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India Morning Note
    a
Friday Septembe 07, 2012
     y,       er

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                   V
                                                            Views on ma
                                                                      arkets today
                                                                                 y

 Nam of Index
   me                   Sept 5       Sept 6    Change (%)   • Indian mmarkets edg  ged higher yesterday in choppy
                                                              trade as world stocks rose on hoopes that the European
                                                                                                            e
 Sens
    sex              17,313.34    17,346.27
                                  1               0.19%
                                                              Central Bank (ECB) will anno    ounce a bo    ond-market
 CNX Nifty            5,225.70     5,238.40       0.24%
                                                                      tion at its po
                                                              intervent            olicy meeting later in the day. ECB
                                                                                               g            e
 BSE Mid-cap          6,023.53     6,042.31       0.31%       chairman Mario Drag is set to unveil his pl
                                                                      n            ghi                       lan later in
 BSE IT               5,726.24     5,872.21       2.55%       the day to save the euro. European stocks a   also edged
 BSE Banks           11,292.73    11,351.88
                                  1               0.52%       higher in anticipation of the ECB action, but fears of
                                                                      n                        B's
                                                              a disappointment we  eighed.
FII Ac
     ctivity                                      (`Cr)
                                                            • Technoloogy shares ggained ahead of a crucia meeting
                                                                                                            al
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       of the European Ce
                                                                      E           entral Bank. IT services providers
                                                                                                           s
 05-Se
     ep                 2,150         2,297         -148      such as Infosys, whhich draw ab bout three q quarters of
                                                              their revenue from th U.S and E
                                                                                   he         Europe, led tthe gainers
 04-Se
     ep                 1,634         1,332         302
                                                              on hopes of improve spending environment after ECB
                                                                       s         ed                         t
 Total Sept
     l                  5,450         5,342         108
                                                              easing. PSU OMCs g
                                                                       P          gained for th 3rd straig day on
                                                                                              he           ght
 2012 YTD
    2                  427729       364609        63119       reports the governm
                                                                       t         ment plans to raise fuel p
                                                                                              o            prices after
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)      the mon nsoon parliamment session ends on S   September
                                                              7. SBI roose 1.3% af fter the ban slashed its deposit
                                                                                              nk
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       rates between 50-10 basis points across maturities,
                                                                                   00
                                                              effective Friday. Mac
                                                                      e           cquarie has upgraded Ye Bank to
                                                                                                            es
 05-Se
     ep                   352          556          -203
                                                              'outperfo
                                                                      orm' from 'nneutral' and raised its ta
                                                                                                           arget price
 04-Se
     ep                   290          354           -64
                                                              to 415 rupees from 380 rupees, saying current levels
 Total Sept
     l                    921         1,341         -419      "offers good opportu
                                                                                 unity to accumulate."
 2012 YTD
    2                   82608        92461         -9852
                                                            • Titan Ind           pped on concerns that record high
                                                                      dustries drop
Global Markets                                                gold pric will adve
                                                                      ce          ersely affect sales grow
                                                                                              t            wth of the
                                                              company y's jewellerry division. ITC fell 2.7% on
 Index
     x                     Latest Values
                                t              Change (%)     concerns that India m
                                                                      s           may follow tthe rest of th world in
                                                                                                           he
 DJIA                            13
                                  3,292.00        1.87%       adopting anti-smokin regulation
                                                                      g           ng          ns.
 NASD
    DAQ                           3,135.81
                                  3               2.17%     • Market bbreadth was positive at ~1.08x as investors
                                                                                  s           t         s
 Nikke *
     ei                           8,832.55
                                  8               1.75%       bought large cap s  stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs
 Hang Seng *
    g                            19
                                  9,568.91        1.87%       bought equity of `1
                                                                      e           1.66bn while domestic i
                                                                                             e           institutions
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f
                                                              sold equity of `0.34b in cash se
                                                                                  bn         egment.

Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot                                           • Asia sha
                                                                     ares rose shharply after the Europea Central
                                                                                                           an
                                                              Bank unvveils a bond buying plan to stabilize markets.
                                                                                 d                         e
 Future contract                                   RBI        Japan ex
                                                                     xporters get e
                                                                                  extra boost f
                                                                                              from falling y
                                                                                                           yen.
                          Latest    Previous
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close                • We expe a positiv opening f
                                                                       ect        ve          for the India markets
                                                                                                          an
 29/08/12                                         Rate
 India Rupee per $
     an                    55.88       56.14       55.97      following the cues from the Asian markets and a boost
                                                                       g
                                                              that is ex
                                                                       xpected to g from ECB move.
                                                                                  get        B's
 India Rupee per €
     an                    70.42       70.37       89.02
 India Rupee per £
     an                    88.80       89.11       70.61    Economic and Corporate Developm
                                                                     a                    ments
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    71.15       71.56       71.39    • The mas  ssive bond bbuying programme announced by
* NSE Exchange                                                the ECB today cou
                                                                       B           uld boost ccapital flows into the
                                                                                                          s
                                                              country and help c   cover the huge curren account
                                                                                               h          nt
                                                              deficit, R
                                                                       RBI's KC Chak
                                                                                   krabarty said
                                                                                               d.


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TOP GAINERS
    G                                                 Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                         • NALCO to sell 1    12.15% stake, Department     of
                     Previous   Current    Change       divestment invites m
                                                                           merchant ban
                                                                                      nkers.
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)     • Tribunal issues IOC, HPCL, BPC notice for alleged
                                                                                          CL
 Torre Power
     ent              163.80     179.95      9.86
                                                        cartelisa
                                                                ation on RIL, Essar Oil's p
                                                                                          plea.
 Ambuja Cements       180.40     188.60      4.55
                                                      • From 2G Conference MTNL not to participa in 2G
                                                               G          e:      t            ate
 Wipro                361.50     377.50      4.43
                                                        spectrum auction.
                                                               m
 Cummins India        446.70     465.50      4.21
 Infos
     sys             2338.45    2422.20      3.58     • Exide steps up effor to acquire ING’s 26% stake in
                                                                           rts                  %
                                                        insuranc JV.
                                                               ce
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                      • Mitsui, S
                                                                Sanyo buy 49% in Mahindra Ugin
                                                                                             ne’s steel
                     Previous   Current    Change       business for `218Cr.
                                                                s          .
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 HATH
    HWAY CAB          198.55     212.95       7.25
 Prest
     tige Estates     112.65     119.85       6.39
 Prism Cement
     m                 50.45      53.05       5.15
 Wock
    khardt           1216.35    1277.15       5.00
 Glody
     yne Tech          78.30      82.20       4.98


TOP LOSERS
    L
(BSE A-Group)
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Gujarat State Pet     78.10      74.60      -4.48
 BHEL
    L                 208.00    201.35       -3.20
 Central Bank          65.95      63.95      -3.03
 ITC                  268.00    260.80       -2.69
 India
     abulls Fin       196.15    190.95       -2.65

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                     Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Resp
    ponsive Inds       93.60      89.10      -4.81
 Chen
    nnai Petro        127.05     121.25      -4.57
 Gujarat State Pet     78.10      74.60      -4.48
 HT Media
    M                  89.35      85.90      -3.86
 Elant Beck
     tas             1516.65    1461.10      -3.66




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                      (research
                                                     h@keynotecapitals.net)          (+9122-3026
                                                                                               66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /               Frida
                                 ay                    Monda
                                                           ay                    Tuesda
                                                                                      ay                  Wednesday

   Reg
     gions                   7/Se
                                ep                     10/Se
                                                           ep                     11/Sep
                                                                                       p                    12/Sep
                                                                                                                 p
   India            Forex Reserves Data                                                             Industrial Outp
                                                                                                                  put
                                                                                                    daata




   US               Average Hou urly                                                                FO
                                                                                                     OMC Minutes
                                                                                                               s
                    Earnings (Yo
                               oY);                                       NFIB
                                                                          N            Small
                    Average We eekly                                      Business Op
                                                                          B         ptimism
                    Hours                                                 (A
                                                                           AUG)
                    Nonfarms Pa ayrolls;                                                            Pr
                                                                                                     reliminary ru
                                                                                                                 uling on
                    Unemployment Rate                                     US Trade Bal
                                                                          U          lance          ES & Fiscal D
                                                                                                     SM          Deficit



