      Satyam Computer w
                                                                      with Tech Mahindra.
 Torre Power
     ent            147.30     157.45      6.89
                                                    • US based FreightC
                                                                      Car calls off JV with Titagarh
 Opto Circuits
    o               119.70     127.85      6.81
                                                      Wagons.
 Dish TV India       65.95      70.20      6.44
 India
     abulls Fin     184.85     196.35      6.22     • Shriram City Union Finance to raise `500Cr via
                                                                       n         t
                                                      secured NCDs.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                    • Kavveri Telecom bo
                                                                       oard meets to consider proposal
                   Previous   Current    Change       for merger of Kavv
                                                                       veri Telecom Infrastruct
                                                                                  m           ture with
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                      self.
 EID Parry
     P              216.60     233.75       7.92
 IB Re Est
     eal             42.05      45.25       7.61    • Kelkar ppanel says t raise LPG prices by `50 and
                                                                           to      G
 Resp
    ponsive Inds     82.90      89.15       7.54      diesel pr
                                                              rices by `4.
 Aban Offshore
    n               393.05     422.35       7.45    • CAG say ONGC paid heavily for rig repairs, which it
                                                             ys
 Opto Circuits
    o               119.70     127.85       6.81      had hire from RIL in 2009.
                                                             ed          n

TOP LOSERS
    L
(BSE A-Group)
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Astra
     azeneca Pha   1858.90    1796.70      -3.35
 Castr India
     rol            293.90     284.50      -3.20
 Bajaj Holdings
     j              768.90     751.00      -2.33
 Oracle Fin        3031.35    2967.65      -2.10
 IDFC               131.90     129.50      -1.82

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Blue Dart         1913.40    1683.15     -12.03
 Tulip Telecom
     p               88.90      84.50      -4.95
 Astra
     azeneca Pha   1858.90    1796.70      -3.35
 Wock
    khardt         1219.60    1184.55      -2.87
 Blue Star          176.10     171.55      -2.58




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                    (research
                                                   h@keynotecapitals.net)           (+9122-3026
                                                                                              66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /            Wednes
                               sday                   Thursd
                                                           day                    Friday
                                                                                       y                    Monday
                                                                                                                 y

   Reg
     gions                   5/Se
                                ep                      6/Sep
                                                            p                     7/Sep
                                                                                      p                     10/Sep
                                                                                                                 p
   India            M3 Money S
                             Supply                                       Forex Reserves Data




   US               MBA Mortgage               Challenger Jo Cuts
                                               C           ob             Average Hour
                                                                          A            rly
                    Applications
                               s               (YoY)
                                               (                          Earnings (YoY
                                                                                      Y);
                                                                          Average Wee
                                                                          A           ekly
                                                                          Hours
                                                                          H
                                               Initial and                Nonfarms Pay
                                                                          N            yrolls;
                                               Continuing Jo
                                               C           obless         Unemployment Rate
                                                                          U
                                               Claims
                                               C
                                               ISM Non-
                                               Manufacturin PMI
                                               M           ng
   Global           UK's Markit Services       Eurozone's G
                                               E           Gross          Ja
                                                                           apan Coinciddent         Ch
                                                                                                     hina Export I
                                                                                                                 Import
                    PMI                        Domestic Pro
                                               D           oduct          In
                                                                           ndex; Leadinng           da
                                                                                                     ata
                                               s.a. (QoQ) an (YoY)
                                               s           nd             Economic Ind dex
                    Germany's Markit
                               M               UK's BoE Inte
                                               U           erest          UK Industrial
                                                                          U                         Japan Consummer
                    Services PMI               Rate Decision
                                               R                          Production (YYoY &        Coonfidence
                                                                          MoM);
                                                                          M
                                                                          Manufacturing
                                                                          M
                                                                          Production (YYoY &
                                                                          MoM)
                                                                          M
                                               Eurozone's E
                                               E           ECB            UK Producer P
                                                                          U             Price       UK Housing Pr
                                                                                                     K          rice
                                               Interest Rate
                                                           e               ndex - Input (YoY &
                                                                          In                        Ba
                                                                                                     alance
                                               Decision
                                               D                          MoM); Produc
                                                                          M            cer
                                                                          Price Index - O
                                                                                        Output
                                                                          (Y
                                                                           YoY & MoM)
                                                                          Germany Indu
                                                                          G             ustrial
                                                                          Production (YYoY &
                                                                          MoM); Trade Balance
                                                                          M
                                                                          s.a
                                                                          Germany Exp
                                                                          G            ports &
                                                                          Im
                                                                           mport (MoM) )




