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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    1st June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.       Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets
 BSE SENSEX                16218.53          -0.57      witnessed a negative opening. Selling pressure was
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4924.25          -0.54      witnessed in the morning trade as the Rupee continued to
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            4921.60          -0.21      depreciate touching our target of 46.50. However, short
 India VIX                   25.25           -0.19      covering and selective buying support was witnessed which
                                                        helped the markets move higher and trade above the 4900
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  level. However, the Nifty failed to test the 4950 resistance
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     level. The markets ended the day with modest losses to close
Support           4777       4742            4624       near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day were
Resistance        4950       5070            5106       Tata Motors, Maruti,
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   Technically, the market breadth remained subdue amidst
50 Day SMA                  5126.41                     higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the markets.
100 Day SMA                 5189.31                     The global market cues are negative. The domestic
200 Day SMA                 5068.31        ◄ Critical   markets are likely to witness a gap down opening. The
                                                        prevailing technical negatives and depreciating Rupee
    Market Breadth           BSE             NSE        continued to weigh on market sentiment. The Stochastic
Advances                     1184             639       is placed below its average. Moreover, the KST and
Declines                     1416             835       MACD are placed in the negative territory and warn of
Same                          107                60     impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed
Total                        2707            1534       below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
A/D Ratio                   0.84 : 1        0.77 : 1    Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day
                                                        SMA. These negative technical conditions would lead to
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                selling pressure at regular intervals. However, a few
               31/05/12     30/05/12        % Chg.      positive technical conditions still hold good. The RSI,
BSE              1747        1919            -8.96      KST and MACD all are still placed above their respective
NSE              9122        5471            66.71      averages. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day
Total           10869        7390            47.06
                                                        SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These
                                                        positive technical conditions would prompt buying
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                support and short covering at lower levels. The ADX line,
               31/05/12     30/05/12        % Chg.      the –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
BSE             1782.54     1749.05          1.91
                                                        a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains
                                                        tentative. Now it is important that the markets move and
NSE            16178.35     9062.29          78.52
                                                        sustain above the 4950 resistance level. Incase Nifty fails
NSE F&O        195703.89   148077.46         32.16
                                                        to close and sustain above it then increased selling
Total          213664.78   158888.80         34.47      pressure is likely to be witnessed and Nifty could
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          possibly test the 4742 level. In the meanwhile the
                                                        markets would take cues from the Indian GDP data to be
               31/05/12     30/05/12        % Chg.
                                                        announced today, USDINR, global markets and the crude
Index Fut.      783992      587551           33.43
                                                        prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4777, 4742,
Stock Fut.     1164170      916652           27.00      4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070,
Index Opt.     5837042      4308013          35.49      5106 and 5250 levels.
Stock Opt.      262265      222598           17.82
Total          8047469      6034814          25.99

NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                                Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action          Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Axis Bank Fut          970.95       Sell Below           967.00      988.00         2.17         920          4.86


Andhra Bank            108.70       Buy Above            109.45      107.00         2.24         114          4.16
Areva                  170.15    Buy Above         171.00     167.00                2.34         180          5.26
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                             Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close          Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16219                 16194      16302      16385          16577        16111        16003        15811
S&P CNX NIFTY               4924                  4919       4954        4985          5050            4889        4853       4788
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             4922                  4912       4941        4961          5010            4892        4862       4813




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Ashok Leyland, Asian Paints, Bank of India, Dena Bank, FT, HUL, JSW Steel, Kotak Bank, NTPC, Reliance, SAIL, Sesa Goa,
Ultratech Cement, ZEEL
GAIL, Grasim, Hexaware, ICICI Bank, IDBI Bank, IGL, Indusind Bank, United Spirits, NHPC, Oil India, Ranbaxy, REC, Rel.
Infra, Sun TV, Suzlon, Tata Chemicals, Tata Motors, TTK Prestige




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
      own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
      those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
      price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
      match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 010612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 1st June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets BSE SENSEX 16218.53 -0.57 witnessed a negative opening. Selling pressure was S&P CNX NIFTY 4924.25 -0.54 witnessed in the morning trade as the Rupee continued to NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4921.60 -0.21 depreciate touching our target of 46.50. However, short India VIX 25.25 -0.19 covering and selective buying support was witnessed which helped the markets move higher and trade above the 4900 S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels level. However, the Nifty failed to test the 4950 resistance Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 level. The markets ended the day with modest losses to close Support 4777 4742 4624 near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day were Resistance 4950 5070 5106 Tata Motors, Maruti, Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Technically, the market breadth remained subdue amidst 50 Day SMA 5126.41 higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the markets. 100 Day SMA 5189.31 The global market cues are negative. The domestic 200 Day SMA 5068.31 ◄ Critical markets are likely to witness a gap down opening. The prevailing technical negatives and depreciating Rupee Market Breadth BSE NSE continued to weigh on market sentiment. The Stochastic Advances 1184 639 is placed below its average. Moreover, the KST and Declines 1416 835 MACD are placed in the negative territory and warn of Same 107 60 impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed Total 2707 1534 below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. A/D Ratio 0.84 : 1 0.77 : 1 Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. These negative technical conditions would lead to Volume (Lacs Shares) * selling pressure at regular intervals. However, a few 31/05/12 30/05/12 % Chg. positive technical conditions still hold good. The RSI, BSE 1747 1919 -8.96 KST and MACD all are still placed above their respective NSE 9122 5471 66.71 averages. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day Total 10869 7390 47.06 SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive technical conditions would prompt buying Turnover ( ` Crores) * support and short covering at lower levels. The ADX line, 31/05/12 30/05/12 % Chg. the –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating BSE 1782.54 1749.05 1.91 a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important that the markets move and NSE 16178.35 9062.29 78.52 sustain above the 4950 resistance level. Incase Nifty fails NSE F&O 195703.89 148077.46 32.16 to close and sustain above it then increased selling Total 213664.78 158888.80 34.47 pressure is likely to be witnessed and Nifty could F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * possibly test the 4742 level. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Indian GDP data to be 31/05/12 30/05/12 % Chg. announced today, USDINR, global markets and the crude Index Fut. 783992 587551 33.43 prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4777, 4742, Stock Fut. 1164170 916652 27.00 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, Index Opt. 5837042 4308013 35.49 5106 and 5250 levels. Stock Opt. 262265 222598 17.82 Total 8047469 6034814 25.99 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Axis Bank Fut 970.95 Sell Below 967.00 988.00 2.17 920 4.86 Andhra Bank 108.70 Buy Above 109.45 107.00 2.24 114 4.16 Areva 170.15 Buy Above 171.00 167.00 2.34 180 5.26 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16219 16194 16302 16385 16577 16111 16003 15811 S&P CNX NIFTY 4924 4919 4954 4985 5050 4889 4853 4788 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4922 4912 4941 4961 5010 4892 4862 4813 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Ashok Leyland, Asian Paints, Bank of India, Dena Bank, FT, HUL, JSW Steel, Kotak Bank, NTPC, Reliance, SAIL, Sesa Goa, Ultratech Cement, ZEEL GAIL, Grasim, Hexaware, ICICI Bank, IDBI Bank, IGL, Indusind Bank, United Spirits, NHPC, Oil India, Ranbaxy, REC, Rel. Infra, Sun TV, Suzlon, Tata Chemicals, Tata Motors, TTK Prestige Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com