   Global           Japan Coinci
                    J           ident          China Export Import
                                               C          t                                         Ge
                                                                                                     ermany CPI d
                                                                                                                data
                    Index; Leadiing            data
                                               d
                    Economic Inndex                                       UK’s Trade B
                                                                          U          Balance
                    UK Industria
                               al              Japan Consum
                                                          mer                                       UK Average
                                                                                                     K
                    Production (YoY &          Confidence
                                               C                                                    Ea
                                                                                                     arnings, Claimant
                    MoM);                                                                           Co
                                                                                                     ount charge
                    Manufacturing
                    Production (YoY &                                     Ja
                                                                           apan’s Manpower
                    MoM)                                                  Survey (4Q)
                                                                          S
                    UK Producer Price
                                r              UK Housing P
                                               U          Price
                    Index - Input (YoY &
                                t              Balance
                                               B
                    MoM); Produucer
                    Price Index - Output
                    (YoY & MoM)
                    Germany Ind dustrial
                    Production (YoY &
                    MoM); Trade Balance
                               e
                    s.a
                    Germany Ex xports &
                    Import (MoMM)




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                    ort           f            on           nd             o             rmation. News content is a attributable to
                                                                                                                                  o
various media, unles specified ot
       s            ss           therwise. All m
                                               market related statistical da pertains to the immedia
                                                            d              ata           o            ately preceding trading dayy,
unless stated otherw
                   wise. Neither the information nor any opin
                                                            nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to
                                                                           ed           ort                        an             o
make an offer, to bu or sell the s
       a           uy            securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh
                                                            n.              of                                      hall not in any
                                                                                                                                  y
way be responsible for any loss a
      e                          arising from th use of this report. Inves
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        on         nts           ort.          t            n              to