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                                                                D          Mumbai – 40 028
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Disclaim
       mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor
                    ort           f            on           nd             o             rmation. News content is a attributable to
                                                                                                                                  o
various media, unles specified ot
       s            ss           therwise. All m
                                               market related statistical da pertains to the immedia
                                                            d              ata           o            ately preceding trading dayy,
unless stated otherw
                   wise. Neither the information nor any opin
                                                            nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to
                                                                           ed           ort                        an             o
make an offer, to bu or sell the s
       a           uy            securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh
                                                            n.              of                                      hall not in any
                                                                                                                                  y
way be responsible for any loss a
      e                          arising from th use of this report. Inves
                                               he           s               stors are advi
                                                                                         ised to apply their own jud
                                                                                                                   dgment before  e
acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints.
        on         nts           ort.          t            n              to

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Keynote capitals india morning note september 5-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Wedn nesday, Sept tember 05, 2012 Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y • Indian markets reco m ouped early losses to e end higher Nam of Index me Sept 3 Sept 4 Change (%) yesterda snapping a two-day fall, led by a recovery ay, Sens sex 17,384.40 17,440.87 1 0.32% in blue-c chip shares wwhile bank sshares such gained on CNX Nifty 5,253.75 5,274.00 0.39% hopes of governm ment capit tal infusionn. Market BSE Mid-cap 6,010.62 6,042.41 0.53% sentimen also got a boost after a panel appointed by nt r BSE IT 5,734.37 5,731.64 -0.05% the goveernment to review the p proposed Ge eneral Anti BSE Banks 11,441.51 11,501.58 1 0.53% Avoidanc Rules (G ce GAAR) recom mmended in a report n submitte to the go ed overnment o 1 Septem on mber 2012 FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) that the governmen should abolish the tax on gains nt x arising from transfer of listed se r ecurities, ap pplicable to Date e Buy Sell Net both resiidents as we as non-res ell sidents. 03-Se ep 1,666 1,713 -47 • Banking shares led the gains after RBI Go a overnor D. 31-Aug 3,126 3,272 -146 Subbarao said the government needs to i o t infuse 900 Total Sept l 1,666 1,713 -47 billion ru upees into sta ate-run bank to maintain majority ks 2012 YTD 2 423944 360962 62982 shareholding under Basel III regulations. Goldman Sachs al lso upgraded Indian ba anks to "neuutral" from MF A Activity (`Cr) "cautious citing favorable risk/r s" reward in pu ublic sector bank sto ock prices, a the gap between st as tate-owned Date e Buy Sell Net and priv vate banks widens to a 10-year high. Oil 03-Se ep 281 431 -150 marketers rose on re eports that government may raise g 31-Aug 314 372 -58 diesel prices by `4 4-5 per litre after the monsoon e, e Total Sept l 281 431 -150 parliame ent session ends on S Sept. 7 as oil firms' revenue loss has soa ared to almo half the r ost retail price. 