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Keynote capitals india morning note september 7-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Friday Septembe 07, 2012 y, er Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y Nam of Index me Sept 5 Sept 6 Change (%) • Indian mmarkets edg ged higher yesterday in choppy trade as world stocks rose on hoopes that the European e Sens sex 17,313.34 17,346.27 1 0.19% Central Bank (ECB) will anno ounce a bo ond-market CNX Nifty 5,225.70 5,238.40 0.24% tion at its po intervent olicy meeting later in the day. ECB g e BSE Mid-cap 6,023.53 6,042.31 0.31% chairman Mario Drag is set to unveil his pl n ghi lan later in BSE IT 5,726.24 5,872.21 2.55% the day to save the euro. European stocks a also edged BSE Banks 11,292.73 11,351.88 1 0.52% higher in anticipation of the ECB action, but fears of n B's a disappointment we eighed. FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) • Technoloogy shares ggained ahead of a crucia meeting al Date e Buy Sell Net of the European Ce E entral Bank. IT services providers s 05-Se ep 2,150 2,297 -148 such as Infosys, whhich draw ab bout three q quarters of their revenue from th U.S and E he Europe, led tthe gainers 04-Se ep 1,634 1,332 302 on hopes of improve spending environment after ECB s ed t Total Sept l 5,450 5,342 108 easing. PSU OMCs g P gained for th 3rd straig day on he ght 2012 YTD 2 427729 364609 63119 reports the governm t ment plans to raise fuel p o prices after MF A Activity (`Cr) the mon nsoon parliamment session ends on S September 7. SBI roose 1.3% af fter the ban slashed its deposit nk Date e Buy Sell Net rates between 50-10 basis points across maturities, 00 effective Friday. Mac e cquarie has upgraded Ye Bank to es 05-Se ep 352 556 -203 'outperfo orm' from 'nneutral' and raised its ta arget price 04-Se ep 290 354 -64 to 415 rupees from 380 rupees, saying current levels Total Sept l 921 1,341 -419 "offers good opportu unity to accumulate." 2012 YTD 2 82608 92461 -9852 • Titan Ind pped on concerns that record high dustries drop Global Markets gold pric will adve ce ersely affect sales grow t wth of the company y's jewellerry division. ITC fell 2.7% on Index x Latest Values t Change (%) concerns that India m s may follow tthe rest of th world in he DJIA 13 3,292.00 1.87% adopting anti-smokin regulation g ng ns. NASD DAQ 3,135.81 3 2.17% • Market bbreadth was positive at ~1.08x as investors s t s Nikke * ei 8,832.55 8 1.75% bought large cap s stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs Hang Seng * g 19 9,568.91 1.87% bought equity of `1 e 1.66bn while domestic i e institutions * as of 8.25AM IST f sold equity of `0.34b in cash se bn egment. Curre ency Snapsh hot • Asia sha ares rose shharply after the Europea Central an Bank unvveils a bond buying plan to stabilize markets. d e Future contract RBI Japan ex xporters get e extra boost f from falling y yen. Latest Previous expir on re Reference R Quote Close • We expe a positiv opening f ect ve for the India markets an 29/08/12 Rate India Rupee per $ an 55.88 56.14 55.97 following the cues from the Asian markets and a boost g that is ex xpected to g from ECB move. get B's India Rupee per € an 70.42 70.37 89.02 India Rupee per £ an 88.80 89.11 70.61 Economic and Corporate Developm a ments India Rupee per ¥ an 71.15 71.56 71.39 • The mas ssive bond bbuying programme announced by * NSE Exchange the ECB today cou B uld boost ccapital flows into the s country and help c cover the huge curren account h nt deficit, R RBI's KC Chak krabarty said d. Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • NALCO to sell 1 12.15% stake, Department of Previous Current Change divestment invites m merchant ban nkers. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Tribunal issues IOC, HPCL, BPC notice for alleged CL Torre Power ent 163.80 179.95 9.86 cartelisa ation on RIL, Essar Oil's p plea. Ambuja Cements 180.40 188.60 4.55 • From 2G Conference MTNL not to participa in 2G G e: t ate Wipro 361.50 377.50 4.43 spectrum auction. m Cummins India 446.70 465.50 4.21 Infos sys 2338.45 2422.20 3.58 • Exide steps up effor to acquire ING’s 26% stake in rts % insuranc JV. ce (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Mitsui, S Sanyo buy 49% in Mahindra Ugin ne’s steel Previous Current Change business for `218Cr. s . Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) HATH HWAY CAB 198.55 212.95 7.25 Prest tige Estates 112.65 119.85 6.39 Prism Cement m 50.45 53.05 5.15 Wock khardt 1216.35 1277.15 5.00 Glody yne Tech 78.30 82.20 4.98 TOP LOSERS L (BSE A-Group) Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Gujarat State Pet 78.10 74.60 -4.48 BHEL L 208.00 201.35 -3.20 Central Bank 65.95 63.95 -3.03 ITC 268.00 260.80 -2.69 India abulls Fin 196.15 190.95 -2.65 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Resp ponsive Inds 93.60 89.10 -4.81 Chen nnai Petro 127.05 121.25 -4.57 Gujarat State Pet 78.10 74.60 -4.48 HT Media M 89.35 85.90 -3.86 Elant Beck tas 1516.65 1461.10 -3.66 Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Frida ay Monda ay Tuesda ay Wednesday Reg gions 7/Se ep 10/Se ep 11/Sep p 12/Sep p India Forex Reserves Data Industrial Outp put daata US Average Hou urly FO OMC Minutes s Earnings (Yo oY); NFIB N Small Average We eekly Business Op B ptimism Hours (A AUG) Nonfarms Pa ayrolls; Pr reliminary ru uling on Unemployment Rate US Trade Bal U lance ES & Fiscal D SM Deficit Global Japan Coinci J ident China Export Import C t Ge ermany CPI d data Index; Leadiing data d Economic Inndex UK’s Trade B U Balance UK Industria al Japan Consum mer UK Average K Production (YoY & Confidence C Ea arnings, Claimant MoM); Co ount charge Manufacturing Production (YoY & Ja apan’s Manpower MoM) Survey (4Q) S UK Producer Price r UK Housing P U Price Index - Input (YoY & t Balance B MoM); Produucer Price Index - Output (YoY & MoM) Germany Ind dustrial Production (YoY & MoM); Trade Balance e s.a Germany Ex xports & Import (MoMM) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to