2012 YTD 2 81997 91425 -9429 Tech Ma ahindra Ltd rose 1.31% after it h %, has bought Global Markets Hutchiso on Whampo oa Ltd's ba ack-office call center business in the country for $87.1 s 1mn. Index x Latest Values t Change (%) • Market bbreadth was positive at ~1.28x as investors s t s DJIA 13 3,035.94 -0.42% bought large cap s stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs NASD DAQ 3,075.06 3 0.26% bought equity of `3 e 3.04bn while domestic i e institutions Nikke * ei 8,702.34 8 -0.83% sold equity of `1.06b in cash se bn egment. Hang Seng * g 19 9,226.95 -1.04% • Asian m markets declined shar rply, after softening * as of 8.25AM IST f commoddity prices an fall in US markets ove nd ernight. Curre ency Snapsh hot • We expe Indian ma ect arkets to ope gap down following en n, the rising concerns in the global economies and fall in g l Future contract RBI the Asian markets to n oday. Latest Previous expir on re Reference R Economic and Corporate Developm a ments Quote Close 29/08/12 Rate India Rupee per $ an 55.81 55.70 55.54 • SBI Chaairman Pratip Chaudhuri expects 100 basis points ca ash reserve ratio (CRR) cut by the RBI in its ) e India Rupee per € an 70.25 70.00 88.23 Septemb 17 policy meet. ber y India Rupee per £ an 88.55 88.39 70.02 • The oil m ministry is ppreparing a Cabinet noote on fuel India Rupee per ¥ an 71.16 71.11 70.85 price hik ke. An incr rease in peetrol, diesel, domestic * NSE Exchange cooking gas (LPG G) and kerosene pric ces looks "imminent" after the Finance M e Ministry said it has no money to provide for fuel subsidy. o r Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • STAR Ind ready to sell 26% Balaji Telefilms stake to dia s Previous Current Change promoteers. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • IL& FS moves cour over the proposed m rt merger of IB Re Est eal 42.05 45.25 7.61 Satyam Computer w with Tech Mahindra. Torre Power ent 147.30 157.45 6.89 • US based FreightC Car calls off JV with Titagarh Opto Circuits o 119.70 127.85 6.81 Wagons. Dish TV India 65.95 70.20 6.44 India abulls Fin 184.85 196.35 6.22 • Shriram City Union Finance to raise `500Cr via n t secured NCDs. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Kavveri Telecom bo oard meets to consider proposal Previous Current Change for merger of Kavv veri Telecom Infrastruct m ture with Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) self. EID Parry P 216.60 233.75 7.92 IB Re Est eal 42.05 45.25 7.61 • Kelkar ppanel says t raise LPG prices by `50 and to G Resp ponsive Inds 82.90 89.15 7.54 diesel pr rices by `4. Aban Offshore n 393.05 422.35 7.45 • CAG say ONGC paid heavily for rig repairs, which it ys Opto Circuits o 119.70 127.85 6.81 had hire from RIL in 2009. ed n TOP LOSERS L (BSE A-Group) Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Astra azeneca Pha 1858.90 1796.70 -3.35 Castr India rol 293.90 284.50 -3.20 Bajaj Holdings j 768.90 751.00 -2.33 Oracle Fin 3031.35 2967.65 -2.10 IDFC 131.90 129.50 -1.82 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Blue Dart 1913.40 1683.15 -12.03 Tulip Telecom p 88.90 84.50 -4.95 Astra azeneca Pha 1858.90 1796.70 -3.35 Wock khardt 1219.60 1184.55 -2.87 Blue Star 176.10 171.55 -2.58 Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Wednes sday Thursd day Friday y Monday y Reg gions 5/Se ep 6/Sep p 7/Sep p 10/Sep p India M3 Money S Supply Forex Reserves Data US MBA Mortgage Challenger Jo Cuts C ob Average Hour A rly Applications s (YoY) ( Earnings (YoY Y); Average Wee A ekly Hours H Initial and Nonfarms Pay N yrolls; Continuing Jo C obless Unemployment Rate U Claims C ISM Non- Manufacturin PMI M ng Global UK's Markit Services Eurozone's G E Gross Ja apan Coinciddent Ch hina Export I Import PMI Domestic Pro D oduct In ndex; Leadinng da ata s.a. (QoQ) an (YoY) s nd Economic Ind dex Germany's Markit M UK's BoE Inte U erest UK Industrial U Japan Consummer Services PMI Rate Decision R Production (YYoY & Coonfidence MoM); M Manufacturing M Production (YYoY & MoM) M Eurozone's E E ECB UK Producer P U Price UK Housing Pr K rice Interest Rate e ndex - Input (YoY & In Ba alance Decision D MoM); Produc M cer Price Index - O Output (Y YoY & MoM) Germany Indu G ustrial Production (YYoY & MoM); Trade Balance M s.a Germany Exp G ports & Im mport (MoM) ) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to